Utamu wa Siasa za Kenya: The Intrigues of Political Alliances and Coalitions.

So fun watching politicians in Africa...utakuta hakuna lolote in common apart from ile kesi yao ya ICC. Halafu wanaunda coalition...for what?

These guys have everything in common including Hague charges and then again you forget they are all politicians. Do you remember the clamour we had in 07 to change old guards because they did not have any agenda for ordinary folk? After 65% of them went home haven't you realised we changed nothing?
 
Hao jamaa sijui hata kama watapita kikwazo cha kesi yao ambayo ipo mahakama kuu.Kwamba je wanaweza kuwa na sifa ya kugombea uraisi wakati wanakabiliwa na kesi ya crime against Humanity.
 
Uhuruto coalition z there though nt officially announced the dou r to sign a mou on this wikend at Nakuru. Come march i think Rao will b somewhere fishin in bondo
 
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Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta and Eldoret North MP William Ruto have struck a pre-election coalition deal that will see them contest the presidency on a joint ticket.

Mr Kenyatta's spokesman Munyori Buku said that the deal will be unveiled on Sunday, at a rally to be held at the Afraha Open Grounds in Nakuru at 2pm.

"The two leaders have agreed on an alliance whose goals will be national unity, prosperity for all Kenyans, reconciliation and offers a definite and clear roadmap of making Kenya an economic powerhouse in the region, Africa and the world in the next decade," Mr Buku said in a statement Tuesday.

He said a team from the two parties- The National Alliance (TNA) and the United Republican Party (URP)- is working on the programme and plans for the Sunday rally which will include two caravans - one starting at Kinungi near Naivasha and the other at Kuresoi – that will converge in Nakuru.

"Many other like-minded party leaders, MPs, aspirants for various seats, councillors and religious, business, women, youth, cooperatives, union, farmers and civil society leaders have been invited and will be present," Mr Buku said.

In another development, TNA has dismissed claims that the deal with Mr Ruto's URP will result in zoning the country.

TNA secretary general Onyango Oloo said Tuesday that TNA and URP will field candidates in all areas. He said the TNA-URP coalition deal is not crafted in a manner that denies voters the right to elect leaders of their choice.

"As a party we do not support any kind of zoning of the country. Any coalition that we enter into will be made at the level of the presidency. We have also not distributed any government positions whether at Cabinet, parastatal or ambassadorial level. This we see as propaganda from our competitors," Mr Oloo told the Nation.

He said TNA and its partners would after forming government evaluate how much votes and seats each partner brought after the elections before filing up the various positions. Mr Oloo said TNA was also seeking political partners who share in the same values.

"Before we partner with you and form government with you after the elections, you must demonstrate the value you bring in terms of the seats and votes your party can get. You must also share in our ideals and principles," Mr Oloo said.

There have been reports that Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto's teams are yet to agree on how to field candidates under the coalition.

However, the Nation has established that the two agreed on Saturday that their parties remain independent but have a common name and symbol for their joint presidential ticket.

WHY UHURU-RUTO PACT WAS QUICKLY RECALLED


YESTERDAY at 12.41pm the spokesman for Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta announced "It's a deal." The long-awaited deal between Uhuru and Eldoret North MP had been signed.

"The two leaders have agreed on an alliance whose goals will be national unity, prosperity for all Kenyans, reconciliation and offers a definite and clear roadmap of making Kenya an economic powerhouse in the region, Africa and the world in the next decade," said a statement from Munyori Buku.

"Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto are the first political leaders to clinch a pre-election deal and to make it public," declared Buku. But just a few hours later at 4.06pm, the Office of the Deputy Prime Minister rapidly backtracked.

"I want to clarify that the earlier statement that the Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta and Eldoret North MP William Ruto have reached a deal was inaccurate," declared a second statement from Buku.

"The fact is that negotiations are still going on and when a deal is reached, it will be the prerogative of the party principals to announce it," said Buku.

The announcement of their pre-election pact was apparently recalled yesterday after protests from Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka and Justice minister Eugene Wamalwa.

Ruto was also reportedly unhappy that the deal was unilaterally announced by the Uhuru team. He reportedly called Uhuru and asked for time to consult today with elders.

Kalonzo and Wamalwa have been playing hot and cold with the Uhuru camp as a negotiating tactic to get a better position in the G7 Alliance before the election.

