Four reasons why Iran will beat Saudi Arabia

[LIKUD]

These are the four reasons, why Iran will beat Saudi Arabia

1. Saudi Arabia intentionally keeps its military weaker than it should be- A strong military in Saudi Arabia would almost certainly tire of the machinations of the Saudi royal family and it would overthrow them. This is why the upper echelons of the military are filled with royal members and hangers-on and that's why Iran would have a significant advantage over Saudi Arabia.
2. Iran has purchased numerous anti-ship missiles - So many in fact that any time they want to end vessel traffic out of the Persian Gulf, they could do so. While Saudi Arabia does have a pipeline to offload oil located on its western shore, the pipeline couldn't carry the same amounts of petroleum that ships leaving the Persian Gulf do. Iran could easily strangle Saudi's petroleum if it so chose.
3. The bulk of Saudi's petrochemical industry is within flying distance and missile range of Iran's southern military bases - Iran, in addition to sinking vessels laden with Saudi crude, could devastate the bulk of the Saudi petroleum industry in a few hours to days.
4. Iran has a deeper bench than Saudi does - There are 75 million Iranians and less than 30 million Saudis. And most of the people in Saudi Arabia are not themselves Saudi citizens which brings up the ticklish question of loyalty during a crisis.
5. Saudi Arabia's large and restive Sh'ia population - Saudi Arabia has a Sh'ia population which may encompass as much as 15%. This minority has been severely oppressed by the Saudi government and clergy (the overwhelming majority of whom are Sunni Muslim) and there has been little done to salve the hurt feelings caused by this repression. Iran (being majority Sh'ia) could easily find purchase (and probably has) among the disaffected members of Saudi's Sh'ia community and use those members as a "fifth column." Or, even better for Iran, it could be presumed by the Saudi's that they couldn't trust their Sh'ia and additional forces would need to be deployed just to prevent a possible Sh'ia uprising. This would take needed troops away from the battle with Iran.

The above is all speculation of course, as it is not in US interests to allow a war between Iran and Saudi Arabia to occur. If diplomatic options failed, it's clear that the US would support Saudi Arabia and that support would be enough to either defeat Iran or to limit the scope of the conflict.

 

[Al gator]

Saudia akipigana na Irani hiyo ndio itakuwa mwanzo wa kuanguka kwa Middle East as a key Player kwenye Uchumi wa Dunia. Na ukizingatia Mafuta kila siku yana zidi kugundulika basi hii ndio inaweza kuwa their downfall

 

[caligula]

I'think so

 

[Erijo]

Iran-Saudi War hiyo itakuwa vita kubwa na itakuwa vigumu kwa Iran kushinda maada Saudia ana washirika wengi hukohuko mashariki ya kati mfano. Qatar,UAE,Bahrain, Kuwait etc... ambayo ni maeneo muhimu kwa kijografia kushinda vita, mbali zaidi mataifa ya magharibi ya kiongozwa na marekani wanauhasama na Iran hivyo wanaongeza nguvu kwa saudia pia Israel itasimama upande wa Saudia maana ni hasimu mkubwa wa Iran naweza sema kuwa IRAN-iSRAEL ni sawa na majogoo mawili yaliyo mtaa mmoja pasipo kuwahi kupigana sasa ndo itakuwa siku ya kuingia ulingoni. Kwa upande wa Iran anasapoti kutoka kwa mrusi ambaye ni rafiki yake lakini kumbuka wote wamewekewa vikwazo vya kiuchumi na nchi za magharibi hivyo itaadhiri kwa kiasi kikubwa katka uchumi na kijeshi, hivyo Urusi huwenda ikashindwa kuisaidia Iran (kwasababu hana maslahi makubwa na Iran kiuchumi zaidi ya kubalance nguvu za kijeshi mashariki yakati). Lakini tuombe huu mgogoro uliopo sasa uweze kutatuliwa mapema pasipo kuusisha vita coz itakuwa sio vita ya mataifa haya mawili tuu.

 

[Tibet]

Hapana Iran hawezi hanguka kirahisi kama unavofikiri

 

[Erijo]

Hapana Iran hawezi hanguka kirahisi kama unavofikiri

kukataa hoja ya mwezio bila kutetea hoja unayodhani ni sahihi. lengo sio kubishana ila ni kujenga hoja ya msingi.

 

[Masamila]

vita inaweza kuwa kubwa kutokana na kuwa saudi arabia is he heart of islam,,,,na wasunni wako zaidi ya bilioni moja duniani,,,,iran ni taifa la mashia na nchi kubwa ya kishia duniani ni moja tu na ndo iran.Sasa iran akishambulia saudi arabia tu basi atakuwa amepigana na uislam kwa ujumla na atapigwa kutokea pande zote,,,,,,nchi zenye washia kama yemen,lebanon,syria na iraq bado washia hao ni kundi dogo sana na wanaweza hata kudiliwa na wasunni wa huko huko na bado hujahusisha wasunni kutoka pakistani,misri,sudani,somalia,afghanistan,kuwait,jordan,u.a.e, na nchi nyingine nyingi sana.

 

[Masamila]

kwa kifupi washia duniani hawafiki milioni 200 wakati huo huo inasemekana wasunni wanaweza kufika hata bilioni mbili(2,000,000,000.!!!!),,,,,sasa saudi arabia ndo nchi inayoongoza kwa sheria za wassunni na wasunni wote hata kalenda zao zinafwata kalenda za saudi arabia!

 

[Sijali]

kwa kifupi washia duniani hawafiki milioni 200 wakati huo huo inasemekana wasunni wanaweza kufika hata bilioni mbili(2,000,000,000.!!!!),,,,,sasa saudi arabia ndo nchi inayoongoza kwa sheria za wassunni na wasunni wote hata kalenda zao zinafwata kalenda za saudi arabia!

Sidhani kama itakuwa vita ya kidini bali ya kisiasa. At any rate, Saudia hawawakilishi Sunni, isipokuwa brand yao tu ya Wahabi. Traditional Sunni wanawachukia sana kwa mbinu zao za kila siku za kupiganisha Waislamu na kuwatuhumu wasio wao kuwa si Waislamu. Ni watu wajinga wachache wanaoona kuwa kwa sababu ufalme huo una control sehemu tukufu za Uislam ni lazima uwe unafuata sera za Kiislamu na hivyo kuwakilisha Waislamu. Miye si mmoja wao!