Binti Maringo
JF-Expert Member
- Jul 4, 2007
- 2,804
- 88
Ni vyema kuwa na bahati halafu unakuwa Billionaire kuliko kuwa smart with nothing!.Naona Nassim Taleb anatafuta umaarufu. Can you be this lucky jamani? $ 50 Billion fortune imekuwa build based on luck alone? Mathematicians au wazee wa Probability naomba jibu.
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Is Warren Buffett really the genius so many say he is? Black Swan author Nassim Taleb has his doubts.
'Black Swan' Author Nassim Taleb: Warren Buffett May Just Be Lucky
Posted By: Alex Crippen | Executive Producer
cnbc.com
| 08 Feb 2010 | 06:18 PM ET
Nassim Taleb says there isn't enough evidence to show that Warren Buffett's skill, and not his good luck, is responsible for the billionaire's enormous investing success over the decades.
Taleb is the author who gained fame and fortune writing about 'Black Swans' and the impact of other improbable events ahead of the subprime mortgage market's collapse.
In an "interrogation" interview that starts in the online magazine ai5000 and is continued on its website, Taleb is quoted as saying:
"I dont want to spend too much time on Buffett. George Soros has 2 million times more statistical evidence that his results are not chance than Buffett does. Soros is vastly more robust. I am not saying Buffett doesnt have skillIm just saying we dont have enough evidence to say Buffett isnt doing it by chance."
An expanded paperback edition of Taleb's Black Swan is scheduled for release in May.
When the original version was published in 2007, Bloomberg Magazine summarized its message as, "We're all blind to rare events and routinely fool ourselves into believing we can predict risks and
binti maringo today ume ni impress sana....
do you know Warren Buffet ndo my idol?????
He is my idol tuu...kama ulikuwa unasoma my post huko nyuma i have been saying for a while nataka kuwa like Warren Buffet version ya kike!....
this show we got a lot in common.....
but i will be africa richest man,you may second richest....
no 1 spot is mine lol....
you know you are very right we have a lot in common..we all believe in god as our mesiah and savior...and we both like warren buffet, like sea food,love to travell aroudn the world and both are smart indeed!....
You are very wrong why would you choose that no1 spot wakati they always say women first?....
ukiwa no 1....
utakuwa na nyodo za kuni dump...
but nikiwa mimi no 1,utataka kujua siri za mafanikio.
so u will be at my side always,,,
but for real i feel it in my blood.
that i am gonna be in the forbes rich list in five years...
that is good kuwa na ambitious na kuwa na imani kuwa one day you will make it to be on forbes magazine!.....i like that keep up with the spirit mpenzi...na sikuachi ng'oo mimi na wewe kufa na kuzikana (for better for worse)....nimeshajua kumbe kuna ulaji...LOL!.....
ooppps...
mama aliniambia usiwaambie
wasichana ndoto zako...
now i remember....
itabidi nitafute lawyer kabisa,
mambo ya pre nups
Oh no why prenups?...does that mean you don;t trust me at all?....mambo ya prenuptual hayo ni ya kizamani besides we both have similar dreams so why do you do this to me lakini eeh!...."chako changu mpenzi lakin i changu changu mwenyewe we dont share.."
Mathematicians au wazee wa Probability naomba jibu.
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Binti - sawa sawa ulivyosema kama kuweka pesa kwenye stock ni kamari. Katika historia ya Stock market watu wawili tu waweweza kutajirika kwa ku-invest kwenye individual stock alone. Mmoja wapo ni Buffet na tunaelewa ni kwa nini. Hata yeye mwenyewe amesema watu wa kawaida wa-invest kwenye index funds angalau itawarudishia 8%.
Watu weupe/weusi/wekundu kuwa smart kuliko wengine ni tautalogy.
¬K