Eugene superficially pulled out of the deal last week and launched a Luhya unity movement in Kakamega at the weekend with Cyrus Jirongo.

Kalonzo also apparently pulled out of the Uhuru alliance two weeks ago. He has been negotiating a pact with Deputy Prime Minister Musalia Mudavadi and his UDF party.

But yesterday Kalonzo and Wamalwa both reportedly protested at the announcement and requested more time to be enjoined in the negotiations. They were promised that the deal will be held until Sunday. One conspiracy theory was that Uhuru released the statement early to provoke a reaction.

"Uhuru suspected that Kalonzo and Eugene were playing him, so to get them to make up their minds, he released the announcement prematurely," said a Central Province MP.

However Uhuru and Ruto are still intending to go to Nakuru's Afraha stadium on Sunday to announce the pact between Uhuru's TNA party and Ruto's URP party.

Uhuru will travel there in a caravan starting at Kinungi near Naivasha while Ruto's caravan will start from Kuresoi. They will both convene separate national delegates conventions on Monday to ratify the deal. The law requires that an NDC, the supreme organ of a political party, approves proposals for pre-election or post-election coalitions.

On Tuesday December 4, the deadline for registering a coalition, Uhuru and Ruto still intend to go to the Registrar of Political Parties to deposit their agreement.

Yesterday Ruto convened a meeting with Kalenjin elders in Nakuru where he spoke in Kalenjin as he sought to explain his deal. He pleaded with the elders to accept his decision and assured them that URP had made the right decision. Some elders protested and wondered why Ruto could not do a deal with Raila.

On Monday night, Ruto hosted over 25 URP allied MPs in Nairobi and took them through the contents of the deal. Chepalungu MP Isaac Ruto was asked to drop a parliamentary motion to extend the window for registering a party coalition from December 4 to January 4.

Uhuru reportedly wanted to force the hands of politicians seeking to join the TNA alliance and was reluctant to spend another month negotiating.

Uhuru will be the presidential candidate while Ruto will be his running mate, according to the deal. However, details of the deal remained scanty with TNA denying that they had agreed to share government appointments on a 50-50 basis.
TNA secretary general Onyango said that appointments would be shared depending on the outcome of the elections. "You cannot come with one MP and demand fifty percent just because it's a pre-election pact. Government appointments will be done based on the strength of each coalition partner," said Oloo.

"How do you share an animal which is still in the wilderness? Wisdom dictates that you go hunt and after killing the animal then share it," Onyango said.

Uhuru's party says it will field candidates in all constituencies across the country denying that the deal will patent some areas as TNA or URP zones.

"We will field candidates in all areas including Nakuru, Kajiado, Samburu, Uasin Gishu, Kericho and any other are. There are no PNU or TNA zones," he added.

However URP spokesman and Dujis MP Aden Duale insisted their party has a right to 50 percent of the appointments in the deal. "I am the spokesman of URP and can guarantee you that we have had our way in the deal. If you doubt, wait on Sunday when we unveil the deal to see who is telling the truth," Duale added.

The Dujis MP confirmed the URP team had resolved to back down from amending the law to extend the window for registering coalitions. "We asked Isaac Ruto to drop the motion but should he go ahead to file it, we will shoot it down," Duale added.

ODM supporters from South Rift have cautioned Ruto against sealing an election pact with Uhuru. "I advise Ruto to go slow in his political ambition lest he self-destructs," Bomet County ODM Secretary General Ronald Ngeny told the Star.

"Let him return to ODM and we will support him along with the Premier. The party is still popular and will form the next government," said Ngeny. "'ODM is the only party that will bring real change to this country,'" said Ngeny.


WHY UHURU-RUTO PACT WAS QUICKLY RECALLED | The Star
 

-Eldoret North MP William Ruto told Kalenjin Council of elders that the reason for him joining Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta is because the Kikuyu community forms largest voting bloc in the country.


Addressing more than 3000 Kalenjin elders on Wednesday, Ruto said by joining other presidential candidate other than Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta it will be a gross miscalculation for the Kalenjin community.


He said he made a move of uniting with Uhuru after realising they share the same ideologies of uniting and reconciliation their communities.


Ruto, who is also the United Republican Party (URP) leader further said they will ensure the next elections ends in round one to minimise costs of a run off.


