Chaguzi ndogo 16/6 na 14/7 majumuisho na tathmini | Page 8 | JamiiForums | The Home of Great Thinkers

Dismiss Notice
You are browsing this site as a guest. It takes 2 minutes to CREATE AN ACCOUNT and less than 1 minute to LOGIN

Chaguzi ndogo 16/6 na 14/7 majumuisho na tathmini

Discussion in 'Chaguzi Ndogo' started by Mwanaukweli, Jul 15, 2013.

  1. Mwanaukweli

    Mwanaukweli JF-Expert Member

    #1
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: May 18, 2007
    Messages: 4,274
    Likes Received: 31
    Trophy Points: 145
    Yafuatayo ni matokeo ya kata zote 26 katika chaguzi zilizofanyika 16/06/2013 na 14/07/2013
    [TABLE="class: grid, width: 500"]
    [TR]
    [TD]WILAYA
    [/TD]
    [TD]KATA
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CUF
    [/TD]
    [TD]NCCR
    [/TD]
    [TD]DP
    [/TD]
    [TD]APPT
    [/TD]
    [TD]ADC
    [/TD]
    [TD]NRA
    [/TD]
    [TD]TOTAL
    [/TD]
    [TD]WINNER
    [/TD]
    [TD]former
    [/TD]
    [TD]Loser
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Nachingwea
    [/TD]
    [TD]Stesheni
    [/TD]
    [TD]806
    [/TD]
    [TD]327
    [/TD]
    [TD]480
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]1613
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Sengerema
    [/TD]
    [TD]Nyampulukano
    [/TD]
    [TD]1073
    [/TD]
    [TD]1476
    [/TD]
    [TD]38
    [/TD]
    [TD]45
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]2632
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM lost
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Sengerema
    [/TD]
    [TD]Lugata
    [/TD]
    [TD]2214
    [/TD]
    [TD]1044
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]3258
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Muheza
    [/TD]
    [TD]Genge
    [/TD]
    [TD]347
    [/TD]
    [TD]326
    [/TD]
    [TD]6
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]679
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Muheza
    [/TD]
    [TD]Tingeni
    [/TD]
    [TD]362
    [/TD]
    [TD]244
    [/TD]
    [TD]4
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]610
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Bahi
    [/TD]
    [TD]Ibungule
    [/TD]
    [TD]863
    [/TD]
    [TD]248
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]9
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]1120
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Chemba
    [/TD]
    [TD]Dalai
    [/TD]
    [TD]1361
    [/TD]
    [TD]1027
    [/TD]
    [TD]377
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD]2765
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Mbinga
    [/TD]
    [TD]Langiro
    [/TD]
    [TD]-
    [/TD]
    [TD]-NO
    [/TD]
    [TD]-
    [/TD]
    [TD]-C
    [/TD]
    [TD]-O
    [/TD]
    [TD]-N
    [/TD]
    [TD]-T
    [/TD]
    [TD]-E
    [/TD]
    [TD]-ST[/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Serengeti
    [/TD]
    [TD]Manchilla
    [/TD]
    [TD]676
    [/TD]
    [TD]625
    [/TD]
    [TD]16
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]1317
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Mbeya
    [/TD]
    [TD]Iyela
    [/TD]
    [TD]1163
    [/TD]
    [TD]1918
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]12
    [/TD]
    [TD]20
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]3113
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM lost
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Mufindi
    [/TD]
    [TD]Mbalamaziwa
    [/TD]
    [TD]1420
    [/TD]
    [TD]184
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]1604
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Kilolo
    [/TD]
    [TD]Ng'ang'awe
    [/TD]
    [TD]686
    [/TD]
    [TD]217
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]903
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Bukombe
    [/TD]
    [TD]Runzewe west
    [/TD]
    [TD]612
    [/TD]
    [TD]529
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]153
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD]1294
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Temeke
    [/TD]
    [TD]Mianzini
    [/TD]
    [TD]1283
    [/TD]
    [TD]315
    [/TD]
    [TD]494
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]25
    [/TD]
    [TD]9
    [/TD]
    [TD]2126
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Ulanga
    [/TD]
    [TD]Minepa
    [/TD]
    [TD]1196
    [/TD]
    [TD]1029
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]2225
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]TLP
    [/TD]
    [TD]TLP lost
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Kilombero
    [/TD]
    [TD]Ifakara
    [/TD]
    [TD]3746
    [/TD]
    [TD]4106
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]7852
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM lost
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Kilosa
    [/TD]
    [TD]Masanze
    [/TD]
    [TD]948
    [/TD]
    [TD]638
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]1586
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Monduli
    [/TD]
    [TD]Makuyuni
    [/TD]
    [TD]1547
    [/TD]
    [TD]360
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]1907
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Arusha
    [/TD]
    [TD]Themi
    [/TD]
    [TD]326
    [/TD]
    [TD]678
    [/TD]
    [TD]313
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]1317
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Arusha
    [/TD]
    [TD]Kimandolu
    [/TD]
    [TD]1169
    [/TD]
    [TD]2665
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]3834
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Arusha
    [/TD]
    [TD]Kaloleni
    [/TD]
    [TD]389
    [/TD]
    [TD]1019
    [/TD]
    [TD]169
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]1577
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Arusha
    [/TD]
    [TD]Elerai
    [/TD]
    [TD]1239
    [/TD]
    [TD]1715
    [/TD]
    [TD]213
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]3167
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Babati
    [/TD]
    [TD]Bashnet
    [/TD]
    [TD]1130
    [/TD]
    [TD]2008
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]3138
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM lost
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Mbulu
    [/TD]
    [TD]Dangobesh
    [/TD]
    [TD]968
    [/TD]
    [TD]1558
    [/TD]
    [TD]5
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]2531
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM lost
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Singida
    [/TD]
    [TD]Iseke
    [/TD]
    [TD]791
    [/TD]
    [TD]831
    [/TD]
    [TD]96
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]1718
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHDM
    [/TD]
    [TD]
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Mtwara
    [/TD]
    [TD]Mnima
    [/TD]
    [TD]918
    [/TD]
    [TD]206
    [/TD]
    [TD]626
    [/TD]
    [TD]414
    [/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]-[/TD]
    [TD]2164
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CUF
    [/TD]
    [TD]CUF Lost
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD]Kura kata zote[/TD]
    [TD]27233
    [/TD]
    [TD]25293
    [/TD]
    [TD]2837
    [/TD]
    [TD]471
    [/TD]
    [TD]20
    [/TD]
    [TD]9
    [/TD]
    [TD]178
    [/TD]
    [TD]9
    [/TD]
    [TD]56050
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD]Asilimia[/TD]
    [TD]49%
    [/TD]
    [TD]45%
    [/TD]
    [TD]5%
    [/TD]
    [TD]1%
    [/TD]
    [TD]0%
    [/TD]
    [TD]0%
    [/TD]
    [TD]0%
    [/TD]
    [TD]0%
    [/TD]
    [TD]100%
    [/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD][/TD]
    [/TR]
    [/TABLE]

