US Election Coverage 2008

[Susuviri]

It is very easy to loose perspective! Let us start with facts:
1) Obama started with a huge disadvantage na alikuwa hajulikani kabisaaa in many states including Pennsylvannia.
2) Hillary Clinton was born and raised in Scranton, Pennyslvania (it's like Obama winning Hawaii)
3) Hillary had the whole machinery of PA behind her. Including Ed Rendell who eagerly pointed out that some whites will not vote for a black man. Making it sound like its ok.
4)Obama spent the money in PA to build his image and to be known better in PA ready for the general elections in November.
5) 3 weeks ago, Hillary was 20+ points ahead, she won by 9.2% which is NOT 10% (naomba tuwe wakweli and stop spinning)
So this is BAD news for Clinton
6) She is in the red budgetwise! She made 3 million USD since she won PA, are you aware that she can only spend a part of it, the rest is set aside to GE and she has almost 10 million USD debt including 5 million that she owes herself and 4.6 million that she owes Mark Penn! So money wise she is NOT doing well!
7) 'Why can't he win the big states?' that is Clinton spin, what about Minnesota? Unajua which big states count and which don't. But also it is totally wrong to say that because he didn't win the primary he will not win in general elections. You think that 100% of people who voted for Hillary in primary will not vote for Obama in November? You know it is not true. And in fact the crucial vote in general elections is always the independent vote that Obama is wooing and attracts more than McCain. And if the white male racist vote will not vote for him too bad (BTW you think the white male racist will vote for Hillary if she faces McCain? NOOO!)
8) She now has to win 71% of all races to catch up with Obama and NO! Florida will not be included because she signed a pledge with Obama and Edwards and Kucinich and Dodd and Richardson and Biden that Florida will not count.
Ushabiki ni mzuri na tuendelee ku-cheer on our candidate lakini at times let's keep things in perspective.

 

[Capitol Hill]

Well Said Sus

 

[Susuviri]

Well Said Sus

Kwa kweli inakera kusikia spin za ma-pundits including clinton noise network aka CNN! Wao wanataka ionekana kama itá a real race wakati it's game over. Lakini naelewa Obama is playing a different game, ndo maana hana pressure!

 

[Nyani Ngabu]

It is very easy to loose perspective! Let us start with facts:
1) Obama started with a huge disadvantage na alikuwa hajulikani kabisaaa in many states including Pennsylvannia.
2) Hillary Clinton was born and raised in Scranton, Pennyslvania (it's like Obama winning Hawaii)
3) Hillary had the whole machinery of PA behind her. Including Ed Rendell who eagerly pointed out that some whites will not vote for a black man. Making it sound like its ok.
4)Obama spent the money in PA to build his image and to be known better in PA ready for the general elections in November.
5) 3 weeks ago, Hillary was 20+ points ahead, she won by 9.2% which is NOT 10% (naomba tuwe wakweli and stop spinning)
So this is BAD news for Clinton
6) She is in the red budgetwise! She made 3 million USD since she won PA, are you aware that she can only spend a part of it, the rest is set aside to GE and she has almost 10 million USD debt including 5 million that she owes herself and 4.6 million that she owes Mark Penn! So money wise she is NOT doing well!
7) 'Why can't he win the big states?' that is Clinton spin, what about Minnesota? Unajua which big states count and which don't. But also it is totally wrong to say that because he didn't win the primary he will not win in general elections. You think that 100% of people who voted for Hillary in primary will not vote for Obama in November? You know it is not true. And in fact the crucial vote in general elections is always the independent vote that Obama is wooing and attracts more than McCain. And if the white male racist vote will not vote for him too bad (BTW you think the white male racist will vote for Hillary if she faces McCain? NOOO!)
8) She now has to win 71% of all races to catch up with Obama and NO! Florida will not be included because she signed a pledge with Obama and Edwards and Kucinich and Dodd and Richardson and Biden that Florida will not count.
Ushabiki ni mzuri na tuendelee ku-cheer on our candidate lakini at times let's keep things in perspective.

