Kenya na Burundi kuingia kwenye mkataba na EU

Burundi's isolation by EU over tyranny poses trade risk for Kenya's exporters
By Moses Michira
Updated Sat, July 23rd 2016 at 12:29 GMT +3
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Flower firms stand to lose billions of shillings if EPA deal with European Union is not signed by October 1, 2016. [PHOTO: ANTONY GITONGA/STANDARD]

NAIROBI: Burundi has presented the biggest challenge yet to the trade pact that is expected to save Kenyan farmers from hefty taxes when selling to the European Union. The devastating news came this week after legislators from the EU Parliament said Europe was never going to enter a deal with Pierre Nkurunziza whom they cite as an autocrat. Political upheavals occasioned by Mr Nkurunziza’s decision to run for a third term as President overshadows the blow delivered by Tanzania and Uganda when they walked out of the Economic Partnership Agreement.

“We cannot sign with Burundi before it embraces democracy,” said Maria Arena, an MP in the European Union Parliament.

That position significantly takes away any practical hopes for Kenya and the East African Community to sign and ratify the EPA before October 1. The EU will not sign any deal with the EAC of which Kenya is a part of, because Burundi is also a member of this customs union. Effectively, time has run out for Kenya to save its exporters from the heavy taxes that range between five and 22 per cent.

Punishing Kenya
Among the top exports to the EU from Kenya are cut flowers, coffee and tea. In the unfolding situation, the same exports from the neighbouring countries will become much cheaper, edging out the Kenyan produce on competitiveness.

Flower exports alone could attract Sh600 million in taxes in a single month, translating to over Sh7.2 billion a year. The impact is much bigger when all products are evaluated. Ms Arena said there was no chance of a deal before the October 1 deadline, suggesting that Kenyan exports will inadvertently be heavily exposed but there was a slim chance of a lifeline.

“We have asked the EU Commission for an extension from October 1 because we see this punishing Kenya for a decision that is beyond its doing,” she added. There, however, was no guarantee that the EU would grant the extension in the requisite timelines, if ever.

On the flipside, Burundi and the three other EAC countries, all ranked as Least Developed, produce all the major agricultural commodities which Kenya exports to the EU. Already, Deputy President William Ruto has led a high level negotiating team to Bujumbura, in what is now emerging as mission impossible of talking Nkurunziza into democracy.

The Burundian leader has shown determination to stay on considering the bloody chaos that followed his contested bid and eventual win in a third term in elections largely boycotted by the opposition. Nkurunziza was sworn in to office in August of last year, and has since been focused on crushing voices that do not tow his government’s line. Frantic attempts to intervene and dissuade him from the decision by the international community have fallen flat.

Kenya has a tiny window to renegotiate with the EU for a totally new trade pact whose timelines are unknown. Even worse, the conditions for the reviewed agreement are much tougher, including a requirement of evidence that Kenya is committed to and was working towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goals — a list of 17 elaborate measures, elimination of child labour from all production and other strenuous demands along the supply chain.

Those demands are part of the 25 requirement before the EU agrees to enter an agreement under the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP) Plus.

Least developed
Bernd Lange, the chairman of the EU Parliamentary Group who was flanking Ms Arena at the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development meeting in Nairobi, said there is not much of space for Kenya to avert taxes on its exports.

“There is really not much we can do for Kenya,” Mr Lange said, adding that the Parliament had no control of the decision-making by the Commission.

EAC countries negotiated jointly for the troubled EPA, which had however meant little to all members except Kenya whose status has been reviewed from a least developed nation to a lower middle income State.

Read more at: Burundi's isolation by EU over tyranny poses trade risk for Kenya's exporters
Read more at: Burundi's isolation by EU over tyranny poses trade risk for Kenya's exporters

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Nkurunziza presidency casts cloud over the EU-EAC deal
Jul. 23, 2016, 4:00 am
By MARTIN MWITA, @mwitamartin


Kenyan exports to the European Union now face taxes of between five and 22 per cent from October after it emerged the EU cannot sign any deal with Burundi.