    Positions of the Parties before and After.
    [TABLE="class: grid, width: 500"]
    [TR]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD]CCM[/TD]
    [TD]CHADEMA[/TD]
    [TD]CUF[/TD]
    [TD]TLP[/TD]
    [TD]TOTAL[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Wards Before[/TD]
    [TD]19[/TD]
    [TD]5[/TD]
    [TD]1[/TD]
    [TD]1[/TD]
    [TD]26[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Wards After[/TD]
    [TD]16[/TD]
    [TD]10[/TD]
    [TD]0[/TD]
    [TD]0[/TD]
    [TD]26[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [/TABLE]

    Gainers and Losers
    [TABLE="class: grid, width: 600"]
    [TR]
    [TD]Losers (Former Seats lost)
    [/TD]
    [TD]Gainers (New seats gained)
    [/TD]
    [TD]Net Final position
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]TLP – Lost 1 to CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHADEMA – Gained 5 from CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CHADEMA GAINED 5
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]CUF – Lost 1 to CCM
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM - Gained 2 (From TLP and CUF)
    [/TD]
    [TD]CCM LOST 3
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]CCM – Lost 5 to CHADEMA
    [/TD]
    [TD]
    [/TD]
    [TD]TLP – LOST 1
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]CHADEMA - none
    [/TD]
    [TD]
    [/TD]
    [TD]CUF – LOST 1
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [/TABLE]

    Ni matumaini yangu kuwa namba zinajieleza vizuri.

