Jenerali Ulimwengu: I predict a constitutional crisis ahead!

[BAK]

Lame duck chief, squabbling courtiers; I predict a constitutional crisis ahead

By Jenerali Ulimwengu
THE EAST AFRICAN

Posted Saturday, January 4 2014 at 12:42


This year dawns with many people unsure of how it may end and how they may fare, either as individuals or as members of recognisable groups. There are just too many questions left unanswered from last year and the years before it for anyone to claim they have peered into the crystal ball.

This may not amount to anything to write home about, for who has ever been able to foretell — Nostradamus apart — what the future holds? Of course, people will surmise, guesstimate, postulate and conjecture. All these suppose incomplete, or absent, scientific givens for divining the future.

Yet we can all be certain, almost, that if it rises it shall set, and if it’s born it shall die. That the river will not flow uphill, and that if the village dogs start crowing and the cats take to barking, there is something very seriously wrong.

For the time being, however, we do not have to deal with the more surreal and the outlandish because we have enough material to play with that is more mundane than that, more down to earth.

Take the proposed new constitution, for instance. No magical realism there. The chair of the constitutional review commission, Joseph Warioba, said the other day that the proposed three-tier government came from the views collected during the public hearing conducted by his team; he and his commission were not inventing anything new.

Still, certain people in his own party incline to the view that notwithstanding the views expressed by the public, Warioba should have been able to craft a proposal that rejected the idea of three governments within the Union.

I have failed to make head or tail of the arguments advanced by ruling party in this area, and I admit bafflement.

So, when the constituent assembly is convened, I expect the ruling party, which will be in a sizeable majority, to shoot this proposal down. If this happens, it will open up a new Pandora’s Box that may lead to an impasse and a possible constitutional crisis.

President Jakaya Kikwete said the other day — and it’s the law — that if there is no agreement on a new constitution, the 1977 Constitution will remain in force. That is to say, after all the expense in money, time and emotions, the nation will be told, very simply, hey, guys, too bad it didn’t work, so we go back to our old ways... until the next time!

Of course, there are better ways to provoke the ire of the populace, but this one could be a true shocker. Even a lame-duck presidency should shudder to think of such an eventuality, which would make people feel they have been had.

Lame duck, did I say? Next year, we have presidential elections and the current incumbent is literally accounted for; he cannot run, and this has meant that his wannabe successors have been jostling across the land, preening themselves and doing a very poor job of masking their presidential ambitions.

And all along, they have been exhibiting the very bankruptcy of the political system that allows their mediocrity to even be considered for high office, let alone the highest office in the land.

They started in churches and mosques, where they have been doing their best to bribe God with contributions to this or that charitable cause. But I suspect the Great Wizard has not been listening, or if he has, he is not impressed.

For, it seems to me that our next chief will be determined by boda-boda riders, who seem to have become a popular constituency with these “😛residentials,” who tell the ill-disciplined bikers that they will be a priority in the coming administration.

In all this, Kikwete looks pretty much a spectator, the quintessential lame duck whose mantle his squabbling juniors would happily tear from his back were the rules to be more relaxed than they already are. Which means, in turn, that when it comes to finally determining the country’s constitution, the duck could be even lamer.


That’s only from my crystal ball, so kindly ignore it, and have a Happy New Year!
Jenerali Ulimwengu is chairman of the board of the Raia Mwema newspaper and an advocate of the High Court in Dar es Salaam. E-mail: ulimwengu@jenerali.com

 

[Dingswayo]

Kudos for Jenerali. He doesn't mince words. He says like it is

 

[Malafyale]

Hii ipo wazi!CCM hawawezi kupitisha serikali 3 na watatumia wingi wao Bungeni kuiondoa!

CCM Kukubali serikali 3 ni kukubali kujiondoa wenyewe madarakani!

