JK's greatest weakness is his loyalty to friends & associates

Game Theory

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Sep 5, 2006
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To those JK knows personally, I imagine, he is probably quite a nice man.a loving father; a loving husband & obviously, someone who looks out for his friends.


But unfortunately personal isn't always political, and JK's loyalties are and could continue to hurt him badly. They've already done that by tying his hands on the most important part of a government's job – the management of the economy.

We all know that loyalty, of course, is an admirable quality in real life and in fiction. In government, though, it can be a bloody albatross as this "SAKATA LA UMEME" fiasco has shown.


In the Bush era some of us libertarians had to take a refuge in the fiction world and THE WEST WING was by favorite escapism and for those who remember those episodes when when President Josiah Bartlett & co. closed ranks to protect a colleagues (Tobby Ziegler & Leo Mc Garry) from the whiff of scandals. But when that happened in real life, and the Bush jr White House spent years refusing to do the sensible thing and hang the incompetents (Cheney, Wolfowitz, Condy & Rummy ) out to dry, I was spitting blood.


This surfeit of loyalty (an unwillingness to lay down his friends & associates for his life) is something that's already damaged JK. First with LLowasa and then Rostam he refused to throw them to the wolves, long after it became clear it was the best way to protect his reputation and administration. Partly, no doubt, (according to insiders ) that's down to a stubborn unwillingness to admit he was wrong. But he's been quite willing to make u-turns on other matters; had no problems hanging couple of bad apples (ARDHI) few weeks when he got into the office. And the tone in which he defended some of these people suggests it's personal: he didn't want to hurt his associates.


JK's closest political friends who should have told us the truth is his finance minister (with a fake degree) Mr Mustapha Mkulo & William Ngeleja. Mkulo is part of his inner circle, playing a major role in setting both economic policy and political strategy. As things stand, it's all but impossible to imagine JK sacking, reprimanding or even distancing himself from these two.


That's a problem. Because Ngeleja, as has been widely noted, isn't doing a terribly good job.

So far, that's not really mattered to JK. Over 20 factories have closed this month alone due to power shortage and one would have thought opposition would have done a better job lakini wapi!!!! Yesterday some wonks at Mkulo's ministry leaked a new policy paper stating "MATUMIZI YASIO NA LAZIMA" budget cuts on essential and basic ministries such as education and health and guess what? Not a single word from the main opposition party, CHADEMA .

With power shortage, Ngeleja's unpopularity was expected, and has been factored in. If CHADEMA were to be trusted they would have hurt their conjoined twin CCM where it really hurts....by placing the blame to the man at the top...but dont bet on it as their own man at the top is a failure in school, business and politics.


CHADEMA cant even force Ngeleja out , and if they did fore Ngeleja & Mkulo out it's not at all clear how JK can fight back. When tarred with the brush of a minister's failure, a President can generally force a change of course or reshuffle them out. JKcan't do either. His instinct will be to protect that mediocre finance minister of his (Mkulo).


In other words, if JK is forced to share the blame for Mkulo and Ngeleja's failures, he will stand up and petulantly defend their record, however poor it is. He can do little else. JK is a good friend. He will stand by his Finance minister who has mis-managed Tanzania's economy and Ngeleja his energy minister whose main interest is to read Jamii Forums posts – even as they're facing a firing squad from both arm chair Generals and foot soldiers.

If anything Jk should fire the entire cabinet!
 
SlidingRoof SIR;

No nooo no!! Look like you r confusing between POPLE PLEASER and LOYALITY!!

 
WANAJF:
Nawaomeni pia msome makala hii:




JAIRO'S SCAM:
It's all about government by cronies

By HILAL K. SUED

The scandal engulfing David Jairo is the worst example of cronyism in the government. In my view, the boldness of his action stems from his close relationship with the President – and therefore he's assured of protection from him should his scheming fall apart.

It is understood that Jairo was a trusted JK lieutenant and confidant since the time his boss headed the energy portfolio during President Ali Hassan Mwinyi's second term in early 1990s. To many readers this alone is the same as mentioning ‘IPTL!!!' in whispers.

