A Run- off Highly Probable In The Next Elections- IPSOS

[Iconoclastes]

Nasa closing the gap on Jubilee — Ipsos poll

If elections were held today, 47 per cent of Kenyans would vote for Jubilee as 42 per cent choose the National Super Alliance (Nasa), the latest Ipsos opinion poll shows.

But compared with another study released by Ipsos in January, Nasa leaders Raila Odinga and Kalonzo Musyoka have gained numbers over Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto of the Jubilee Party.

CONFIDENCE

Nasa has gained more than 10 percentage points, from 30 per cent in January to the 42 in May as Jubilee maintained its 47 per cent rating.

On the level of public confidence in presidential candidates, President Uhuru Kenyatta leads with 40 per cent, William Ruto second at 31 per cent, Raila Odinga 25 per cent and Kalonzo Musyoka 12 per cent.

But if you consider the question of which presidential candidate enjoys the least public confidence, Mr Musyoka leads with 39 per cent.

On the state of the nation, 71 per cent of Kenyans interviewed by Ipsos in their second-quarter survey say Kenya is headed in the wrong direction.

91PC

Nasa supporters paint an even bleaker picture, as 91 per cent of them think the country is heading in the wrong direction, while 52 per cent of Jubilee supporters also say all is not well with Kenya.

Of those who say the country is headed in wrong direction, 68 per cent mention the cost of living as a reason.

This study was commissioned by Ipsos and conducted between May 11 and 23.
There were 2,026 completed interviews with a contact number of 5,484 done in 46 counties.

The study also had a margin of error of +/- 2.18 with a 95 per cent confidence level.
More follows.

Nasa closing gap on Jubilee — Ipsos poll

 

[MK254]

Most are agreeing Kenya is headed in the wrong direction due to cost of living, but again are choosing to vote current administration as they can't see alternative.
But anyway, I normally don't believe these polls, kura yangu ipo tayari na nipo nimejiandaa siku ikifika lazima nitapiga kura with or without opinion polls.

 

[waltham]

Most are agreeing Kenya is headed in the wrong direction due to cost of living, but again are choosing to vote current administration as they can't see alternative.
But anyway, I normally don't believe these polls, kura yangu ipo tayari na nipo nimejiandaa siku ikifika lazima nitapiga kura with or without opinion polls.

Mmmm.....say you don't see an alternative because of your political inclination. Don't speak for everyone. There a section like you but there millions who see an alternative in NASA. None in opposition has ever been a president. I thought in math and life in general you compare like terms!

 

[MK254]

Mmmm.....say you don't see an alternative because of your political inclination. Don't speak for everyone. There a section like you but there millions who see an alternative in NASA. None in opposition has ever been a president. I thought in math and life in general you compare like terms!

So are you speaking on behalf of those millions and blocking me from speaking on behalf of my millions. There are millions of us who see right through the fraud that NASA is. None of them needs to have been a president for us to figure out what they are capable of, they have all been in influential positions and we saw the mess they all have been.

So, these opinion polls won't sway anyone, hapa tumefika we are just waiting for the two months ahead tukutane kwa tepe/debe....Early in the morning hata inyeshe mvua ya mawe au radi lakini tukutane huko and form long queues all day.

 

[waltham]

So are you speaking on behalf of those millions and blocking me from speaking on behalf of my millions. There are millions of us who see right through the fraud that NASA is. None of them needs to have been a president for us to figure out what they are capable of, they have all been in influential positions and we saw the mess they all have been.

So, these opinion polls won't sway anyone, hapa tumefika we are just waiting for the two months ahead tukutane kwa tepe/debe....Early in the morning hata inyeshe mvua ya mawe au radi lakini tukutane huko and form long queues all day.

Dont speak for anyone but you- just stated a fact after you said Kenyans don't see an alternative which is a lie. I did also say there is two sides of the coin. What I specifically said you keep off is categorical statement there is no alternative unless when you speak for yourself not Kenyans!!!
On figuring what NASA leaders are capable of, you're right you just check there past performance but what you don't get is comparing equals on both sides. None has been a president except uhuru, do its uhuru against other past Kenyan presidents where he comes last with 1.5 on a scale of 10! Now raila vs uhuru vs kalonzo vs mudavadi vs wetangula vs ruto vs rutto, why be coz they were all ministers at one point! Equal terms again. Ruto-dp and uhuru among worst performing ministers with maize and typing errors scandals. For a prime minister this can only be evaluated on its own as Kenya had only him as a prime minister. It's long but compare and contrast equal terms!!!

