Early Prediction on the American Election

[thedon]

Jamaa vingereza viiingi hakuna pointi...wanatabiri tu eti nani atakua mshindi. Vigezo vya kutabiri hawana, wanahamia kwenye historia inasemaje...wanabishana tena...hamna kitu hapa potezea

Kama huna lakusema nyamaza tuu. Kusema kuwa hamna aliyetoa sababu za utabiri wake ni kukubali ujinga

 

[thedon]

Ni kawaida kwa kila chama after convention kupata bounce in polls na kuonekana kina chance nzuri,election is long term game not just one good speech,nakuhakikishia theres no chance in hell Trump is going to win in Nov angalia state to state especially background states usiangalie National polls ndio utajua he will lose big time

The jump in the polls is not my concern, because we haven`t had a poll since the convention was finished. Besides they were tied in some polls even before the convention. I`m trying to see how Clinton will be able to fight off Trump`s attacks and I just can`t see it. The other thing is she is not that great of a debater, Trump will wipe the floor with her, not with anything intelligent but his dirty unsubstantiated attacks might just be too much for Clinton. The attacks don`t have to be true they just have to work and right now they seem to be working

 

[Koba]

You are dumb as a box of rocks.

They are not "background states".

They are battleground states.

You big dummy!

Easy boy, mistake but you know what I meant..na Hillary still will get Historic win in November na huyo mwehu mwenzako is going to have his azz handed to him come November

 

[UrbanGentleman]

Easy boy, mistake but you know what I meant..na Hillary still will get Historic win in November na huyo mwehu mwenzako is going to have his azz handed to him come November

Sio kweli

 

[Koba]

The jump in the polls is not my concern, because we haven`t had a poll since the convention was finished. Besides they were tied in some polls even before the convention. I`m trying to see how Clinton will be able to fight off Trump`s attacks and I just can`t see it. The other thing is she is not that great of a debater, Trump will wipe the floor with her, not with anything intelligent but his dirty unsubstantiated attacks might just be too much for Clinton. The attacks don`t have to be true they just have to work and right now they seem to be working

Clinton not great of a debater? I think you are not serious

 

[Jay One]

Sio kweli

Clinton will win, with over 60%..!! Keep that..!!

 

[thedon]

Clinton not great of a debater? I think you are not serious

If you go by online polling instead of what ``pundits`` think, she lost every debate she was in with Sanders. And Sanders was as civil as any politician would wish to be. Now imagine her going against a sexist loudmouth like Trump who has the ability to suck the air out of any room he is in, its not going to be a pretty sight believe me.

 

[Rob Art]

Kama huna lakusema nyamaza tuu. Kusema kuwa hamna aliyetoa sababu za utabiri wake ni kukubali ujinga

Umezungumia tabia yake na hotuba aliyoitoa juzi.Na pia ukaongezea mtaji wa skendo za Hillary. Hii ndio content ya habari yako yote. And certainly ndio vinavyokushawishi ya kwamba Trump asichukuliwe poa. Huu ni mtazamo hasi, jaribu kutoa sababu kwa mapana kama unataka kufanya utabiri makini

 

[thedon]

Umezungumia tabia yake na hotuba aliyoitoa juzi.Na pia ukaongezea mtaji wa skendo za Hillary. Hii ndio content ya habari yako yote. And certainly ndio vinavyokushawishi ya kwamba Trump asichukuliwe poa. Huu ni mtazamo hasi, jaribu kutoa sababu kwa mapana kama unataka kufanya utabiri makini

Kwahiyo unakubali kuwa utabiri nilitoa na sababu zangu za kutabiri hivyo au la!? Maana mara ya kwanza ulidai hamna aliyetoa sababu za utabiri wake.

No problem with opposing or dissenting views, but at least come back with some counter argument.

 

[Koba]

If you go by online polling instead of what ``pundits`` think, she lost every debate she was in with Sanders. And Sanders was as civil as any politician would wish to be. Now imagine her going against a sexist loudmouth like Trump who has the ability to suck the air out of any room he is in, its not going to be a pretty sight believe me.

Vyovyote utakavyoiweka sioni Trump win come Nov, na ujue ni State chache sana zinaamua next POTUS, kuna state ambazo Republican/Democrats don't campaign at all lakini win is guaranteed ,like Texas is a Republican win 100% same like California or New York Democrats is guaranteed 100% win no matter what, as of now Clinton 241 and Trump 105 and you need 270 to be President sasa angalia adavantage kubwa aliyokuwa nayo Clinton hapo, na ukiangalia Obama alishinda kwa zaidi ya 300+ electoral college na sioni kama Clinton is going to lose any state ambayo Obama alishinda 2012, na matusi aliyowatukana watu huyu Trump na policy zake zisizokubalika na majority this will be a landslide

 

[Rob Art]

Kwahiyo unakubali kuwa utabiri nilitoa na sababu zangu za kutabiri hivyo au la!? Maana mara ya kwanza ulidai hamna aliyetoa sababu za utabiri wake.

No problem with opposing or dissenting views, but at least come back with some counter argument.

My bad mkuu, ulitoa sababu too shallow for me to see the logic. Nikapitia upya andiko, sio baya sana. Ni ngumu kutoa utabiri bila kulinganisha sera za wagombea, hasa katika maeneo ya afya, ulinzi, uchumi na sera za mambo ya nje.Haya ni maoni yangu though, you can go with haiba ya mtu kutabiri.

