The next US President

Icadon

JF-Expert Member
Mar 21, 2007
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Queen of Daytime talk show atamsaidia sana Obama kwenye kura za akina mama na nadhani hapa watagawana nusu kwa nusu na Mama Clinton. Naona Conservative wengi wameshaanza kuponda na wengine wanasema ni ishara za ubaguzi na blah blah.

Hii habari ni ya september.....

Oprah Winfrey grandly demonstrated her support of Senator Barack Obama last weekend with a lavish celebrity fund-raiser at her California home that collected an estimated $3 million for his presidential campaign.

But will her backing also translate into votes? And more to the point, could Ms. Winfrey drum up support for Mr. Obama on her powerhouse talk show, which attracts millions of daily viewers?

Ms. Winfrey can indeed promote Mr. Obama’s candidacy as freely as she wishes. According to a Federal Election Commission regulation, commentary by the media does not count as a campaign contribution unless the broadcasting station is owned or controlled by the candidate.

And equal-time regulations would not limit Ms. Winfrey’s activities either, so she could have Mr. Obama as a regular guest on her show, but leave out the other candidates, said Kathleen Hall Jamieson, the director of the Annenberg Public Policy Center at the University of Pennsylvania. (In 2000, both Al Gore and George W. Bush appeared on the show.)

“There is no restraint on commercial broadcasters,” Ms. Jamieson said. “Rush Limbaugh can go on the air and say whatever he wants. I don’t think there’s any issue with Oprah.”

Mr. Obama, a fellow Chicagoan shown above with Ms. Winfrey and his wife, Michelle, is the first presidential candidate Ms. Winfrey has ever endorsed, and the fund-raiser at her home exhibited her clout, at least in Hollywood circles, by drawing Cindy Crawford, Sidney Poitier and Chris Rock.
 

Bongolander

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Jul 10, 2007
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Icadon sijui kama uko States lakini hizo siasa za US zinanichekesha sana, na wakatyi mwingine zinanisikitisha sana. Mimi mpaka sasa pamoja na gains zote anazopata Obama, naona sanasana atakujafikia kwenye umakamu wa Rais, naona kama ubaguzi wa rangi bado upo?
Sijasoma Kitabu cha huyo jamaa Shelby Steel, nimesoma vitabu viwili kimoja cha Keith Richburg, kwa upande fulani huwa nakubaliana sana na hao jamaa wanaoitwa conservative. Mimi mwenyewe i am not in favor of affirmative action, kwa sababu naona inavyovuruga mambo kwenye sehemu nyingine.
 

Susuviri

JF-Expert Member
Oct 6, 2007
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Mmh! Kumbe maswala haya yananipata na mi ndiye expert wa siasa za Marekani! Haya jamani, nipeni muda kidogo nichambue "Why I think that Obama can actually win!"
Dua ndugu yangu, I agree 100%! Obama can win and I believe he will Insh'Allah!
Lakini Hillary si mchezo na Bill naye ni asset kubwa, but I am having my doubts more and more kama she will make a good president. I think Obama will bring freshness to the stale American politics.
Ok, ngoja niende kucheki some stats alafu nitaandika my opinon...
Obama 08! Mpaka Oprah kaingia ulingoni, si mchezo! Hiyo double O team kali!
 

Icadon

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Mar 21, 2007
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Kuna mtu yoyote uwa anasoma columns za huyu mama?


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December 10, 2007
On Line
Obama Pins Hopes on Oprah Factor in South Carolina
By KATHARINE Q. SEELYE

COLUMBIA, S.C. — If you check out Oprah Winfrey’s Web site today, there is no evidence that she was part of a gigantic political spectacle over the weekend as she barnstormed across Iowa, South Carolina and New Hampshire for Senator Barack Obama.

Ms. Winfrey may not want to risk offending any of her nonpolitical fans and those who support other candidates, on her Web site, but here, she made a big splash, drawing more than 29,000 people on Sunday, and the Obama campaign certainly hopes it has a lasting effect.

It was here, with Ms. Winfrey, where the Obama campaign may have tried a new tact of making increasingly explicit appeals to voters who are African-American.