    1. Asilimia ya Kura:
    CCM wamepata 49%, Chadema 45%, CUF 5% vyama vingine 1%

    2. Ushindi wa Jumla wa Kata:
    CCM wameshinda kata 16 (moja wameshinda bila kupiga kura kwa kuwa hakukuwa na wagombea wa upinzani) na Chadema wameshinda kata 10.

    3. MLINGANISHO NA HALI ILIVYOKUWA BAADA YA UCHAGUZI 2010
    • Chadema wameongeza viti 5
    • CCM wamepoteza viti 3
    • TLP na CUF wamepoteza kiti kimoja kimoja.
    4. MAMBO YA KIMKAKATI YA KUZINGATIA KWA VYAMA HUSIKA.
    a. Vyama vya Upinzani.
    Ukiangalia majimbo ya Stesheni (Nachingwea) na Mnima (Mtwara) wapanzani wakijumlisha kura zao walipata kura nyingi zaidi kuliko CCM, lakini CCM ameibuka mshindi. Hali hii ilikuwepo Kenye pia katika chaguzi mbili za kwanza za vyama vingi ambapo KANU ilikuwa inashinda, lakini kura za upinzani ni nyingi. Hapa ndipo inabidi kufikiria mkakati wa ushindi.

    Niwakumbushe tu, wakati wa vita ya pili ya dunia Uingereza iliunda ushirika na Urusi, kwa kuwa waliona nguvu za Ujerumani wasingeziweza wakiwa wametengana. Japo kwa kweli hakukuwa na urafiki mwingine wowote wa dhati kati ya nchi hizi, lengo la ushindi kwa wote liliwaunganisha. Maadui huungana na kuwa rafiki wanapokuwa na tishio la pamoja. Vyama vya upinzani visipoona hivyo, CCM itaendelea kudumu miaka mingi sana ijayo, japo kwa kura kidogo zaidi na zaidi.

    Wapinzani Tanzania kama wanahitaji ushindi, wanahitaji kufikiria hili. Ukiangalia jumla ya kura zilizopigwa, CCM wana 49% lakini wana viti vingi zaidi ya 50% vilivyogombaniwa. Hakika CUF ingeungwa mkono na CHADEMA NA NCCR Mageuzi Mtwara na Nachingwea CCM wangepoteza. Kadhalika CUF ingeunga mkono Chadema Kata ya Dalai Dodoma wangewashinda.

    Hata hivyo kila chama kinapaswa binafsi kuendelea na kampeni za kujijenga kule ambako bado hawafahamiki, huku wakijitahidi kuhudumia vema wale waliowapa uwakilishi.

    b. Chama cha Mapinduzi.
    Kwa kweli chama chetu kikongwe Tanzania kinahitaji kujitafiti. Uchaguzi mdogo wa madiwani wa Oktoba 2012, CCM ilipoteza viti kadhaa. Kwa haraka haraka nakumbuka walipoteza Kata 4 zikiwemo ya Daraja Mbili Arusha, Kata ya Ipole wilayani Sikonge - Tabora, na kata ya Lengali wilayani Ludewa. Katika uchaguzi huu CCM wamepoteza kata 5 zilizokuwa mikononi mwao, na kupata mpya mbili zilizokuwa TLP na CUF.

    Kipropaganda ni rahisi kuhesabu viti kuwa kati ya kata 26 mmeshinda kata 16. Kimoyomoyo mnajua kuwa mnawakilisha kata chache zaidi sasa kuliko awali. Ni vizuri kujiuliza kama chama iwapo mambo yako sawa ndani ya Chama. Je ni sera? Je ni watendaji? Je ni kubweteka? Je ni mbinu ambazo badala ya kujenga mvuto kwa watu zinazidi kuwafanya watu wakichoke na kukichukia chama hiki tawala? Je ni timu ya kampeni?