 

[thedon]

sioni kama Clinton is going to lose any state ambayo Obama alishinda 2012, na matusi aliyowatukana watu huyu Trump na policy zake zisizokubalika na majority

I used to be on that camp too, but as I said earlier the Democrats are taking their voter bloc for granted. To assume that Hillary will create as much enthusiasm among voters as Obama did is a huge oversight on their part. There is plenty of reason to believe that not every Democrat is satisfied with Clinton as the nominee and the idea of Trump being so scary that Democrats have no choice but to vote for Clinton is another gross miscalculation.

And as far as the his policies not being widely accepted that`s where I was saying I feel like people are overestimating average Americans ability to see beyond Trump`s bullshit especially if he is starting to show some refinement in his style. I just don`t think it`s going to be as much of a cake walk as the democrats seem to think it is going to be and that could be their downfall.

Of course swing states are where the election is going to be decided but on what evidence can you guarantee Clinton will win those states.

I saw Mark Cuban is predicting that Trump might win the popular vote and lose the electoral college, which apparently would be Trump`s dream scenario for his business ambitions.

 

[thedon]

My bad mkuu, ulitoa sababu too shallow for me to see the logic. Nikapitia upya andiko, sio baya sana. Ni ngumu kutoa utabiri bila kulinganisha sera za wagombea, hasa katika maeneo ya afya, ulinzi, uchumi na sera za mambo ya nje.Haya ni maoni yangu though, you can go with haiba ya mtu kutabiri.

Could you be anymore condescending if your tried!?

If you read my post you will see I did point out that he is lacking any specific plans addressing any of those issues. Having better policy plans does not guarantee winning an election. From a liberal point of view Bernie Sanders had better policy ideas, where is he now?

And the point I was making in that original post and some of the other ones that followed is that people are expecting Americans to act rationally and vote according to the old rules of comparing policies and agendas but times have changed. From what I saw in the primaries people are voting on pure emotions right now and Trump has tapped into those emotions better than anyone has so far.

 

[Koba]

I used to be on that camp too, but as I said earlier the Democrats are taking their voter bloc for granted. To assume that Hillary will create as much enthusiasm among voters as Obama did is a huge oversight on their part. There is plenty of reason to believe that not every Democrat is satisfied with Clinton as the nominee and the idea of Trump being so scary that Democrats have no choice but to vote for Clinton is another gross miscalculation.

And as far as the his policies not being widely accepted that`s where I was saying I feel like people are overestimating average Americans ability to see beyond Trump`s bullshit especially if he is starting to show some refinement in his style. I just don`t think it`s going to be as much of a cake walk as the democrats seem to think it is going to be and that could be their downfall.

Of course swing states are where the election is going to be decided but on what evidence can you guarantee Clinton will win those states.

I saw Mark Cuban is predicting that Trump might win the popular vote and lose the electoral college, which apparently would be Trump`s dream scenario for his business ambitions.

Democrats take nothing and no one for granted and work hard for every vote, kama unafuatilia kwa karibu they have more staff, more money ,more inclusive platform etc Trump ametukana almost every category na kuonyesha wazi kabisa he doesn't care about their votes, the guy is bully who depends na uzungu and racist lakini policy wise hata White Republicans wenzake wanaoelewa hawataki kumsikia,is an open secret lakini in US racism card do work ila not in Presidential Elections ambako minority wana percentage kubwa to swing the election

 

[Sexer]

Vyovyote utakavyoiweka sioni Trump win come Nov, na ujue ni State chache sana zinaamua next POTUS, kuna state ambazo Republican/Democrats don't campaign at all lakini win is guaranteed ,like Texas is a Republican win 100% same like California or New York Democrats is guaranteed 100% win no matter what, as of now Clinton 241 and Trump 105 and you need 270 to be President sasa angalia adavantage kubwa aliyokuwa nayo Clinton hapo, na ukiangalia Obama alishinda kwa zaidi ya 300+ electoral college na sioni kama Clinton is going to lose any state ambayo Obama alishinda 2012, na matusi aliyowatukana watu huyu Trump na policy zake zisizokubalika na majority this will be a landslide

tambua kura za new york kwa sasa zitaenda kwa home boy trump

 

[kui]

tambua kura za new york kwa sasa zitaenda kwa home boy trump

I doubt it Sexer, NY is heavily a blue state but, as Nyani Ngabu said, we shouldn't underestimate him.

Nakumbuka wakati wa primaries NY' tabloid ziliwazodoa repub New Hampshire(ers) walivyompa Trump NH.

 

[Koba]

tambua kura za new york kwa sasa zitaenda kwa home boy trump

The chance of Trump winning New York is ZERO!!!

 

[Lizarazu]

Clinton will win, with over 60%..!! Keep that..!!

Keep standing on your words till november..
I stand up for Trump, i'm ready to take the gamble

 

[Lizarazu]

America is no longer safe and it has almost lost her supremacy that we were used to see obviously. They now need to retrieve their nation in the usual right track.

Plausibly safety issue in this year election matters a lot, therefore the security policy agenda is highly prioritized..!! unfortunately democratic doesn't have much saying about this issue because they are responsible for the vulnerable defence currently. it will be like kujitukana wenyewe if they dare jump into it and i do believe they won't talk too much of what they've damn failed during the campaign(because they ain't CCM)

From this standing point. Americans eagerly need leader who can restore what they lost and only candidate who seems to have such capability to gratify their needs is Donald Trump.
I myself see no room for mrs.Clinton to win presidential contest.


...Lets keep awaiting anyway

 

[Job K]

hivi kwenye huu uzi lazima muandike kiingereza? wacheni uhuni wa kiccm bana

Hao ni UKAWA mkuu, Lizaboni, Simiyu Yetu, Stroke, MOTOCHINI, Ruttashobolwa wataweza wapi ung'eng'e wa hivyo? Wala huwezi kuwaona kwenye uzi kama huu! Hao ni "like father, like son"