That was no coincidence. Unlike the crowds in Iowa and New Hampshire, the vast majority of those in the stands here were black, and many were women. Based on earlier primaries here, political analysts expect more than half of the voters in the Democratic primary on Jan. 26 will be black and that more than half of those black voters will be women.

Both Mr. Obama and his chief rival, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, who are in a statistical tie in the state’s Democratic primary, are making serious efforts to reach black women.

Ms. Winfrey’s show and persona generally transcend race (the vast majority of her 8.6 million daytime viewers are white). Mr. Obama has tried to do the same with his campaign. But Sunday, Ms. Winfrey referred both directly and indirectly to what she called a “seminal moment” in the nation’s history. It was clear she was talking about the chance to elect the first black president.

“Dr. King dreamed the dream,” she said. “But we don’t have to just dream the dream anymore. We get to vote that dream into reality.”

Professor Robert E. Botsch, who teaches political science at the University of South Carolina in Aiken, said today that Mr. Obama had to walk a careful line as he sought to motivate blacks to the polls without alienating whites.

“It’s the same line Mitt Romney has to walk between saying he is a person guided by his religion but that his religion doesn’t call the shots,” Mr. Botsch said. “Obama has to have the black vote to win South Carolina. But if he becomes the black candidate, it could raise questions about his ability to attract the white vote, and then he’s doomed. That’s the challenge.”

But Don Frierson, a popular black talk-show host of the “Urban Scene” on WGCV in Columbia, saw less strategy and less risk in Ms. Winfrey’s message.

“She was just playing to what she saw in the stands — there weren’t that many white faces,” he said.

“In our community, a lot of people are just proud that there’s somebody up there who has a chance,” he said of Mr. Obama. “And a lot of people are beginning to feel that this could be a historic thing because he’s able to attract a wider spectrum by talking about those things we have in common.”

Ms. Winfrey and Mr. Obama both intertwined their speeches with frequent faith-based references. Many of the older women in the crowd appeared to have come straight from church.

In the 2004 Democratic primary here, three-fourths of black voters said they attended religious services at least once a week, The Chicago Tribune reported, based on exit polling. It also said that 59 percent of all voters in the Democratic primary attended services at least once a week. That is in contrast to only 34 percent of Democratic voters across the country in the fall 2004 election who went to church regularly.

Mr. Frierson said that Sunday’s event should be a wake-up call to the Clinton campaign.

“All the people I talked to said they were there for Obama,” Mr. Frierson said. “If that’s true, that means Hillary is in serious trouble in South Carolina. She’s going to have to get Bill down here a lot.”

Former President Bill Clinton did campaign in Charleston, S.C., on his wife's behalf over the weekend. The campaign also unveiled a new radio ad airing in the state that features the poet Maya Angelou (who is a friend of Ms. Winfrey's as well as the Clintons) calling Hillary Rodham Clinton "my girl."


mtu mmoja akacomment hivi:

Dr. King dreamed of men being judged by the content of their character rather than the color of their skin. I think Mr. Obama, and Oprah, are asking something different.
 

Icadon

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Mar 21, 2007
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WASHINGTON - Bubba to the rescue!

Alarmed by his wife's slide in the polls and disarray within her backbiting campaign, a beside-himself Bill Clinton has leaped atop the barricades and is furiously plotting a cure - or coup.

"She's in big trouble and he knows it," a top Democratic operative and Hillary Clinton booster told the Daily News.

Sources familiar with the ex-President's thinking say he doesn't believe his wife's situation is desperate. But he's unhappy with her operation - once hailed as a juggernaut - and concerned she could lose the Democratic nomination without major alterations in strategy and staffing.

Bill Clinton is mulling "a lot of different ideas and a lot of different scenarios to fix this," an official who regularly speaks with him said. "He will come up with literally dozens of ideas. The trick will be to figure out the most important one or two to get her out of this downtrend."

Another Democrat with close connections to the Clinton campaign describes Bill Clinton as "very engaged and very agitated. He's yelling at [chief strategist] Mark Penn a lot."

Penn laughed off the idea that he's on the hot seat. "That's funny," he said. "I've been working with Bill Clinton through thick and thin for 10 years, exchanging views."

