Iran shoots down US drone

[Jasusi]

TEHRAN (Reuters) - Iran's military has shot down a U.S. reconnaissance drone aircraft in eastern Iran and has threatened to respond to the violation of Iranian airspace, a military source told state television Sunday.
"Iran's military has downed an intruding RQ-170 American drone in eastern Iran," Iran's Arabic-language Al Alam state television network quoted the unnamed source as saying.
"The spy drone, which has been downed with little damage, was seized by the Iranian armed forces."
Iran shot down the drone at a time when it is trying to contain foreign reaction to the storming of the British embassy in Tehran Tuesday, shortly after London announced that it would impose sanctions on Iran's central bank in connection with Iran's controversial nuclear enrichment program.
Britain evacuated its diplomatic staff from Iran and expelled Iranian diplomats in London in retaliation, and several other EU members recalled their ambassadors from Tehran.
The attack dragged Iran's relations with Europe to a long-time low.

"The Iranian military's response to the American spy drone's violation of our airspace will not be limited to Iran's borders," the military source said, without elaborating.
The United States and Israel have not ruled out military action against Iran's nuclear facilities if diplomacy fails to resolve the nuclear dispute.

Iran has dismissed reports of possible U.S. or Israeli plans to strike Iran, warning that it would respond to any such assault by attacking U.S. interests in the Gulf and Israel.
Analysts say Tehran could retaliate by launching hit-and-run strikes in the Gulf and by closing the Strait of Hormuz. About 40 percent of all traded oil leaves the Gulf region through the strategic waterway.
Iran said in July it had shot down an unmanned U.S. spy plane over the holy city of Qom, near its Fordu nuclear site.

(Additional reporting by Ramin Mostafavi, Writing by Parisa Hafezi; Editing by Tim Pearce)


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[Masika]

kazi imeanza taratiiibu

 

[jmushi1]

Strait of Hormuz

Hapo ndo penye mambo,ndo karata kubwa ya wairan...

 

[BAK]

Hii si dalili nzuri kwa uchumi wa dunia ambao bado unasuasua....Vita nyingine itasababisha bei ya mafuta ipande kwa kiwango kikubwa na hivyo kuondoa kabisa matumaini ya uchumi wa dunia kuanza kukua tena.

 

[jmushi1]

Hii si dalili nzuri kwa uchumi wa dunia ambao bado unasuasua....Vita nyingine itasababisha bei ya mafuta ipande kwa kiwango kikubwa na hivyo kuondoa kabisa matumaini ya uchumi wa dunia kuanza kukua tena.

Ili uchumi wa dunia usonge mbele ni lazima chumi za mataifa makubwa nazo kwanza zifanye hivyo.

Yaniina maana kuwa ni lazima mkubwa ale kwanza na ashibe kabla wengine hawajafanya hivyo...

Na mitafaruku ndo njia peke ya kuokoa chumi zao,kwahiyo vita ni mbaya kwa wengine lakini si kwa wote,marekani hawa tena wameshagunduwa haya ya drones, unajuwa wenzetu sometime wanachukulia vita kama war games.

Lakini mostly wako kibishara zaidi.

 

[jmushi1]

Cheki hii...

Despite the U.S. government claims of being under siege from enemies everywhere, to understand what is really happening, we need to understand the underlying elements of U.S. policy.

Since World War ll, the U.S. has been continually at war: Korea, Vietnam, Cold War, Gulf War and the current wars.

The U.S. economy needs war for the Military Industrial Complex directly or indirectly employs millions of people.

No enemies and no wars, mean no staggering sized spending on nuclear and other bombs, nor fighter jets, nor tanks, nor ships, nor guns, nor biological and other weapons on this endless list.

Nor are over 1,000 U.S. global military bases justified, including those in Germany and Japan (both since 1945) and in Korea (since 1953).

Nor are the vast resources spent on the disastrous 40 year War on Drugs justified.

If we Americans are sincere about wanting peace, we must dramatically change our conduct and begin the biggest demilitarization the world has ever seen.

Otherwise we will remain addicted to war until it drains every last ounce out of our humanity and our treasury.