Ruto and Uhuru have already signed a pre-election deal and it will be formalized on Sunday at Afraha grounds in Nakuru on Sunday.


Uhuru is running for the Presidency and Ruto his running mate.


The Kenyan DAILY POST
 
Hii sababu ya Mheshimiwa Ruto kuangalia kura kwa kigezo cha 'ukabila' ndicho kinashangaza sana, juzi juzi Mheshimiwa Zitto Kabwe mbunge wa chama cha siasa cha Tanzania CHADEMA, alitoa somo juu ya jambo hili la kuegamia ukabila jijini Nairobi, Kenya alipotembelea makao makuu ya gazeti la Standard Standard Digital News : Kenya : Tanzania keen on Kenyan polls, lakini jamaa zetu hawa hawaoni ubaya kutegemea kuara wa 'wakalejin na Wagikuyu' kwa maana za wa-Luo na wa-Kisii n.k hawazihitaji kuwawezesha kufika Ikulu!
 
Why the Uhuru-Ruto alliance is a ticket to nowhere
makau+mutua.jpg




IN SUMMARY


There's no love lost between Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta and Eldoret North MP William Ruto
If you believe the International Criminal Court, the two went at each other hammer and tongs in 2008
How can you have a "political union" where there's no master and servant?
Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto must contend with "their respective tribal constituencies". There's growing evidence that Mr Ruto may not hold onto the Kalenjin, especially if he plays second fiddle to Mr Kenyatta
I can see why Mr Kenyatta sees a Uhuru-Ruto ticket as a plausible strategy out of the ICC and a roadblock against an Odinga presidency
A "political merger" of TNA and URP is nonsense on stilts. It won't take a step without collapsing into a heap. That's because oil and vinegar don't mix. Let's call a spade by its name.


There's no love lost between Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta and Eldoret North MP William Ruto.


If you believe the International Criminal Court, the two went at each other hammer and tongs in 2008.


Don't be fooled that the wily and cunning Mr Ruto will be Mr Kenyatta's bride.


Nor should you expect the brash Mr Kenyatta to prostrate himself before Mr Ruto.


Which begs the question – how can you have a "political union" where there's no master and servant? That because you can't.


The weird courtship between Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto is grounded on two mortal "fears" – the fear of the ICC and the fear of PM Raila Odinga.


A paradox


They've formed a pact because the ICC accuses them of masterminding the violence targeting "each other's people" in 2008.


This is a paradox – but one I can explain. The violence wasn't personal to either Mr Kenyatta or Mr Ruto.


The true objective wasn't to attack people but to capture, or retain power. That's how poor people are sacrificed by political elites every election cycle. It's nothing personal. That's how Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto can still come together to seek the highest office in the land.


For Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto, the fear of the ICC looms larger than the fate of the 1,300 dead, the IDPs, and the survivors.


The prospect of spending decades in a cold prison in Europe is a horrifying probability. Misery loves company. That's why Mr Ruto and Mr Kenyatta are locked in an uncomfortable embrace.


They are probably the only two people who truly understand each other's pain. They must spend sleepless nights – breaking out in cold sweats – in terrible nightmares.


They'll do anything to save elves, including probably refusing to show up for trial at The Hague. That's why they must win the election if they want to defy the ICC – like Sudan President Omar al-Bashir.


Mr Odinga is the second "fear" which unites Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto. This is a fear of "payback". The Kenyattas and the Odingas have had a long running political feud.


Mzee Kenyatta turned on Jaramogi, Mr Odinga's father, even though the latter refused a British offer to become Prime Minister in place of the former. Mzee Kenyatta later detained Mr Odinga.


In 2002, Mr Odinga led a rebellion in Kanu that denied Mr Kenyatta the presidency. In 2007, Mr Kenyatta joined President Kibaki to deny Mr Odinga the State House.


Mr Ruto fell out with Mr Odinga and left ODM. The two – Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto – have vowed to end Mr Odinga's quest for the State House.


Mr Kenyatta isn't just driven by vanity to seek the presidency. He's now the head of an ideological faction – political conservatives – that's ruled Kenya since independence. He – and this elite – want to safeguard their patrimony.


Many of them fear that Mr Odinga would scrutinise how their wealth – including land – was acquired.


There should be no doubt that many of those who plundered the country under Mzee Kenyatta, Mr Moi, and President Kibaki should be held to account.