A source close to the former First Couple criticized recent campaign ads as lacking focus, faulting Penn the most for failing to fine-tune the message: "The key problem is not the spots, but what they're saying."

Sources close to the former President say he and the candidate are talking constantly but sharing very little of what they're discussing with subordinates.

Several other Hillary Clinton partisans, however, aren't so shy about critiquing the performance of her campaign - and predict a major staff purge is inevitable.

Campaign officials and a source close to both Clintons flatly denied the head-rolling buzz. "Can this change by the end of the week? Yes," the source said. "But at this point, everyone's on solid footing."

Another Hillary Clinton operative told The News, "Nothing will happen until after Iowa," referring to the Jan. 3 Hawkeye State caucuses. The candidate last night rejected the scuttlebutt.

"These stories are false. I have the best staff in the country, and I have total and complete confidence in them," she said.

Campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle is the biggest target, sources said. She recently took over personal command of the Iowa operation, and a Clinton defeat there could damage her future.

As Barack Obama has steadily narrowed Hillary Clinton's once-impregnable lead, friction inside her headquarters has flared. One post-Thanksgiving meeting erupted into finger-pointing over the loss of her advantage.

"They all want to kill each other," said a source aware of the closed-door meeting.

The backstabbing involves several high-level people in the campaign, including Penn, Mandy Grunwald, Ann Lewis and Howard Wolfson, sources said.

Penn maintained, "It's a totally false story."

Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton's campaign abruptly shifted gears Tuesday, arguing Obama can't beat a Republican. Until now, her attacks targeted Obama's experience, not his electability.

Pouncing on a report that revealed Obama staked out stridently liberal positions in a 1996 candidate questionnaire, Hillary Clinton's campaign argued his past record is easy ammunition for the GOP.

Obama spokesman Bill Burton fired back, "For a candidate who 50% of the country says they won't consider voting for, raising questions about electability is a curious strategy."

With Michael McAuliff in Iowa City, Iowa
 

Dua

JF-Expert Member
Nov 14, 2006
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Republicans wanahitaji Democrats wafanye makosa na kumchagua Barrack Obama kama mgombea wao ili wapate ushindi kwa kutumia turufu ya ubaguzi wa rangi, kwani wanafahamu fika akishinda Hillary itakuwa kazi kubwa kwao kushinda tena kiti cha urais.
 

Icadon

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Mar 21, 2007
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Happy New year....wakati bado siku mbili watu wakaanza kupiga kura....

A few minutes ago, the Des Moines Register released its final poll of Iowa Democrats ahead of Thursday's caucuses.

The headline: 'Obama widens lead over Clinton.'

Here are the numbers:

Barack Obama 32%
Hillary Clinton 25%
John Edwards 24%


The details get even better. Here are a couple of quotes from the accompanying article in tomorrow morning's paper:

"The findings mark the largest lead of any of the Democratic candidates in the Register's poll all year, underscoring what has been a hard-fought battle among the three well-organized Iowa frontrunners."

"Obama's rise is the result in part of a dramatic influx of first-time caucusgoers, including a sizable bloc of political independents. Both groups prefer the Illinois senator...."

Habari zaidi Hapa
 

Mwawado

JF-Expert Member
Nov 2, 2006
998
195
Obama ana kila sababu ya kuchukua Des Moines,kwa sababu margin ya vote 7 kwa siku mbili sio ndogo,sasa Vumbi litakuwa New Hampshire.Jamaa amewaweka matumbo Joto akina Clinton,naona Familia yote Imehamia Iowa.Macho na Masikio yetu yapo hiyo Alhamis Usiku ili kujua matokeo.
 

Nyani Ngabu

Platinum Member
May 15, 2006
89,993
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Obama ana kila sababu ya kuchukua Des Moines,kwa sababu margin ya vote 7 kwa siku mbili sio ndogo,sasa Vumbi litakuwa New Hampshire.Jamaa amewaweka matumbo Joto akina Clinton,naona Familia yote Imehamia Iowa.Macho na Masikio yetu yapo hiyo Alhamis Usiku ili kujua matokeo.

usije shangaa hata kidogo Obama akabwagwa huko Iowa. Hawa watu wakishaingia kwenye voting booth wanaweza wakampgia mwingine na wakatoka wakaenda kumshangilia Obama.
 