 

[Metsada]

Most are agreeing Kenya is headed in the wrong direction due to cost of living, but again are choosing to vote current administration as they can't see alternative.
But anyway, I normally don't believe these polls, kura yangu ipo tayari na nipo nimejiandaa siku ikifika lazima nitapiga kura with or without opinion polls.

YOU MR.KIKUYU "OPERATIVE" - YOU BRING THAT TOPIC HERE SO AS TO GATHER OPINIONS OF JF TANZANIANS SO THAT YOU COULD USE THEM TO WRITE A REPORT TO NAIROBI??? THAT WOULDN'T WORK MY FRIEND. WE KNOW FOR A FACT THAT IF ELECTIONS ARE NOT RIGGED THEN NASA WILL WIN IN THE FIRST ROUND - NO DOUBT ABOUT THAT. RAO HAS THE NUMBERS AND WE KNOW IPSOS COOK DATA FOR THE BENEFIT OF THE INCUMBENT - BRACE YOURSELF

 

[jebs2002]

YOU MR.KIKUYU "OPERATIVE" -

JF is for great and critical thinkers, whoever Kenyans choose as their President its not our business, will embrace him knowing our neighbours have decided, we wish to follow the agendas and seras especially regarding EAC and Tanzania relations?
Can somebody please forward them to us?

 

[KeMzalendo]

Two months to elections and both sides have not come out categorically, to tell Kenyans what they intend to do except for one item on each end.
Jubilee promises free secondary tuition. NASA says they will cap and reduce rental charges of housing.
Hawa wanasiasa wanatubeba utoto. I can't believe the only thing we are discussing on national TV is tribal and regional numbers. Such bull...

 

[MwendaOmo]

Dont speak for anyone but you- just stated a fact after you said Kenyans don't see an alternative which is a lie. I did also say there is two sides of the coin. What I specifically said you keep off is categorical statement there is no alternative unless when you speak for yourself not Kenyans!!!
On figuring what NASA leaders are capable of, you're right you just check there past performance but what you don't get is comparing equals on both sides. None has been a president except uhuru, do its uhuru against other past Kenyan presidents where he comes last with 1.5 on a scale of 10! Now raila vs uhuru vs kalonzo vs mudavadi vs wetangula vs ruto vs rutto, why be coz they were all ministers at one point! Equal terms again. Ruto-dp and uhuru among worst performing ministers with maize and typing errors scandals. For a prime minister this can only be evaluated on its own as Kenya had only him as a prime minister. It's long but compare and contrast equal terms!!!

IF you have a 24-hour thieving Accounts Clerk who never works all day and a thieving Chief Accountant who works half day; Will you tempt fate by promoting the Clerk to Chief Accountant because "The Accounts clerk" has never had a chance to be a chief accountant?

That would be madness.

I supported Raila in 2007 with my last breath. It his performance as prime minister that made me thank God for the bullet that we dodged as a nation.

Good thing though is that Raila will lose bigly. And he will run again in 2022 after signing another memorandum with Kalonzo

 

[MwendaOmo]

Nasa closing the gap on Jubilee — Ipsos poll

If elections were held today, 47 per cent of Kenyans would vote for Jubilee as 42 per cent choose the National Super Alliance (Nasa), the latest Ipsos opinion poll shows.

But compared with another study released by Ipsos in January, Nasa leaders Raila Odinga and Kalonzo Musyoka have gained numbers over Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto of the Jubilee Party.

CONFIDENCE

Nasa has gained more than 10 percentage points, from 30 per cent in January to the 42 in May as Jubilee maintained its 47 per cent rating.

On the level of public confidence in presidential candidates, President Uhuru Kenyatta leads with 40 per cent, William Ruto second at 31 per cent, Raila Odinga 25 per cent and Kalonzo Musyoka 12 per cent.

But if you consider the question of which presidential candidate enjoys the least public confidence, Mr Musyoka leads with 39 per cent.