Dick
The Bob Gates quote is from: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/19/us/politics/19gates.html?_r=1&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=tha22

 

[Waridi]

Wekeni kumbukumbu vizuri, huenda hii ndio risasi ya kwanza ya WWIII. Ikiwa yatakuwa ndio hayo, chondechonde waafrika tusitie timu kwenye huu mtanange!

 

[jmushi1]

Wekeni kumbukumbu vizuri, huenda hii ndio risasi ya kwanza ya WWIII. Ikiwa yatakuwa ndio hayo, chondechonde waafrika tusitie timu kwenye huu mtanange!

Dada Waridi,

Toka lini mwafrika ana uwezo wa kujiamulia lolote?

Siyo chini ya viongozi wa sasa.

 

[ndetichia]

hiyo ndio inatakiwa sasa china juu us bye bye oa ..

 

[BAK]

Ili uchumi wa dunia usnge mbele ni lazima chumi za mataifa makubwa nazo kwanza zifanye hivyo.
Na mitafaruku ndo njia peke ya kuokoa chumi zao,kwahiyo vita ni mbaya kwa wengine lakini si kwa wote,marekani hawa tena wameshagnduwa haya a drones,unajuwa wenzetu sometime wanachukulia vita kama war games.

Mkuu jmushi01 kwa maoni yangu uchumi wa dunia umeathirika sana kutokana na uvamizi wa Iraq ambao ulianza mwaka 2003. Uvamizi ule ulisababisha bei ya mafuta ipande kwa kiwangi kikubwa na hivyo pesa nyingi katika nchi nyingi zilitumika katika uagizaji wa mafuta na hata Wananchi wengi katika nchi nyingi duniani ilibidi wapunguze matumizi yao katika sehemu nyingine za kiuchumi ili waweze kukidhi bei za mafuta ambazo zilikuwa juu sana.

Kumbuka Kichaka na Serikali yake walisema vita ile ingegharimu $30 miiloni tu lakini hadi hii leo ni zaidi ya $1.3 Trillioni zimeanguka. Hebu fikiria kama pesa ile ingekuwa invested katika mambo mbali ya kiuchumi tangu mwaka ule wa 2003. Mimi naamini kabisa kama hilo lingetokea basi sasa hivi tungekuwa tunaongea mengine kabisa kuhusu hali ya uchumi wa dunia ambayo engine yake ni Marekani. Naamini kabisa uneemployment rate ingekuwa ni chini ya 6% na uchumi wa dunia ungekuwa katika hali nzuri zaidi kuliko ilivyo sasa.

Ni kweli wakati wa vita kuna makampuni ambayo yanapata neema kubwa sana lakini hayana impact kubwa sana katika kunyanyua uchumi wa Marekani na hivyo wa dunia. Naamini kabisa kama itatokea vita nyingine na Iran na kama itakuwa ya miaka mingi, tuseme miaka miwili na kuendelea, basi uchumi wa dunia utazidi kudhoofika na hivyo kuathiri watu wengi sana duniani kuliko ilivyo sasa.

 

[BAK]

hiyo ndio inatakiwa sasa china juu us bye bye oa ..

Nakuunga mkono Mkuu. Hili ni la kweli kabisa. Vita inaidhoofisha sana US kiuchumi sijui kwanini hawalioni hili.

 

[BAK]

 

[Chupaku]

Mmmhhh, I can smell a rat. So help us God!

 

[eRRy]

Mathayo 24:3-9

3 Hata alipokuwa ameketi katika mlima wa Mizeituni, wanafunzi wake wakamwendea kwa faragha, wakisema, Tuambie, mambo hayo yatakuwa lini? Nayo ni nini dalili ya kuja kwako, na ya mwisho wa dunia?4 Yesu akajibu, akawaambia, Angalieni, mtu asiwadanganye.5 Kwa sababu wengi watakuja kwa jina langu, wakisema, Mimi ni Kristo; nao watadanganya wengi.6 Nanyi mtasikia habari za vita na matetesi ya vita; angalieni, msitishwe; maana hayo hayana budi kutukia; lakini ule mwisho bado.7 Kwa maana taifa litaondoka kupigana na taifa, na ufalme kupigana na ufalme; kutakuwa na njaa, na matetemeko ya nchi mahali mahali.8 Hayo yote ndiyo mwanzo wa utungu.9 Wakati huo watawasaliti ninyi mpate dhiki, nao watawaua; nanyi mtakuwa watu wa kuchukiwa na mataifa yote kwa ajili ya jina langu. MWENYE MASIKIO NA ASIKIE!_eRRy