Legislators from the EU said Europe does not want to enter into any deal with Burundi President Pierre Nkurunziza due to the recent political chaos caused by his decision to run for a third term.

“We cannot sign with Burundi before it embraces democracy,”

Maria Arena, an MP in the European Union Parliament, said during the just-ended United Nations Conference on Trade and Development forum.

This further complicates the matter and signifies hurdles in the way the Economic Partnership Agreement are to be addressed.

The latest development adds to Tanzania’s unwillingness to endorse the EPA, after it failed to show up for the signing on Monday.

The EU’s position now makes it almost impossible for Kenya and the East Africa Community to sign and ratify the EPA before the October 1 deadline.

Kenya is the only country in the region that stands to lose, since other EAC countries could still access the market under favourable terms under Everything But Arms initiative. They are categorised as Least Developed Countries.

On Monday, Foreign Affairs CS Amina Mohamed expressed hope the region could agree within the next two weeks.

“..we are hoping that we can do it in the near future. We have two more weeks until August 4. We are engaging with everyone to make sure all of us agree at the same time,” she said.

The deal is now likely to fail for a second time after Tanzania refused to sign it in 2014. This led to Kenya being placed under the General System Preference trade regime for three months.

About 87 per cent of Kenya’s exports in agriculture and manufacturing industries to the EU valued at Sh98 billion were affected, the Foreign Affairs ministry says.

Nkurunziza presidency casts cloud over the EU-EAC deal
 
..hapa kenya wanaogopa competition.

..kama wao ni developed country basi washindane they should not waste time kulilia tax relief.

..Kenya wanatia AIBU wanapolilia wawe treated sawa na Burundi.
 
Agreement needs consensus between presidents, Museveni says
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PRINTRATING

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President Yoweri Museveni delivering his budget speech on June 8, 2016. He said the EAC Heads of State had not been fully briefed on the agreement until only recently. FILE PHOTO | DOMINIC BUKENYA | NATION MEDIA GROUP

By CHARLES MWANGUHYA MPAGI

Posted Saturday, July 23 2016 at 13:49
IN SUMMARY

  • Mr Museveni asked for patience, so that the EAC Heads of State can discuss and agree on a way forward on the trade deal.



At the French Bastille Day celebrations held at the country’s embassy in Uganda on July 13, guests were kept waiting for a chief guest whom the hosts were reluctant to name.

Guests were treated to specially selected fine French wines, but the officials constantly kept checking the time.
After what seemed like an eternity, Uganda’s President Yoweri Museveni finally arrived and the programme proceeded.

In his speech, President Museveni went into depth about French history and the significance of the storming of the Bastille, a turning point in the search for equality, dignity and respect.

Then he moved on to talk about trade and markets between the developed West and Africa, calling for an equal partnership and not the superior-minor partnership that had catalysed the French revolution in 1789.

As if speaking off script, President Museveni then talked about the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) between the European Union and the East African Community.

The deal was expected to be signed on July 18. He asked for patience, so that the EAC Heads of State can discuss and agree on a way forward on the trade deal.

“We shall not be signing this agreement until we have discussed it. So advise the European Union Commission’s ambassador not to get excited,” President Museveni told the largely European audience.

Not fully briefed

President Museveni said the EAC Heads of State had not been fully briefed on the agreement until only recently, saying the discussions that have been running since 2002 were mainly handled by ministers, though the magnitude of the deal required a decision by the presidents.

Initially, it had been anticipated that the agreement would be signed at the side lines of the Unctad conference, which was held in Nairobi, Kenya. However, as concerns emerged, it is understood that the deadline could have been pushed forward by a month.

Tanzania, known as a more cautious member of the EAC bloc and host of its Secretariat had earlier raised the alarm about the EPA because of Britain’s exit from the European Union.

Kenya, which is seen as a major beneficiary of the deal, is understood to be lobbying for it to be signed and has the backing of Rwanda and Burundi. However, Uganda and Tanzania remain sceptical and they are key influencers.