    Kwa vyovyote vile ni lazima mfanye tafakari. Mfahamu pia kuwa mbinu za kutisha watu kwa vyombo vya dola na kufungua kesi za kubambikiziana, na kujaribu ku criminalize the opposition zinafanya wananchi wawachukie zaidi kuliko kuwapenda.

    Hiyo ni tathmini yangu. Nakaribisha mjadala.
     
  2. Ciril

    Ciril JF-Expert Member

    #141
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Jan 10, 2011
    Messages: 4,959
    Likes Received: 843
    Trophy Points: 280
    Chukua like mkuu:coffee:
     
  3. Amiliki

    Amiliki JF-Expert Member

    #142
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: May 6, 2011
    Messages: 2,087
    Likes Received: 10
    Trophy Points: 135
    Hii single mbona ilishachujaga mazee! Au ndo kuchanganyikiwa huko?
     
  4. w

    wauwau JF-Expert Member

    #143
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Apr 6, 2012
    Messages: 705
    Likes Received: 0
    Trophy Points: 33
    Inatia shaka na kinyaa kama ni asilimia tatu (3%) ya waliojiandikisha ndio walipiga kura ndio ushindi hu ni ubakaji wa demokrasia, halafu tunashangilia. Kweli ndiyo simple majority hii?
     
  5. m

    mangikule JF-Expert Member

    #144
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Jun 11, 2012
    Messages: 2,628
    Likes Received: 660
    Trophy Points: 280
    Excellent analysis: Wale FISI bado kidogo tuyazamishe baharini!! yanatapatapa hadi yafe menyewe!! CCM ni FISI lazima yauawe!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
     
  6. M

    Mutakyamirwa JF-Expert Member

    #145
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Jan 24, 2011
    Messages: 4,855
    Likes Received: 309
    Trophy Points: 180
    Mtu wa shamba,

    Hongera sana. This is good analysis. Kuungana kwa vyama ili kuindoa ccm madarakani ni vigumu sana. Hii inatokana na rule and divide strategy ya ccm. Inafahamika wazi kuwa vyama vingi vya upinzani ni vibaraka wa ccm, hat hivyo imewashangaza sana ccm kuona chama kimojawapo kama cdm wanakuwa vigahiri na kinyume cha mategemeo yao.

    Kwa miaka mingi ccm imejiaminisha kuwa chama tawala milele ndo maana wanashangaa, na hawaamini kama madaraka yao yatapokonywa 2015. Mbinu zao zote hakuna inayofanikiwa zikiwemo hizo za mauaji, vitisho na kuwanyima maendeleo majimbo pinzani.

    Kibaya zaidi ni ulevi wa madaraka, kiburi na uongo wa wazi wazi wa watawala wao. Kwa ujumla mimi binafsi nashangaa nikiona bado kuna hata kijana mmoja anaisupport ccm. Wanayoyafanya sasa ni zaidi ya ubaya wa kibinadamu uliopitiliza. Ukiona watu walionakashifa ndio wanajipitisha kutafuta urais....; ukiona mwendelzo wa rushwa....ukiona hoja za wabunge wa chama chao.....; ukiona majigambo ya maendeleo ya waliyafanya 50 yrs kwa kulinganisha na hali halisi ya resources zetu na nchi nyingine.....inatia kinyaaa

    Hata hivyo ccm wanweza kuendelea kuwepo kwa sababu kuu mbili 1) ujinga na elimu ndongo ya wapiga kura 2) umaskini (kwa kupewa chakula, khanga....wakati wa kura); 3) Vitisho na maandalizi yao ya kufanya mapinduizi (rejea nchi siwezi kuwapa wapinzani...ili limeishatokea Zanzibar na watataka kulifanya Bara), wapige tu, wapige tu, tumeishawachoka.....

    CDM itaweza kuingia madarakani 2015 hata bila support ya kura za 'wapinzani wengine' kama 1) wakiendeleza m4c vijijijini 2) kusimamia uboreshaji wa kitabu cha wapiga kura 3) tume ya uchaguzi kuwa huru (zaidi kwa amani ya tzn), kuhimiza watu kupiga kura kama silaha ya ukombozi wao 5) KULINDA KURA ZAO, KUHIMALISHA red brigade...
     
