Scottish independence results: NO side wins plebiscite!

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Scottish independence results: YouGov poll predicts 54% no, 46% yes - live

LiveRolling coverage of the results of the Scottish independence referendum as they come in, with reaction and analysis of the vote that could lead to Scotland leaving the United Kingdom


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The polls have closed and counting is under way in the referendum to decide whether Scotland should stay in the UK or become an independent country.
Counting will be carried out through the night, with individual results announced for each of Scotland's 32 local authority areas.
The final national result is expected after 06:30 BST (05:30 GMT) on Friday.
A YouGov on-the-day survey published shortly after polls closed suggested "No" was on 54% and "Yes" on 46%.
The survey questioned 1,828 people after they voted, together with the postal votes of 800 people, although it is not a traditional exit poll.
YouGov said its responses suggested there had been a small shift from "Yes" to "No" on polling day, and also that "No" supporters were slightly more likely to turn out to vote.
A "Yes" vote in the ballot would end the 307-year-old union between Scotland and the rest of the UK.
In other developments:

  • Turnout is widely predicted to top the 83.9% recorded in the 1950 general election - the highest in the UK since the introduction of universal suffrage in 1918
  • Police are reportedly investigating allegations of electoral fraud relating to 10 ballot papers in Glasgow
  • Scottish First Minister Alex Salmond tweeted: "This has been a remarkable day. Scotland's future truly is in Scotland's hands"
  • Blair McDougall, director of the pro-Union Better Together campaign, said he believed a "No" vote would be revealed over the course of the night
  • Twitter says 1.5 million tweets about the referendum have been sent in the past 48 hours
  • For latest results and full coverage, go to bbc.co.uk/scotland-decides
President of pollsters YouGov, Peter Kellner, said he was 99% certain that Scotland would vote to remain in the UK.
He told Sky News: "At the obvious risk of looking like a complete prat in eight hours' time, I would say it is a 99% certainty of a 'No' victory... I can't see 'No' losing this now."
Mr Kellner said his research had suggested "substantially more" people switched from "Yes" to "No" than the other way around.
SNP MSP Humza Yousaf conceded that the "Yes" campaign were the "underdogs" in the referendum, but said they relished that status.

Analysis: Brian Taylor, BBC Scotland political editor The evidence from throughout Scotland is of a large, indeed a phenomenal, turnout. A series of questions arise from that.
One, will this benefit one side or the other? That depends upon differential turnout. Is one side or the other feeling more motivated, more inclined to participate?
It had been thought that the more motivated side would be Yes. It had been thought this could be worth one or two per cent in the final tally.
However, at these huge levels of interest, that may be open to challenge. It seems that the entirety of Scotland is engaged. We shall see.
Read more from Brian

Continue reading the main story Guide to referendum night

4.2m
registered voters

97%
of electorate


  • 7am polls open
  • 10pm polls close, counting begins
  • 32 counts across Scotland
  • 6:30-7:30am expected declaration
Source: Elections Scotland

Responding to the YouGov poll, he told the BBC: "We've had one poll, but it's not an exit poll and it certainly won't take into account the high levels of turnout that we're seeing and hearing about across the country."
Pro-Union campaigners were encouraged by the early signs in East Lothian, where postal votes were said by observers to clearly favour "No".
But a Labour independence campaigner at the Dundee count, where the total turnout was 78.8%, said the outlook in the city was very good for the "Yes" campaign.
Labour shadow foreign secretary Douglas Alexander said the story of the early part of the evening was the "enormous turnout".
"We should all feel both extraordinary pride and a certain humility when it comes to a turnout of this scale because it is literally unprecedented," he said.
"Predictions at this stage need to be taken with a barrel of salt not just a punch of salt."


As soon as Scotland's 2,608 polling places closed, work began to transport hundreds of ballot boxes to counting centres in each of Scotland's 32 local authorities.
These will include votes cast from the 789,024 postal vote applications, which was the largest volume of registration for postal votes ever in Scotland.
The bulk of the local results are expected to come between 03:00 and 05:00 BST (02:00 and 04:00 GMT) on Friday.
And, for the first time, 16 and 17-year-olds all across Scotland were able to vote.
Once the results from all the local authority areas are known, chief counting officer Mary Pitcaithly will declare the result of the referendum at the Royal Highland Centre outside Edinburgh.
However, running totals - which can be made from the first declaration onwards - may indicate a result earlier in the morning.
'Steady stream' Many councils have reported busy polling stations throughout Thursday, with some seeing queues both ahead of the polls opening and throughout the morning.
And more than 90% of postal ballots have been returned in several local authority areas, with total turnout put at 88.6% in Clackmannanshire and 84% in Orkney, the first two areas to announce how many people had voted.