Who knows whether Mr Odinga would do it, but they don't want to wait and find out.


They've demonised Mr Odinga by falsely claiming he orchestrated the ICC against them. But fear isn't enough to unite Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto.


Tribal constituencies


Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto must contend with "their respective tribal constituencies". There's growing evidence that Mr Ruto may not hold onto the Kalenjin, especially if he plays second fiddle to Mr Kenyatta.


The Kalenjin wonder why the Kikuyu can't support "their son" instead. Perhaps the Kalenjin are aware of one important historical fact – the House of Mumbi has never supported a non-Kikuyu presidential candidate.


The Kalenjin can take this to the bank – Mr Ruto won't be the first "outsider" candidate to win Kikuyu support.


Mr Ruto can only join Mr Kenyatta as the subordinate, not the other way round. And the Kikuyu will completely desert Mr Kenyatta in droves if he subordinates himself to Mr Ruto.


The risk for Mr Ruto – if he becomes Mr Kenyatta's sidekick – is loss of face among the Kalenjin. This opens the door wide for Mr Odinga to scoop up Kalenjin voters.


It will also strengthen the hand of two key regional players – Industrialisation minister Henry Kosgey and Agriculture minister Sally Kosgei – against Mr Ruto. Mr Odinga may even pick one of the two his running mate.


This could likely doom Mr Ruto's political career. So, this is the question – is Mr Ruto willing to become Mr Kenyatta's sacrificial lamb? Can his hatred for Mr Odinga trump his instincts for political survival? Or will his mortal fear of The Hague drive him irrevocably into Mr Kenyatta's vice-like iron grip?


I can see why Mr Kenyatta sees a Uhuru-Ruto ticket as a plausible strategy out of the ICC and a roadblock against an Odinga presidency.


Except it isn't. I think it's more like a suicide pact. Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto shouldn't act as though they are guilty of crimes against humanity unless they believe they are.


That's why the better strategy is to drop their presidential bids and first clear their names at the ICC. A strategy driven by fear suggests less faith in their innocence. It smacks of a desperate all-or-nothing strategy for survival.


Makau Mutua is Dean and SUNY Distinguished Professor at SUNY Buffalo Law School and Chair of the KHRC.
Why the Uhuru-Ruto alliance is a ticket to nowhere - Opinion - nation.co.ke
 
A land of Mumbi that can only be ruled by neither tribe than a Kikuyu! If Kalenjins r smart then they should ask themselves why can't Kikuyu support their son Ruto? why only Kikuyu should rule Kenyans? Ohho pls other tribes shun this segregation Kenya belongs to u also!
 
[h=5]Miguna At Miguna
[/h][h=5]‎(THIS POST SHOULD ME BE PUBLISHED BY THE MEDIA SAME WAY THEY DID TO OTHER POSTS HERE)
I have spent the last couple of months speaking on what I do not like about Raila Odinga and some of the feedback I have received is that for the discussion to be complete I must move beyond what is wrong, and also share what is right.In this regard over the next 4 months I will share five reasons why I believe the Rt. Hon Raila Amolo Odinga is the best candidate to take over from H.E. Mwai Kibaki in March 2013, as the fourth President of the Republic of Kenya.Top of the list for me is the PM's call for a united Kenya. Unlike the other frontrunners, the PM seems to be the only candidate not interested in ‘cutting' Kenya into sections that then come together under him. He seems to be the only one who has learnt that with the 2008 post-election violence such a fresh memory, it is dangerous to run an ethnically divisive campaign. The issue of unity has become a primary pillar in his campaign message and everywhere he goes he strives to paint the picture of a Kenya that belongs to all Kenyans; a Kenya where all our races, tribes, religions, ages and/or genders have space to be themselves while working together harmoniously to grow the nation at all levels. The PM is clearly the only person who day-in day-out is selling a message that under his government no Kenyan will be left behind at whatever level. So, what is/are the notable things that your candidate did in/with their youth? Is your candidate the kind of Kenyan who would lay down his life for Kenya?
[/h]http://www.facebook.com/miguna.a.miguna
 