  7. chikutentema

    chikutentema JF-Expert Member

    #146
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Dec 10, 2012
    Messages: 6,307
    Likes Received: 983
    Trophy Points: 280
    Sikatai kila mtu anamapungufu yake kama ilivyo kwa ccm hivyo na cdm yaweza kuwa nayo na kwakweli napenda kuona wapenda mabadiliko kuichallange cdm ili izidi kujiimarisha zaidi ni vizuri kwa hilo ulilolisema na sina ugomvi nalo. kwa hayo machache nililosema nitarejea kauli yako kuwa cdm haijanya chochote sehemu ilikopita mi nadhani ili kuijenga cdm ungeainisha kabisa ni wapi huko ili tuelewe kuwa umeweka data zenye uhakika zitakazosaidia kujisahihisha kinyume na hapo zitakuwa ni propaganda za kuwaaminisha watu kuwa cdm haijafanya chochote ilhali watu tukiziona tofauiti kubwa ktkhalmashauli zile zinazoongozwa ccm na zile za cdm. Je usafi wa mji wa moshi vip ? mpango wa kusomesha baadhi ya watoto bure sec Arusha na Moshi huoni? ufisadi unaoibuliwa kwenye Halmashauli vp mpaka kazi ya Utto imeanza kuonekana kwani siku zote utto alikuwa wapi. vp hoja ya mnyika bungeni kuhusu maji? vp hoja ya zitto kuhusu mapesa ya uswiss na kumng'oa waziri mkuu pale asipowajbika. vp hoja ya kamanda kipenzi cha vijana ambaye hata mimi nampenda sana lema kuhusu waziri mkuu pale anapolidanganya taifa nayo sio kitu? vp uhodari wa kamanda mrembo sana aliyeandika historia ktk taifa hili kuongoza jimbo muhimu tz, Mdee, vp hoja zake juu ya migogoro ya Ardhi? Ni yeye aliyefanya nikajua kuwa ardhi ya wazee wangu imeuzwa kwa mwekezaji wakati mi niko shule......na mifano mingine mingi.
    Sasa ninaloweza kusema ni kwamba hoja za wapinzani ni kuwapa presha hawa watawala kutekeleza miradi ya maendeleo maana mafungu wanayo wao, CDM sio mpaka ikununulie shati au kofia na kiremba kama ccm ndio uje wamefanya kitu. Nadhan nimeeleweka kama wewe nilivyokuelewa yote ni ktk kujenga...ila mimi si kwamba naichukia tu ccm bali hata walichokifanya sikioni. Kwanini? kwa sababu miaka zaidi ya 50 sio kutuhesabia hapa na pale tumefanya, tulipaswa tuone wenyewe sio kusontewa kwa vidole kwani sisi mataahira. Kwenye sheria kunausemi wa kilatini usemao "Les ipsa loquitur" wenye maana mambo au jambo linajieleza lenyewe-ikiwa na maana kwamba miaka 50 ya uhuru na maendeleo vinatakiwa kwenda sanjari tena kwa nchi za wenye mawazo inatakiwa maendeleo yavuke lengo maana rasilimali kibao.
     
  8. kanta

    kanta JF-Expert Member

    #147
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Jan 24, 2011
    Messages: 341
    Likes Received: 6
    Trophy Points: 35
    Asante sana mkuu kwa analysis yako nzuri, nimeipenda sana hii, but nataka kuongezea kidoogo kuhusu kuchukiwa kwa CCM, CCM inachukiwa kutokana na mambo mabaya iliyofanya na inayoendelea kuyafanya kwa watu wake, na haya yote hapo awali yalikuwa hayaonekani, lakini CHADEMA wakaibuka na kutueleza kinachoendelea, wakatueleza jinsi serikali inavyoendesha mambo, wakatueleza juu ya watu wa CCM wanavyotuibia mali zetu, wakatueleza vitu vingi ambavyo hapo awali vilikuwa kama kificho. Hivyo tunaweza kusema kuwa CHADEAMA ndio wametusababishia tuichukie CCM kwa kiasi flani pamoja na mambo mengine, tuwapongeze kwa hilo huku tukiwapa angalizo kwamba kwa matokeo hayo japo ni mazuri kazi ndio kwaanza imeanza wakaze buti na sisi wapenda mabadiliko tuwe pamoja nao kwenye harakati zao kwa hali na mali.
     
