Ujerumani kuanza mgao wa mafuta

Nchi kadhaa za Ulaya zishaanza kuwasha matanuru yao ya Makaa ya Mawe,mfano Poland kawasha matanuru yake yote ya Makaa ya Mawe kwa hiyo hategemei Gad tena. Kuna kipindi Trump aliwaambia Ulaya washeni matanuru yenu ya Makaa ya Mawe kuepuka utegemezi wa Gas ya masimango kutoka Russia lakini Ulaya wakiongozwa na Ujerumani na Ufaransa wakajifanya wao ni Watunza mazingira wa Dunia wakagoma. Marekani pamoja na wingi wake wa mafuta na gas aliyonayo lakini still bado anatumia Makaa ya Mawe.
Huyo Poland hayo makaa ya mawe pia ananunua Russia sasa ndio kakwepa nn?
 
Gold-backed ruble could be a gamechanger (INTERVIEW)

Linking the currency to gold and energy is a paradigm shift for the global economy, a precious metals analyst tells RT

The Bank of Russia has resumed gold purchases this week, but more importantly, the regulator is doing so at a fixed price of 5,000 rubles ($59) per 1 gram between March 28 and June 30, raising the possibility of Russia returning to the gold standard for the first time in over a century.

If the country takes the next step, as has been proposed this week, to sell its commodities priced in rubles, these combined moves could have huge implications for the ruble, the US dollar, and the global economy.

To get some answers, RT spoke to precious metals analyst Ronan Manly at BullionStar Singapore.

— Why is setting a fixed price for gold in rubles significant?

By offering to buy gold from Russian banks at a fixed price of 5,000 rubles per gram, the Bank of Russia has both linked the ruble to gold and, since gold trades in US dollars, set a floor price for the ruble in terms of the US dollar.

We can see this linkage in action since Friday 25 March when the Bank of Russia made the fixed price announcement. The ruble was trading at around 100 to the US dollar at that time, but has since strengthened and is nearing 80 to the US dollar. Why? Because gold has been trading on international markets at about US$62 per gram which is equivalent to (5,000 / 62) = about 80.5, and markets and arbitrage traders have now taken note, driving the RUB/USD exchange rate higher.

So the ruble now has a floor to the US dollars, in terms of gold. But gold also has a floor, so to speak, because 5,000 rubles per gram is 155,500 rubles per troy ounce of gold, and with a RUB/USD floor of about 80, that’s a gold price of around $1,940. And if the Western paper gold markets of LBMA/COMEX try to drive the US dollar gold price lower, they will have to try to weaken the ruble as well or else the paper manipulations will be out in the open.

Additionally, with the new gold to ruble linkage, if the ruble continues to strengthen (for example due to demand created by obligatory energy payments in rubles), this will also be reflected in a stronger gold price.

— What does it mean for oil?

Russia is the world’s largest natural gas exporter and the world’s third largest oil exporter. We are seeing right now that Putin is demanding that foreign buyers (importers of Russian gas) must pay for this natural gas using rubles. This immediately links the price of natural gas to rubles and (because of the fixed link to gold) to the gold price. So Russian natural gas is now linked via the ruble to gold.

The same can now be done with Russian oil. If Russia begins to demand payment for oil exports with rubles, there will be an immediate indirect peg to gold (via the fixed price ruble – gold connection). Then Russia could begin accepting gold directly in payment for its oil exports. In fact, this can be applied to any commodities, not just oil and natural gas.

— What does that mean for the price of gold?

By playing both sides of the equation, i.e. linking the ruble to gold and then linking energy payments to the ruble, the Bank of Russia and the Kremlin are fundamentally altering the entire working assumptions of the global trade system while accelerating change in the global monetary system. This wall of buyers in search of physical gold to pay for real commodities could certainly torpedo and blow up the paper gold markets of the LBMA and COMEX.

The fixed peg between the ruble and gold puts a floor on the RUB/USD rate but also a quasi-floor on the US dollar gold price. But beyond this, the linking of gold to energy payments is the main event. While increased demand for rubles should continue to strengthen the RUB/USD rate and show up as a higher gold price, due to the fixed ruble - gold linkage, if Russia begins to accept gold directly as a payment for oil, then this would be a new paradigm shift for the gold price as it would link the oil price directly to the gold price.

For example, Russia could start by specifying that it will now accept 1 gram of gold per barrel of oil. It doesn’t have to be 1 gram but would have to be a discounted offer to the current crude benchmark price so as to promote take up, e.g. 1.2 grams per barrel. Buyers would then scramble to buy physical gold to pay for Russian oil exports, which in turn would create huge strains in the paper gold markets of London and New York where the entire ‘gold price’ discovery is based on synthetic and fractionally-backed cash-settled unallocated ‘gold’ and gold price ‘derivatives.

— What does it mean for the ruble?

