Bei ya mafuta duniani imeshuka, Tanzania bado bei ipo palepale

Chief

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Jun 5, 2006
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Mpaka sasa, bei ya mafuta duniani imepunguia katika kiwango ambacho hakijawahi kufikiwa kwa maka kumi na mbili iliyopita, na kwa muda ilifika chini ya $30 kwa pipa.

Ajabu ni kwamba bei imepungua kiasi kidogo mno katika vituo vya mafuta na kwa kweli haionyeshi uhalisia ya bei kupungua katika soko la dunia kulinganisha na hapa nyumbani hata ukichukulia kupungua kwa thamani ya fedha yetu.

EWURA watupe sababu za kuridhisha kwa nini bei ya mafuta haipungia kwa kiwango cha kuridhisha hapa nyumbani, laa sivyo itabidi tuamini kuwa nao wanashirikiana na wenye vituo vya mafuta kutunyonya, wakineemeka kwa kuhongwa.
150203165218_us_oil_well_624x351_getty_nocredit.jpg

Visima vya mafuta

Bei ya mafuta katika soko la kimataifa imeendelea kushuka hadi kiwango cha chini kabisa ndani ya miaka 20 hadi sasa.

Kushuka kwa bei hiyo ya mafuta kimataifa kufikia kiwango cha chini ya dola 30 kwa pipa inatajwa kuwa ni matokeo ya kuongezeka kwa hifadhi ya mafuta nchini Marekani.

Kumekuwa na mtikisiko katika bei ya mafuta Duniani tangu mwaka 2014 ambapo matokeo yake ni kuongezeka kwa uzalishaji wa mafuta nchini Marekani na kupungua kwa uhitaji nchini China.

Hata hivyo wataalamu wa uchumi wanasema kuwa China umeingia katika uhitaji mdogo wa mafuta kutokana na kudorola kwa ukuaji wa uchumi wa taifa hilo.

Taarifa za kushuka kwa kasighafla kwa bei ya mafuta kimataifa kumesababisha kushuka kwa mauzo ya siku katika masoko makuu matatu ya hisa kwaununuzi kwa Zaidi ya asilimia mbili


Chanzo:
BBC
 
Mkuu hapo wala wenye vituo hawahusiki hata tatizo lipo huko ewura
Ndio maana nikasema hawa watu wa EWURA wanaweza kuwa na maslahi binafsi kwa kufumbia macho suala hili. Niliwauliza swali hili kwenye kituo fulani cha mafuta wakasema wanafuata bei elekezi ya EWURA. Ni wazi kwamba kama bei ni kubwa kuliko soko, watafuata bei hiyo na ndio itakuwa sababu yao ya kujitetea, kumbe pembeni wanapeleka mshiko.
 
Ndio maana nikasema hawa watu wa EWURA wanaweza kuwa na maslahi binafsi kwa kufumbia macho suala hili. Niliwauliza swali hili kwenye kituo fulani cha mafuta wakasema wanafuata bei elekezi ya EWURA. Ni wazi kwamba kama bei ni kubwa kuliko soko, watafuata bei hiyo na ndio itakuwa sababu yao ya kujitetea, kumbe pembeni wanapeleka mshiko.
Dah! wewe unasema $30 mimi leo nimesoma kwenye magazine moja kuwa imeshuka hadi $20!
 
Mpaka sasa, bei ya mafuta duniani imepunguia katika kiwango ambacho hakijawahi kufikiwa kwa maka kumi na mbili iliyopita, na kwa muda ilifika chini ya $30 kwa pipa.

Ajabu ni kwamba bei imepungua kiasi kidogo mno katika vituo vya mafuta na kwa kweli haionyeshi uhalisia ya bei kupungua katika soko la dunia kulinganisha na hapa nyumbani hata ukichukulia kupungua kwa thamani ya fedha yetu.

EWURA watupe sababu za kuridhisha kwa nini bei ya mafuta haipungia kwa kiwango cha kuridhisha hapa nyumbani, laa sivyo itabidi tuamini kuwa nao wanashirikiana na wenye vituo vya mafuta kutunyonya, wakineemeka kwa kuhongwa.


$20 oil no longer mirage as world confronts 12-year low 8 / 27
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The world mostly ignored Ed Morse 11 months ago when the head of commodities research at Citigroup said oil could drop as low as $20.

It’s paying attention now that crude has tipped below $30.

BP Plc slashed 4,000 jobs, Petroleo Brasileiro SA slashed its spending plan and Petroliam Nasional Bhd. warned that it faces several tough years before crude futures in the U.S. sank into the $20s for the first time in more than 12 years. Morse, who wrote in a Feb. 9 research note that oil could fall "perhaps as low as the $20 range for a while," said Tuesday in Calgary that the world is now “confronting $20 oil."

“The $20 number is something you have to talk about,” Morse said. “When you’ve seen a $10 price slide and WTI is trading just slightly above $30, the likelihood is fairly great. Clearly oil markets cannot maintain a price at below the $30 level for very long. The question is how much longer.”

West Texas Intermediate fell as low as $29.93 a barrel before settling at $30.44 Tuesday, the lowest level since December 2003.