JK has been moving with him around the various ministries he headed – just like another of his cronies – Philemon Luhanjo.

But cronyism was to be the game right from the time JK announced his gargantuan 60-plus member cabinet after he clinched the State House over five years ago.

He rewarded ministerial positions to as many buddies of his as he could, culminating in having in place a government made up of cronies (cronycracy or cronyism) – contrary in practice and principle to meritocracy – government or the holding of power by people selected on the basis of their ability.

Basically, cronyism is partiality to long-standing friends, especially by appointing them to positions of authority, regardless of their qualifications.

Even though many democratic governments are urged to practice administrative transparency in accounting and contracting, there is often no clear demarcation of when an appointment to government office is "cronyism" or not.

Staffing the government with such kind of people is dangerous to everybody, including the cronies themselves. It can rightly be said that JK has been unlucky on the crony front – not because his cronies let him down, which had to be expected any way, but because his cronies were good enough to let him down.

It all works this way: A group of cronies and demagogues has only one interest in mind – self interest. The business and corporate sectors know that the economy is ticking, and are doing everything in their power to maintain success during the consolidation period. And there's one candidate they know who will not expose their operations, and who will continue the status quo -- the raping of the land.

And since these have access to information not available to the general public, opportunities for these, in cahoots with politicians to promote their own interests, or those of friends and allies at the expense of the general interest are great. The possibility of rent seeking and corruption are therefore quite considerable.

But all this cannot be placed under wraps for ever because at one point clumsiness due to audacity that has built up within these officials' mindset eventually gives them away. And whenever this happens, and in the face of overwhelming evidence the immediate reaction of these officials is "I will not resign." This comes while mindfully aware that his appointer will not even think of giving him the sack.

Just imagine – for four days Jairo was freely walking with the smoking gun in hand – daring anyone for a tackle. That was from the time the scam was exposed to the stunned MPs from both sides of the aisle in Parliament early last week.

The delay and the manner in which he was eventually shown the door – temporarily it is hoped – with full pay displays the entrenched clumsiness and deep hesitancy by the establishment to move its heavy bulk against erring high officials.

Granted, it has to be his appointer – the President – as the only person to fire/suspend him – but even the absence prompt intervention of our law investigating/enforcing organs? Yes – I mean Edward Hosea and his PCCB.

Had Hosea been free of Executive clutches as he often utters at rostrums, then the disclosure of Jairo's scam would not have originated from Parliament, but from him. He was left behind on the road.

And after the disclosure in the House it took him three long days to move his bulk to simply announce "I have launched investigations in this issue."

Hosea and his men are truly wonderful investigators – for they only wait until an issue is days old then descend upon it. A professional sleuth would have got wind of Jairos's action long before and dispatch investigators at the Dodoma NNMB bank branch to probe, interrogate bank officials and if necessary freeze the account of the slush fund.

He should have then summoned Jairo and his men for interrogation on the issue to know whether or not he acted alone – in other words without the knowledge of his minister, the person who was the one to benefit immensely by the smooth passage of his budgetary estimates.

After that Hosea could have been assured of wearing a big smile by digesting public approval. I doubt whether all this needed Executive nod, else it's true what Wikileaks had said about him. Surely, the man lacks freedom to move against JK's entrenched cronies.

Compare this to his enthusiastic humiliation of some MPs two years ago when he used to summon and interrogate them over the issue of double allowances. Many saw he was only acting on behalf of a political bloc.

Cronyism in the government has let all Tanzanians down. It has been solely responsible for the rapidly increasing in this country of a commodity that this world is already in oversupply – the outrageous. Never in its post-independence history, has the nation witnessed such large scale disapproval by the wananchi against the establishment.

The chorus of censure on the establishment over the power crisis had slowly been soaring to a crescendo before it exploded via this bombshell that rained on the country's political establishment last week.

The wananchi are now really fed up with strings of accusations on corruption and financial mismanagement against top government officials including ministers – and particularly the apparent lack of action thereon. This one was too noticeable to sweep under the carpet.

