Tanzania's election
Promises, promises
Tanzania is still a backwater compared with its Kenyan neighbour to the north
Oct 28th 2010 |
BUMBULI | from the print edition
Makamba (right) networks on the mount
THE parliamentary campaign in Bumbuli, a constituency of 167,000 souls in the mountainous Lushoto district of Tanzania, is a mixture of ancient and modern. January Makamba, the candidate of the ruling party, Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM), stands for the modernists.
In designer shirt and shoes, he hikes half way up a mountain to a remote village to solicit votes. The villagers are demoralised, with no electricity or road and a poor crop. Down below, a volunteer updates Mr Makamba's Facebook page on a wireless internet connection.
Within the CCM, Mr Makamba is in a minority. Educated in the United States, the son of a CCM power broker, he recently quit his job as a speechwriter for Tanzania's president, Jakaya Kikwete, to run in Bumbuli. He wants Tanzania to enter the world market.
He hobnobs with Western philanthropists. A copy of "The Rational Optimist", a booster of global capitalism, lies on the back seat of his campaign truck.
But now he must prove himself on the ground. He showed his steel by ousting a long-serving CCM parliamentarian. It helps that he comes from the main town, Lushoto, and lived there as a boy. Up in the village he promises fertilisers, medicine, more teachers. Electricity? No, too costly.
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Bumbuli is among Tanzania's most densely populated constituencies. Most of its people farm tiny plots too small to be subdivided further. But Mr Makamba has a plan. He wants to
borrow $10m from Wall Street philanthropists, to be repaid in ten years. The sum, he says, will be invested in east African treasury bonds and stocks, in the hope of dividends producing $700,000 a year to invest in Bumbuli.
Some of the cash would help farmers package their fruits and vegetables. Mr Makamba dreams of refrigerated lorries owned by the community leaving daily at dawn for Dar es Salaam and Nairobi with "Fresh from Lushoto" produce.
Another project aims to parcel a scenic bit of the constituency and sell it to a university to set up a campus for 5,000-odd students. Turkish investors, he claims, are interested.
It is early days, but a youthful tilt at the presidency in 2015 by Mr Makamba, or someone like-minded, is conceivable. If he took Tanzania's helm, the country might sail ahead.
As it is, its economy has been breezing along at 6% this year, faster than Kenya's to the north, yet it still feels slothful by comparison.
It has been sliding downwards in the rankings as a spot for investors. Corruption is rife. Crime is up. Dubious businessmen enjoy positions of influence in the ruling party.
Though he has failed to fulfil his early promise, President Kikwete will almost certainly get another five years in the job. Fond of technology and foreign travel,
he is known among his ministers as "Mr Beep" for his habit of texting them to show he cares. But he has seemed wary of radical reform.
He is sentimental about Tanzania's socialist past. Most foreign aid-givers, on whom the country still depends for half its budget, are still prepared to give him the benefit of the doubt.
In his expected second term, Mr Kikwete is likely to promote gas exploration in the south, expand mining, and try, as ever, to improve services.
"Despite a tripling in the education budget, large majorities of children remain illiterate and innumerate," says Rakesh Rajani, a Tanzanian who has researched the performance of primary schools. The country still has far fewer skilled workers than neighbouring Kenya.
The opposition may do a bit better than before but is fragmented. Moreover, the army, which thinks it is must protect the ruling CCM, has tried to bully it-and independent journalists.
Two opposition parties stand out. Chadema is strong among richer smallholders, most of whom belong to the Chagga people around Mount Kilimanjaro. The Civic United Front is backed by quite a few Muslims on the coast and in the autonomous island of Zanzibar.
But they are too weak to topple the all-powerful CCM. Mr Kikwete and Tanzania will gently potter along. If the likes of Mr Makamba managed to take over the CCM, things might pick up a lot faster. But not, it seems, just yet.
SOURCE: Tanzania's election: Promises, promises | The Economist
UJUMBE HUMU:
January Makamba na mkopo wa dollar za ki-Marekani milioni 10 (Tsh 15 bilioni) kutoka kwa wafadhili kutoka Wall Street, New York, Marekani kwa jina la kuwaletea nayo wananchi wa Bumbuli (167,000) maendeleo.
Kwa mujibu wa huyu mwana-CCM mbunge chipukizi, anategemea kuingiza hizo fedha kwenye soko la fedha la Africa Mashariki na kujigemea kitenesi kiasi cha USD 700,000 (Tsh 1.05 bilioni) kila mwaka kuleta maendeleo kwa kuwawezesha wananchi kuuza nje ya nchi matunda kibao toka kijijini hapo na kujenga mazingira mazuri kwa shughuliza utalii kwa faida ya jamii nzima ya Jimbo la Bumbuli.
Endapo Makamba Junior atakua ni mkweli kwa kila kitu alichowaambia Wamarekani kwenye gazeti lao basi maana yake ni kwamba kila mwananchi jimboni kwake atakua ametengewa sawa ya Tsh 6287.43 kila mwaka na ndani ya kipindi chote mkopo ambayo ni miaka 10 basi kila mwananchi atakua ametengewa kiasi cha Tsh 628,743/- kujipatia maendeleo makubwa kama mtoa fedha wa Marekani alivyaahidiwa.
Hizo jitihada za Makamba kwa wananchi wa Bumbuli ni sawa na kusema kwamba watakua nahali njema zaidi kuliko sisi wengine kwa zaidi ya ailimia 10 % ambayo serikali yetu hutupangia kwa mwaka pale ambapo bajeti yetu inakua imegota kwenye trilioni 3 za ki-Tanzania kwa ajili ya wastani wa watu milioni 45 ambayo ni sawa na Tsh 66,667 kwa kila mtu.
Lakini pamoja na yote, hizi fedha ambazo zimelengwa kutumika kwa manufaa na kwa niaba ya CCM kujihakikishia ubunge mkononi mwake Januari Makamba na wala si Mzee Selukindo wala mgombea wa Chama chochote cha upinzani, John Tendwa au ofisi yake ilishirikishwa ukopaji wake, jinsi inavyotumika na makubaliano ya marejesho kati ya Makamba na mfadhili wa Wall Street Marekani.
Tunaomba jibu juu ya hili kabla CHADEMA hakijazushiwa ufadhili wa Ulaya. Jee, kwa fedha gani bungeni ambayo January Makamba anategemea kurejesha nayo hiyo bilioni 15 Marekani ndani ya kipindi cha miaka 10 na kitenesi cha juu kwa ajili ya huyo Mmarekani kiasi gani??
Je ni kweli kwamba huko kwenye soko la fedha la Afrika Mashariki kila kukicha ni faida tuu hakuna hasara?? Mhe Tendwa, tena kwa kinywa kipana sana mbele ya kioo cha TBC1 tunaomba ufafanuzi juu ya hili na collateral iliyowekwa kupata mkopo wenyewe kwa jina la wananchi wa Bumbuli.
Bado tunakuletea data za ufadhili wa CCM kutoka nje ya nchi huku ukiendelea kututolea ufafanuzi usioacha masuali zadi akilini mwetu.
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