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Uchumi wa Marekani hoi

Discussion in 'International Forum' started by kmdh, Jul 24, 2012.

  1. kmdh

    kmdh JF-Expert Member

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    [​IMG]

    [h=1]US Economy Going From Bad to Worse: Roubini[/h][​IMG]By Patrick Allen | CNBC – 14 hours ago

    @cnbc on Twitter






    A robust and self-sustaining U.S. recovery is not on the cards, and we should now expect below trend growth for many years to come, according to Nouriel Roubini, the economist famed for his bearish views.
    [​IMG]Economist Nouriel Roubini, founder of Roubini Global Economics. Roubini, best-known for calling the 2008 economic crisis, outlined five reasons the bulls have been wrong and argued that an American economic cold will lead the rest of the world to catch pneumonia in a post on the Project Syndicate website.
    "Even this year, the consensus got it wrong, expecting a recovery to annual GDP growth of better than 3 percent," the founder of Roubini Global Economics wrote.
    "And now, after getting the first half of 2012 wrong, many are repeating the fairy tale that a combination of lower oil prices, rising auto sales, recovering house prices, and a resurgence of U.S. manufacturing will boost growth in the second half of the year and fuel above-potential growth by 2013."
    Roubini believes the U.S. economy will slow further this year and next as expectations of the "fiscal cliff" keep spending and growth lower - and uncertainty about the outcome of the presidential election dogs markets.
    The fiscal cliff could knock 4.5 percent off 2013 growth if all tax cuts and transfer payments were allowed to expire and spending cuts where triggered, according to Roubini.
    "Of course, the drag will be much smaller, as tax increases and spending cuts will be much milder. But, even if the fiscal cliff turns out to be a mild growth bump - a mere 0.5 percent of GDP - and annual growth at the end of the year is just 1.5 percent, as seems likely, the fiscal drag will suffice to slow the economy to stall speed: a growth rate of barely 1 percent," he wrote.
    The U.S. consumer, which drives plenty of the global economy as well as the U.S., will not be able to keep spending when $1.4 billion worth of tax cuts and extended transfer payments come to an end according to Roubini.
    "In 2013, as transfer payments are phased out, however gradually, and as some tax cuts are allowed to expire, disposable income growth and consumption growth will slow. The U.S. will then face not only the direct effects of a fiscal drag, but also its indirect effect on private spending," he wrote.
    The problems in the euro zone, a slowdown in China and emerging markets, added to the chance that oil prices could be driven higher by tensions over Iran's nuclear program, will also add to America's economic woes, Roubini argued.
    He warned the Fed will not be able to ride to the rescue this time.
    "The U.S. Federal Reserve will carry out more quantitative easing this year, but it will be ineffective: long-term interest rates are already very low, and lowering them further would not boost spending," he wrote.
    "Indeed, the credit channel is frozen and velocity has collapsed, with banks hoarding increases in base money in the form of excess reserves. Moreover, the dollar is unlikely to weaken as other countries also carry out quantitative easing."
    Roubini also argued that earnings growth is now beginning to run out of steam, after buoying markets earlier in the economic cycle. The second-quarter earnings season has so far presented a mixed picture.
    "A significant equity-price correction could, in fact, be the force that in 2013 tips the US economy into outright contraction. And if the U.S. starts to sneeze again, the rest of the world - its immunity already weakened by Europe's malaise and emerging countries' slowdown - will catch pneumonia," he warned.

    US Economy Going From Bad to Worse: Roubini - Yahoo! Finance
     
  2. kmdh

    kmdh JF-Expert Member

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    Amerika kwisha kazi sasa. Wapiga boksi semeni tuwatafutie kazi hata za umesenja hapa au kujibu simu.
     
  3. Nyani Ngabu

    Nyani Ngabu Platinum Member

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    Kama uchumi wa Marekani ni hoi wa Tanzania je?
     
  4. kmdh

    kmdh JF-Expert Member

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    Uchumi wa Tanzania unakua kwa asilimia 6%. Watu wanaingia middle class wengi sana siku hizi.
     
  5. Nyani Ngabu

    Nyani Ngabu Platinum Member

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    Lete source
     
  6. kmdh

    kmdh JF-Expert Member

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    http://www.theodora.com/wfbcurrent/tanzania/tanzania_economy.html

    The economy depends heavily on agriculture, which accounts for more than one-quarter of GDP, provides 85% of exports, and employs about 80% of the work force. The World Bank, the IMF, and bilateral donors have provided funds to rehabilitate Tanzania's aging economic infrastructure, including rail and port infrastructure that are important trade links for inland countries. Recent banking reforms have helped increase private-sector growth and investment, and the government has increased spending on agriculture to 7% of its budget. Continued donor assistance and solid macroeconomic policies supported a positive growth rate, despite the world recession. In 2008, Tanzania received the world's largest Millennium Challenge Compact grant, worth $698 million. Dar es Salaam used fiscal stimulus and loosened monetary policy to ease the impact of the global recession. GDP growth in 2009-11 was a respectable 6% per year due to high gold prices and increased production.
     