 

[njemba fulani]

Wekeni kumbukumbu vizuri, huenda hii ndio risasi ya kwanza ya WWIII. Ikiwa yatakuwa ndio hayo, chondechonde waafrika tusitie timu kwenye huu mtanange!

like we have a choice!!! WWIII ikitokea sie kwakuwa bado ni makoloni lazima tutie timu kwa kupenda au kutopenda, jst angalia mambo mangapi serikali zetu zinailazimika kufanya bila ridhaa zetu, mfano mdogo ni jinsi gani cameron alivotaka tulikubali suala la homosexuality,hiyo ianonyasha that we r stiil under colonial rule but the only difference is that sa hivi hawakai hapa kwetu wananutawalia Washington au London.

 

[jogi]

Vita ni vya mungu wala si kazi ya binadam! mnapoinyoshea kidole usa, muionye pia iran, kwani kuporomoka kwa uchumi wa dunia si kitisho eti wasidundwe, wanadundwa, uchumi unaporomoka, wanapoteza umoja wao, wanamalizwa na athari za vita, wananyong,onyezwa na mporomoko wauchumi, na kiu ya new killer inayeyuka!!! wajifunze matokeo kwa iraq, afganistan n.k

 

[Washawasha]

dah! Hawa jamaa wanapenda ugomvi,hivi tatizo lao ni nini hasa? Nalog off

 

[jmushi1]

Mkuu jmushi01 kwa maoni yangu uchumi wa dunia umeathirika sana kutokana na uvamizi wa Iraq ambao ulianza mwaka 2003. Uvamizi ule ulisababisha bei ya mafuta ipande kwa kiwangi kikubwa na hivyo pesa nyingi katika nchi nyingi zilitumika katika uagizaji wa mafuta na hata Wananchi wengi katika nchi nyingi duniani ilibidi wapunguze matumizi yao katika sehemu nyingine za kiuchumi ili waweze kukidhi bei za mafuta ambazo zilikuwa juu sana.

Kumbuka Kichaka na Serikali yake walisema vita ile ingegharimu $30 miiloni tu lakini hadi hii leo ni zaidi ya $1.3 Trillioni zimeanguka. Hebu fikiria kama pesa ile ingekuwa invested katika mambo mbali ya kiuchumi tangu mwaka ule wa 2003. Mimi naamini kabisa kama hilo lingetokea basi sasa hivi tungekuwa tunaongea mengine kabisa kuhusu hali ya uchumi wa dunia ambayo engine yake ni Marekani. Naamini kabisa uneemployment rate ingekuwa ni chini ya 6% na uchumi wa dunia ungekuwa katika hali nzuri zaidi kuliko ilivyo sasa.

Ni kweli wakati wa vita kuna makampuni ambayo yanapata neema kubwa sana lakini hayana impact kubwa sana katika kunyanyua uchumi wa Marekani na hivyo wa dunia. Naamini kabisa kama itatokea vita nyingine na Iran na kama itakuwa ya miaka mingi, tuseme miaka miwili na kuendelea, basi uchumi wa dunia utazidi kudhoofika na hivyo kuathiri watu wengi sana duniani kuliko ilivyo sasa.

Mkuu,cheki hapo chini kwenye analysis zao...Housing crisis was the main problem...

[h=2]The Federal Reserve's Response to the Deep Recession[/h]To help you think about monetary policy in the United States today, I'd like to begin with a brief discussion of how the Federal Reserve has responded to the deep recession.

As you know, the downward spiral in the United States began with the housing crisis, which led to the financial crisis. Financial markets froze, production collapsed, and employment plummeted.