That JK was all along expected to do something about his floundering leadership was in most Tanzanians' minds but the snag was that he always appeared to develop rubbery legs whenever he wanted to move against his errant cronies. That was because he had somehow been made to believe, rightly or wrongly, that without them, he would not be where he is.

All this was manifested immediately after coming to power over five years ago when some Tanzanians expressed pessimism that his modus operandi might not change much the system he inherited. And true to their assessment, all the brash directives, warnings, etc that came were only directed to the lesser people in the society.

Speedy action was often being taken against small fish while dilly-dallying is the standard method for the bigger ones. Village leaders who stole a couple of bags of relief maize were promptly rounded up and spirited to the courts.

Policemen, who vacated their duty stations for a few hours, were sacked on the spot. Persons who were allegedly behind the collapsed building were taken to court the following day. Women who were making a living by crushing aggregate in Kunduchi were removed by some executive fiat, etc etc.

Midway during his first term things started to change a little bit, especially when some heavyweights in the EPA scam were hurled to courts. But that came after huge pressure from the public, the media and the diplomatic community representing donor countries.

But that gesture was slowly being forgotten by both the government and the public and the situation seems to have gone back to square one with the government re-embracing coyness against erring heavyweights.


Ends

Source: The African on Saturday of July 23, 2011
 


2m.JPG
To those JK knows personally, I imagine, he is probably quite a nice man.a loving father; a loving husband & obviously, someone who looks out for his friends.


But unfortunately personal isn't always political, and JK's loyalties are and could continue to hurt him badly. They've already done that by tying his hands on the most important part of a government's job – the management of the economy.

We all know that loyalty, of course, is an admirable quality in real life and in fiction. In government, though, it can be a bloody albatross as this "SAKATA LA UMEME" fiasco has shown.


In the Bush era some of us libertarians had to take a refuge in the fiction world and THE WEST WING was by favorite escapism and for those who remember those episodes when when President Josiah Bartlett & co. closed ranks to protect a colleagues (Tobby Ziegler & Leo Mc Garry) from the whiff of scandals. But when that happened in real life, and the Bush jr White House spent years refusing to do the sensible thing and hang the incompetents (Cheney, Wolfowitz, Condy & Rummy ) out to dry, I was spitting blood.


This surfeit of loyalty (an unwillingness to lay down his friends & associates for his life) is something that's already damaged JK. First with LLowasa and then Rostam he refused to throw them to the wolves, long after it became clear it was the best way to protect his reputation and administration. Partly, no doubt, (according to insiders ) that's down to a stubborn unwillingness to admit he was wrong. But he's been quite willing to make u-turns on other matters; had no problems hanging couple of bad apples (ARDHI) few weeks when he got into the office. And the tone in which he defended some of these people suggests it's personal: he didn't want to hurt his associates.


JK's closest political friends who should have told us the truth is his finance minister (with a fake degree) Mr Mustapha Mkulo & William Ngeleja. Mkulo is part of his inner circle, playing a major role in setting both economic policy and political strategy. As things stand, it's all but impossible to imagine JK sacking, reprimanding or even distancing himself from these two.


That's a problem. Because Ngeleja, as has been widely noted, isn't doing a terribly good job.

So far, that's not really mattered to JK. Over 20 factories have closed this month alone due to power shortage and one would have thought opposition would have done a better job lakini wapi!!!! Yesterday some wonks at Mkulo's ministry leaked a new policy paper stating "MATUMIZI YASIO NA LAZIMA" budget cuts on essential and basic ministries such as education and health and guess what? Not a single word from the main opposition party, CHADEMA .

With power shortage, Ngeleja's unpopularity was expected, and has been factored in. If CHADEMA were to be trusted they would have hurt their conjoined twin CCM where it really hurts....by placing the blame to the man at the top...but dont bet on it as their own man at the top is a failure in school, business and politics.


CAHDEMA cant even force Ngeleja out , and if they did fore Ngeleja & Mkulo out it's not at all clear how JK can fight back. When tarred with the brush of a minister's failure, a President can generally force a change of course or reshuffle them out. JKcan't do either. His instinct will be to protect that mediocre finance minister of his (Mkulo).


