The US Presidential Elections-2012

Natalia said:
Uchaguzi unapokaribia polls tends to look right cause they don't want to be discredited.romney hayupo ahead kwa ajili ya debate .yupo a head kwa sababu Issue ya Libya trust me na economy.economy ndo ita decide election na Libya drama lake kubwa.
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wamechoka kuongozwa na ngozi nyeusi tu
 
[h=1]New poll in Florida shows Obama leading Romney 47% to 46%[/h]



Source: examiner.com

The new poll in Florida show a very close race for president in 2012 election.

According to new poll SurveyUSA President Barack Obama is ahead of Mitt Romney, 47% to 46%, this poll was conducted for WFLA-TV in Tampa. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 5 weeks ago, Romney is up 2 points, Obama is down 1 point.

SurveyUSA showed that Florida 29 electoral votes remain up for grabs, Romney has gained ground in each of 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls going back to 07/20/12. Obama's once 12-point lead among Florida women has been reduced to 4 points.

According to new poll the contest is tied among men. Narrowly, Cubans vote Republican. Decisively, non-Cuban Hispanics vote Democrat. Voters under age 50 vote for Obama. Voters age 50+ vote for Romney. Whites vote for Romney 5:4. Moderates vote for Obama 5:4. Independents break 44% to 40% for Romney.

Read more: New poll in Florida shows Obama leading Romney 47 to 46% - New York economy and politics | Examiner.com
 
Nina wasi wasi kusema kuwa Obama ana hali mbaya sana. Hana ubavu wa kuhimilri mikiki mikiki ya wizi ya mwisho ya uchaguzi kwa vile hela yote ya wachimba makaa ya mawe, wachimba mafuta, walangua fedha wall street na matajiri wngin kupitia kuwenye superpacs mbalimbali watamashambulia sana na sidhani kama atahimiri. Ilitakiwa sasa hivi awe anaongoza polls kwa point 10 kusudi mshambulizi hayo yakianza ndipi atelemka hadi point mbili au tatu. Kwa hizo points chache alizonazo, hatafurukuta.

Time will tell

Hata Sanatorum alipokuwa wakiondoza kwenye primary kwa point mbili au tatu, zilikuwa zinafutwa zote katika dakika za mwisho mwisho kutokana na pesa hizo za hao jamaa kumwaga matangazo ya TV na akulipa wapiga vumbi kuzunguka mitaa yote ya mji wakimnadi Romney!

Sasa hivi ninaona kama vile urais wa Obama umekwisha! Alivurunda sana debate ya kwanza ambayo ndiyo iliyofufua kampeini ya Romney.
 
[h=1]IBD/TIPP tracking poll Obama 47.9 Romney 42.2[/h]IBD/TIPP POLL - Investors.com

IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll

Day 13: Oct. 21, 2012


Obama: +5.7
Obama 47.9% | Romney 42.2%
•Obama has opened up a 6-point lead over Romney in our latest poll, his largest lead yet.
•Some 8.1% of those polled said they were "not sure" whom they would vote for, also the largest percentage yet.
•Obama's lead seemed to build after the second debate, which many mainstream media pundits believe Obama won.
•Self-described "moderates" now prefer Obama over Romney by 22 points, the second largest margin since we began polling.
•Obama holds a hefty 35-point lead among urban dwellers, and a comfortable 5-point lead in the suburbs.


Read More At IBD: IBD/TIPP POLL - Investors.com
 
For those whining, crying, ledge-walking, Depends wearing doomsayers take note:
Those 'unikely voters' are voting...

NORTH CAROLINA

Turnout so far in 2012 early voting can only be described as epic. Yesterday's diary reported that turnout was up 26.6% above 2008. Now with updated data, turnout is 36.6% above 2008. And that number will only go up even further if there are still some counties lagging behind.

Overall, Obama appears to be building up an early vote margin right in line with the early vote margin he built up in 2008. In fact, Saturday was even better than the same Saturday in 2008. But because early turnout is higher, it could be harder for Romney to make up the difference on election day than it was for McCain in 2008, because there may not be as many Romney voters left over for election day. More of the Obama early voters are new voters who would not be able to vote on election day if they did not vote right now, whereas most of the Romney early voters would otherwise just vote on election day.

In sum, 2008 is happening again in North Carolina, only the turnout is even higher.

More on that later; now let's take a look at those 42,709 new voters.