  9. Exaud Mamuya

    Exaud Mamuya Verified User

    #148
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Jul 26, 2011
    Messages: 402
    Likes Received: 1
    Trophy Points: 0
    Viva Chadema Viva!

    Sent from my BlackBerry 9700 using JamiiForums
     
  10. Mr.Professional

    Mr.Professional JF-Expert Member

    #149
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Oct 4, 2010
    Messages: 1,601
    Likes Received: 0
    Trophy Points: 133
    kula kudos mkuu analysis hii inaweza kupingwa na mwehu tu maana namba zinazungumza zenyewe wala hukuhitaji kuongeza hata neno baada ya majedwali yako. kazi nzuri na tunashukuru kwa hilo
     
  11. U

    UTENDE Senior Member

    #150
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Jan 20, 2013
    Messages: 122
    Likes Received: 32
    Trophy Points: 45
    Chadema fanyeni kila linalowezekana muje tena mtwara mutoe dozi hawa maccm tumechoshwa nayo na lema asikose kuja.
     
  12. n

    nemasisi JF-Expert Member

    #151
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Oct 4, 2012
    Messages: 1,826
    Likes Received: 42
    Trophy Points: 145
    Hizi ndo analysis za ma great thinker, thanx mkuu umelitendea haki jukwaa letu..kazi kwao viongozi wa vyama vya siasa kuitumia analysis kujiweka vizuri
     
  13. RICARDO KAKA

    RICARDO KAKA JF-Expert Member

    #152
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: May 26, 2012
    Messages: 867
    Likes Received: 7
    Trophy Points: 0
    Ndugu yangu hongera sana kwa uchambuzi mzuri.
    Natumai hukwenda shule kushangaa vimini!
     
  14. Mwanaukweli

    Mwanaukweli JF-Expert Member

    #153
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: May 18, 2007
    Messages: 4,274
    Likes Received: 31
    Trophy Points: 145
    Mkuu, watakuwa wamekusikia
     
  15. Mwanaukweli

    Mwanaukweli JF-Expert Member

    #154
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: May 18, 2007
    Messages: 4,274
    Likes Received: 31
    Trophy Points: 145
    Pamoja na analysis nzuri ya Mtu wa Shamba, nina swali la kizushi.

    Hivi huu mkakati unaoonekana kwenye picha hii, ulisaidia kiasi gani kuongeza kura za CCM au kupunguza kura za CDM?

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 4, 2016
  16. B

    Ba Nido Member

    #155
    Jul 15, 2013
    Joined: Apr 20, 2013
    Messages: 47
    Likes Received: 7
    Trophy Points: 15
    hizo bold red za kutafakali san kwa CDM. kubaki madalakn ni jambo dogo sana kwa viongozi, jarb hata kufanikisha 10% ya ahdi zako hakika utarudi uongozin Lov CDM.
     