Icadon

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Mar 21, 2007
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Haya kesho ndio kesho....
Poll ya juzi ya Des Moines Register.
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watu wameshaanza countdown ya lini Bush anaondoka madarakani
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Icadon

JF-Expert Member
Mar 21, 2007
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Iowa Caucuses

Iowa voters tomorrow night will go to their local precinct caucuses to cast their lot with a presidential candidate. The winner is hardly guaranteed his party's nomination -- in fact, it's possible that neither Iowa winner will come out as the favorite for the nomination -- but the caucuses will certainly be the end of the road for some candidates.

Here are our analyses of the races as they stand now and the most likely outcomes:

Republicans: This is a two-way contest between former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. The battle for third place is among former Sen. Fred Thompson (Tenn.), Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), and Rep. Ron Paul (Tex.). Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is not even spending this week in Iowa. Instead, he is campaigning in New Hampshire.

1. Ever since finishing second in the Iowa straw poll last August, Huckabee steadily climbed here in Iowa, aided by his evangelical pedigree, his sincerity and the fresh-face factor, and less critical press coverage than any other candidate. Polls of likely Republican caucus-goers consistently showed Huckabee ahead throughout December, but more recent surveys are a mixed bag, showing slippage by Huckabee.

2. Polling the caucuses is notoriously difficult, because caucusing, unlike voting in a primary, can take all night. Turnout is a bigger commitment, and it's harder to predict. While pollsters try to correct for this, the room for error is huge.

3. Romney is close or leading in the post-Christmas polls. This is probably good enough for him. He has a much bigger team in Iowa and much more money to spend than do Huckabee and the other Republican candidates. Romney's campaign should be better than Huckabee's at getting its supporters to their caucuses.

4. Huckabee, however, has two potential caucus-night advantages. First, he enjoys more enthusiastic support than does Romney, who, for many Iowa Republicans, is just the most electable or the most acceptable of the top-tier candidates. Huckabee, by contrast, has a strong core of dedicated voters who share his religious views. Huckabee has recently come under a steady barrage of criticism by economic conservatives and a constant drubbing by Romney's well-financed campaign.

5. Two weeks ago, we wrote that Thompson was the "X-Factor." Most Iowa Republicans hadn't given him much thought as of mid-December, but he has spent the last two-and-a-half weeks in the Hawkeye State. Post-Christmas polls do not show a big spike, but he does seem to poll even with McCain for third place. A decent third-place finish for either of these men would be a boost going into New Hampshire.

6. Ron Paul could make a splash, as well. He's in fifth place in most polls, but his supporters are unmatched in enthusiasm and dedication. A third-place finish for Paul is not out of the question.

7. The most likely outcome appears to be:

1st Place: Mitt Romney
2nd Place: Mike Huckabee
3rd Place: Fred Thompson
4th Place: John McCain

Democrats: This is a three-way contest among Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.), Sen. Hillary Clinton (N.Y.), and former Sen. John Edwards (N.C.). It's possible that there are only three survivors out of Iowa for the Democrats and that the second-tier candidates will be gone by New Hampshire.

1. The similarities between Obama 2008 and Howard Dean in 2004 are real and could show themselves Thursday night. Obama is the new, fresh face in the race with youthful, enthusiastic, and idealistic supporters. For Dean, that same formula translated into caucus-day bust. Will the same happen to Obama?

2. Obama leads in most polls, and significantly in some. His negatives are much lower than Clinton's, and his positives are higher than Edwards'. He has as much money as Clinton and the edge in enthusiasm. However, his campaign team in Iowa is the least experienced of the top three. He could flame out like Dean, but all considered, he has to be viewed as the favorite.

3. Hillary's organization may be the strongest, but her negatives are the highest. Her hardball tactics against Obama will hurt her. For the Democrats, who have a viability threshold of at least 15% in each precinct, second choice matters, and that is where Hillary's negatives will hurt her. She doesn't appear to be the second choice for very many voters at all.