Large numbers of independence supporters have gathered in George Square, in the centre of Glasgow, ahead of the result.
Scottish First Minister Alex Salmond, who led the pro-independence "Yes" campaign, cast his ballot at Ritchie Hall in Strichen, Aberdeenshire.
Pro-Union Better Together leader Alistair Darling was greeted by a mixture of cheers and boos as he arrived at the Church Hill Theatre in Edinburgh to cast his vote.
 
Polls closed with rumours some areas have turnouts over 90%. One normally well-informed source suggested a few could have 100%. Wow!

 

Andy Murray tweeted his support for independence on Thursday

Scotland Decides

Online abuse directed at tennis star Andy Murray after he declared support for Scottish independence has been described as "vile" by Police Scotland.
Murray tweeted on Thursday morning that "no campaign negativity" had "totally swayed" his view on the issue.
Some users of the site sent him hate messages, with one referring to the Dunblane massacre in 1996.
Murray was a pupil at Dunblane Primary school when gunman Thomas Hamilton shot 16 children and their teacher.
Murray's tweet, just hours before polls opened, read: "Huge day for Scotland today! no campaign negativity last few days totally swayed my view on it. excited to see the outcome. lets do this!"
The BBC did not report his comments while polls were open because of strict rules governing broadcasters during elections.

 
Latest result with 2 of 32 councils declared - Both councils voted NO
 
Scottish referendum: David Cameron and the Queen seek to ease tensions

Prime minister likely to promise to devolve greater powers, over taxation and welfare, to the Scottish parliament in early address.


David Cameron is expected to appear at Downing Street to outline constitutional reforms in the wake of the Scotland referendum result. Photograph: Murdo Macleod for the Guardian



David Cameron and the Queen were both planning to calm tensions after the heated two year Scottish referendum campaign when they make statements on Friday after the formal declaration of the result.
Amid increasing confidence early on Friday morning on the pro-UK side, the prime minister was expecting to make an early appearance in Downing Street to outline a major package of constitutional reforms.




 
First three (3 out of 32 Councils) of Scotland results go for No camp.
 
Hawa YES camp naona leo wataamka na majonzi makubwa mno, council ya nne nayo yakataa kujitenga na England.
 
NO camp 5 out of 5, 27 councils to go.
 
NO camp 5 out of 5, 27 councils to go.

Kamanda, once again shukran kwa updates.

Hivi, hawa mabwana hawawezi kuchakachua hii makitu...kibongobongo style?...:A S wink:

Afu naomba hii ishu isi-drag out more than 2 days maana hapo nd'o inaletaga michosho.

Pamoja.
 
lol!!!! nasikia YES camp washakataa tamaa kwani baadhi ya maeneo ambayo walitegemea ushindi wamepigwa chini, kwa hiyo dalili si njema kwao. Kuchakachua chaguzi za wenzetu ni ngumu sana lakini inawezekana si unakumbuka 2000 jinsi Al Gore alivyochakachuliwa kule Florida na Kichaka? Hii sidhani kama itachukua miaka miwili kwa matokeo yoyote yale. Tusubiri tuone Mkuu.

Kamanda, once again shukran kwa updates.

Hivi, hawa mabwana hawawezi kuchakachua hii makitu...kibongobongo style?...:A S wink:

Afu naomba hii ishu isi-drag out more than 2 days maana hapo nd'o inaletaga michosho.

Pamoja.
 
YES camp wamepata council moja, kwa hiyo NO camp bado wanaongoza kwa 6 councils kwa 1 ya NO camp.
 
Inabidi utuwekee na tallies za kura kamanda, maana mwisho wa siku sio umeshinda council ngapi bali una kura ngapi za jumla uo ndio ushindi wenyewe.
 
Reactions: BAK
"Yes" glumness

Posted at 03:50
A bit of a glum picture at the "Yes" party in Glasgow.

 
NO camp wamechukua council ya pili
 
Sawa Mkuu kuna baadhi tofauti ya kura ni ndogo sana kwa mfano, Inverclyde (87.4%) YES 27,243 NO 27,329 hapa lazima kura zihesabiwe tena na kuna uwezekano wa kuwa na mabadiliko.


Inabidi utuwekee na tallies za kura kamanda, maana mwisho wa siku sio umeshinda council ngapi bali una kura ngapi za jumla uo ndio ushindi wenyewe.
 
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