Hapa unadhihirisha kuwa hakuna tena calculus zaidi ya ramli...the best poll is exit poll after vote for now as it is dead heat in battle states
Romney kushinda kesho...
Romney kushinda kesho...
- Thread starter Mzee Mwanakijiji
- Start date
- Status
Hapa unadhihirisha kuwa hakuna tena calculus zaidi ya ramli...the best poll is exit poll after vote for now as it is dead heat in battle states
Nadhani pengine ulitaka kusema kinyume chake ,yaan,i Mitt Romney KUSHINDWA KESHO
Kazi Ndiyo Kipimo Cha Utu
JF-Expert Member
- Mar 8, 2006
- 1,211
- 233
All comes down to OH & FL,The only hope for Romney is Republican Local Administration with help of Voter suppression Laws. Most Minority will be affected by voter suppression strategy.If this strategywill fail,OBAMA WILL PREVAIL BIG!Futhermore , expect more legal challenges from both campaign Legal Team!
Mzee Wa Rubisi
JF-Expert Member
- Nov 6, 2010
- 1,757
- 448
Tangua awali mwanakijiji umeonekana dhahili unataka obama ashindwe.
Lakini ujaonyesha uharisia wa mambo source ziko nyingi hasa marekani unafatilia source za mpinzani wa obama ndo zinaonyesha kushindwa.
MATOKEO YA AWALI OBAMA 23 NA ROMNEY 9
Kazi Ndiyo Kipimo Cha Utu
JF-Expert Member
- Mar 8, 2006
- 1,211
- 233
A tie @ dixville notch!
Yo Yo
JF-Expert Member
- May 31, 2008
- 11,210
- 1,738
Unafuata utabiri wa TB Joshua
palalisote
JF-Expert Member
- Aug 4, 2010
- 8,335
- 1,462
ohio hawezi kushindha kumbuka uchumi hapo ni mzuri kuliko takwimu za kitaifa.
Mzee Mwanakijiji
Platinum Member
- Mar 10, 2006
- 34,092
- 43,265
- Thread starter
- #49
Wenyewe wanasema ni judgement day...
Uliza_Bei
JF-Expert Member
- Feb 17, 2011
- 3,216
- 994
Obama alipolia amewakumbusha African America kuwa anahitaji kura zao.....My strong feelings...atachukua tena
Nyambala
JF-Expert Member
- Oct 10, 2007
- 4,465
- 1,172
There are 19 states, totalling 237 electoral votes, which are so safely Democratic that Mr Romney did not bother to contest any of them until the final weeks of the campaign: CA, OR, WA, NM, MN, IL, MI, PA, HI, DE, MD, DC, NJ, NY, VT, CT, RI, MA and ME. Beyond those, Mr Obama appears to have an unassailable lead in Nevada, and the presence of Paul Ryan on the Republican ticket does not seem to have moved the needle in Mr Romneys favour in Wisconsin. Adding those two states to the presidents tally, all he needs is Ohio to reach the magic number of 270 electoral votesand he has consistently led the polls there by over two percentage points. Even if Mr Romney wins all of Colorado, Virginia, New Hampshire, Florida and Iowa, he would still lose the election if he cannot break through Mr Obamas Midwestern firewall of Wisconsin and Ohio. The campaign is being fought almost entirely on Mr Romneys Mr Romney faces such an uphill battle in the electoral college that most quantitative calculations regard the race as anything but too close to call. Nate Silver of the New York Timess FiveThirtyEight blog, the best-known of the forecasters, currently gives Mr Obama an 86% chance to win. Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium puts him at an even more generous 98%.
Bettors broadly concur with this analysis. Although Intrade, the most widely cited prediction market, is fairly kind to Mr Romney and shows him with a 33% chance of victory, tight legal restrictions on deposits to the site have made it very difficult for Americans to wager there. That makes it very thinly traded and unreliable, since bets of just a few thousand dollars can move the market price substantially. The real money laid on the election goes to bookmakers, who uniformly see Mr Obama as an overwhelming favourite. Pinnacle Sports in Las Vegas shows him with a 77.5% likelihood of victory, and Ladbrokes in Britain has him at 81%.
Source: economist.com
Bettors broadly concur with this analysis. Although Intrade, the most widely cited prediction market, is fairly kind to Mr Romney and shows him with a 33% chance of victory, tight legal restrictions on deposits to the site have made it very difficult for Americans to wager there. That makes it very thinly traded and unreliable, since bets of just a few thousand dollars can move the market price substantially. The real money laid on the election goes to bookmakers, who uniformly see Mr Obama as an overwhelming favourite. Pinnacle Sports in Las Vegas shows him with a 77.5% likelihood of victory, and Ladbrokes in Britain has him at 81%.