Whichever way you spin it...however hard you try to spin it...bottomline...McCain will win come November and you know it.

 

[YNIM]

Whichever way you spin it...however hard you try to spin it...bottomline...McCain will win come November and you know it.

...kwahiyo umekubali kwamba kiujuza wako anaisumbua mahakama tu!!?
McCain, atashinda November kama tu HRC ataendelea na tabia yake ya tukose wote.

 

[Nyani Ngabu]

...kwahiyo umekubali kwamba kiujuza wako anaisumbua mahakama tu!!?
McCain, atashinda November kama tu HRC ataendelea na tabia yake ya tukose wote.

Wewe mwenyewe umekiri hata hapo liberal capital USA (Boston) mijitu ni mibaguzi...inacheka na wewe huku inakuona tumbili...sasa kwa hiyo akili uliyobaki nayo (baada ya gongo kuunguza kiasi kikubwa) unadhani hawa watu kweli watamchagua Obama? Hell to that naw...

 

[Kitila Mkumbo]

Capitol Hill:

Very good analysis lakini hujasema madhara yake huko November kama Obama atakuwa mgombea wa chama "chetu". Au demographics zitabadilika?

 

[Koba]

Whichever way you spin it...however hard you try to spin it...bottomline...McCain will win come November and you know it.

....pure wishful thinking!

 

[YNIM]

...spin v/s reality v/s actuality!!

actuality/ fwakts....
HRC yupo behind kwa elected delegates, popular vote na technically broke....anahitaji $ 1 mil kuendesha kampeni/day, mpaka kufika NC na IN inahitajika @least $ 14 mil. Ushindi wa jana umemwigizia $ 3 mil so far....hazitoshi, kumlipa Mark Penn pekeyake let alone kuendesha kampeni nzima kwa siku 14! kazi ipo.

spin mpya....
kwamba lazima Obama ashinde IN kwa sababu ati "inapakana na IL," kibibi kina amnesia ya ajabu sana....hivi VT na CT si zinapakana na NY? lakini mbona yeye hakushinda huko??.....hivi strategy hapo ni nini? au polls za IN zinakadanganya? she is going to lose IN kwani, Gary, South Bend(home of Notre Dame), Indianapolis na Bloomington(IU) zita-deliver......mama anajiharibia tu chances zake zakuja kuwa mgombea in the future!!.

 

[Gamba la Nyoka]

Nimeona leo kwenye news Mcain analiponda tangazo lililotolewa na marepublicans linalochombeza ishu za obama na reverend. kwa kitendo hiki inaonyesha kwamba huyu mzee ni honest na ni mtu mwenye dignity, kwa mtu mwingine ni rahisi kutake advantage ya ishu kama hii ya reverend lakini mcain anaonekana siasa za namna hii naye zinamkera.

Mcain can make a good presidaa!

 

[Susuviri]

Capitol Hill:

Very good analysis lakini hujasema madhara yake huko November kama Obama atakuwa mgombea wa chama "chetu". Au demographics zitabadilika?

Kama nilivyoandika hapo awali, people tend to loose perspective:
Name me one Democratic president who won the blue collar workers on the road to the White House? Lyndon Johnson.
Name US president (s) who won the WH by winning the Black vote - Carter and Bill Clinton!

If Hillary Clinton wins the nomination, will her electoral base consist of blue-collar whites? No, it will be highly similar to Obama's, with a major reliance on minorities and white liberals.

So let us for once not buy into the Clinton spin about the blue collar workers. The key is not class but White Male. Sasa in that category Obama has been able to mobilize and add college students, independents etc. So he has improved among the White male vote, in fact he won that group in some states but he has improved since OH, compare first number is Obam's percentage in Ohio and second column of number is Obama's share of win in Pennsylvania:
OH PA
60 and older 28 38
White 34 38
White men 39 44
White women 31 34
Less than $50K 42 46
No college 40 38
And also remember kwamba hivi sasa Obama na Clinton hawajatofautiana sana katika economic policies woet wanazungumzia universal healthcare, etc with very slight differences. Lakini Obama evrsus McCain difference ni kubwa! So we can only talk about how he is doing when the actual General elections start.