[h=5]Miguna At Miguna
[/h][h=5]‎(THIS POST SHOULD ME BE PUBLISHED BY THE MEDIA SAME WAY THEY DID TO OTHER POSTS HERE)
I have spent the last couple of months speaking on what I do not like about Raila Odinga and some of the feedback I have received is that for the discussion to be complete I must move beyond what is wrong, and also share what is right.In this regard over the next 4 months I will share five reasons why I believe the Rt. Hon Raila Amolo Odinga is the best candidate to take over from H.E. Mwai Kibaki in March 2013, as the fourth President of the Republic of Kenya.Top of the list for me is the PM’s call for a united Kenya. Unlike the other frontrunners, the PM seems to be the only candidate not interested in ‘cutting’ Kenya into sections that then come together under him. He seems to be the only one who has learnt that with the 2008 post-election violence such a fresh memory, it is dangerous to run an ethnically divisive campaign. The issue of unity has become a primary pillar in his campaign message and everywhere he goes he strives to paint the picture of a Kenya that belongs to all Kenyans; a Kenya where all our races, tribes, religions, ages and/or genders have space to be themselves while working together harmoniously to grow the nation at all levels. The PM is clearly the only person who day-in day-out is selling a message that under his government no Kenyan will be left behind at whatever level. So, what is/are the notable things that your candidate did in/with their youth? Is your candidate the kind of Kenyan who would lay down his life for Kenya?
[/h]http://www.facebook.com/miguna.a.miguna

Huyu Miguna ana shida. Sijuzijuzi hapa alikuwa ana mchamba Raila?
 
Possibility kubwa ni Uhuru na Ruto watashinda, Odinga hana ubavu wa kuwadefeat hao, ataendelea kupigania madaraka kama ilivyokuwa kwa baba yake ambaye ilifikia kipindi akaomba wamuachie aongoze hata kwa miezi miwili. Always history has something!
 
Mkuu ni kweli imefika wakati ambayo amebaki kupigania tu madaraka, mbona asiungane na TNA kuleta mabadiliko?
 
Leaders planning to contest the presidency in the 2013 General Election have come under fire for sidelining national voter groups in their coalition talks.

raila-uhuru-ruto.jpg


They stand accused of working to keep themselves and groups of political and ethnic elite happy by securing positions to be shared out after the poll. They have also been faulted for failing to strengthen their political parties into viable democratic institutions.

Voter groups like the youth, women, farmers, workers, civil servants and the like have all had to take a back-seat in a conversation about 42 tribes, dominated by a few.

"It is unlikely we will see issue-based politics at this point," says one Church leader, expressing disappointment at the focus on so-called "community interests" with just three months to go to the March 4 election.

Leaders from almost all the major political parties have been burning the midnight oil in deal-cutting meetings ahead of a December 4 deadline. But instead of focusing on deals based on policy priorities, most parties and leaders are fighting over how to share out jobs in the next government or slots on a joint presidential ticket, or in national and county assemblies. Voters are being told that the scramble for jobs is in the best interests of their regions, ethnic communities or parties. However, those making these backroom deals are yet to show how their tribe-driven horse-trading serves national interests.

The National Council of Churches of Kenya says the approach taken by local political leaders is "too ethnicised". The same complaint has been raised by politicians in other East African countries who fear the tribal tactics used to create Kenyan alliances may be adopted elsewhere, leading to weaker political parties and greater instability.

Front runners

"If the front-runners are the fellows we know, it is unlikely we will see issue-based politics at this point in time," says NCCK Secretary General Peter Karanja. "The issue-based politicians who are in the picture now may not win because of the ethnicised political approach we have. However, they have an opportunity to start creating a culture of such politics so that we can go in that direction in future."

This could be undone by efforts to weaken political parties ahead of the next election, ensuring politics remains all about leading personalities. Parliament is set to consider a Bill by ODM Chief Whip Jakoyo Midiwo that could see parties conduct nominations without having to register members. The move, along with other changes to electoral laws, will prevent parties from becoming stronger democratic institutions that can compete on issues rather than ethnic make-up.

The lack of strong political parties with solid values and broad membership was one of the factors blamed by the Independent Electoral Review Commission for leading to a "polluted electoral atmosphere" that made it impossible to have free and fair elections in Kenya.

International development expert Calestous Juma warns the democratic process in many countries on the continent has been hijacked by tribal politics.

"The challenge to democracy in Africa is… the use of identity politics to promote narrow tribal interests," he says. "In the absence of efforts to build political parties to compete on the basis of ideas, many African countries have reverted to tribal identities as the basis for political competition. Tribal practices are filling a vacuum created by lack of strong democratic institutions."