Well, new voter registration statistics have been released, and so now we have the evidence to back up that speculation. This is an over-generalization, but broadly Obama is indeed turning out new voters, whereas Romney is turning out the same old voters.

In total, 324,780 people voted in One-Stop Early Voting on Thursday and Friday. Of those, 42,709 were brand new previously unregistered voters. They did not pass any poll's "likely voter" screen, nor did they even pass any poll's registered voter screen. And yet, they voted. And it is clear that they voted overwhelmingly for Obama (probably by about 2 to 1).


Read the rest w/ graphs and stats HERE

Why waste time pulling hair out over polls when the Obama Campaign tells you straight from the horse's mouth?:

IOWA:

Jeremy Bird/OFA
IOWA Dems currently have a 55,100 votes cast advantage - 53% higher than the advantage at this point in 2008


OHIO:
It turns out Republicans' mangled math isn't limited to a mystery tax cut plan that doesn't add
up

Before we address Republicans' claims, here are some numbers reflecting Democrats' strong
position in the critical state of Ohio:
1. All public polling shows that the President has a double-digit lead among those who
have voted:

 Survey USA found that Obama leads by 19 points (57/38) among those who have
voted already.

 Rasmussen, a Republican pollster, found that Obama leads by 29 points (63/34)
among those who have voted already.
 The Wall Street Journal/NBC poll found that Obama leads by 26 points (63/37)
among those who have voted already.
 PPP found that Obama leads by 52 points (76/24) among those who have voted
already.
2. Registration numbers strongly favor President Obama:
 Four in five Ohioans (81 percent) who have registered to vote in 2012 are either
female, younger than 30, or African-American or Latino – all demographics that
strongly favor President Obama.
 Nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of Ohioans who have registered to vote in 2012 – and
the same percentage among those who have already voted – live in counties that
President Obama won in 2008.
3. Early vote numbers strongly favor President Obama:
 More than half (55 percent) of the early-vote ballots requested so far this year have
been requested by women, 3 percentage points greater than 2008 early voters.
 582,402 ballots have been requested this year from precincts that Obama won in
2008, 33,414 more than in from precincts that McCain won.
 The total number of votes already cast this year (both by mail and in-person) from
precincts Obama won in 2008 is 261,304 – 55,636 more than from precincts McCain
won. D


More HERE

NEVADA:

Jon Ralston Twitter

Clark County early vote numbers in - 18,388 Dems. 9,588 Republicans. 55-29%. Similar to '08
but bigger raw vote lead


Look at the rest of his tweets and bask in the glow of imminent VICTORY:

The Democrats are crushing the Republicans


That's some pretty damned good news that the polls and media aren't catching.

NC\IA\OH\NV ON TRACK FOR OBAMA!!! - Democratic Underground
 
tumeshawazoea republicans wana hasira na wanapenda vita na vurugu na kwa hili huyo mtoto alie tu baba yake hata urais wa kijiji hataupata
 
[h=1]New Poll has Obama up by 5 in Wisconsin[/h]
(It's one of those Angus-Reid polls apparently they have a good track record in Canada and now are doing some polling here):

Obama Leads Romney by Five Points in Wisconsin
In the U.S. Senate race, Tammy Baldwin is ahead of Tommy Thompson by just three points.
– Democrat Barack Obama is leading Republican Mitt Romney in the Wisconsin, a new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of 502 likely voters in the Badger State, 51 per cent of decided voters would support the Democratic incumbent in next month's United States presidential election, while 46 per cent would cast a ballot for Republican Party nominee Mitt Romney.

While male voters are evenly divided when assessing the two candidates (49% would vote for Obama, and 49% for Romney), the incumbent president holds a nine-point advantage among women (53% to 44%).

Obama is ahead of Romney among decided voters aged 18-to-34 (58% to 37%), while those over the age of 55 prefer the Republican nominee (53% to 46%). Voters aged 35-to-54 are evenly split (49% would vote for Obama, 48% would support Romney).

In the U.S. Senate race to replace the retiring Herb Kohl, Democrat Tammy Baldwin is three points ahead of Republican contender Tommy Thompson (50% to 47%) among decided voters.
Learn about our electoral record / Consult our surveys / Follow us on Twitter

http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/2012.10.22_Wisconsin.pdf
 
[video=youtube_share;QTBSyE40DZw]http://youtu.be/QTBSyE40DZw[/video]

​Barack Obama kicks door angrily after speach!
 
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