This recent recession was the longest and deepest since the dark days of the Great Depression. It lasted 18 months, from December 2007 to June 2009.

Industrial production fell 17 percent, which was the largest decline since 1939. At the end of the recession, businesses were using just about two-thirds of their existing production capacity.

Employment fell more than 6 percent, which is again a post-Depression record. The loss of nearly 9 million jobs during the recession led unemployment rates to soar from under 5 percent to more than 10 percent.

In addition, the value of U.S. homes fell sharply, in some areas more than 30 percent. This decline in economic activity also had dramatic effects on underlying consumer price inflation, which dropped from about 3 percent in late 2007 to 0.5 percent in the middle of last year.

During the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve responded aggressively and creatively to the rapidly changing outlook for growth and inflation. From September 2007 to December 2008, the Federal Reserve lowered its short-term interest rate target, known as the federal funds rate target, from 5¼ percent to effectively zero, where it stands today. As the financial crisis deepened, we had to provide more support to financial markets and the economy than we could deliver by using interest-rate actions alone.

Initially, our actions were focused on establishing programs to provide liquidity to financial markets and to get credit flowing again. Later, to support economic activity more broadly, we sought to lower longer-term interest rates by purchasing $1.7 trillion worth of mortgage-backed securities, government agency debt, and Treasury securities. Last fall, we initiated a second round of large-scale asset purchases to further bolster economic growth and lessen the risk of inflation falling below zero for a sustained period. As a result of our actions, our own balance sheet expanded enormously, from roughly $900 billion before the crisis to approximately $2.6 trillion today.

It is fair to describe the Federal Reserve's policy stance as highly accommodative. I believe this stance has been effective. We avoided the worst possible scenario, a repeat of the Great Depression worldwide. Yet, today, many challenges remain.
[h=2]The Outlook for Growth and Inflation[/h]With that background on the recession and our monetary policy response, I would now like to turn to today's outlook for the U.S. economy and inflation. In preparing for FOMC meetings, I look closely at the outlook for GDP growth, employment, and inflation.

I want to emphasize that it is the outlook that is critical in pursuing our monetary policy objectives, not current economic conditions, because there is a significant delay between policy actions and when those policy actions affect the economy.

For almost two years since we emerged from the deep recession, the U.S. economy has been recovering, but at a gradual and bumpy pace. In terms of national output, it has taken us two years just to make up the ground we lost since the recession began. More recently, though, the U.S. recovery appears to have established a firmer footing. The pace of hiring has picked up, and more industries have been adding workers. These are encouraging signs that should point to stronger job growth in the coming months.

Also, consumer spending has shown more strength than most forecasters expected. These are good signs that the recovery is entering a virtuous cycle of growth. Rising employment, incomes, and profits are supporting growth in retail sales and business demand, which in turn should fuel further growth in employment, incomes, and profits.

Up to this point, the recovery has been supported significantly by strong growth in exports, manufacturing, and business investment in equipment and software. Since the recession ended, exports have grown at a double-digit rate, and manufacturing production has grown at an annual average of 8 percent. The recovery of U.S. exports and manufacturing is part of the global recovery of trade following its collapse during the recession. The acceleration in U.S. exports has been led by a range of goods, including industrial equipment, automobiles and parts, and computer equipment.

Despite these sources of strength, not all Americans are sharing equally in the recovery. Unemployment continues to be a significant problem. At this point, the U.S. economy has added back only 1.5 million of the 9 million lost jobs. Also, the continuing problems in the housing sector pose a significant drag on economic growth. Historically, investments in new home construction and improvements to existing homes help the economy to snap back quickly from recessions and help to spur GDP growth. However, since the last recession ended, instead of helping to support the recovery, housing investment has fallen by more than 2 percent.

Looking ahead, I expect the U.S. economy to continue to expand at a moderate rate, a bit above its long-term average growth rate of 3 percent per year. Of course, there are potential risks to this outlook, most notably the recent sharp rise in energy and commodity prices. For example, increases in energy prices would effectively tax consumers, reducing their purchasing power, and in turn would modestly slow the pace of GDP growth. Fortunately, these effects would likely be mild as long as the U.S. economy remains on a firmer footing.

