IMF 2019 GDP (Nominal) forecast for top 15 African economies

[Yule-Msee]

IMF 2019 GDP (nominal) forecast of the fifteen biggest African economies, all figures in billion US $
The forst figure is the 2014 value and the second is the 2019 value
1. NIGERIA 594 - 830
2. EGYPT 285 - 529
3. SOUTH AFRICA 341 - 427
4. ALGERIA 228 - 276
5. ANGOLA 131 - 194
6. MOROCCO 112 - 165
7. LIBYA 49 - 118
8. KENYA 63 - 104
9. ETHIOPIA 50 - 82
10. SUDAN 70 - 79
11. TANZANIA 37 - 57
12. TUNISIA 49 - 57
13. CÔTE D'IVOIRE 34 - 54
14. D. R. CONGO 33 - 49
15. GHANA 35 - 45
Of course forecasts cannot be taken as the gospel truth, the unexpected at times happens, but they are good pointers for planners


http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2014/02/weodata/index.aspx

 

[Swat]

Hiyo forecast wali base kwenye vitu gani?

 

[nyumba kubwa]

Na mimi nashangaa...hawa nao ni ma propagandist...
chezea IMF wewe...

kwa abc zangu za uchumi inachukua 10 year kwa uchumi wa nchi unaokua kwa 7 percent ku double...sasa hapa naona double double tuuu... na ni estimations ni za less than 10 years (2014 to 2019) ....sijui zime base wapi...

Hiyo forecast wali base kwenye vitu gani?

 

[Ndumbayeye]

mdaharau kwao ana hisia za kitumwa

 

[Bavaria]

Na mimi nashangaa...hawa nao ni ma propagandist...
chezea IMF wewe...

kwa abc zangu za uchumi inachukua 10 year kwa uchumi wa nchi unaokua kwa 7 percent ku double...sasa hapa naona double double tuuu... na ni estimations ni za less than 10 years (2014 to 2019) ....sijui zime base wapi...

I smell something fishy.

 

[Yule-Msee]

IMF ndiye waganga wa economy matters, unless something very unexpected happens, the forecasts are not too far off the mark. Tunalishwa vyakula vya Tanzania natunasepa zaidi kuliko wenye chakula

 

[Swat]

Libya uchumi utakua kufika 118! Na majanga yote yanayoendelea pale,kuna walakin
...

 

[MK254]

Hii safi, naona Kenya tunaweza piga $100 billions. Chezea +254 wewe utachoka na kutokwa na povu. Hatuna migodi lakini tunasepa. CC kadoda11

 

[Koba]

With all these gas discoveries and billions of chinese investments TZ will jump for only 20bn?and Kenya for almost 50bn?nini kinaendelea Kenya?

 

[1954tanu]

Tz ni tajiri kwa raslimali kuliko nchi kibao duniani. Umasikini wetu umeasisiwa na CCM, na kwa katiba yao tutaendelea kuwa masikini

 

[Bantugbro]

With all these gas discoveries and billions of chinese investments TZ will jump for only 20bn?and Kenya for almost 50bn?nini kinaendelea Kenya?

FYI:
Kenya has recently re-based her GDP data while TZ has not, most probably after re-basing the 2014/5 GDP figures for TZ could jump to 50bn+

 

[msemakweli]

IMF 2019 GDP (nominal) forecast of the fifteen biggest African economies, all figures in billion US $
The forst figure is the 2014 value and the second is the 2019 value
1. NIGERIA 594 - 830
2. EGYPT 285 - 529
3. SOUTH AFRICA 341 - 427
4. ALGERIA 228 - 276
5. ANGOLA 131 - 194
6. MOROCCO 112 - 165
7. LIBYA 49 - 118
8. KENYA 63 - 104
9. ETHIOPIA 50 - 82
10. SUDAN 70 - 79
11. TANZANIA 37 - 57
12. TUNISIA 49 - 57
13. CÔTE D'IVOIRE 34 - 54
14. D. R. CONGO 33 - 49
15. GHANA 35 - 45
Of course forecasts cannot be taken as the gospel truth, the unexpected at times happens, but they are good pointers for planners

Weka link basi tuone
Na 2014 GDP figures for Kenya i thought ni $53billion after rebasing.
Na pia Tanzania's economy is growing almost twice as fast as Kenya's and not the other way round as this forecast shows.
My conclusion, huu ni uongo mtupu! Watanzania puuzeni twendelee kulijenga taifa letu. Tanzania namba moja hapa East Africa by 2030, says the world bank and standard chartered bank http://allafrica.com/stories/201111140621.html