4. Edwards has run in Iowa before and done well. His second-place finish in 2004, however, was in a weaker Democratic field. His negatives are low, however, and many polls have shown him as the most popular second choice among supporters of the second-tier candidates. In polls, he is right on Hillary's heels, and it is likely he will pass her in the caucuses.

5. The second-tier candidates -- Sen. Joe Biden (Del.), Sen. Chris Dodd (Conn.), and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson -- will struggle to reach the 15% viability threshold in many districts, with the top three garnering 85% among them in most areas. Of the three second-tier Democrats, Richardson has the best chance of even registering in the final results.

6. The Democratic field looks to shake out this way:

1st Place: Barack Obama
2nd Place: John Edwards
3rd Place: Hillary Clinton
4th Place: Bill Richardson

Sincerely,Robert D. Novak Timothy P. Carney
 

Steve Dii

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Jun 25, 2007
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Huckabee, Obama Sweep to Iowa Victories

Friday January 4, 2008 5:46 AM


By DAVID ESPO and MIKE GLOVER

Associated Press Writers

DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) - Sen. Barack Obama swept to victory in the Iowa caucuses Thursday night, pushing Hillary Rodham Clinton to third place and taking a major stride in a historic bid to become the nation's first black president. Mike Huckabee rode a wave of support from evangelical Christians to win the opening round among Republicans in the 2008 campaign for the White House.

Obama, 46 and a first-term senator from Illinois, told a raucous victory rally his triumph showed that in ``big cities and small towns, you came together to say, 'We are one nation, we are one people and our time for change has come.'''

Final Democratic returns showed the first-term lawmaker gaining 37 percent support. Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina gained second, barely edging out Clinton, the former first lady.

Huckabee celebrated his own victory over Mitt Romney and a crowded Republican field. ``A new day is needed in American politics, just like a new day is needed in American government,'' the former Arkansas governor told cheering supporters. ``It starts here, but it doesn't end here. It goes all the way through the other states and ends at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.''

Huckabee, a preacher turned politician, handily defeated Romney despite being outspent by millions of dollars and deciding in the campaign's final days to scrap television commercials that would have assailed the former Massachusetts governor. He stressed his religion to the extent of airing a commercial that described himself as a ``Christian leader'' in his race against a man seeking to become the first Mormon president.

Nearly complete returns showed Huckabee with 34 percent support, compared with 25 percent for Romney. Former Sen. Fred Thompson and Sen. John McCain battled for third place, while Texas Rep. Ron Paul wound up fifth and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani sixth.

With the New Hampshire primary only five days distant, Clinton and Edwards vowed to fight on in the race for the Democratic nomination.

``We have always planned to run a national campaign,'' the former first lady told supporters at a noisy rally attended by her husband and their daughter, Chelsea. ``I am so ready for the rest of this campaign, and I am so ready to lead.''

Edwards, the Democrats' 2004 vice presidential nominee, told The Associated Press in an interview he would distinguish himself from Obama in New Hampshire by arguing that he is the candidate who can deliver the change that voters have shown they want. ``I``m going to fight for that change,'' he said by telephone from his hotel room in Iowa. ``I've fought for it my entire life. I have a long history of fighting powerful interests and winning.''

Not everyone was going on. Democratic Sens. Christopher Dodd of Connecticut and Sen. Joseph Biden of Delaware announced they would quit the race.

New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson said he would campaign in New Hampshire despite finishing in fourth place with a minuscule 2 percent support.

Romney sought to frame his defeat as something other than that, saying he had trailed Huckabee by more than 20 points a few weeks ago. ``I've been pleased that I've been able to make up ground and I intend to keep making up ground, not just here but across the country,'' he said.

The words were brave, but already, his strategy of bankrolling a methodical campaign in hopes of winning the first two states was in tatters - and a rejuvenated McCain was tied with him in the polls in next-up New Hampshire.

Iowans rendered their judgments in meetings at 1,781 precincts from Adel to Zwingle, in schools, firehouses and community centers. Turnout was heavy, far more so for Democrats than Republicans in what could be an early indication of the country's mood after eight years of a Republican administration.