"Politicians need to give before they receive," says Chief Kadhi Ahmad Muhdhar. "What we are seeing is very cheap politics. Our leaders need to upgrade from small deals amongst a few people to politics that takes care of the welfare of all."

TNA's Uhuru Kenyatta and URP's William Ruto are expected to formally sign a pre-election coalition agreement in the next few days. They are holding out the post of Leader of the Majority Party in Parliament to draw in Narc's Charity Ngilu after failing to entice Wiper's Kalonzo Musyoka and New Ford Kenya's Eugene Wamalwa with other positions.

Cabinet positions

ODM's Raila Odinga, who had earlier ruled out any coalitions, is making a play for Kalonzo's Wiper and, perhaps, UDF's Musalia Mudavadi, again with offers to share out Cabinet and other positions. Several other parties – POA and KNC, New Ford-Kenya, UDM, NVP and, perhaps, Kanu – are also in talks about not fielding candidates against each other. (Kanu, led by chairman Gideon Moi, says it will stay away from "tribal alliances".) In almost all the cases, the horse-trading has been tied to satisfying personal ambitions and securing jobs, with little or no discussion over what legislative or development agenda the coalitions will adopt.

Even leaders outside the political arena who could be championing issue-oriented politics have been drawn into the tribal fray. Mr Francis Atwoli, the head of the Central Organisation of Trade Unions, has taken an active interest in the upcoming election.

His focus, however, has largely been on securing Western Kenya unity rather than ensuring all top candidates prioritise the interests of workers and trade unions.

Observers say political deals in mature democracies like the United Kingdom are often centered on key issues. For example, a proposal to have the Conservative Party, led by PM David Cameron, secure 30 seats by working with an anti-European Union party in the country's next election is being fought by party leaders because it would require agreeing to a referendum on whether to remain in the EU.

A key party official who floated the idea risks losing his job for even dreaming up the scheme.

Various leaders are holding out hope for such issue-based politics.

"We are telling Kenyans please vet your leaders," says NCCK deputy Secretary General Oliver Kisaka. "We need to change the game from ethnicity to issue based politics. In fact, if we were to agree, we would even support leaders like (Martha) Karua, (Peter) Kenneth and (James ole) Kiyapi who are introducing a different approach."
 
Hao jamaa sijui hata kama watapita kikwazo cha kesi yao ambayo ipo mahakama kuu.Kwamba je wanaweza kuwa na sifa ya kugombea uraisi wakati wanakabiliwa na kesi ya crime against Humanity.

Hiyo kesi ilitupwa wiki jana baada ya washitaki kutoonekana mahakamani. Pia nilisikia kuwa kulikuwa na mgawanyiko miongoni mwao hao jamaa waliokuwa wamefungua kesi mahakama kuu kupinga ugombea wa hao jamaa. Hivyo jamaa waliruhusiwa kuendelea na mikakati yao ya kuusaka u-Rais.

Na hawa jamaa wanawezashinda huo uchaguzi. Maana nasikia pia wako kwenye mkakati wa kuwachota Eugene Wamalwa na Musalia Mudavadi (lengo likiwa kutafuta uungwaji mkono na Waluhya), hapo sasa patakuwa hapatoshi!! Uchaguzi ujao Kenya ni mtamu sana ngoja tusubiri tuone itakuwaje!!
 
UhuRuto is a done deal.

Sasa Raila amepata mteremko wa kuingia State House.
 
Possibility kubwa ni Uhuru na Ruto watashinda, Odinga hana ubavu wa kuwadefeat hao, ataendelea kupigania madaraka kama ilivyokuwa kwa baba yake ambaye ilifikia kipindi akaomba wamuachie aongoze hata kwa miezi miwili. Always history has something!
not so fast...! Yaani Ruto kukubali to play a second fiddle imeharibu kila kitu haswa kwa Kalenjins voting block (highly divided) kila mtu huku Kenya anajiuliza kwanini Kikuyus can not support any other person than theirs? Subiri utaona how politics will play esp. with the ICC case hang behind their backs! RAO ana record ya ku-support Mwai Kibaki from this week u will start seeing really politics na kama wewe ni good observant angalia kuna some quiet display of army and intelligence unit in public affairs esp. the recent EAC head of state meeting in Nairobi! There is a reason for that...!
 