  17. n

    notradamme JF-Expert Member

    #156
    Jul 16, 2013
    Joined: Nov 2, 2010
    Messages: 2,015
    Likes Received: 1
    Trophy Points: 135
    ciril ndugu yangu, huwezi kutoa andishi bila kujali hisia. ila hisia haziruhusiwi kufifisha ukweli na uhalisia wa chochote kinachojadiliwa.
    labda nianze kwa kulitetea jeshi la polisi na jinsi ambavyo chadema wanalionea na kulidhalilisha wakati jeshi hilo linafanya kazi kwa mujibu wa sheria. ni mzandiki tuu atakayekataa kuwa jeshi la pilisi tulilonalo sasa ni bora kiutendaji kuliko kipindi chochote tangu uhuru, na ndio jeshi la polisi pekee miongoni mwa nchi za SADC na EAC. polisi ya tz chini ya said mwema imejipenyeza mpaka miongoni mwa raia kupitia polisi jamii na ulinzi shirikishi kiasi ambacho askari polisi wa tz sio kiumbe cha kuogopwa zaidi ya kuonekana rafiki wa watu. nenda katika nchi zinazotuzunguka au hata SOUTH AFRICA kisha uje ulinganishe na TZ.
    tatizo la CHADEMA ni PROVOCATION! mnawa-provoc polisi kwa makusudi ili watimize wajibu wao ili mpate platform ya kulalamika. tunajua kabisa kuwa MAANDAMANO, MIKUTANO na uhuru wa kutoa maoni ni haki ya kikatiba ya kila mtanzania...
    ni kwa nini sasa inalazimika polisi kupewa taarifa?? ni kwa sababu mikutano na maandamano yatahitaji ulinzi toka jeshi la polisi.sasa polisi wakiwa hawana askari wa kutosha kutoa ulinzi katika mkutano/maandamano husika ni wajibu wao kupiga marufuku. tatizo lenu kubwa mnafanya siasa huku mkidhani ninyi ni weledi wa kila kitu(hili ni tatizo la wanasiasa wooote wa africa), mnajiona kuwa ni wataalamu wa SHERIA,UCHUMI,USALAMA,VITA,HABARI,ELIMU,UVUVI,HIFADHI,UHANDISI na kila kitu kiasi cha kuingilia hata mamlaka za kiutawala. hebu jiulize kwa kutenda haki kabisa,, hivi ni chama gani kinachoongoza kwa kufanya mikutano ya hadhara na maandamano ndani ya miaka mitatu iliyopita??? hivi kweli kama serikali na jeshi la polisi wangekuwa wana dhamira mbaya ya kukandamiza democrasia kama mnavyotaka tuamini, hayo yote yangewezekana??????? jibu utakuwa nalo moyoni hata kama humu utajibu tofauti na moyo wako...
    kuhusu mauaji ya MWANGOSI, nadhani lile llikuwa ni kosa la kimedani na kwa kutambua hilo, serikali ilichukua hatua kwa mujibu wa sheria na yule askari nadhani sisi wote ni mashahidi kuwa yuko mahakamani, tatizo ni kwamba hata katika matukio ya kijeshi mnataka maamuzi yatolewe kisiasa kwa matakwa yenu ili mwisho wa siku mje humu na kujitapa kwamba serikali inaendeshwa kwa amri za chadema.
    kuhusu bomu la arusha>>>>> mtanisamehe saaana kama mtapenda lakini kwa mtu yeyote mwenye akili isiyoendeshwa na ushabiki hawezi kuihusisha serikali wala CCM katika mlipuko ule. na kuna kila sababu ya kuihusisha CHADEMA na tukio lile na hata matukio baada ya mlipuko ule yanathibitisha dhana hiyo. hivi labda nikuulize, ni kwa maslahi gani CCM/SERIKALI itaayapata kwa kulipua bomu kwenye mkutano wa chadema!!!?????? ni mwendawazimu tu ambae ataacha kuihusisha serikali/ccm kama mlipuko ukitokea kwenye mkutano wa chadema(kama mnavyoihusisha sasa).Na hivyo basi ili kuichafua serikali/ccm NI LAZIMA WALE WENYE MALENGO HAYO(CHADEMA) wafanye tukio kama lile ili mwisho wa siku lawama zielekezwe kwa serikali/ccm kama jinsi mnavyojitahidi kutuaminisha.
    lakini vilevile ukiangalia na kutafakari kauli za viongozi wa chadema baada ya mlipuko wa pale soweto, kuna kitu kinajionyesha. kwa nini mkutano ule waliandaa vifaa maalum(bullshit) vya kurikodi matukio??? kwa nini walengwa wa lile bomu hawakuwa na dhamira ya kuwalenga viongozi?? kwa nini camera iliyochukua tukio haikushituliwa na mlipuko wa bomu lile??? kwa nini yalikuwa yamelengwa maeneo maalum kwa mpiga picha kuchukua matukio???na LA MSINGI KABISA, KWA NINI USHAHIDI WA MLIPUKO ULE MPAKA SASA UNAJULIKANA NA WATU WATATU TUU NDANI YA CHADEMA???? KWA NINI HATA VIKAO VYA JUU VYA CHAMA VIMESHINDWA KUDAI NA KUPEWA (japo kwa kuonyeshwa tuu) USHAHIDI HUU???? KWA NINI HATA WANASHERIA WA CHAMA (ambao ndio haswaa waliostahili kukaa na ushahidi huo kwa ajili ya taratibu za kisheria) MAPAKA LEO HII HAWAJUI HUO USHAHIDI UNAOONGELEWA NI UPI????
    jiulize kwa nini wale watu makini kabisa ndani ya chama chenu kama akina ZZK,KITILA MKUMBO,TUNDU LISSU, PRO SAFARI NA PROF BAREGU wamejitenga kabisa na upuuzi wa bomu la pale soweto???? amini nakwambia, something is cooking and when the right time comes, mtalalamika kuwa mnahujumiwa... ona yanayotokea kwa KILEO kule igunga, imechukua miaka mingapi kwa ukweli kuja kujulikana???? ni muda tu kaka na mlipuko wa arusha utapata mwenyewe.
    kwangu mimi naona ni upuuzi kwa mzalendo yeyote wanchi hii atakaposimama na kusema"""eti tuzingatie na kutatua kero za wananchi na sio kujaribu kuiangamiza chadema'''' mimi naamini kabisa kuwa SIASA ZA CHADEMA ZA HIVI SASA NI TATIZO KUBWA KATIKA NCHI YETU KULIKO MATATIZO YOOOTE YANALOLIKABILI TAIFA hata kama chadema yenyewe sio tatizo.
    ni halmashauri ngapi mnazoziongoza ambazo manawakataza wananchi kushiriki na kuchangia shughuli za maendeleo???
    ni kwa kiasi gani mnawashawishi na kuwa-organise wamachinga wafanye biashara maeneo mabayo ni kinyume cha sheria?
    ni kwa kiwango gani mnajaribu kuzipaka matope juhudi za serikali (hata kama hazitoshi) katika kutimiza ahadi na malengo yake????
    ni kwa kiwango gani mnajaribu kuuteketeza na kuuangamiza uzalendo tokamioyoni mwa watanzania na kuwashawishi kuichukia nchi yao tz na kuipenda chadema kama vile chadema/ccm zinaweza kuwepo bila tanzania???????
    '' DEMOCRACY IS NOT ALL ABOUT ELECTIONS, IT'S ABOUT NATIONAL STABILITY AND PATRIOTISM''
    kumbuka HAMMAS, MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD, MDC na CUF..hivi vyama vilishinda uchaguzi lakini havikupewa nchi.unajua ni kwa nini???? havikuwa vinawakilisha matakwa na hatma ya mataifa husika
     