With President Bush constitutionally unable to seek re-election, a wide-open race developed in both parties that resulted in campaign organizations that dwarfed anything in previous campaigns. Romney alone spent $7 million on television commercials. The result was a record turnout.

Projections estimated that 220,588 Democrats showed up on a cold midwinter's night, shattering the previous mark of 124,000.

Turnout was also up on the Republican side, where projections showed about 114,000 people taking part. The last previous contested Republican caucuses in 2000 drew 87,666 participants.

In interviews as they entered the caucuses, more than half of all the Republicans said they were either born-again or evangelical Christians, and they liked Huckabee more than any of his rivals. Romney led handily among the balance of the Iowa Republican voters, according to the survey.

About half the Democratic caucus-goers said a candidate's ability to bring about needed change was the most important factor as they made up their minds, according to the entrance interviews by the AP and the television networks. Change was Obama's calling card in the arduous campaign for Iowa's backing.

Obama also outpolled Clinton among women, and benefited from a surge in first-time caucus-goers. More than half of those who participated said they had never been to a caucus before, and Obama won the backing of roughly 40 percent of them. Edwards did best among veteran caucus-goers, garnering 30 percent of their vote. Obama and Clinton each got about a quarter of their support.

An AP analysis of Iowa's Republican caucuses estimated that Huckabee would win 30 delegates to the national convention and Romney would win 7.

Obama's victory was much narrower in the race for delegates. The AP analysis estimated Obama would win 16 delegates, compared to 15 for Clinton and 14 for Edwards. Clinton will win more delegates than Edwards, despite getting fewer votes, because of Iowa's complicated caucus system.

In the overall race for the nomination, Clinton leads with 175 delegates, including superdelegates, followed by Obama with 75 and Edwards with 46.

While Republicans and Democrats both looked to Iowa to pass the first judgment of the election year, there was a key difference in the way they ran their caucuses. Republicans took a straw vote, then tallied the results. Democrats had a more complicated process in which one candidate's supporters might eventually wind up backing another contender.

Clinton, Obama and Edwards had all urged voters to consider them if their own candidate fell short. Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio publicly urged his backers to line up with Obama on a second round, and two Democrats said aides to Richardson did likewise as the caucuses unfolded in hopes of blocking the former first lady. Those two spoke on condition of anonymity, citing private discussions.

In the campaign's final days, Obama, a first-term senator, stressed a need for change. Clinton boasted of her experience as she worked to follow her husband into the White House. Edwards cast himself as the implacable enemy of special interests as he aimed to improve on last time's second-place showing in the state. Strikingly, none of the Democrats ran television commercials attacking one another, and the result was a remarkably civilized race despite the stakes.

Romney stressed his background as a businessman and organizer of the 2002 Olympics, and he worked to persuade conservatives to ignore his earlier positions on abortion and gay rights. He ran the only commercials of the campaign critical of a rival, hitting Huckabee for his positions on immigration and the pardons he issued while governor of Arkansas.

For three decades, Iowa's caucuses have drawn presidential hopefuls eager to make a strong first impression, and this year was no different.

Obama, Clinton and Edwards spent at least $19 million on television advertising among them. Romney told supporters in a final daylong swing around the state he had been in 68 of 99 counties since he began his quest for the White House, had spent 55 days in Iowa and spoken before 248 separate audiences.


Source: The Guardian Online.


SteveD.
 

Mwawado

JF-Expert Member
Nov 2, 2006
998
195
Basics Facts On The Iowa Caucuses.
By The Associated Press Wed Jan 2,

Some questions and answers about the Iowa caucuses this Thursday:
ADVERTISEMENT



Q: What is a caucus?
A: A party meeting at the precinct level at which citizens express their candidate preferences and pick delegates to their county conventions. It's the lowest level of party politics - the real grassroots. These meetings, held in each of the state's nearly 1,800 precincts, typically draw anywhere from a handful of people in rural areas to hundreds in suburban areas.

Q: Who takes part?
A: Anyone who is old enough to vote in the November general election and is a member of the party is eligible, but traditionally only a small number of Iowans show up. This year, about 120,000 to 150,000 people are expected to vote in the Democratic caucuses, while 80,000 to 90,000 are likely to participate in the GOP contest.