 

[Susuviri]

Nimeona leo kwenye news Mcain analiponda tangazo lililotolewa na marepublicans linalochombeza ishu za obama na reverend. kwa kitendo hiki inaonyesha kwamba huyu mzee ni honest na ni mtu mwenye dignity, kwa mtu mwingine ni rahisi kutake advantage ya ishu kama hii ya reverend lakini mcain anaonekana siasa za namna hii naye zinamkera.

Mcain can make a good presidaa!

Gamba: McCain is a third Bush term! He is 71 yrs old who has battled melanoma (skin cancer) and is forgetful (mixes up Shia and Sunni 3 times)Come on!
Do you think he doesn't want the ad to play because he is honest and has dignity? No, my friend, he has internal pollsters ambao wameonyesha ya kuwa Hillary aliumia zaidi alipojaribu kum-attack Obama on personal issues. In fact Obama huwa anapata support kubwa zaidi. Na strategists wa GOP including Karl Rove walishakubali na kutoa amri to the entire GOP kwamba wasim-attack Obama because it doesn't hurt him. Only Hillary Clinton is too blind to see this. Ndiyo maana nawaambia hii issue ya Reverend Wright haitatumika in the General elections kama tunavyofikiri.

 

[Koba]

....acha Clinton ajione PA pekee ndio mwenye uwezo wa kushinda,ila akumbuke Democrats kushinda GE in PA wanahitaji Philadelphia area ambako ndiko Obama alipatia kura maana huko country mama alipopata kura ni heavily Republican during GE,bila Philadelphia area na big turnout of African American hakuna Democrats wa kushinda PA kwenye GE.

 

[YNIM]

SUV,
..pia ku-back off kwa McCain juu ya issue ya Rev. Wright ipo influenced na controverses za pastor alomwi-endorse yeye, Rev. Hagee, ambaye bado anapayuka maneno ya hovyo juu ya catholics na uhusiano wa katrina/gayz na kuitwanga kwa New Orleans......akija na clips za Wright, watu wanamwekea za Hagee, itam-cost votes za catholics ambao ni wengi hasa north east kama huko PA, NJ, DE, MA n.k!! kila mtu hapa ana skeletons kwenye closet lake.....lets debate issues!!. Politics za guilty by associations and associations, mwaka huu hazina nafasi.

 

[Gamba la Nyoka]

duh, si mchezo! naona wazee mnakata ishu kinoma

 

[Nyani Ngabu]

Go Mama Go!

Go McCain Go!

 

[Gamba la Nyoka]

jamani hivi demographics za contests zilizobaki zinaendaje?

nani yupo katika position nzuri ya kuchukua indiana?, north carolina?, kenturky?, oregon?, pueto rica?

 

[Nyani Ngabu]

President Elect McCain....

 

[YNIM]

jamani hivi demographics za contests zilizobaki zinaendaje?

nani yupo katika position nzuri ya kuchukua indiana?, north carolina?, kenturky?, oregon?, pueto rica?

..indiana ni toss up, kuna polls zinaonyesha Obama anaongoza kwa 2 points lakini hii state inaweza kwenda kwa yeyote. North Carolina, Obama anaweza kushinda kwa double digits, ingawa kuna republican forces zinataka kumsadia mama kiana. Kentucky, ni Clinton bila ubishi. Oregon ni tailor made kwa Obama. Puerto Rico, itachukuliwa na Hillary so as West Virginia!! lakini Guam ni Obama..........kutokana na hiyo "map madness," HRC kwisha habari!! ubishi tu.

 

[Nyani Ngabu]

Go Mama Go!
Hillary you're my girl...keep whupn that tail out there....