On the state of the nation, 71 per cent of Kenyans interviewed by Ipsos in their second-quarter survey say Kenya is headed in the wrong direction.

91PC

Nasa supporters paint an even bleaker picture, as 91 per cent of them think the country is heading in the wrong direction, while 52 per cent of Jubilee supporters also say all is not well with Kenya.

Of those who say the country is headed in wrong direction, 68 per cent mention the cost of living as a reason.

This study was commissioned by Ipsos and conducted between May 11 and 23.
There were 2,026 completed interviews with a contact number of 5,484 done in 46 counties.

The study also had a margin of error of +/- 2.18 with a 95 per cent confidence level.
More follows.

Nasa closing gap on Jubilee — Ipsos poll

NASA will not go beyond 46 and Jubilee will have a minimum of 53% Mengine ni Kalongo tu

 

[Iconoclastes]

Two months to elections and both sides have not come out categorically, to tell Kenyans what they intend to do except for one item on each end.
Jubilee promises free secondary tuition. NASA says they will cap and reduce rental charges of housing.
Hawa wanasiasa wanatubeba utoto. I can't believe the only thing we are discussing on national TV is tribal and regional numbers. Such bull...

Huyu baba naye akipewangwa opportunity kuongelea sera zake, upuzz kama hizi ndio yeye husema. Either ni Kadenge na muupira, ama some ludicrous ideas namna hii.

Hiyo bei ya rent itapunguzwa aje sasa?

 

[henry kilenga]

Ila ruto akae akijua kuwa hawezi kuja kuwa raisi wa Kenya katika maisha yake katika siasa

 

[MwendaOmo]

Ila ruto akae akijua kuwa hawezi kuja kuwa raisi wa Kenya katika maisha yake katika siasa

Hayo ni mambo ya 2022. Hata asipoweza kuwa Rais, amefika pahali amabapo wakenye 99.99% hawajawahi fika so it's not a big deal. Unlike Raila who started working towards being president in 1982, Ruto ameanza hii mchezo tu Juzi na Ameshamtwanga Raila.

 

[Metsada]

JF is for great and critical thinkers, whoever Kenyans choose as their President its not our business, will embrace him knowing our neighbours have decided, we wish to follow the agendas and seras especially regarding EAC and Tanzania relations?
Can somebody please forward them to us?

You just don't know how governments operate. I won't write back. Bye

 

[Lewis254]

Ila ruto akae akijua kuwa hawezi kuja kuwa raisi wa Kenya katika maisha yake katika siasa

kwani alikukosea ama?

 

[henry kilenga]

Hayo ni mambo ya 2022. Hata asipoweza kuwa Rais, amefika pahali amabapo wakenye 99.99% hawajawahi fika so it's not a big deal. Unlike Raila who started working towards being president in 1982, Ruto ameanza hii mchezo tu Juzi na Ameshamtwanga Raila.

Ruto anaonekana anautaka sana urahisi kwa nguvu zote hiyo ni dalili mbaya

 

[waltham]

IF you have a 24-hour thieving Accounts Clerk who never works all day and a thieving Chief Accountant who works half day; Will you tempt fate by promoting the Clerk to Chief Accountant because "The Accounts clerk" has never had a chance to be a chief accountant?

That would be madness.

I supported Raila in 2007 with my last breath. It his performance as prime minister that made me thank God for the bullet that we dodged as a nation.

Good thing though is that Raila will lose bigly. And he will run again in 2022 after signing another memorandum with Kalonzo

Ulichoandika haistahili kijibiwa! Ni povu tupu Na chuki ya peni mbili. Wizi haujawai Na hautakua sawa. Ufanywe Na upande Gani! Kwa awamu zote za utawala Kenya this is the worst govt. We thought moi was Baad!!!

 

[MK254]

Dont speak for anyone but you- just stated a fact after you said Kenyans don't see an alternative which is a lie. I did also say there is two sides of the coin. What I specifically said you keep off is categorical statement there is no alternative unless when you speak for yourself not Kenyans!!!
On figuring what NASA leaders are capable of, you're right you just check there past performance but what you don't get is comparing equals on both sides. None has been a president except uhuru, do its uhuru against other past Kenyan presidents where he comes last with 1.5 on a scale of 10! Now raila vs uhuru vs kalonzo vs mudavadi vs wetangula vs ruto vs rutto, why be coz they were all ministers at one point! Equal terms again. Ruto-dp and uhuru among worst performing ministers with maize and typing errors scandals. For a prime minister this can only be evaluated on its own as Kenya had only him as a prime minister. It's long but compare and contrast equal terms!!!