Mark my words BAK !Serikali 3 inaenda kunyongelewa Bungeni na kutupunguza hasira watafanya marekebisho kutupa vitu vya hovyohovyo kama vile kuondoa viti maalum bungeni

 

[mwekundu]

Hajakosea hiyo crisis inakuja

 

[Consigliere]

Ikishindikana nitaamini kirahisi na kijinga sana kuwa issue ya katiba mpya ilichukuliwa kama mradi wa kukusanya pesa za uchaguzi.

 

[Ivonya-Ngia]

Thanks BAK for bringing this up.

At least I'm sure of what's ahead of us, as matters stand, an obvious constitutional crisis.

One more thing brought up clearly, a lame-duck presidency. This has been guaranteed for so long, as we all know we're lacking a clear perspective on various objectives. For me this is a lame-duck legacy.

Kudos Jenerali, the whole analysis is a deeper thought that requires a reader's digest.

 

[East African Eagle]

President Jakaya Kikwete said the other day — and it’s the law — that if there is no agreement on a new constitution, the 1977 Constitution will remain in force. That is to say, after all the expense in money, time and emotions, the nation will be told, very simply, hey, guys, too bad it didn’t work, so we go back to our old ways... until the next time!

Of course, there are better ways to provoke the ire of the populace, but this one could be a true shocker. Even a lame-duck presidency should shudder to think of such an eventuality, which would make people feel they have been had.

Ningeshangaa sana kama huyu generali Ulimwengu ambaye ana asili ya WanyaRwanda a-predict mema kwa Tanzania! Ameshika peni "Made in Rwanda" anapotumia kuandika alichoandika.

Katiba yoyote unapotengeneza iliyopo haifi hadi hiyo unayotengeneza mchakato wake unapokamilika ndicho Raisi alichomaanisha.Simple and clear.Kama wananchi au bunge halijaikubali hiyo Rasmu ina maana hiyo katiba mpya bado haijakamilika hivyo hiyo ya zamani inaendelea hadi hiyo mpya iwe tayari.

Mwandishi mzoefu kama yeye kushindwa kuelewa Raisi kasemaje ni aibu kwake na kwa taaluma yake.Au aliandika hii makala hii akiwa chakari bar manaake kwa pombe hajambo.

 

[Yussuph idrissa]

well said!!

 

[Ivonya-Ngia]

President Jakaya Kikwete said the other day - and it's the law - that if there is no agreement on a new constitution, the 1977 Constitution will remain in force.

Ndugu East African Eagle

Kuna utofauti gani kati ya ulichoandika wewe na alichoandika Jenerali? Tena yeye amekuonyesha kuwa ni zaidi ya maneno tu ya Rais Kikwete, hiyo ni sheria. Ama kwa kuwa Jenerali ameandika kwa kiingereza na wewe umeandika kwa kiswahili?

Umeumbiwa ubongo kwa ajili ya kutafakari, fanya hivyo. Kauli ya Rais Kikwete mwenyewe haikuwa tu kutanabaisha kuwa mchakato ukishindwa tutabaki tulipo, msome kwa makini kauli yake na utaona kuwa anaonya. Onyo lake ni kuwa si vema kama taifa kutumia muda wetu na gharama kubwa kuanzisha mchakato ambao utashindwa na kubaki palepale. Ni aibu na hasara. Ndiyo maana uliona akijikita kuwaonya wajumbe wa bunge la katiba kutanguliza maslahi ya taifa mbele ili tuwe na mustakabali mwema wa taifa jipya lenye maono na mwelekeo mpya.

Ni aibu kwa mtu yeyote aliyestaarabika kujenga hoja kwa kutumia kichaka cha ubaguzi. Naamini nami sasa utanipa utaifa wenye nasaba na taifa lingine, karibu sana.

Please learn to argue, do not shout!

 

[mokti]

Lame duck chief, squabbling courtiers; I predict a constitutional crisis ahead

By Jenerali Ulimwengu
THE EAST AFRICAN

Posted Saturday, January 4 2014 at 12:42


This year dawns with many people unsure of how it may end and how they may fare, either as individuals or as members of recognisable groups. There are just too many questions left unanswered from last year and the years before it for anyone to claim they have peered into the crystal ball.