Source: economist.com
Pia ukizingatia propaganda ya Israel, Romney alikaa upande sahihi wa historia haraka sana.
jmushi1
Platinum Member
- Nov 2, 2007
- 26,375
- 25,453
Kama ni utabiri,kuna haya ya "13 ways,some spooky,to predict the next president"
WASHINGTON, October 28, 2012 - With Halloween just around the corner and the vibes in the universe quivering in anticipation of the presidential election, what better time than now to look at some spooky, loopy, and even scientific ways to predict the winner on November 6.
Here are 13 ways to get a jump on the pundits and figure out just who will be the next President of the United States:
1. Halloween masks - Spirit Halloween claims that since 1996 sales of its presidents' masks have predicted the last four winners of the presidential election. This past week, the company, which has 1,000 stores in 49 of the 50 states says that Obama masks have been outselling Romney masks by 60% to 40% but has no data on the sales in swing states. Prediction: Obama
2. Cookie bake off - Family Circle once again invited the candidates' wives to submit their cookie recipes. It invited its readers to try out and sample the recipes and then vote for the best cookies. So far the great cookie bake off has predicted the next president four out of the last five times. This year Michelle Obama's chocolate chip cookies beat out Ann Romney's M&M cookies. Prediction: Obama
3. Washington Redskins victory - Football fans can look to the NFL to see into the future for the next president. Supposedly if the Washington Redskins win their last home game before the election, the incumbent's party wins, but if the Redskins lose, the challenger moves into the Oval Office. That important Redskins game has accurately picked the winner of 17 of the last 18 elections, being wrong only in 2004 when Bush 2 held onto the White House. This year the Redskins play the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, November 4, two days before the election. Breaking News: The Redskins lost to the Carolina Panthers 21-13, which means good news for the GOP. Prediction: Romney
4. The economy, stupid - Two University of Colorado political science professors have predicted the winner of the every presidential contest since 1980. They look at the economic data of each state and the nation as a whole and then determine who will get the 270 electoral college votes to win the election. Included in their data are the unemployment numbers, amount of disposable income, and per capita income. Based on their analysis they see Obama only reaching 218 electoral votes. Prediction: Romney
5. On Line Gamblers - At Intrade, an online political betting site, gamblers have been putting their money on whom they think will win the election. They have correctly picked the winners of the last two elections. The betters have been laying down their money for Obama, giving him a 63.6 % chance of winning. But stay tuned: it changes day to day. Prediction: Leaning Obama
6. Astrology - Is an Obama win written in the stars? A panel of five astrologers seems to think so. Their reasoning rests on the fact that the sun will move into the sign Aries. Prediction: Obama
7. LA Lakers - In the past the Los Angeles Lakers were used as a predictor if they took the NBA championship. And if they had, it would have been Mitt Romney as the winner based on the winning streak of 8 out of 9 predictions. However, they never made it to the finals. Prediction: ????
8. Kids and Scholastic magazine - Since 1940, Scholastic magazine has relied on kids to tell us who will be the next president. The kids have been right 16 out of the last 18 times. Between August 15 and October 10, nearly 250,000 children under 18 from across the country voted for whom they wanted as president in a survey conducted by Scholastic magazine and 51% of the kids picked Obama, 45% Romney and 4% other. Even kids in swing states pinpointed Obama the winner. Prediction: Obama
9. World Series winner - While the winner of the World Series match-up between the San Francisco Giants and the Detroit Tigers is still unknown, sports fans do know that it all hinges on which League wins the Series. If the American League wins, then it is a Republican president; if the National League team takes the Series, then a Democrat will be sitting in the White House. Right now, the Giants, a National League team, leads 2-0. But there are more games to play. Prediction: ????
