Kumekuwa na ubishani kuhusiana na hali ya njaa nchini na mengi yemeongelewa. Lakini ili kutatua ubishani huu na 'kumaliza' malumbano, ningeomba picha hizi zimfikie mheshimiwa Rais.
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Assesment yangu ni hivi:
In general, sehemu kubwa kulingana na picha zilizopigwa na mtandao wa Google Earth zinaoesha kuwa zaidi ya asilimia sabini ya nchi iko katika hali ya ukijani.
Hiyo asilimia kama thelathini iliyobakia, acccording to Google Earth ni mikoa kama ya Manyara, Arusha, Kilimanjaro, Dodoma, na nusu ya Singida inaonekana kuwa na ukijani, ihali nusu ikionekana kuwa na hali ya jangwa.
Kwa kutumia picha hizi za google earth ninamuomba muheshimiwa kuwa watu wa mikoa hii ambayo inaonekana kuwa imeathiriwa na ukame, wapate msaada wa chakula cha dharula iwapo hali itabidi, pia wale walio na mifugo kwenye maeneo haya yalioathiriwa na ukame, waruhusiwe kuihamishiak wenye mikoa inayonekana kuwa na hali ya kijani kibichi kama inavyoonekana kwenye picha za Google Earth.
In general,
Naungana na mheshimiwa Raisi kukiri kuwa suala la ukame limekuzwa na wafanya biashara na wanasiasa wenye nia ya kuichafua serikali yake, kwani kutokana na assesment yangu ya picha za google earth, inaonekana sehemu kubwa ya nchi ikiwa katika hali ya ukijani....
Mwisho wa Mjadala...
Soma hapa ndio uone uhalisia sio kuangalia picha za google earth and you don't even know how to interpret
Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook January 12 – January 18, 2017
Heavyrainfallisexpectedtoprovidereliefforseveralmoisture-stressedareas,butincreasetheriskof flooding in southeastern Africa.
1) Since December, increased locust numbers and breeding have been reported in western Mauritania, Western Sahara, and northeastern Sudan according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.
2) Below-average and erratic rainfall over the past several weeks has resulted in strong moisture deficits, degraded ground conditions, and poor crop prospects across many parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Kenya, bimodal and unimodal areas of Tanzania. Strengthening dryness has also been observed across southern Tanzania and northern Mozambique.
3) Insufficient rain during November has led to large moisture deficits and abnormal dryness, which have negatively affected cropping activities over parts of the Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal, and Free State provinces of South Africa.
4) Insufficient rain since late November has strengthened rainfall deficits, resulting in abnormal dryness in eastern and southern Madagascar.
5) Several weeks of enhanced rainfall has resulted in excess ground moisture and is likely to trigger floods and elevate river levels throughout Zimbabwe, Mozambique and Malawi. Inundation along the Limpopo River has reportedly led to crop losses in the Gaza province of Mozambique.
Higher rainfall totals received over southern Africa.
Satellite-Estimated Rainfall (mm) Valid: January 1 – January 7, 2017
Figure 1: NOAA/CPC
In early 2017, well distributed, heavy rainfall was received throughout several countries in southern Africa. According to satellite rainfall estimates, the highest weekly accumulations (>100mm) were registered over parts of South Africa, western and central Mozambique, eastern Zambia, and northern Madagascar (Figure 1). Further west, more moderate rainfall amounts were observed across southern Angola and northern Namibia, however, drier conditions prevailed along the Atlantic coastline. Similarly, low, and poorly distributed rainfall amounts also continued across much of Tanzania. However, wetter conditions have continued to expand northward into southern Tanzania, Malawi, and northern Mozambique where low rainfall amounts were predominately seen during December.
Although southern Africa rainfall has gradually improved with respect to its spatial extent and quantity, which has helped to mitigate early season dryness, additional rains and ground moisture are still needed mainly over eastern equatorial and in parts of southeastern Africa. Analysis of the frequency of rainfall shows moderate to large shortages of rain days over much of Tanzania, Uganda, and northern Mozambique (Figure 2). Here, prolonged periods of little to no rainfall since the middle of October, have contributed to anomalous dryness and remain unfavorable for the development of crops. In Madagascar, rainfall has been comparatively more frequent; however, the accumulation of low totals on a daily basis has led to a rapid strengthening and expansion of dryness towards the south within the last month. A continuation of infrequent and poorly distributed rainfall in these regions during January is likely to negatively impact cropping activities, and further deteriorate ground conditions.
For the upcoming outlook period, a continuation of heavy rainfall is expected over much of southeastern Africa. Many parts of eastern Zambia, northern Mozambique, Malawi, and northern Madagascar are forecast to receive weekly rainfall accumulations > 75mm.
Favorable chances for average to above-average rainfall in South Africa.
In the Maize Triangle region of South Africa, a slow onset of the monsoon during October led to increased concerns of anomalous dryness and degraded cropping conditions following a very poor monsoon last year (2015-2016). However, seasonal rainfall activity has considerably improved since November, which not only neutralized early season moisture deficits, but has also significantly lessened the chances for a below-average season. SPP analyses indicate moderate to high likelihoods that rainfall will be average to above-average in the North West, Gauteng, Limpopo, and Mpumalanga states of South Africa before the end of February (Figure 3). Precipitation forecasts also suggest seasonable rainfall amounts during the next seven days.
Note: The hazards outlook map on page 1 is based on current weather/climate information and short and medium range weather forecasts (up to 1 week). It assesses their potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. Shaded polygons are added in areas where anomalous conditions have been observed. The boundaries of these polygons are only approximate at this continental scale. This product does not reflect long range seasonal climate forecasts or indicate current or projected food security conditions.
Satellite-Estimated Number of Rain Days Anomaly Valid: October 10, 2016 – January 7, 2017
Figure 2: NOAA/CPC
Seasonal Performance Probability (%) Valid: December 01, 2016 – February 28, 2017
Figure 3: NOAA/CPC
Questions or comments about this product may be directed to
Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.