This may not amount to anything to write home about, for who has ever been able to foretell — Nostradamus apart — what the future holds? Of course, people will surmise, guesstimate, postulate and conjecture. All these suppose incomplete, or absent, scientific givens for divining the future.

Yet we can all be certain, almost, that if it rises it shall set, and if it’s born it shall die. That the river will not flow uphill, and that if the village dogs start crowing and the cats take to barking, there is something very seriously wrong.

For the time being, however, we do not have to deal with the more surreal and the outlandish because we have enough material to play with that is more mundane than that, more down to earth.

Take the proposed new constitution, for instance. No magical realism there. The chair of the constitutional review commission, Joseph Warioba, said the other day that the proposed three-tier government came from the views collected during the public hearing conducted by his team; he and his commission were not inventing anything new.

Still, certain people in his own party incline to the view that notwithstanding the views expressed by the public, Warioba should have been able to craft a proposal that rejected the idea of three governments within the Union.

I have failed to make head or tail of the arguments advanced by ruling party in this area, and I admit bafflement.

So, when the constituent assembly is convened, I expect the ruling party, which will be in a sizeable majority, to shoot this proposal down. If this happens, it will open up a new Pandora’s Box that may lead to an impasse and a possible constitutional crisis.

President Jakaya Kikwete said the other day — and it’s the law — that if there is no agreement on a new constitution, the 1977 Constitution will remain in force. That is to say, after all the expense in money, time and emotions, the nation will be told, very simply, hey, guys, too bad it didn’t work, so we go back to our old ways... until the next time!

Of course, there are better ways to provoke the ire of the populace, but this one could be a true shocker. Even a lame-duck presidency should shudder to think of such an eventuality, which would make people feel they have been had.

Lame duck, did I say? Next year, we have presidential elections and the current incumbent is literally accounted for; he cannot run, and this has meant that his wannabe successors have been jostling across the land, preening themselves and doing a very poor job of masking their presidential ambitions.

And all along, they have been exhibiting the very bankruptcy of the political system that allows their mediocrity to even be considered for high office, let alone the highest office in the land.

They started in churches and mosques, where they have been doing their best to bribe God with contributions to this or that charitable cause. But I suspect the Great Wizard has not been listening, or if he has, he is not impressed.

For, it seems to me that our next chief will be determined by boda-boda riders, who seem to have become a popular constituency with these “😛residentials,” who tell the ill-disciplined bikers that they will be a priority in the coming administration.

In all this, Kikwete looks pretty much a spectator, the quintessential lame duck whose mantle his squabbling juniors would happily tear from his back were the rules to be more relaxed than they already are. Which means, in turn, that when it comes to finally determining the country’s constitution, the duck could be even lamer.


That’s only from my crystal ball, so kindly ignore it, and have a Happy New Year!
Jenerali Ulimwengu is chairman of the board of the Raia Mwema newspaper and an advocate of the High Court in Dar es Salaam. E-mail: ulimwengu@jenerali.com

If only people would listen to words of the wise men this country would have been at the level of Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea or Brazil. Unfortunately, most of our leaders including the ruling party do not have the interest of the nation in their heart. Their primary motivation is self interest and that is why the country is not moving in the right direction. On this, I agree with Jenerali that there is big possibility of Constitutional crisis ahead. Happy New Year Jenerali.

 

[Halfcaste]

Ningeshangaa sana kama huyu generali Ulimwengu ambaye ana asili ya WanyaRwanda a-predict mema kwa Tanzania! Ameshika peni "Made in Rwanda" anapotumia kuandika alichoandika.

Katiba yoyote unapotengeneza iliyopo haifi hadi hiyo unayotengeneza mchakato wake unapokamilika ndicho Raisi alichomaanisha.Simple and clear.Kama wananchi au bunge halijaikubali hiyo Rasmu ina maana hiyo katiba mpya bado haijakamilika hivyo hiyo ya zamani inaendelea hadi hiyo mpya iwe tayari.