10. Misery Index - How miserable are Americans? Maybe not as miserable as you would think. The Misery Index - yes, there is such a thing - adds the unemployment rate with the annual inflation rate and that tells us just how miserable we actually are. Believe it or not, the Misery Index has correctly predicted nine of the last 12 presidential elections. Right now our Misery Index says we are not feeling as wretched as you may think. At the end of the third quarter of this year the Index stood at 9.8%, a drop from 11.3% in 2008. So whether you know it or not, you are feeling somewhat better about things. Prediction: Obama
11. Rising stock market - Now the stock market has hit some bumps and had its ups and downs, but mainly it has been going up over the last four years. The editor of an investment newsletter, InvesTech Research, Jim Stack has been analyzing the data closely and he found that since 1900, the direction of stock prices two months prior to the election makes it possible to predict the winner 89.3% of the time. "A rising stock market indicates an improving economy, which means rising confidence and increases the chance of an incumbent's reelection," he says. Prediction: Obama
12. 7-Eleven Coffee Drinkers - Yep, you can vote with your lips. With less than two weeks to the election, folks are taking big gulps out of their coffee cups and voting with their mouths. At 7-Eleven, the cups are colored-coded: Red for Romney and Republicans and Blue for Obama and Democrats. Since 2000, the number of colored cups has predicted the winner of the presidential elections. As of October 24, Obama's cups are outselling Romney by 59% to 41%. (Caveat: 15 states are not participants in this unscientific vote, but they weren't in the previous three elections either.) You can go to 7-eleven.com, click on a state or a city to see how the vote is going in your area. Prediction: Obama
13. Candidates' Speeches - Chetan Narain writing for Forbes studied more than 1,000 speeches from 12 presidential campaigns between 1952 to 1996, adding in the 2008 election. "By analyzing the language in each speech, I created a model that predicted whether a speech came from a winning candidate or a losing one," he explained. And his model has accurately picked the winner in 11 of the 13 elections or 85%.
While Democrats and Republicans use different words to rally their base, winners of the presidential elections of either party, employed some key words: very which shows urgency, win which demonstrates confidence that the candidate will do just that, and president which points to winning as certainty as in "When I am president." Using the words Washington or percent is seen as either negative or boring. Prediction: ????
So there you have the bizarre 13 ways to figure out who the next president is. Ignore the polls and pick your favorite to know who will be president. Or better yet, just go with your gut instinct.
Read more: Who will win the election: 13 ways, some spooky, to predict the next president | Washington Times Communities
WASHINGTON, October 28, 2012 - With Halloween just around the corner and the vibes in the universe quivering in anticipation of the presidential election, what better time than now to look at some spooky, loopy, and even scientific ways to predict the winner on November 6.
Here are 13 ways to get a jump on the pundits and figure out just who will be the next President of the United States:
1. Halloween masks - Spirit Halloween claims that since 1996 sales of its presidents' masks have predicted the last four winners of the presidential election. This past week, the company, which has 1,000 stores in 49 of the 50 states says that Obama masks have been outselling Romney masks by 60% to 40% but has no data on the sales in swing states. Prediction: Obama
2. Cookie bake off - Family Circle once again invited the candidates' wives to submit their cookie recipes. It invited its readers to try out and sample the recipes and then vote for the best cookies. So far the great cookie bake off has predicted the next president four out of the last five times. This year Michelle Obama's chocolate chip cookies beat out Ann Romney's M&M cookies. Prediction: Obama
3. Washington Redskins victory - Football fans can look to the NFL to see into the future for the next president. Supposedly if the Washington Redskins win their last home game before the election, the incumbent's party wins, but if the Redskins lose, the challenger moves into the Oval Office. That important Redskins game has accurately picked the winner of 17 of the last 18 elections, being wrong only in 2004 when Bush 2 held onto the White House. This year the Redskins play the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, November 4, two days before the election. Breaking News: The Redskins lost to the Carolina Panthers 21-13, which means good news for the GOP. Prediction: Romney
4. The economy, stupid - Two University of Colorado political science professors have predicted the winner of the every presidential contest since 1980. They look at the economic data of each state and the nation as a whole and then determine who will get the 270 electoral college votes to win the election. Included in their data are the unemployment numbers, amount of disposable income, and per capita income. Based on their analysis they see Obama only reaching 218 electoral votes. Prediction: Romney
5. On Line Gamblers - At Intrade, an online political betting site, gamblers have been putting their money on whom they think will win the election. They have correctly picked the winners of the last two elections. The betters have been laying down their money for Obama, giving him a 63.6 % chance of winning. But stay tuned: it changes day to day. Prediction: Leaning Obama
6. Astrology - Is an Obama win written in the stars? A panel of five astrologers seems to think so. Their reasoning rests on the fact that the sun will move into the sign Aries. Prediction: Obama
7. LA Lakers - In the past the Los Angeles Lakers were used as a predictor if they took the NBA championship. And if they had, it would have been Mitt Romney as the winner based on the winning streak of 8 out of 9 predictions. However, they never made it to the finals. Prediction: ????
