Game Theory
Platinum Member
- Sep 5, 2006
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But unfortunately personal isn't always political, and JK's loyalties are and could continue to hurt him badly. They've already done that by tying his hands on the most important part of a government's job – the management of the economy.
We all know that loyalty, of course, is an admirable quality in real life and in fiction. In government, though, it can be a bloody albatross as this "SAKATA LA UMEME" fiasco has shown.
In the Bush era some of us libertarians had to take a refuge in the fiction world and THE WEST WING was by favorite escapism and for those who remember those episodes when when President Josiah Bartlett & co. closed ranks to protect a colleagues (Tobby Ziegler & Leo Mc Garry) from the whiff of scandals. But when that happened in real life, and the Bush jr White House spent years refusing to do the sensible thing and hang the incompetents (Cheney, Wolfowitz, Condy & Rummy ) out to dry, I was spitting blood.
This surfeit of loyalty (an unwillingness to lay down his friends & associates for his life) is something that's already damaged JK. First with LLowasa and then Rostam he refused to throw them to the wolves, long after it became clear it was the best way to protect his reputation and administration. Partly, no doubt, (according to insiders ) that's down to a stubborn unwillingness to admit he was wrong. But he's been quite willing to make u-turns on other matters; had no problems hanging couple of bad apples (ARDHI) few weeks when he got into the office. And the tone in which he defended some of these people suggests it's personal: he didn't want to hurt his associates.
JK's closest political friends who should have told us the truth is his finance minister (with a fake degree) Mr Mustapha Mkulo & William Ngeleja. Mkulo is part of his inner circle, playing a major role in setting both economic policy and political strategy. As things stand, it's all but impossible to imagine JK sacking, reprimanding or even distancing himself from these two.
That's a problem. Because Ngeleja, as has been widely noted, isn't doing a terribly good job.
So far, that's not really mattered to JK. Over 20 factories have closed this month alone due to power shortage and one would have thought opposition would have done a better job lakini wapi!!!! Yesterday some wonks at Mkulo's ministry leaked a new policy paper stating "MATUMIZI YASIO NA LAZIMA" budget cuts on essential and basic ministries such as education and health and guess what? Not a single word from the main opposition party, CHADEMA .
With power shortage, Ngeleja's unpopularity was expected, and has been factored in. If CHADEMA were to be trusted they would have hurt their conjoined twin CCM where it really hurts....by placing the blame to the man at the top...but dont bet on it as their own man at the top is a failure in school, business and politics.
CHADEMA cant even force Ngeleja out , and if they did fore Ngeleja & Mkulo out it's not at all clear how JK can fight back. When tarred with the brush of a minister's failure, a President can generally force a change of course or reshuffle them out. JKcan't do either. His instinct will be to protect that mediocre finance minister of his (Mkulo).
In other words, if JK is forced to share the blame for Mkulo and Ngeleja's failures, he will stand up and petulantly defend their record, however poor it is. He can do little else. JK is a good friend. He will stand by his Finance minister who has mis-managed Tanzania's economy and Ngeleja his energy minister whose main interest is to read Jamii Forums posts – even as they're facing a firing squad from both arm chair Generals and foot soldiers.
If anything Jk should fire the entire cabinet!