 

[Yule-Msee]

Weka link basi tuone
Na 2014 GDP figures for Kenya i thought ni $53billion after rebasing.
Na pia Tanzania's economy is growing almost twice as fast as Kenya's and not the other way round as this forecast shows.
My conclusion, huu ni uongo mtupu! Watanzania puuzeni twendelee kulijenga taifa letu. Tanzania namba moja hapa East Africa by 2030, says the world bank and standard chartered bank http://allafrica.com/stories/201111140621.html

Angalia link niliyokupa, $55 billion is 2013. The link you have quoted is talking about 2011. Very outdated, it quotes South Africa's economy at $555 billion, a figure that has gone down due to a weaker rand. Tafuta a more recent article. Then 7% vs 5% growth rate is not double in any form of comparison

 

[msemakweli]

Angalia link niliyokupa, $55 billion is 2013. The link you have quoted is talking about 2011. Very outdated, it quotes South Africa's economy at $555 billion, a figure that has gone down due to a weaker rand. Tafuta a more recent article. Then 7% vs 5% growth rate is not double in any form of comparison

Whatever. Tanzania's GDP is still growing faster than Kenya's, a fact that is not reflected in those shallow statistics you've put there.
Kenya's GDP was $44billion in 2013 before rebasing, and increased to $53billion after rebasing just last week or so. I fail to see where the $63billion figure is coming from, and i think its just a bluff on your part.
Lastly, Tanzania's GDP may leap to circa $48billion after rebasing, and will continue to grow exponentially especially when the petrodollars start flowing in. It is just inevitable that Tanzania will be East Africa's leading economy....accept it and move on!

 

[Yule-Msee]

Whatever. Tanzania's GDP is still growing faster than Kenya's, a fact that is not reflected in those shallow statistics you've put there.
Kenya's GDP was $44billion in 2013 before rebasing, and increased to $53billion after rebasing just last week or so. I fail to see where the $63billion figure is coming from, and i think its just a bluff on your part.
Lastly, Tanzania's GDP may leap to circa $48billion after rebasing, and will continue to grow exponentially especially when the petrodollars start flowing in. It is just inevitable that Tanzania will be East Africa's leading economy....accept it and move on!

I've quoted IMF figures and you call them a bluff, this is a new low even for you

 

[msemakweli]

I've quoted IMF figures and you call them a bluff, this is a new low even for you

Why r u Kenyans always in defensive mode. I am not here to trade insults with you. If u cannot engage in civilized discussions then u r the pond scum here. All i said is that i fail to see where the $63billion figure is coming from, regardless of whether they are IMF statistics or not!

 

[Yule-Msee]

Why r u Kenyans always in defensive mode. I am not here to trade insults with you. If u cannot engage in civilized discussions then u r the pond scum here. All i said is that i fail to see where the $63billion figure is coming from, regardless of whether they are IMF statistics or not!

Link nyingine now comparing regional countries. If you look at the link you will understand $55 billion was 2013 figure while $63 billion is estimated 2014 figure,
Report for Selected Countries and Subjects

 

[Alpha]

Link nyingine now comparing regional countries. If you look at the kink you will understand $55 billion was 2013 figure while $63 billion is estimated 2014 figure,
Report for Selected Countries and Subjects

So Kenya's Economy is going to grow by $8 billion between 2013 and 2014. Or in other words its going to grow by 14%? It will be the fastest growing economy in the world in 2014?

 

[Yule-Msee]

So Kenya's Economy is going to grow by $8 billion between 2013 and 2014. Or in other words its going to grow by 14%? It will be the fastest growing economy in the world in 2014?

Finally, guys are catching up! There is a difference btw. norminal and real gdp, what is listed is norminal as I have already pointed out. Norminal GDP does not take into a/c inflation. When we talk about GDP growth rate, we are talking about real GDP. ( are we together so far?) So I hope you see the blunder in your calculation

 

[msemakweli]

Link nyingine now comparing regional countries. If you look at the link you will understand $55 billion was 2013 figure while $63 billion is estimated 2014 figure,
Report for Selected Countries and Subjects

You cant have grown from 53 to 63 in less than a year. I still think you are bluffing.