8. Kids and Scholastic magazine - Since 1940, Scholastic magazine has relied on kids to tell us who will be the next president. The kids have been right 16 out of the last 18 times. Between August 15 and October 10, nearly 250,000 children under 18 from across the country voted for whom they wanted as president in a survey conducted by Scholastic magazine and 51% of the kids picked Obama, 45% Romney and 4% other. Even kids in swing states pinpointed Obama the winner. Prediction: Obama
9. World Series winner - While the winner of the World Series match-up between the San Francisco Giants and the Detroit Tigers is still unknown, sports fans do know that it all hinges on which League wins the Series. If the American League wins, then it is a Republican president; if the National League team takes the Series, then a Democrat will be sitting in the White House. Right now, the Giants, a National League team, leads 2-0. But there are more games to play. Prediction: ????
10. Misery Index - How miserable are Americans? Maybe not as miserable as you would think. The Misery Index - yes, there is such a thing - adds the unemployment rate with the annual inflation rate and that tells us just how miserable we actually are. Believe it or not, the Misery Index has correctly predicted nine of the last 12 presidential elections. Right now our Misery Index says we are not feeling as wretched as you may think. At the end of the third quarter of this year the Index stood at 9.8%, a drop from 11.3% in 2008. So whether you know it or not, you are feeling somewhat better about things. Prediction: Obama
11. Rising stock market - Now the stock market has hit some bumps and had its ups and downs, but mainly it has been going up over the last four years. The editor of an investment newsletter, InvesTech Research, Jim Stack has been analyzing the data closely and he found that since 1900, the direction of stock prices two months prior to the election makes it possible to predict the winner 89.3% of the time. "A rising stock market indicates an improving economy, which means rising confidence and increases the chance of an incumbent's reelection," he says. Prediction: Obama
12. 7-Eleven Coffee Drinkers - Yep, you can vote with your lips. With less than two weeks to the election, folks are taking big gulps out of their coffee cups and voting with their mouths. At 7-Eleven, the cups are colored-coded: Red for Romney and Republicans and Blue for Obama and Democrats. Since 2000, the number of colored cups has predicted the winner of the presidential elections. As of October 24, Obama's cups are outselling Romney by 59% to 41%. (Caveat: 15 states are not participants in this unscientific vote, but they weren't in the previous three elections either.) You can go to 7-eleven.com, click on a state or a city to see how the vote is going in your area. Prediction: Obama
13. Candidates' Speeches - Chetan Narain writing for Forbes studied more than 1,000 speeches from 12 presidential campaigns between 1952 to 1996, adding in the 2008 election. "By analyzing the language in each speech, I created a model that predicted whether a speech came from a winning candidate or a losing one," he explained. And his model has accurately picked the winner in 11 of the 13 elections or 85%.
While Democrats and Republicans use different words to rally their base, winners of the presidential elections of either party, employed some key words: very which shows urgency, win which demonstrates confidence that the candidate will do just that, and president which points to winning as certainty as in "When I am president." Using the words Washington or percent is seen as either negative or boring. Prediction: ????
So there you have the bizarre 13 ways to figure out who the next president is. Ignore the polls and pick your favorite to know who will be president. Or better yet, just go with your gut instinct.
Read more: Who will win the election: 13 ways, some spooky, to predict the next president | Washington Times Communities
Lekanjobe Kubinika
JF-Expert Member
- Dec 6, 2006
- 3,019
- 580
Kumbe Sheikh Yahaya kafufuka?
jmushi1
Platinum Member
- Nov 2, 2007
- 26,375
- 25,453
True that...Hiyo issue imewatafuna hata ndani ya chama chao!
Obama-Romney election: Is race a factor
Mzee Mwanakijiji
Platinum Member
- Mar 10, 2006
- 34,092
- 43,265
- Thread starter
- #60
Ushindi wa Romney utawashangaza na kuwashtua wengine lakini siyo sisi wengine. Right now kuna watu wengi zaidi wanaojitambukisha kama conservatives kuliko liberals.mtalisikia sana hili la conservatives baada ya uchaguzim
- Status
Similar Discussions
-
Kenya2022 Yaliyojiri Uchaguzi Mkuu wa Kenya: William Ruto ashinda kiti cha Urais, apata 50.49% ya kura- Started by Linguistic
- Replies: 4K
-
Mebeberu wana malengo na Tanzania? Waanza uzushi wa fujo baada ya JPM, CCM Kushinda. Wamzushia Magufuli ni dikteta. Kwanini tunanyamaza?- Started by Pascal Mayalla
- Replies: 192
-
