Last-ditch efforts that could stop the Brexit


BabuK

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BabuK

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Just three days after a shocking vote to leave the European Union, millions of Britons are asking for a do-over. But is it possible to stop the process?

Technically, yes. While the chances are slim, there are several ways the UK could reverse course.

1) Members of Parliament vote against it
The referendum vote to leave the EU is not binding––the decision must be officially ratified by Parliament, following any legal challenges.

This gives the Members of Parliament, who mostly oppose the Brexit, an opportunity to vote to stay in the EU. However, the people have spoken, and the MPs have a responsibility to represent their interests.

"Opposing the will of the people is not going to help you get elected next time, particularly if you are in a marginal constituency," write James Knightley, Chris Turner and Carsten Brzeski of ING Group.

2) A re-do referendum
Over 3 million UK residents signed a petition on Parliament's site demanding a second vote take place, the largest petition the government's website has ever seen. Parliament must debate any proposal with over 100,000 signatures.

The petition, which launched before the referendum, asked for a second vote on EU membership if support for the remain or leave vote was below 60% with turnout under 75%.

Thursday's British exit vote had only 52% backing on a 72% turnout. While the petition must be considered by Parliament, members do not need to act on it.

anti-brexit-protestors-gather-parliament-20160625-135136-363.jpg

3) EU concessions
Before Britain invokes Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union, the never-used provision that sets out how a country would leave the union, the EU could negotiate more favorable terms with the UK.

"The EU offered major concessions after Danish voters initially rejected the Maastricht Treaty and Irish voters opposed both the Nice and Lisbon Treaties. It is therefore possible that some members want to keep the EU together at all costs and are prepared to offer the UK more on migration," write Knightley, Turner and Brzeski.

However, given that the free movement of people is one of the EU’s central tenets, many EU members will likely oppose further negotiations on this front, add Knightley, Turner and Brzeski. "Getting an agreement to give the UK more power to control EU migration whilst staying in the EU does not appear to be a probable outcome," they write.

2016-06-26T072442Z_2_LYNXNPEC5O04S_RTROPTP_2_BRITAIN-EU.JPG.cf.jpg

4) Scotland and Northern Ireland veto the decision
Per the Scotland Act 1998, the Scottish Parliament would need to approve measures that remove EU law from Scotland, according to the House of Lords report "The Process of withdrawing from the European Union."

The report states that same might be true for Northern Ireland. However, this is simply an interpretation and not the letter of the law. Also, the UK Parliament ratified the Scotland Act, and it's possible they could override a potential veto by amending the Act.

Going forward

"What we do know is that the longer it takes to decide the outcome, the greater the political and economic costs for both the UK and the EU," write Knightley, Turner and Brzeski.

Given that Prime Minister David Cameron has already resigned and many EU members are calling for a quick separation, the path toward a Brexit will likely be difficult to stop.

“It’s not an amicable divorce, but it never really was a close love affair anyway,” said Jean-Claude Juncker, EU Commission President.
 
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Bukyanagandi

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Bukyanagandi

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Labda wahamiaji na wenyeji wa Scotland lakini wenyeji wa England hawawezi kukubari kugehuka nyuma.
 
kui

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kui

kui

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Labda wahamiaji na wenyeji wa Scotland lakini wenyeji wa England hawawezi kukubari kugehuka nyuma.

...halafu na hiyo demographic kubwa waliyo vote ku-exit itachangia ugumu, old, white, working class. Oldies ni wagumu kukubali changes.
Unless the rest washtuke watake Mabadiliko tena.
 