  18. U

    Uchaguzi JF-Expert Member

    #157
    Jul 16, 2013
    Joined: Apr 20, 2013
    Messages: 915
    Likes Received: 2
    Trophy Points: 33
    Huu mchanganuo umekaa kichadema zaidi, sidhani kama mnajua kuwa Wananchi wamechoka na fujo,dalili za vita, na maandamano.
    Kama kweli kuna wachanganuaji wa maana hapa hebu mtuwekee "response" ya Wananchi baada ya uchaguzi huu.
     
  19. L

    Lindongo Member

    #158
    Jul 16, 2013
    Joined: Apr 9, 2012
    Messages: 76
    Likes Received: 0
    Trophy Points: 13
    Nakushukuru sana kwa uchambuzi makini unaonyesha uhalisia wa siasa za hapa Tanzania na jinsi demokrasia inavyokua kwav kasi. mabadiliko yanayotokea ni ishari nzuri kwa vyama vya siasa. wajitahidi kujipanga vizuri kwani fikra za wanananchi zinabadilika.
     
  20. Mwanaukweli

    Mwanaukweli JF-Expert Member

    #159
    Jul 17, 2013
    Joined: May 18, 2007
    Messages: 4,274
    Likes Received: 31
    Trophy Points: 145
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 4, 2016
  21. UNDENIABLE

    UNDENIABLE JF-Expert Member

    #160
    Jul 18, 2013
    Joined: Feb 26, 2013
    Messages: 2,130
    Likes Received: 111
    Trophy Points: 160
    Duuu, aisee!
     
Loading...