Q: Why is it politically significant?
A: Persuading a group of average citizens to show up in support of a candidate is considered a sign of organizational strength. Each candidate courts politicians and activists at the state and local level in hopes of getting strong numbers of supporters to show up and participate. At the same time, the caucus system allows candidates to develop and hone their message before relatively small groups.

Q: What happens at a caucus?
A: Participants, led by a chairman or chairwoman, indicate their preferences for their party's presidential nomination, pick delegates to their county conventions and discuss party business, including their party platforms.

Q: What happens next?
A: Delegates chosen at the caucuses go to the county convention later in the year. There, the field is winnowed and delegates are chosen for the district convention. This happens again at district meetings and again at the state convention, where delegates are named to attend the party's national convention.

Q: Why are the numbers different?
A: The Republicans essentially hold a straw poll - a head count - at their precinct caucuses, reporting real numbers. One head, one vote.
The Democrats do not report straight numbers, but use a mathematical formula to determine support for a presidential candidate in percentages. A candidate must have the support of 15 percent of those present at any meeting, precinct caucuses through the state convention, to remain "viable." This is meant to ensure greater consistency throughout the process.

Q: Will there be exit polls in Iowa?
A: Yes. The Associated Press and the television networks will survey voters as they enter the caucus sites. Those surveys will help readers understand what issues and qualities motivated Iowans to vote for a specific candidate.

Q: How did the Iowa caucuses get started?
A: A commission appointed after the riots disrupted the 1968 Democratic National Convention recommended proportionate representation and affirmative action. Iowa Democrats decided to use new rules in 1972, adopting a regulation that there must be a month between events - the caucuses, county, district, state and national conventions. The caucuses wound up being held as early as January.
 

Gamba la Nyoka

JF-Expert Member
May 1, 2007
6,971
2,000
katika kinyag'anyiro cha kuelekea uchaguzi mkuu huko States,leo barack obama ameshinda mchujo wa awali wa wagombea huko Iowa.

katika jimbo ambalo asilimia 95 ni whites bila shaka hii inaonyesha ni kwa namna gani obama anakubalika.

cha ajabu zaidi ni kwamba hata kura za Wanawake, obama amemshinda mpinzani wake mkuu Hillary clinton, ktk kura hizo za wanawake Obama amenyakua asilimia 35 ya kura za kina mama huku Clinton akiambulia asilimia 30.

katika kura za vijana under 30, obama ndo ameonekana kung'aa zaidi kwa kujinyakulia asilimia 57 ya kura hizo huku mama clintoni akiambulia asilimia 11 tu.

watafsiri wa mambo wanasema hali ya kisiasa nchini Marekani imebadilika kwa kiwango kikubwa sana,ukilinganisha na miaka 40 iliyopita nyakati za Martin Luther king jr,ambapo ilikuwa ni ndoto kwa mweusi kushinda ktk jimbo ambalo asilimia 95 ni weupe.

hatua inayofuata ni ktk state ya New hampshire, ambako nako 96 percent ni whites. lakini ushindani kati ya clinton na obama nako ni mkali kweli kweli.
 

Choveki

JF-Expert Member
Apr 16, 2006
451
250
Kwa kiasi kikubwa ni habari nzuri, ila wasiwasi wangu upo kule New Hampshire ambapo ndo Clinton (mume) alijinyakulia lile jina la "comeback kid", baada ya kiajabu ajabu kushinda huko na kuelekea ikulu moja mkwa moja!

Nadhani kitu ambacho Barack anacho ni kuwa Waamerika wengi bado hawajakubali kuwa mwanamke anaweza ongoza nchi na kuwa Rais.

Cha kusikitisha ni kuwa kwa upande mwingine yaliyotokea Kenya hayafurahishi machoni mwa wengi na obama sijui hiyo inamuathiri vipi.
 

Mnhenwa Ndege

JF-Expert Member
Dec 5, 2007
242
195
congratulations Obama for the win and your speach this morning was a fantastic. But remeber the race has just begun.
 

Jafar

JF-Expert Member
Nov 3, 2006
1,136
0
I think is still premature to congratulate Obama. Though, I appreciate his good start.
 

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