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Bukyanagandi

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...halafu na hiyo demographic kubwa waliyo vote ku-exit itachangia ugumu, old, white, working class. Oldies ni wagumu kukubali changes.
Unless the rest washtuke watake Mabadiliko tena.
Ni kweli hawatakubali kugeuka jiwe - binafsi mpaka sasa 'am curious who is behind this move anyway? Je, Wakina Obama sio kwamba ndio wana instigate ujinga huu - maanake Uingereza kuondoka kwenye EU kumeshitua Serikali ya Marekani kwa kiwango kikubwa sana, walikuwa wanaichukulia Uingereza kama Sherrif wa kilinda maslahi yake huko Ulaya, sasa kuondoka kwake kuta acha pengo kubwa, si ajabu nchi nyingine za Ulaya zikaiga mfano wa UK mwishowe na NATO ikajikuta iko njia panda.

Kuna tetesi kwamba Uingereza isipo reverse uhamuzi wake wa kuondoka EU basi mabenki makubwa ya America yameweka mikakati ya ku-squeeze Pound Sterling ya Uingereza - would you believe it? Nia ya kuchukua hatua hiyo ni kutaka kuzorotesha uchumi wa Uingereza hata tajiri Bwana Soros naye anataka kudandia bandwagon ya Serikali yake ya Marekani kuipa fundisho Uingereza isipo kubali kurudi EU - we angalia Wamarekani walivyo wa ajabu.

Hivi sasa Anerica inataka kuwa karibu zaidi na Angela Merkel wa Ujerumani, lakini inaelekea raia wengi wa Ujerumani awataki ukaribu wa aina hiyo na Wamarekani, Waziri mkuu huyo wa Ujerumani asipo kuwa makini anaweza kupigiwa kura ya kutokua na imani naye akajikuta anaondolewa kwenye kiti cha Uongozi kama yaliyo mkuta Margret Thatcher.

Wamarekani wakitaka kuipiga vita vya kiuchumi Uingereza wajue kwamba hilo litaifanya UK kuwa karibu na Uchina na Urusi kiuchumi hivyo kuifanya Marekani mambo yawe magumu kwake in Continetal Europe na Asia - project ya silk road ya Uchina na Urusi itaungana na nchi za Ulaya, Africa na Asia hivyo America itajikuta imesaulika - this could as well be the begining of the end of America influence huko Ulaya.
 
MAKANJAMNA

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MAKANJAMNA

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Ni kweli hawatakubali kugehuka jiwe - binafsi mpaka sasa 'am curious who is behind this move anyway? Je, Wakina Obama sio kwamba ndio wana instigate ujinga huu - maanake Uingereza kuondoka kwenye EU kumeshitua Serikali ya Marekani kwa kiwango kikubwa sana, walikuwa wanaichukulia Uingereza kama Sherrif wa kilinda maslahi yake huko Ulaya, sasa kuondoka kwake kutahacha pengo kubwa, si ajabu nchi nyingine za Ulaya zikaiga mfano wa UK mwishowe na NATO ikajikuta hiko njia panda.

Kuna tetesi kwamba Uingereza hisipo reverse uhamuzi wake wa kuondoka EU basi mabenki makubwa ya America yameweka mikakati ya ku-squeeze Pound Sterling ya Uingereza - would you believe it? Nia ya kuchukua hatua hiyo ni kutaka kuzorotesha uchumi wa Uingereza hata tajiri Bwana Soros naye anataka kudandia bandwagon ya Serikali yake ya Marekani kuipa fundisho Uingereza hisipo kubali kurudi EU - we angalia Wamarekani walivyo wa ajabu.

Hivi sasa Anerica inataka kuwa karibu zaidi na Angela Merkel wa Ujerumani, lakini inaelekea raia wengi wa Ujerumani hawataki ukaribu wa aina hiyo na Wamarekani, Waziri mkuu huyo wa Ujerumani hasipo kuwa makini anaweza kupigiwa kura ya kutokua na imani naye ajajikuta anaondolewa kwenye kiti cha Uongozi kama yaliyo mkuta Margret Thatcher.