In other words, if JK is forced to share the blame for Mkulo and Ngeleja's failures, he will stand up and petulantly defend their record, however poor it is. He can do little else. JK is a good friend. He will stand by his Finance minister who has mis-managed Tanzania's economy and Ngeleja his energy minister whose main interest is to read Jamii Forums posts – even as they're facing a firing squad from both arm chair Generals and foot soldiers.

If anything Jk should fire the entire cabinet!
It is true!
And this is the cost that JK will pay in his entire life!!! We voted for him knowing he was a good man, but now he has bad reputation because of his friends. If I could be his adviser, his should reshuffle the entire government, and introduce accountability from top down.
 
JK weakness is a very complex and multi-dimensional issue. He, like Obama, is spineless. But unlike Obama he has more power that Obama could only envy....
So here you meet another dimension: preservation of self-interest (here is where friendship comes in, either to hide wrong doings or to expand them). I may throw in also that he is terribly ill-informed and has no conviction or ideas of his own.
I do not know why it escapes the Tanzanians this fact: so many times during the election races he kept saying, he had nothing to add because the CCM 'sera' was there, it is just a matter of implementing it!
I wondered, if it were so easy like that we might as well had a monkey for a president!
 
It is no secret that JK has deliberately chosen to surround himself with corrupt people because he feels comfortable in their company.
The question one should be asking is why?
 
SlidingRoof SIR;

No nooo no!! Look like you r confusing between POPLE PLEASER and LOYALITY!!


It is true!
And this is the cost that JK will pay in his entire life!!! We voted for him knowing he was a good man, but now he has bad reputation because of his friends. If I could be his adviser, his should reshuffle the entire government, and introduce accountability from top down.

Tatizo lake ni kutojua abcd ya power and management...

Huwezi kuwa loyal kwa watu wasio kuheshimu wala kujali
heshima yako mbele ya jamii

JK weakness is a very complex and multi-dimensional issue. He, like Obama, is spineless. But unlike Obama he has more power that Obama could only envy....
So here you meet another dimension: preservation of self-interest (here is where friendship comes in, either to hide wrong doings or to expand them). I may throw in also that he is terribly ill-informed and has no conviction or ideas of his own.
I do not know why it escapes the Tanzanians this fact: so many times during the election races he kept saying, he had nothing to add because the CCM 'sera' was there, it is just a matter of implementing it!
I wondered, if it were so easy like that we might as well had a monkey for a president!

JK's weakness is that when he is told that a friend is useless at his job or that a friend should not be given a job or that a friend is about to become a political liability, he ignores the advice. Not sure which is worse; is it his inability to heed wise words that will be his downfall or his choice of friends & loyalty to them.
 
JK's weakness is that when he is told that a friend is useless at his job or that a friend should not be given a job or that a friend is about to become a political liability, he ignores the advice. Not sure which is wrse; is it his inability to heed wise words that will be his downfall or his choice of friends & loyalty to them.

may be he doesnt even know...what is a liability..or the differences between useless person and usefull person...
which as i said are the abc of management and power...
 
It is no secret that JK has deliberately chosen to surround himself with corrupt people because he feels comfortable in their company.
The question one should be asking is why?

but how obliged is he to represent the interests of those who've bank-rolled the CCM?

He has a director of communication who still communicates as if we are in the 1970's...IKULU doesnt have a website and LUHANJO cares nothing about that. These bunch are preaching to us about transparency!
 
may be he doesnt even know...what is a liability..or the differences between useless person and usefull person...
which as i said are the abc of management and power...

The only reason I can think of why anyone would regard someone as ugly, stupid and charmless as Jairo as a friend is if they needed someone to look good in comparison to. But what about Luhanjo, Ngeleja, Mkulo, Wasira and other lot?
 
The only reason I can think of why anyone would regard someone as ugly, stupid and charmless as Jairo as a friend is if they needed someone to look good in comparison to. But what about Luhanjo, Ngeleja, Mkulo, Wasira and other lot?

exactly.....
he hates smarter guys around him...
tha will expose his weakness.....
he surround himself with people who think
he is the smartest guy in the room....
 