Financing Challenges

Low oil prices could cause problems for U.S. oil companies with debt covenants that specify certain debt-to-earnings ratios or interest coverage, and will make it even harder for those companies to obtain financing to continue to operate, said Mark Sadeghian, a senior director for the energy and commodities group at Fitch Ratings Ltd.

The Bloomberg Commodities Index fell to the lowest level since at least 1991 as demand from slowing emerging-market economies fails to keep pace with a flood of supply from investments made during the price boom of a half-decade ago.

Malaysia stands to lose 300 million ringgit ($68 million) for every $1-a-barrel decline in crude, according to government estimates. ConocoPhillips is losing $1.79 billion in net income each quarter for every $10 drop in prices, according to analysts at Barclays Plc.

Petrobras, as Brazil’s state-controlled oil producer is familiarly known, cut its five-year business plan to $98.4 billion, the latest adjustment to the original $130 billion announced last year.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration reduced its forecast for WTI prices for 2016 by 24 percent to $38.54 a barrel. In its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook, the agency said the oil market would come back into balance in 2017.

The call for oil in the $20s grew louder in recent months, with Goldman Sachs pinning a 50 percent chance of oil falling to $20 in September and Morgan Stanley saying Monday that a strong dollar could drop oil below $30. Morse was first with the $20s call, although he said last February that it could happen in the first half of last year followed by the market balancing.

“Right now the real driving factor is access to capital markets,” Sadeghian said by phone from Chicago. “$20 oil just digs an even deeper hole from where you need to be before the markets open up again.”

Source: msn.com
 
bei hapa inawahusu ewura na waagizaji. waagizaji ni wajanja na ewura wanajua! utakuta 'invoice inasoma wamenunua pipa dola 100!!'
hakuna uwazi juu ya uagizaji wa mafuta kwa pamoja na bei halisi kwa soko
 
kuna vitu vikitokea naukumbuka sana UJAMAA... Ujamaa ni mzuri, ulihujumiwa na watendaji mafisadi ma walafi.

Hapa "ingekuwa" Ujamaa serikali ndo ingeagiza mafuta na kuuza kwa "bei rafiki" kwa mlaji.
Ujamaa unachukia unyonyaji...
si mbaya kama tukichukua baadhi mema ya ujamaa na kuyafanyia kazi na kuacha yaliyo mabaya.
 
150203165218_us_oil_well_624x351_getty_nocredit.jpg

Visima vya mafuta

Bei ya mafuta katika soko la kimataifa imeendelea kushuka hadi kiwango cha chini kabisa ndani ya miaka 20 hadi sasa.

Kushuka kwa bei hiyo ya mafuta kimataifa kufikia kiwango cha chini ya dola 30 kwa pipa inatajwa kuwa ni matokeo ya kuongezeka kwa hifadhi ya mafuta nchini Marekani.

Kumekuwa na mtikisiko katika bei ya mafuta Duniani tangu mwaka 2014 ambapo matokeo yake ni kuongezeka kwa uzalishaji wa mafuta nchini Marekani na kupungua kwa uhitaji nchini China.

Hata hivyo wataalamu wa uchumi wanasema kuwa China umeingia katika uhitaji mdogo wa mafuta kutokana na kudorola kwa ukuaji wa uchumi wa taifa hilo.

Taarifa za kushuka kwa kasighafla kwa bei ya mafuta kimataifa kumesababisha kushuka kwa mauzo ya siku katika masoko makuu matatu ya hisa kwaununuzi kwa Zaidi ya asilimia mbili


Chanzo:
BBC
 
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Naam, katika masoko mbalimbali bei imechezea kati ya USD 30.69 down to 30.31 kutka USD 32+ siku chache zilizopita. July 2008 bei ilifikia USD 145.31 kabala ya kushuka na kupanda mara kwa mara. Kati ya 2011 na 2014 mwanzoni bei imekuwa ikichezea USD 70 hadi 106 kabla ya kuanza kushuka hadi USD 30.56 leo.

Ni habari njema kwa wanunuzi japo mbaya kwa wazalishaji. Kama tunavyolalamika kuanguka kwa bei za mazao huko Soko la Dunia ndivyo wauza mafuta nao wanavyoumia.
 
Some companies should die...

Wajanja wanacheza na bei kupunguza ushindani...

Soon utasikia kuna baadhi ya makampuni ya mafuta wanafunga operations au mengine yananunuliwa na wale seven big sisters..
 
Duh!! hi ni hatari kwetu Kenya na Uganda, kwa maana ndio tumeshayagundua ardhini, bora wangeacha tufyonze kwa miaka walau mitano halafu ishuke. Hata lile bomba la Mganda litakua halina maana tena kwetu.
 
Bei ya mafuta ya gari na mitambo duniani kote imezidi kuporomoka na sasa ni chini ya dola 30 per berrel, bidhaa mbalimbali zinazidi kuporomoka bei, lakini cha kushangaza wakati dunia nzima mafuta na bidhaa mbalimbali zinaporomoka bei, hapa Tanzania vitu ndiyo vinazidi kupanda bei na hakuna dalili yeyote ya kutelemka, we fikiria mafuta yalipanda bei mpaka kufikia dola150 per berrel na yakatelemka mpaka sasa yapo chini ya dola 30 per berrel lakini bidhaa za Tanzania ziko palepale. Ishii hivi watanzania tumelogwa au tuna tatizo gani?.
 
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