Tanzania Shilling Falls 7th Week as Export Slump Curbs Dollars

EMT

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Jan 13, 2010
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Tanzania's shilling fell for a seventh week in the longest stretch of losses in almost three years as declining commodity exports led to a lack of dollars in East Africa's second-biggest economy. Inflows of U.S. currency dried up amid lower agriculture earnings and fewer tourists, according to Commercial Bank of Africa's Head of Money Markets Hakim Sheikh.

The value of coffee exports fell 28 percent in March from a month earlier, while tea dropped 4.3 percent and tobacco plummeted 75 percent, according to central bank data. Tanzania has the widest external current-account deficit in East Africa after Burundi, the International Monetary Fund said.

"There's a shortage of dollars in the market because there's no inflow from agriculture and tourism," Sheikh said by phone from Dar es Salaam today. "There's a big demand for dollars coming from the oil companies and construction sector."

The shilling has depreciated 0.7 percent in the past five days and is East Africa's worst performer this year, falling 4.4 percent. It retreated 0.1 percent to 1,663 per dollar by 5:14 p.m. in Tanzania's commercial capital. The currency's run of weekly losses is the longest since an eight-week period that ended in July 2011.

The nation's external current-account deficit is seen at 13.9 percent this year, compared with the sub-Saharan African average of 3.6 percent, according to the IMF. That's prompted the government to cut spending in an effort to meet a target of 5 percent, the IMF said in a statement dated May 15.

The "shilling appears to be somewhat overvalued in real effective terms," the IMF said. Dollar inflows may pick up when the agricultural harvesting and exporting period happens from June to November, while tourism peaks in the second half of the year, Albert Ngusaru, head of Treasury at FBME Bank Ltd., said by phone from Dar es Salaam. "In the first few months of the year Tanzania does not have a lot of inflows," he said. "The economy is highly dependent on flows from agriculture and tourism."

Source: Tanzania Shilling Falls 7th Week as Export Slump Curbs Dollars - Bloomberg
 

Maundumula

JF-Expert Member
Nov 4, 2010
7,145
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Summer is coming wadhungu watakuja kutoka Canada, Marekani na Scandinavia.

Worry not
 

Root

JF-Expert Member
Jan 23, 2012
37,427
2,000
ila tuangalie sana exports maana zenyewe ndio zitatupa income yakutosha interms of dollars
 

Mentor

JF-Expert Member
Oct 14, 2008
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Hii nimei-experience mwenyewe kila siku kwa wiki mbili mfululizo dola imezidi kupanda...
 

Bavaria

JF-Expert Member
Jun 14, 2011
48,411
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Agriculture is never promoted as said in the media through the so called Kilimo Kwanza.

What are you gonna expect the positive digits on the current account balance of payments while what we produce most do not see the other side of the country.?
 

Kakalende

JF-Expert Member
Dec 1, 2006
3,255
1,225
Mkuu yani we acha tu hiyo nzuri sana unatuma $100 hm wanapata mihela kibao

Hizi taarifa usiziamini sana. Wiki 2 zilizopita nilituma $650 nilyemtumia akapata TZS 1,029,000. Wiki hii nimetuma kiasi hicho hicho akapata 1,017,000.
 

Mentor

JF-Expert Member
Oct 14, 2008
20,351
2,000
Nzuri sana kwa watu wanaofanya kazi nje kwa kulipwa Dollar

Sikuwahi kulifikiria in this way...niliwaza kibongobongo.

Ila tatizo la Bongo ni kubwa sana...solution yake inaanzia kwa uwajibikaji.
 

EMT

Platinum Member
Jan 13, 2010
14,481
2,000
Kilimo kwanza sina hakika maana wanasema tusiuze nafaka nje ya nchi.

Tuuze nini then? Maana kwa jinsi tembo wanavyoangamia "wadhungu... kutoka Canada, Marekani na Scandinavia" watakuwa hawana cha kuja kuangalia tena.
 

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