Linking the ruble to gold via the Bank of Russia’s fixed price has now put a floor under the RUB/USD rate, and thereby stabilized and strengthened the ruble. Demanding that natural gas exports are paid for in rubles (and possibly oil and other commodities down the line) will again act as stabilization and support. If a majority of the international trading system begins accepting these rubles for commodity payments arrangements, this could propel the Russian ruble to becoming a major global currency. At the same time, any move by Russia to accept direct gold for oil payments will cause more international gold to flow into Russian reserves, which would also strengthen the balance sheet of the Bank of Russia and in turn strengthen the ruble.

Talk of a formal gold standard for the ruble might be premature, but a gold-backed ruble must be something the Bank of Russia has considered.

— What does it mean for other currencies?

The global monetary landscape is changing rapidly and central banks around the world are obviously taking note. Western sanctions such as the freezing of the majority of Russia’s foreign exchange reserves while trying to sanction Russian gold have now made it obvious that property rights on FX reserves held abroad may not be respected, and likewise, that foreign central bank gold held in vault locations such as at the Bank of England and the New York Fed, is not beyond confiscation.
 
Utasafirisha kwa kiwango gani na kwa muda upi huo ili kusiwe na shortage kwenye soko? Na ujue Marekani ana Gas na mafuta ila kuisafirisha kiwango cha kuhimili mahitaji ya soko la Ulaya ndio changamoto kubwa.
Sidhanii kama wakat yanaandikwa haya mawazo namaoni kama kweli haya maandishi yaliandikwa na wewe Frank Wanjiru
 
Sisi hatujaweka vikwazo na hatuna uwezo huo ila sasa hivi lita moja mafuta ya kula ni 8000. Kufikia juma lijalo yatakua 9000 au 10,000.

Hili joto litakufanya vita ikuguse utake usitake.
Hilo la bei ya mafuta ya kula ni "upumbavu" wa serekali yetu Vita vya urudi na ukrein vinasingiziwa.
 
Nimesoma.wengi wanaona kama Urusi anategemea soko la gesi Ukaya tu, lkn nimegu dua wengi hatuijui Urusi kiundani ndani zaidi tunaisikia kupitia vyombo vya watu wa Magharibi tu wakituamhia Urusi uchumi wake sawa na jimbo 1 la Marekani nk. Je mnajua kitu kinaitwa Power of Seberia 1 & 2 hubu ingia youtube qma google uisome iyo. Tomea juzi Urusi kaongeza usukumaji wa gesi ktk Power of Seberia 1 kuelekea China.

Swala ni dogo sana keshasema yeye hafanyi Charity, akuuzie gesi kisha unakuja kuzuia pesa zake ktk benki zenu, sasa hapa swala ni dogo tu ukitaka gesi funguq akaunti ktk benki kuu ya Urusi na ulipe kwa Ruble hutaki hakuna gesi. Sasa unakuja kupiga kelele hapa hatutaki nk tuna mbadala usitutishe nk, kelele za nn hapa, ww una mbadala nenda kwenye huo.mbadala basi, ukiona mtu anapiga kelele sana jua hana kitu bado.

Ulaya inaihitaji Urusi kuliko Urusi anavyowahitaji wao. Urusi alishajipanga miaka zaidi ya 20 nyuma na hili swala la leo hii. Wao wamekurupuka bila kujua mwezao anahitaji nn? Ukraine katumika tu ili kuwekewa hivi vikwazo.
 
Mnaosema watatumia makaa ya mawe kwamba wawashe tu matanuri yao mara wawashe tu nuclear power plant zao nk, mnadhani wananchi wa ulaya ni kama wa bongo kwamba utawahamisha tu kirahisi bila kuwapa sababu ya kueleweka, kwann hautaki gesi nk, wanahoji na wanaona ujinga ambao viongozi wao wamefanya. Huku bongo inawezekana mana kukicha tunaachiwa na konekisheni moja matata basi wote tunahamia siku nzima kupiga simu kuomba konekisheni. Ukaya hauwahamishi agenda kirahisi ivi aisee. Sijui utawambia nn sababu ya kuacha kutumia gesi ya Urusi, vita ya Ukraine wewe inakuhusu nn?
 
Mnaosema watatumia makaa ya mawe kwamba wawashe tu matanuri yao mara wawashe tu nuclear power plant zao nk, mnadhani wananchi wa ulaya ni kama wa bongo kwamba utawahamisha tu kirahisi bila kuwapa sababu ya kueleweka, kwann hautaki gesi nk, wanahoji na wanaona ujinga ambao viongozi wao wamefanya. Huku bongo inawezekana mana kukicha tunaachiwa na konekisheni moja matata basi wote tunahamia siku nzima kupiga simu kuomba konekisheni. Ukaya hauwahamishi agenda kirahisi ivi aisee. Sijui utawambia nn sababu ya kuacha kutumia gesi ya Urusi, vita ya Ukraine wewe inakuhusu nn?
Kwani walipotoka kwenye makaa ya mawe kwenda kwenye Gas waliaambiaje wanachi wao?
 
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