Nevertheless, if energy and commodity prices continue to increase sharply, people could start to worry about the consequences for inflation. The natural question in these times is whether the recent surge in oil prices will be enough of a driving force to cause a lasting increase in the rate of inflation in the United States. At this point, I don't think it will, and let me explain why.

First, large increases in food or energy prices tend to be temporary. History shows that they are often followed by sharp declines. For example, in 2006, oil prices in the United States rose significantly over the first eight months of the year but then dropped in the remainder of the year. Second, to cause a lasting rise in inflation, the increases in food or energy prices have to be large enough and persist long enough that they spill over and cause sustained increases in a wide array of other consumer prices. At this point, there is no evidence of a broad spillover, but as a central banker, I keep a close eye on this.

To assess the underlying trends in a broad array of consumer prices, my staff at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland calculates and publishes an indicator known as the median CPI. This index is designed to provide a reliable measure of the average increase in a wide set of consumer prices. Research at the Bank has shown the median CPI to be a superior predictor of future inflation rates. To this point, inflation in the median CPI remains very low: just 1 percent over the past year. Based on the behavior of the median CPI, I don't expect recent rises in food and energy prices to cause a broad spillover into a wide array of consumer prices, or in other words, a lasting increase in inflation. Specifically, I expect the underlying trend in broad consumer prices to rise only gradually toward 2 percent by 2013. Of course, just as I consider the risks to economic growth, I also need to consider the risks to my inflation outlook.

My outlook assumes that several important factors will keep inflation in check. One of these factors is the continuing slow growth in wages, which helps determine the cost of producing goods and services and, in turn, the prices set by firms. Another factor is retailers' reluctance to raise prices in the face of strong competition and soft business conditions. The U.S. economy still has a way to go to more fully recover from the steep recession, which will restrain growth in wages and retail prices.

Another important factor in my outlook for inflation is the public's expectation that the Federal Reserve will keep inflation contained. While it may sound like a self-fulfilling prophecy to say that we will have low inflation because we collectively expect low inflation, the relationship between actual and expected inflation has been borne out over history. One reason is that expectations of inflation play a crucial role in the price-setting decisions of firms. When firms expect lower inflation, they raise prices more slowly. Despite the recent surge in food and energy prices, measures of longer-run inflation expectations remain below 2 percent. These measures come from bond yields and surveys of economic forecasters.
[h=2]Implications for Monetary Policy[/h]So, with my outlook for a moderate recovery and underlying inflation gradually moving toward 2 percent, I'd like to turn to the implications of the outlook for U.S. monetary policy.

Eventually, the FOMC will begin to remove our policy accommodation. This process will involve raising the target for short-term interest rates, draining bank reserves to prevent an undue rise in the broad money supply, and reducing the size of our balance sheet to more normal levels. I believe that when the time comes, we have all the tools we need to make an exit from our current policy stance.

More immediately, as the FOMC's most recent statement indicated, the Committee is watching carefully for any signs of an unanticipated spillover from oil and other commodity prices into underlying inflation measures. A key to preventing this spillover is to keep long-run inflation expectations anchored because, as I mentioned earlier, inflation expectations are an important determinant of inflation. The current stability in inflation expectations was not achieved just by good fortune. The public's expectation that inflation will remain low and stable over the long run comes from their expectation that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will deliver low and stable inflation over the long run. As a Federal Reserve policymaker, I believe that it is my responsibility to do everything I can to underscore confidence in our commitment to maintain price stability. But I understand that price stability can mean different things to different people. Today, the concept is vague and the FOMC has not established a formal inflation objective.

With the potential for inflation expectations to be more volatile in the face of energy and commodity price shocks, I think it could be an opportune time for the FOMC to be more specific and publicly announce an explicit numerical inflation objective.

