WikiLeaks Revelations and the Zim Politics 06/09/2011 10:42:00 By Nkosana Dlamini, THE latest release of the US diplomatic cables from the whistle-blower WikiLeaks is the material that would leave script writers of soaps licking their lower lips. But even in the creative world of soap operas, the critical viewer would chide the author for being rather too wild with their imaginations. Details of very senior Zanu (PF) officials, more-so, those purportedly close to President Robert Mugabe, clandestinely meeting a sworn enemy to the party like the American ambassador to Zimbabwe and pouring out on the party's top secrets are mouth watering and just too good to be true. While the authenticity of these meetings and details can be debate for another day, what would be more worrisome to President Mugabe especially, are the mention of names of his deputies, one of them Joice Mujuru, revered as a heroin and child of unquestionable loyalty to the revolutionary party. Mugabe's would also not have sleep to hear that his most trusted banker Gideon Gono supped with the devil, even going to the extent of gloating over prospects of his "impending" death after revealing his medical status to an enemy that longs for all the misfortunes to befall him. Mugabe's failing health has been jealously guarded by Zanu (PF). Mugabe would also wonder how his younger wife Grace went to the extent of telling central bank governor that he was now old and senile, and how blue eyed boy, Youth and Indigenisation Saviour Kasukuwere would tell an enemy that he (Kasukuwere) wished him to step down. Perhaps after taking a good laugh about the evidently waning fortunes of his political nemesis, Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai on the other hand, would also cool down to some deep, meditative thinking over his own circumstances. Just how could some of his most trusted buddies like Nelson Chamisa and Obert Gutu see through him, casting aspersions on his leadership qualities? It is now apparent that Mugabe and Tsvangirai, the two most powerful players on the country's political scene and the main focus from the latest batch of cables, now walk a tight rope. They do not know whether to immediately purge their masked allies or allow political expediency to prevail at least up to next year's make or break elections, which they are both contesting. Also going to the next polls with people who have literally sold them out is another hard choice for them. But should they flex their muscles and purge "sell outs" from their parties, what guarantees are there that those who shall remain close to them would not find themselves in the next batch of cable releases? Observers say the revelations are more likely to dent internal party politics as opposed to affecting the inter-party relationship of the inclusive government where parties have been working on a premise of mistrust and mutual contempt for each other. Brian Sibanda, a Harare businessman, says a party facing electoral defeat like Zanu (PF) requires a coherent system where all individuals connected to its survival are speaking with one voice. "The divisive voices coming from within the intra-party politics of Zanu (PF) are not only unprecedented but very, very dangerous as they tend to alienate the President from his predictable constituency," he says. "They also tend to create deep seated divisions to the point that the President is now so confused. He can no longer make a distinction between his friends and foes." Timothy Mbaimbai, another Harare resident says the anguish is not limited to Mugabe and Tsvangirai but also to those implicated in the cables who do not know whether they should seek audiences with their leaders and absolve themselves from the "lies" or simply keep quiet and observe where the wind blows. "It is most worrying when you even hear some powerful voices from the (military) Generals shouting down their commander," says Mbaimbai, referring to the two serving army Generals who allegedly labelled incumbent army chief Constantine Chiwenga as "a political General". "A coherent military setup does not have dissenting voices. In military language, a dissenting voice is mutiny at best especially if you are talking to a sworn enemy under the cover of darkness denigrating your commander." Some say the revelations would poison relationships and fan more suspicions within the parties. They view this as more damaging to Zanu (PF) than MDC-T because Zanu (PF) has lot of internal fissures. "For Tsvangirai, they only expose his leadership weaknesses something that has already been in the public domain and not the scheming around him," says a political analysts who did not want to be named. "It's rather too dangerous with Mugabe who does not know anymore what the right hand is thinking." Charles Mangongera, a political analyst, sees a worse off scenario after these revelations. "There would be a huge fallout," he says, "Trust has definitely been broken and it will have long term political implications for both parties. It will change a lot of relationships. "People who were considered for certain positions within the political parties would no longer get them. Moreover, Mugabe does not countenance any kind of contempt or criticism. All those who are seen as being critical of his leadership and status would face the consequences." Trevor Maisiri , another political analyst, says while Mugabe and Tsvangirai may be itching to punish their treacherous allies, this may not happen now but in the medium to long term because both are still trying to grapple with other pressures. "A leader like President Mugabe is still facing pressure from both in and outside and may not want to make far reaching decisions immediately," he says. "The revelations also render moribund, the Zanu (PF) trump card strategy of casting the MDC is a western sponsored party because his own inner circle has been unmasked. Mugabe is shocked and feels betrayed. He is wondering how his party has been so infiltrated by the Americans because it seems everyone in the party has sold out." For MDC, says Maisiri, the revelations seem to impound the fact that Tsvangirai's leadership is being questioned and this may lead to factionalism. But all said and done, it is American diplomacy that would be the biggest loser in this situation, some say. "No one would want to be scene hobnobbing with the American ambassadors again because people don't trust this would be in confidence anymore," says Sibanda. - Radio VOP My Take: Haya kwa wale spin masters wanaouliza kwamba hizo cables why now?????????? Just to let u know that kila mahali kwa cables zao na worries zao.