I was only countering your insinuation that there is only a section of people like me and millions of people like you, tried to only remind you likewise, there are millions who will queue and not vote for your preferred candidate because they have ability to see and discern.
As for your comparisons of Uhuru against previous president, unless you provide a credible reference of where your 1.5 is coming from, it's null and void.

The rest of the NASA bandwagon are well known to most of us, it's always said, show what you have achieved with the little you have, then we can measure and gauge your ability if given much more responsibilities.
I've seen Raila as an MP for decades, seen him as a powerful minister, seen him as a prime minister and so on, have seen the rest like Kalonzo as an MP for God knows how long, minister, vice president and so on, seen the rest in greater porfolios including a governor, deputy prime minister, in fact senator etc In fact Mudavadi too was once a vice president and recently installed as a trbal king.
All those positions and years we didn't experience or saw any mojo in them, they all have a huge load of corruption issues hanging on them. In fact, this explains why 71% of Kenyans feels the country is headed towards the wrong direction but are simply not making up their minds to walk over to NASA bandwagon.

I have my issues with Uhuruto, but there are things I can see for sure that will make me brace morning cold to vote for them

Education First time in Kenyan history parents are not paying for exam fees both KCPE and KCSE
The budget for free primary education increased from KSh 8.96 billion in 2012/2013 to KSh 14.1 billion
Budget for secondary school education increased from KSh 19.2 billion in 2012/2013 KSh 32.5 billion.
Budget for Higher Education Loans Board increased from KSh 5.5 billion in 2012/2013 to KSh 7.6 billion.
New 2,400 new police vehicles added to the fleet
More than 40 Huduma Centres across the country, more than 5 million Kenyans served
8,000 Schools were connected by 2013 the number has grown to 20,450 during Uhuru's tenure
Kenyans connected to power before Jubilee were 2.3 million. Today, the number has grown to 4.1 raising Kenyans with access to power to about 50% compared to 32% during Kibaki/Raila.
Kenya had 1,660 megawatts of power before Uhuru, he has added 600 megawatts of clean energy
Social protection was at 226,700 but has increased to 710,000
Over 80,000 businesses have registered by youth, women and persons with disability since Uhuru took over.
Fertiliser used to cost 2,700. Today it's going at KSh 1,800.
The number of TV stations has risen to 55 stations from 14 in 2013.
Radio stations up to 126 from 108.
Mobile telephony has increased by over 20%.
Hospitals are getting new equipments
There were 40 dialysis machines existed in Kenya when Uhuru became president. The gov is in process of adding 245 dialysis machines across Kenya.
Incidences of malaria at out-patient facilities was 30%. Today, the number is slashed to 10%
Access to ARVs was 600,000 and has grown to 850,000, in fact we are well above the WHO standard of 80%.
4 million Kenyan families had NHIF insurance cover, an additional 1.7 million families were added.
Free maternity programme was only at 44% of women gave birth in medical facilities. At present, 68% of our mothers are attending hospitals for childbirth.
In 2013, Maternal mortality was 488 per 100,000, and has declined to 310 per 100,000 today.
Child mortality rate has declined from 72 per 1,000 to 52 per 1,000 today.
Standard Gauge Railway (SGR) was launched today, I can cover a full page talking about this SGR investment
Funds already sourced for the remaining of the whole streak
Plans underway for industrial parks all over including Naivasha.
Container terminal in Mombasa.
Upgrade of JKIA to make it a hub.
Roads, I can again do a whole page on this especially the one from Mwatate to Taveta, having been spoken about for 50 years, has now started. National Youth Service (NYS) NYS over 100,000 community youth engaged in various programmes. Though Waiguru and her ilk let us down in corruption
The NYS school has expanded from a capacity of 4,000 to 30,000 young men and women undergoing various vocational training.