Wamarekani wakitaka kuipiga vita vya kiuchumi Uingereza wajue kwamba hilo litaifanya UK kuwa karibu na Uchina na Urusi kiuchumi hivyo kuifanya Marekani mambo yawe magumu kwake in Continetal Europe na Asia - project ya silk road ya Uchina na Urusi itahungana na nchi za Ulaya, Africa na Asia hivyo America itajikuta imesahulika - this could as well be the begining of the end of America influence huko Ulaya.
Analysis nzuri sana.. wamarekani inabidi waumize sana vichwa this time

Ila bro.. unatumia 'H' unnecessary.
 
inamankusweke

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inamankusweke

inamankusweke

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We bukyanagandi toa hizo 'H,H' zako
 
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Bukyanagandi

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Bukyanagandi

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Analysis nzuri sana.. wamarekani inabidi waumize sana vichwa this time

Ila bro.. unatumia 'H' unnecessary.
Thanks, ni kweli nina tatizo la matumizi ya "H" na wapi pa kutumia "L" na "R" nafikiri kilugha kimechangia sana - wenyeji wa Kagera
wengi wetu tuna tatizo hilo. Once again thanks a lot.
 
kui

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kui

kui

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Ni kweli hawatakubali kugeuka jiwe - binafsi mpaka sasa 'am curious who is behind this move anyway? Je, Wakina Obama sio kwamba ndio wana instigate ujinga huu - maanake Uingereza kuondoka kwenye EU kumeshitua Serikali ya Marekani kwa kiwango kikubwa sana, walikuwa wanaichukulia Uingereza kama Sherrif wa kilinda maslahi yake huko Ulaya, sasa kuondoka kwake kuta acha pengo kubwa, si ajabu nchi nyingine za Ulaya zikaiga mfano wa UK mwishowe na NATO ikajikuta iko njia panda.

Kuna tetesi kwamba Uingereza isipo reverse uhamuzi wake wa kuondoka EU basi mabenki makubwa ya America yameweka mikakati ya ku-squeeze Pound Sterling ya Uingereza - would you believe it? Nia ya kuchukua hatua hiyo ni kutaka kuzorotesha uchumi wa Uingereza hata tajiri Bwana Soros naye anataka kudandia bandwagon ya Serikali yake ya Marekani kuipa fundisho Uingereza isipo kubali kurudi EU - we angalia Wamarekani walivyo wa ajabu.

Hivi sasa Anerica inataka kuwa karibu zaidi na Angela Merkel wa Ujerumani, lakini inaelekea raia wengi wa Ujerumani awataki ukaribu wa aina hiyo na Wamarekani, Waziri mkuu huyo wa Ujerumani asipo kuwa makini anaweza kupigiwa kura ya kutokua na imani naye akajikuta anaondolewa kwenye kiti cha Uongozi kama yaliyo mkuta Margret Thatcher.

Wamarekani wakitaka kuipiga vita vya kiuchumi Uingereza wajue kwamba hilo litaifanya UK kuwa karibu na Uchina na Urusi kiuchumi hivyo kuifanya Marekani mambo yawe magumu kwake in Continetal Europe na Asia - project ya silk road ya Uchina na Urusi itaungana na nchi za Ulaya, Africa na Asia hivyo America itajikuta imesaulika - this could as well be the begining of the end of America influence huko Ulaya.

Interesting.
Obama&comp.maslahi yao yameshake kidogo lakini both them and the U.K will suffer from this.
May be the UK will suffer the most?!
It's scary the way the pound has fallen(never happened like this in 30 yrs wanasema?)

Kitu nimeshangaa kutoka hii, ni the way Scotland voted to remain. You'd think wako more old school, traditional na wangekuwa wao wa kutoka and not cosmopolitan England.

Lakini mkuu, I think the US influence in Europe will be crippled obviously hawa wakikataa kurudi, since they're their biggest allies lakini sidhani kama itapotea kabisa?
 
mtu kitu

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mtu kitu

mtu kitu

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Scotland weshaanza kusema wanataka wapige tena kura juu ya muungano wao wa UK, wakijitoa Scotland na pengine N.ireland nao watafata, itabaki England na Wales tu, sasa je ni Mwanzo wa Mwisho wa dola ya malkia ?
 

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