Mwandishi mzoefu kama yeye kushindwa kuelewa Raisi kasemaje ni aibu kwake na kwa taaluma yake.Au aliandika hii makala hii akiwa chakari bar manaake kwa pombe hajambo.

Naona povu kweli kweli pole sana imekuingia. Jenerali Twaha Ulimwengu ni mzaliwa was Muleba Kamachumu wala sio Mnyarwanda kama unavodai. Wazazi wake wana asili ya Manyema-lakini walikulia Uhayani Huwa Mara zote hakosei. He is a nationalist.

 

[notradamme]

OPERATION KIMBUNGA ya kuwahamisha wahamiaji haramu itatufichulia mambo mengi na watu wengi.
huyu mzee ni miongoni mwa watu tutakaowajua vizuri hivi sasa kuliko kipindi chochote.
na jitihada zooote zinazofanywa na KIKWETE ili tupate katiba yenye hadhi ya nchi yetu kwa karne tuliyonayo, lakini huyu TWAHA NKUNDABATWALE anamtolea kashfa!!!!
ole wako twaha,ingekuwa ni enzi ya mkapa nadhani hata kibali cha kuishi nchini ungenyimwa. sijui unatakaje!!! kama muafaka katika upatikanaji wa katiba mpya usipofikiwa, unataka tuichane katiba ya zamani ili nchi iendeshweje???
unataka tupelekwe kama mnavyopelekana kwenu HIMA DYNASTY??????

 

[Sibonike]

Ningeshangaa sana kama huyu generali Ulimwengu ambaye ana asili ya WanyaRwanda a-predict mema kwa Tanzania! Ameshika peni "Made in Rwanda" anapotumia kuandika alichoandika.

Katiba yoyote unapotengeneza iliyopo haifi hadi hiyo unayotengeneza mchakato wake unapokamilika ndicho Raisi alichomaanisha.Simple and clear.Kama wananchi au bunge halijaikubali hiyo Rasmu ina maana hiyo katiba mpya bado haijakamilika hivyo hiyo ya zamani inaendelea hadi hiyo mpya iwe tayari.

Mwandishi mzoefu kama yeye kushindwa kuelewa Raisi kasemaje ni aibu kwake na kwa taaluma yake.Au aliandika hii makala hii akiwa chakari bar manaake kwa pombe hajambo.

Bila shaka Ulimwengu hawezi kujibu upuuzi wako. Acha sisi "walevi" wenzie tumjibie.

Kitu cha kwanza kabisa hujaelewa alichoandika. Nahisi lugha ya kiingereza inakupiga chenga na wala sikulaumu kwa hilo. Ni kitu cha kawaida. Ili kupata maana ya alichoandika ungeomba upate tafsiri ya makala yake. Baada ya hapo utabaini ujinga wako uko wapi. Ujinga sio tusi na hali ya kutojua kitu. Ni tofauti na up.u.mbavu

Hayo ya Rwanda yanatoka wapi? Kila mkikosa hoja mnakimbilia huko! Huyo jamaa ana uzalendo na Tanzania kupita maelezo. Kichekesho unajiita East African Eagle - kama kweli wewe ni Eagle, basi upeo wako wa kuona hauzidi mipaka ya kijiji ulichozaliwa

 

[Morinyo]

Hii ipo wazi!CCM hawawezi kupitisha serikali 3 na watatumia wingi wao Bungeni kuiondoa!

CCM Kukubali serikali 3 ni kukubali kujiondoa wenyewe madarakani!

Mark my words BAK !Serikali 3 inaenda kunyongelewa Bungeni na kutupunguza hasira watafanya marekebisho kutupa vitu vya hovyohovyo kama vile kuondoa viti maalum bungeni

Si kila anaepinga serikali tatu ni CCm.

 

[Malafyale]

Si kila anaepinga serikali tatu ni CCm.