Man, there Kenyans who can see and hear...... I can go on and on

 

[waltham]

I was only countering your insinuation that there is only a section of people like me and millions of people like you, tried to only remind you likewise, there are millions who will queue and not vote for your preferred candidate because they have ability to see and discern.
As for your comparisons of Uhuru against previous president, unless you provide a credible reference of where your 1.5 is coming from, it's null and void.

The rest of the NASA bandwagon are well known to most of us, it's always said, show what you have achieved with the little you have, then we can measure and gauge your ability if given much more responsibilities.
I've seen Raila as an MP for decades, seen him as a powerful minister, seen him as a prime minister and so on, have seen the rest like Kalonzo as an MP for God knows how long, minister, vice president and so on, seen the rest in greater porfolios including a governor, deputy prime minister, in fact senator etc In fact Mudavadi too was once a vice president and recently installed as a trbal king.
All those positions and years we didn't experience or saw any mojo in them, they all have a huge load of corruption issues hanging on them. In fact, this explains why 71% of Kenyans feels the country is headed towards the wrong direction but are simply not making up their minds to walk over to NASA bandwagon.

I have my issues with Uhuruto, but there are things I can see for sure that will make me brace morning cold to vote for them

Education First time in Kenyan history parents are not paying for exam fees both KCPE and KCSE
The budget for free primary education increased from KSh 8.96 billion in 2012/2013 to KSh 14.1 billion
Budget for secondary school education increased from KSh 19.2 billion in 2012/2013 KSh 32.5 billion.
Budget for Higher Education Loans Board increased from KSh 5.5 billion in 2012/2013 to KSh 7.6 billion.
New 2,400 new police vehicles added to the fleet
More than 40 Huduma Centres across the country, more than 5 million Kenyans served
8,000 Schools were connected by 2013 the number has grown to 20,450 during Uhuru's tenure
Kenyans connected to power before Jubilee were 2.3 million. Today, the number has grown to 4.1 raising Kenyans with access to power to about 50% compared to 32% during Kibaki/Raila.
Kenya had 1,660 megawatts of power before Uhuru, he has added 600 megawatts of clean energy
Social protection was at 226,700 but has increased to 710,000
Over 80,000 businesses have registered by youth, women and persons with disability since Uhuru took over.
Fertiliser used to cost 2,700. Today it's going at KSh 1,800.
The number of TV stations has risen to 55 stations from 14 in 2013.
Radio stations up to 126 from 108.
Mobile telephony has increased by over 20%.
Hospitals are getting new equipments
There were 40 dialysis machines existed in Kenya when Uhuru became president. The gov is in process of adding 245 dialysis machines across Kenya.
Incidences of malaria at out-patient facilities was 30%. Today, the number is slashed to 10%
Access to ARVs was 600,000 and has grown to 850,000, in fact we are well above the WHO standard of 80%.
4 million Kenyan families had NHIF insurance cover, an additional 1.7 million families were added.
Free maternity programme was only at 44% of women gave birth in medical facilities. At present, 68% of our mothers are attending hospitals for childbirth.
In 2013, Maternal mortality was 488 per 100,000, and has declined to 310 per 100,000 today.
Child mortality rate has declined from 72 per 1,000 to 52 per 1,000 today.
Standard Gauge Railway (SGR) was launched today, I can cover a full page talking about this SGR investment
Funds already sourced for the remaining of the whole streak
Plans underway for industrial parks all over including Naivasha.
Container terminal in Mombasa.
Upgrade of JKIA to make it a hub.
Roads, I can again do a whole page on this especially the one from Mwatate to Taveta, having been spoken about for 50 years, has now started. National Youth Service (NYS) NYS over 100,000 community youth engaged in various programmes. Though Waiguru and her ilk let us down in corruption
The NYS school has expanded from a capacity of 4,000 to 30,000 young men and women undergoing various vocational training.

Man, there Kenyans who can see and hear...... I can go on and on

Sipendi uongo! I did not read what you wrote I schemed through. one thing is for sure uhuru was an mp, minister. A deputy prime minister and a now a president.we know is track record all along. He was and continues to be a disaster.

 

[jebs2002]

You just don't know how governments operate. I won't write back. Bye

What a shame, but we meet all sorts of people like you, not surprised at all..