Membe S K
Platinum Member
- Mar 10, 2006
- 1,407
- 1,302
Everywhere in the world people tend to get tired of being under the same administration forever even if the administration delivers most of their expectations. This comes from the fact that human beings are on average curious of change irrespective of the level of uncertainty around the projected change.
The words to underline here are PROJECTED CHANGE because while human beings are curious about change they are by nature rational and would therefore define the CHANGE they want. A road to the ongoing confusion starts here; CCM has been for many years trying to bring about change in her. The well-known failed attempts to bring change include Riporti ya Mwinyi and kujivua gamba. In these change was defined as a vigourous application of CCM's built-in machinery for self cleanse. Good leaders were to be retained whereas the bad and corrupt were expected to be dropped and possibly prosecuted.
CCM as a whole believes change is sometimes necessary for the wellbeing of the party. In 1985, the world saw Nyerere stepping down to allow a change. In this case change was defined as a move from socialism to capitalism. The change that he never believed in but found it necessary to adopt. He had public support and authority to reject the change but chose to yield to imminent change. Why? Because that is the only way he could have saved his party. He figured out that the wind of change was way much more powerful than his party. Most importantly he knew that political ideology, culture, beliefs, conducts and norms are not written on stones: they are dynamic and thus, the party has to adjust to both internal and external currencies.
Unfortunately the death of Nyerere saw the CCM leaders who, for some reasons, failed to adjust and shape the party to fit the environment and public demands. The public, for example, has been wanting the party to strip of membership all leaders implicated on corruption scandals but the party turned a blind eye. It took for example the parliament or sometimes public voice to force corrupt government officials step down. The party was well asleep. Public has consistently cried for the corrupt to be prosecuted but the CCM government turned deaf and when the cry was too much endless court cases became a way to shut the public up!
Opposition parties especially CUF and Chadema well took advantage of CCM's resistance to internal cleanup. They came clean in listing down the rots of CCM and advising the government accordingly. Chadema's list of shame is perhaps the most undesputable achievement of opposition since the inception of multiparty democracy in Tz. While the public continued its support to CCM the list of shame eroded a huge chunk of support in favor of Chadema and to the benefit of the opposition as a whole.
Surprisingly July this year our beloved opposition parties made a decision to deny of the country the much needed strong opposition by turning what they branded list of shame to list of saints and agents of change that isn't defined. It is crystal clear that Chadema became clinically dead the moment she accepted and made Lowassa and Sumaye to be top part leaders. For, Chadema was all about listening to public's long live problem of corruption and good governance.
So the public is right at the crossroad that is confusious. The confusion will surely work in favor of CCM for three reasons. First, instead of telling the voters what they should expect developmentwise if ukawa is elected Chadema is now busy answering to the public as to why they made the culprit of grand corruption to be their presidential candidate. Kubenea's one hour speech on Slaa's wife in Kyela is case in point. Second, ukawa's supported are no longer united during such crucial moment. Knowing this Ukawa is trying to convince their supporters that the main objective is to rid ccm of the administration. However, rational supporters find hard to buy this idea. Moreover, public appearance of Slaa on why he left the part puts the part image into serious grill and that divides the supporters.
In sum CCM supporters as well as Ukawa's have one thing in common. They want change as defined as fighting every form of corruption by prosecuting or at least stripping of political membership of all involved in corruption scandal. Since Chadema chose to go against its very foundation and given the ongoing division among ukawa with this regard and given chadema' mumbling on the reasons that got them turn list of shame to list of saint and agent of undefined change, it would be mathematically, logically, and morally impossible for UKAWA's presidential candidate to win the October election.
The words to underline here are PROJECTED CHANGE because while human beings are curious about change they are by nature rational and would therefore define the CHANGE they want. A road to the ongoing confusion starts here; CCM has been for many years trying to bring about change in her. The well-known failed attempts to bring change include Riporti ya Mwinyi and kujivua gamba. In these change was defined as a vigourous application of CCM's built-in machinery for self cleanse. Good leaders were to be retained whereas the bad and corrupt were expected to be dropped and possibly prosecuted.
CCM as a whole believes change is sometimes necessary for the wellbeing of the party. In 1985, the world saw Nyerere stepping down to allow a change. In this case change was defined as a move from socialism to capitalism. The change that he never believed in but found it necessary to adopt. He had public support and authority to reject the change but chose to yield to imminent change. Why? Because that is the only way he could have saved his party. He figured out that the wind of change was way much more powerful than his party. Most importantly he knew that political ideology, culture, beliefs, conducts and norms are not written on stones: they are dynamic and thus, the party has to adjust to both internal and external currencies.
Unfortunately the death of Nyerere saw the CCM leaders who, for some reasons, failed to adjust and shape the party to fit the environment and public demands. The public, for example, has been wanting the party to strip of membership all leaders implicated on corruption scandals but the party turned a blind eye. It took for example the parliament or sometimes public voice to force corrupt government officials step down. The party was well asleep. Public has consistently cried for the corrupt to be prosecuted but the CCM government turned deaf and when the cry was too much endless court cases became a way to shut the public up!
Opposition parties especially CUF and Chadema well took advantage of CCM's resistance to internal cleanup. They came clean in listing down the rots of CCM and advising the government accordingly. Chadema's list of shame is perhaps the most undesputable achievement of opposition since the inception of multiparty democracy in Tz. While the public continued its support to CCM the list of shame eroded a huge chunk of support in favor of Chadema and to the benefit of the opposition as a whole.
Surprisingly July this year our beloved opposition parties made a decision to deny of the country the much needed strong opposition by turning what they branded list of shame to list of saints and agents of change that isn't defined. It is crystal clear that Chadema became clinically dead the moment she accepted and made Lowassa and Sumaye to be top part leaders. For, Chadema was all about listening to public's long live problem of corruption and good governance.
So the public is right at the crossroad that is confusious. The confusion will surely work in favor of CCM for three reasons. First, instead of telling the voters what they should expect developmentwise if ukawa is elected Chadema is now busy answering to the public as to why they made the culprit of grand corruption to be their presidential candidate. Kubenea's one hour speech on Slaa's wife in Kyela is case in point. Second, ukawa's supported are no longer united during such crucial moment. Knowing this Ukawa is trying to convince their supporters that the main objective is to rid ccm of the administration. However, rational supporters find hard to buy this idea. Moreover, public appearance of Slaa on why he left the part puts the part image into serious grill and that divides the supporters.
In sum CCM supporters as well as Ukawa's have one thing in common. They want change as defined as fighting every form of corruption by prosecuting or at least stripping of political membership of all involved in corruption scandal. Since Chadema chose to go against its very foundation and given the ongoing division among ukawa with this regard and given chadema' mumbling on the reasons that got them turn list of shame to list of saint and agent of undefined change, it would be mathematically, logically, and morally impossible for UKAWA's presidential candidate to win the October election.