Kawadanganyeni watoto wa shule:

Negative campaigning
, also known more colloquially as "mudslinging", is trying to win an advantage by referring to negative aspects of an opponent or of a policy rather than emphasizing one's own positive attributes or preferred policies. In the broadest sense, the term covers any rhetoric which refers to an opponent, if only by way of contrast, but can also include attacks meant to destroy an opponent's character, which may veer into ad hominem.

Negative campaigning can be found in most marketplaces where ideas are contested. In U.S. politics, "mudslinging" has been called "as American as Mississippi mud". Some research suggests negative campaigning is the norm in all political venues, mitigated only by the dynamics of a particular contest...

A smear campaign, smear tactic or simply smear is a metaphor for activity that can harm an individual or group's reputation by conflation with a stigmatized group. Sometimes smear is used more generally to include any reputation-damaging activity, including such colloquialisms as mud slinging.
Common targets are public officials, politicians, and political candidates. Smear campaigns are often based on information gleaned from opposition research conducted by paid political consultants. To a lesser degree, the term can refer to an attempt to damage a private person's reputation; for example, during a trial, the opposing counsel may attempt to cast doubt on the reliability of a witness.
The concept of the smear campaign is related to the concepts of propaganda, media bias, yellow journalism, and other falsehood-related terms such as libel and pejoration. In extreme cases, smear campaigns may lead to widespread persecution, such as in the case of the Dolchstoßlegende before WWII...


The expression discrediting tactics in politics refers to personal attacks against a public figure intended to discourage people from believing in the figure or supporting their cause (see damaging quotations).
While a person may be insulted, and his political position subjected to question, the person so impugned has not been discredited until the allegations against him have been proved correct. One such discredit was the Impeachment of Bill Clinton. The allegations brought against the Chief Executive were damaging, but did not comprise discredit until enough substance arose from the testimony under oath of Paula Jones and Monica Lewinski to raise genuine questions of the credibility of President Clinton.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_campaigning#cite_note-0
 
The only reason I can think of why anyone would regard someone as ugly, stupid and charmless as Jairo as a friend is if they needed someone to look good in comparison to. But what about Luhanjo, Ngeleja, Mkulo, Wasira and other lot?

Mkuu, sasa huku si nikujiharibia thread zako mwenyewe....sredi inaanza vizuuuri, ghafla mambo personal yanaanza kutumbukizwa ndani ya jukwaa la siasa....kujisaidia ajisaidie kuku, akijisaidia bata - kahara!!!!
 
may be he doesnt even know...what is a liability..or the differences between useless person and usefull person...
which as i said are the abc of management and power...

Mkuu, vipi tena... uko kwenye early stages za defection nini?? lol
 
but how obliged is he to represent the interests of those who've bank-rolled the CCM?

He has a director of communication who still communicates as if we are in the 1970's...IKULU doesnt have a website and LUHANJO cares nothing about that. These bunch are preaching to us about transparency!
The question still begs, why? Why is he so attached to these folks?
 
The question still begs, why? Why is he so attached to these folks?

to be honest the answer may sound so primitive and so backwardness....
but sometimes i do wonder may be those guys are using african magic...
he has no power on them
they have power on him....lol
after all politics and traditional healers are like twins in tanzania....
they go together lol
 
Mkuu, sasa huku si nikujiharibia thread zako mwenyewe....sredi inaanza vizuuuri, ghafla mambo personal yanaanza kutumbukizwa ndani ya jukwaa la siasa....kujisaidia ajisaidie kuku, akijisaidia bata - kahara!!!!

I get carried away at times na yote ni uchungu na nchi yangu japo huwa tunatofautiana na tactics za ku express how we feel na at times it gets personal lakini na hawa waliopo madarakani na si members wenzetu.

Lakini on the otherhand ujue kuwa dizeli inanitia umaskini na yote kwa sababu ya Jairo na ma swahiba zake na thats the least I could express my displeasure of him and his crew

leo ya pili wametukatia umeme. Jaribu kuishi maisha ya dhiki kama yetu ndio utaelewa where I'm coming from
 

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