  7. kmdh

    kmdh JF-Expert Member

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    Uchumi wa bongo unakuwa kwa kasi kuliko wa America. Marekani iko hoi karibu wataanza kuomba misaada.
     
  8. N

    Nonda JF-Expert Member

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    Sijui nchi ipi itachezea kipigo cha mabomu ya US?
    Hawa jamaa kila uchumi wao ukitetereka basi wanatoa mabomu yao kutoka maghalani na kumalizia gadhabu zao kwa nchi iliyochaguliwa kuadhibiwa.
     
  9. Chamoto

    Chamoto JF-Expert Member

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    Hivi mido-klasi ndo nini vile?
     
  10. N

    Nonda JF-Expert Member

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    Kwa Tanzania ni wale wanaoshi kimjini mjini, wala rushwa ile iliyonona na mafisadi uchwara.

    Aina ya pili ni wale wajasirimali wanaojituma kuongeza kipato chao huku wakiwapatia maafisa wa TRA chochote.
     
  11. Ndibalema

    Ndibalema JF-Expert Member

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    Kwa hali hiyo Obama atarudi madarakani kweli?
     
  12. kichwili

    kichwili Member

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    Acha dharau wewe, hii kitu nchi za watu ni business cycle tu, yaani mzunguko wa biashara miaka nenda rudi, kuna nyakati biashara ni nzuri na kuna nyakati biashara inakuwa balaa. Hii business cycle inaruhusu wajanja kununua bidhaa kama vile miundombinu nk kwa bei rahisi maana mfanyabiashara akijiextend too much anahitaji kuliquidate position yake atapiga mnada ku-raise capital. Kuna wazungu fulani walijaribu anzisha kampuni ya fiber optics miaka ya nyuma, mwanzoni wakawa very aggressive kampuni ikafa, wajanja india wakachangamkia dili wakanunua biashara at pennys to the dollar yaaani bei chee. Kilichofuata ndio hizo "call centers" huko india, bila msaada wa zile fiber optics isingewezekana kirahisi hivyo. Sasa turudi suala la sirikali yetu tukufu, budget ya bongo imekaa upande saaana, nasema hivyo because matumizi hayalingani na kipato na sipati picha ni hela gani inalipia maBMW ya msafara wa rais, bila hata kudiscuss maVX yaliyojaa nchini. Marekani ni nchi inayokopa hela kwa sana, tena wachina ndio biggest creditors to the US huwezi amini tofauti kati ya huko na huku ni kwamba hizo hela za mkopo ulaya wanatumia kujenga barabara, madaraja and other infrastructure. Huku pesa inaingia kibindoni kiulainiiiii, na hamna mpango wowote kuinua taifa. Tatizo kubwa bongo ni tunafagilia sana mambo ya nje, kama ngedere tunaiga bila kufikiri nini kitatokea mbeleni.
     
  13. Janjaweed

    Janjaweed JF-Expert Member

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    ntaftie kazi mkuu, niko tayari kurudi home
     
  14. MadameX

    MadameX JF-Expert Member

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    Makaratasi unayo ya kutokea?
     
  15. MadameX

    MadameX JF-Expert Member

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    Obama habari yake kwisha....hana sera yeyote ya maana.
     
  16. Eiyer

    Eiyer JF-Expert Member

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    Hii sijui niite kitu gani maana nikisema hadithi naona kama naivika nguo vile.Umeutoa wapi huu uongo?
     
  17. Eiyer

    Eiyer JF-Expert Member

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    Hivi nyie,mnaishi dunia ipi??
     
  18. H

    Hofstede JF-Expert Member

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    Nitajie five indicators of economic growth zilizokufanya utoe statistics mfu!
     
  19. Kiranga

    Kiranga JF-Expert Member

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    Kuangalia ukuaji wa uchumi tu bila kuangalia ukubwa wa uchumi kunaweza kukufanya uamini uchumi wenye GDP ya dola bilioni moja unaokua kwa 6% ni mzuri zaidi ya wa dola trillioni moja unaokua kwa 2%.
     
  20. Mwali

    Mwali JF-Expert Member

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    Bila kuhesabu miaka ambayo A na B wamekua kwa kiasi hicho. It took China nearly 50 years of a constant growth above 10% per annum to get where they are now. I believe that if they are hit by a recession for 2 or 3 years, their economic power could be affected but definitely not destroyed.
     
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