CUF wanataka Muungano wa Mkataba
CHADEMA wanataka serikali 3
NCCR wanataka serikali 3
TLP haijulikani
CCM walio wengi wanataka serikali 2

 

[Morinyo]

CUF wanataka Muungano wa Mkataba
CHADEMA wanataka serikali 3
NCCR wanataka serikali 3
TLP haijulikani
CCM walio wengi wanataka serikali 2

Wapo ambao si wanachama wa vyama vya siasa wanaopinga serikali tatu.

 

[Halfcaste]

OPERATION KIMBUNGA ya kuwahamisha wahamiaji haramu itatufichulia mambo mengi na watu wengi.
huyu mzee ni miongoni mwa watu tutakaowajua vizuri hivi sasa kuliko kipindi chochote.
na jitihada zooote zinazofanywa na KIKWETE ili tupate katiba yenye hadhi ya nchi yetu kwa karne tuliyonayo, lakini huyu TWAHA NKUNDABATWALE anamtolea kashfa!!!!
ole wako twaha,ingekuwa ni enzi ya mkapa nadhani hata kibali cha kuishi nchini ungenyimwa. sijui unatakaje!!! kama muafaka katika upatikanaji wa katiba mpya usipofikiwa, unataka tuichane katiba ya zamani ili nchi iendeshweje???
unataka tupelekwe kama mnavyopelekana kwenu HIMA DYNASTY??????

Jenerali kakugusa sehemu nyeti Naona unavyohangaika dada! Kwa ufupi Jenerali Twaha Ulimwengu amezaliwa Kijiji cha Irogelo, Kata Kamachumu, Muleba, Kagera. Kuongea kwa ukweli hakumuondolei Utanzania wake! Jenerali usiogope you have nailed it on the head. My village mate Wakola Waitu Rugaba.

 

[Malafyale]

Wapo ambao si wanachama wa vyama vya siasa wanaopinga serikali tatu.

Hakuna katiba ya nchi yyt duniani iliyofuata matakwa ya kila mwananchi!Hakuna katiba yyt duniani ambayo waandaa rasimu ya katiba waliwahoji watu wote ktk Taifa husika!Katiba ni mkusanyiko halali wa mawazo ya walio wengi kupitia Bunge!

Mzee Warioba aliwahoji watu wengi na kwenye sample yake watu wengi wakataka serikali 3

 

[Jalood]

Ningeshangaa sana kama huyu generali Ulimwengu ambaye ana asili ya WanyaRwanda a-predict mema kwa Tanzania! Ameshika peni "Made in Rwanda" anapotumia kuandika alichoandika.

Katiba yoyote unapotengeneza iliyopo haifi hadi hiyo unayotengeneza mchakato wake unapokamilika ndicho Raisi alichomaanisha.Simple and clear.Kama wananchi au bunge halijaikubali hiyo Rasmu ina maana hiyo katiba mpya bado haijakamilika hivyo hiyo ya zamani inaendelea hadi hiyo mpya iwe tayari.

Mwandishi mzoefu kama yeye kushindwa kuelewa Raisi kasemaje ni aibu kwake na kwa taaluma yake.Au aliandika hii makala hii akiwa chakari bar manaake kwa pombe hajambo.

Ovyooooo maana hujaandika point yoyote ya maana ila ukereketwa wa CCM umekujaa. Hii nchi yetu sote Si ya CCM ------- kubwa

 

[omujubi]

Hii ipo wazi!CCM hawawezi kupitisha serikali 3 na watatumia wingi wao Bungeni kuiondoa!

CCM Kukubali serikali 3 ni kukubali kujiondoa wenyewe madarakani!

Mark my words BAK !Serikali 3 inaenda kunyongelewa Bungeni na kutupunguza hasira watafanya marekebisho kutupa vitu vya hovyohovyo kama vile kuondoa viti maalum bungeni

Ukimuondoa mwandishi wa makala Jenerali Ulimwengu na baadhi yetu wachache sana, Watanzania wengi wengine wapo wanaamini kitu ambacho hikijawahi kutokea katika historia ya siasa za dunia, nacho ni chama kilicho madarakani kwa 'mbinu' kukubali kuleta katiba mpya inayoweza kuleta haki na usawa. Kitu hiki ni kigumu!