Negotiations May Lead to Mugabes Exit in Zimbabwe
Published: April 2, 2008
HARARE, Zimbabwe The opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai is in talks with advisers to President Robert G. Mugabe of Zimbabwe, amid signs that some of those close to Mr. Mugabe may encourage him to resign, a Western diplomat and a prominent Zimbabwe political analyst said Tuesday. The negotiations about a possible transfer of power away from Mr. Mugabe began after he apparently concluded that a runoff election would be demeaning, a diplomat said.
Philimon Bulawayo/Reuters
President Robert G. Mugabe of Zimbabwe in March.
A resignation by Mr. Mugabe, one of Africas longest-serving leaders, would be a stunning turnabout in a country where he has been accused of consistently manipulating election results to maintain his lock on power.
There is no guarantee the negotiations will succeed, and the situation could still deteriorate. But a Western diplomat and a political analyst said the opposition was negotiating with Zimbabwes military, central intelligence organization and prisons chief.
The chiefs of staff are talking to Morgan and are trying to put into place transitional structures, said John Makumbe, a political analyst and insider in local politics who has spoken in the past in favor of the opposition.
The chiefs of staff are not split; they are loyally at Mugabes side, Mr. Makumbe said. But they are not negotiating for Mr. Mugabe. They are negotiating for themselves. They are negotiating about reprisals and recriminations and blah blah blah. They are doing it for their own security.
A spokesman for Mr. Tsvangirai, George Sibotshiwe, said, I dont know anything about such meetings.
The diplomat who spoke anonymously because of the sensitivity of the discussions, said the joint chiefs had entered the negotiations after receiving feelers from Mr. Tsvangirai. The Western diplomat then said the leaders of the armed forces advised Mr. Mugabe on Monday to engineer a second-round runoff in the presidential race after the election Saturday, but Mr. Mugabe responded that a runoff would be a humiliation to him.
Marwick Khumalo, head of the Pan-African Parliament observer mission, indicated in an interview on South African radio that the ruling ZANU-PF party was considering the possibility of defeat, the Associated Press reported Tuesday.
I was talking to some of the big wigs in the ruling party and they also are concerned about the possibility of a change of guard, he told South African Broadcasting Corp.s SAfm radio.
More than three days after the vote, the government had still not released any results of the presidential balloting. Under Zimbabwes election rules, a runoff would be required if no candidate got more than 50 percent.
The Electoral Commission has slowly published the first results in the separate parliamentary race, showing a lead for Mr. Tsvangirais party, the Movement for Democratic Change.
Out of 132 parliamentary seats so far announced, M.D.C. had won 68, including six for a breakaway faction, according to The Associated Press. Mr. Mugabes party had 64.
Mr. Mugabe, 84, has led Zimbabwe since 1980. Crafty and ruthless, he is not a man likely to easily give up his hold on power, analysts, diplomats and Zimbabweans have long contended.
That has left this nation, and a good bit of the world, wondering how he will survive what seems a repudiation by his countrymen, most of whom have become unemployed under his rule. The nation now suffers from an inflation rate of 100,000 perce.
Source: New York Times
Yaani namhurumia Mugabe maana sidhani kama atabaki na mtu yeyote wa kumpa support maana naamini hata Mkewe atamkimbia. Ni mwanamke anayependa kula raha na bado ni kijana ambaye bado anatamani kula maisha kwa starehe na Mudhee Mugabe anaachia kitumbua kidondoke toka mdomoni. Huyo mwanamke alitaka tu awe First Lady, sasa utamu unachukuliwa na Mrs. Tsvangirai (Kama jamaa ana mke). Tulisikia kuwa Expected Former Zimbabwean First Lady analiwa uroda na bizinesimani fulani, kwi kwi kwi that means Mudhee Mugabe wanamsaidia kumfanyisha mkewe mazoezi (Sijui push ups au... anajua mwenyewe)