Agreement needs consensus between presidents, Museveni says
 
Kwa njia moja au nyingine, lazima tutajikuta kwenye ushindani ndani ya hii dunia, haya mambo ya kuogopa ogopa, eti tufunge hapa, tufungue pale, tuzuie hawa, tufungulie wale hayatatufikisha mahali.

Leo hii nipo kwenye mradi fulani na wadau kutokea Mauritius, jamaa wananisimulia jinsi nchi yao imepiga hatua kwa kutozuia zuia.
Afrika yetu hii, tuache uvivu na ujinga, tukumbatie ushindani. Bongo bado inaliwa na kutafunwa pamoja na kwamba mnazuia zuia na kufunga funga.

Honestly,

What is it that EAC can sell to EU? Unadhani EU ni wajinga au wanatupenda sana waafrika, kwanini hawataki TPP[Trans Pacific Pact], the know itawaletea shida. Angalia ni kiasi gani your sugar industry ina-struggle because of cheaper sugar from Brazil. Yes we cant remain in isolation forever, lakini let's at least build capacity kidogo, lakini not now.

This was 1995 during May Day celebration

 
Honestly,

What is it that EAC can sell to EU? Unadhani EU ni wajinga au wanatupenda sana waafrika, kwanini hawataki TPP[Trans Pacific Pact], the know itawaletea shida. Angalia ni kiasi gani your sugar industry ina-struggle because of cheaper sugar from Brazil. Yes we cant remain in isolation forever, lakini let's at least build capacity kidogo, lakini not now.

This was 1995 during May Day celebration



Lets drop that BS about building capacity, so many years later we are still talking about building capacity first. What is it that Brazil is doing and making their sugar cheaper than our own. Nonsense..... We can't live in fear forever, bring it on, fight it out and learn lessons therein.

Ugandans across the border are producing sugar so cheaply, there is a lot we can learn from them. In fact I've a friend of who has gotten into running a production company for eggs and chickens in Western province, the market was always lucrative for Ugandans, but my guy is giving them a run for their money. Lets compete, lets trade....
 
Lets drop that BS about building capacity, so many years later we are still talking about building capacity first. What is it that Brazil is doing and making their sugar cheaper than our own. Nonsense..... We can't live in fear forever, bring it on, fight it out and learn lessons therein.

Ugandans across the border are producing sugar so cheaply, there is a lot we can learn from them. In fact I've a friend of who has gotten into running a production company for eggs and chickens in Western province, the market was always lucrative for Ugandans, but my guy is giving them a run for their money. Lets compete, lets trade....
In Uganda, the cost of raw cane purchased by sugar firms is dirt cheap. Also, sugar firms are guaranteed large nucleus estates by the government there, and sweeping tax concessions to provide the vital commodity.This means they are able to survive a potential strike by farmers or scarcity of cane very easily, leading to surplus production. Yaani zinabebwa vinoma and the balance of power is firmly in the companies hands. Elsewhere like in Brazil, it's mainly down to the sheer size of land available there , slave labour and wages, better cane varieties and international connections for their surplus production.

Hard to compete with nations that give unfair advantage in their primary industries.
 
Lets drop that BS about building capacity, so many years later we are still talking about building capacity first. What is it that Brazil is doing and making their sugar cheaper than our own. Nonsense..... We can't live in fear forever, bring it on, fight it out and learn lessons therein.

Ugandans across the border are producing sugar so cheaply, there is a lot we can learn from them. In fact I've a friend of who has gotten into running a production company for eggs and chickens in Western province, the market was always lucrative for Ugandans, but my guy is giving them a run for their money. Lets compete, lets trade....

Competing with who, Can you compete with France in the Dairy Industries?
What are you going to export to EU apart from raw materials and flowers?

The US has been complaining about the way EU has been subsidizing their farmers and other industries, halafu leo tunaambiwa we should compete with EU.

If Kenya is going to commit to that, good luck with that, but we ain't gonna do that.
 
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