Adopting an explicit numerical objective would have to be the decision of the whole FOMC. My own preference is 2 percent over the medium term, an inflation objective that is quite similar to the targets of many central banks around the world. As much as the concept of "zero inflation" appeals to me, 2 percent is a much more practical numerical objective than zero. An objective set much below 2 percent increases the likelihood that the FOMC would need to push short-term interest rates down to zero for an extended time to head off a deflation or to fulfill its mandate for maximum employment. As we are seeing today, keeping interest rates near zero complicates the monetary policy process. Although I remain committed to fulfilling both aspects of our dual mandate for price stability and maximum employment, I think it would be unwise for the Federal Reserve to establish a corresponding numerical objective for unemployment. The long-run sustainable rate of unemployment can move around for a variety of reasons, such as the demographic makeup of the population and changes in how labor markets function. Since the Federal Reserve cannot know what the sustainable level of unemployment is, or how it will evolve over time, it should not set a numerical objective for unemployment.

Establishing an explicit inflation objective need not imply any material change in the current conduct of monetary policy. The U.S. economic expansion is still quite uneven, and it has considerable ground to make up. History suggests that the effects of recent commodity price pressures on consumer price inflation are likely to be transitory. From my perspective, economic conditions, including low levels of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable long-term inflation expectations, warrant the continuation of our current monetary policy stance. Indeed, my outlook for economic growth and inflation assumes that we complete our asset purchase program as originally scheduled, and keep our federal funds rate target at exceptionally low levels for an extended period. As always, if my outlook for economic growth or inflation changes, I stand ready to adjust my view about what constitutes appropriate monetary policy.
[h=2]Conclusion[/h]These are challenging times for our economy, and they are compounded by the unrest we are seeing in the Middle East and North Africa, and the devastating human tragedy in Japan. In these times, it is important not only to develop a view of the most probable path for the U.S. economy, but also to consider potential risks to the economy and to be prepared to respond to them. For my part, I will continue to study the financial and economic situation to determine the right policy actions to fulfill the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment.

Kwa khabari zaidi, ingia humu...Current Issues in U.S. Monetary Policy :: April 7, 2011 :: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

 

[jmushi1]

Mkuu BAK,Pitia taratibu tu kipengele baada ya kipengele halafu you might see what i mean...Na hao ndiyo FED's wenyewe AKA FOMC...

Up to this point, the recovery has been supported significantly by strong growth in exports, manufacturing, and business investment in equipment and software. Since the recession ended, exports have grown at a double-digit rate, and manufacturing production has grown at an annual average of 8 percent. The recovery of U.S. exports and manufacturing is part of the global recovery of trade following its collapse during the recession. The acceleration in U.S. exports has been led by a range of goods, including industrial equipment, automobiles and parts, and computer equipment.

Mkuu unajuwa hizo reconstructions za baada Ya vita etc zina angukia wapi?
Kwahiyo hakuna pahala kwenye analysis za hao feds zinazoonyesha kwamba vita ina negative impact.

Wao wanacholalamika mara pengi ni cost ya human life.

 

[jmushi1]

Hii si dalili nzuri kwa uchumi wa dunia ambao bado unasuasua....Vita nyingine itasababisha bei ya mafuta ipande kwa kiwango kikubwa na hivyo kuondoa kabisa matumaini ya uchumi wa dunia kuanza kukua tena.

Kuhusu hilo la mafuta,feds wanaitizama hivi pale wanapopitisha policies zao...Ni kweli kuwa bei za mafuta zikipanda, lakini wao hawaoni ni shida kwasababu hawaamini kama inaweza kuleta a lasting inflation...Sababu kubwa ni kwamba hizo ni large increase on prices for food and energy but they are "temporary"

Nevertheless, if energy and commodity prices continue to increase sharply, people could start to worry about the consequences for inflation. The natural question in these times is whether the recent surge in oil prices will be enough of a driving force to cause a lasting increase in the rate of inflation in the United States. At this point, I don't think it will, and let me explain why.

First, large increases in food or energy prices tend to be temporary. History shows that they are often followed by sharp declines. For example, in 2006, oil prices in the United States rose significantly over the first eight months of the year but then dropped in the remainder of the year.

Second, to cause a lasting rise in inflation, the increases in food or energy prices have to be large enough and persist long enough that they spill over and cause sustained increases in a wide array of other consumer prices. At this point, there is no evidence of a broad spillover, but as a central banker, I keep a close eye on this.