Why Uhuru-Ruto coalition may be the worst thing that could happen to Kenya

IN SUMMARY

  • Contrary to the stance taken by the two candidates, Kenya simply cannot wish away the ICC cases or the likely impact on the country's domestic performance and relations with the world.
  • Hours after the defiant pair's open-top ride into State House, the diplomatic reverberations of the collective vote of no confidence in Kenya will shake the very foundations of our country.
  • The promise of a country that prides itself as one of the four economic pillars of Africa - the others being Nigeria, Egypt and South Africa - will wither before our very eyes.


If recent newspaper accounts are to be believed, Uhuru Kenyatta of The National Alliance (TNA) and William Ruto of the United Republican Party (URP) will lead a coalition of leaders from several regions as presidential candidate and running mate, respectively, at the next General Election on March 4.
All that remains, apparently, is a formal signing of a pre-election agreement on November 20, bringing together the two alongside Mrs Charity Ngilu (Narc), Mr Eugene Wamalwa (New Ford Kenya) and Mr Najib Balala (Republican Congress Party) before the coalition embarks on a nationwide round of campaign rallies.
The determination of this emerging coalition to form the next government is an open invitation for Kenyan voters to begin to confront squarely the implications of a victory for Uhuru and Ruto, who face serious criminal charges at the International Criminal Court at The Hague.
Contrary to the stance taken by the two candidates, Kenya simply cannot wish away the ICC cases or the likely impact on the country's domestic performance and relations with the world.
Hours after the defiant pair's open-top ride into State House, the diplomatic reverberations of the collective vote of no confidence in Kenya will shake the very foundations of our country.
The promise of a country that prides itself as one of the four economic pillars of Africa - the others being Nigeria, Egypt and South Africa - will wither before our very eyes.
The trillion-shilling plans to finance Africa's largest infrastructure project to serve South Sudan and Ethiopia will likely run aground.
Which is why some in the Uhuru-Ruto camp have claimed that once in office, the Kenyan Constitution entitles the two to immunity from prosecution on the ICC cases while they remain in office.
This could not be further from the truth. As a signatory to the Rome Statute, Kenya will be under obligation to meet the terms of the ICC, which the accused are well aware of.
Any attempt at circumventing the law would drag the country the way Omar Al-Bashir has done to Sudan; a pariah state that exists perilously on the fringes of the international scene.
Under the diplomatic cloud that would follow, it is not difficult to fathom another attempt to prise Unep out of Nairobi.
It is well known that Germany, France and South Africa have previously been linked to offers to host this key agency, but Kenya has so far had the international goodwill on its side.
The very thought of this should worry many businesses anchored around the UN agency - including property owners - and its hundreds of local employees. Kenyans might not know this, but the UN establishment in Gigiri is one of Kenya's main sources of foreign currency, perhaps as important as tea or coffee.
Voters have a right to know early enough that should Kenya confront the international community in the manner suggested by the coalition, it will suffer this and other economic and diplomatic consequences.
If the coalition has any plan to counter the economic disruptions that will follow, this has yet to be articulated.
What is clear is that the loss of Western goodwill would lead directly to cutbacks in international financing for important sectors such as infrastructure, health and currency stabilisation, leading to economic turmoil.
It is a situation reminiscent of a period Kenyans would like to forget in a hurry, the aftermath of the post-election violence in 2007 and 2008. Within months, the economic meltdown caused by lost production, slump in tourism and a halt in investment inflows reversed GDP growth into negative territory, a trend that Kenya is only now recovering from.
Reaching out to Tanzania and Burundi for diplomatic support, as the coalition leaders have done in recent weeks, would appear to suggest that they do not appreciate the sheer magnitude of Kenya's predicament under an Uhuru-Ruto leadership.
Whether or not similar visits planned for Uganda, South Sudan and Rwanda go ahead is neither here nor there. Voters are therefore called upon to balance the right of the ICC pair to run for office against the overriding interests of 40 million Kenyans.
Prof Kurgat teaches English and Communication at the United States International University, Nairobi.
Why Uhuru-Ruto coalition may be the worst thing that could happen to Kenya - Opinion - nation.co.ke


 
Amazing that this guy tells Kenyans bila shame why he is joining Uhuru Kenyatta, is because Kikuyu's are the biggest voting block. Not because Uhuru has a vision for Kenya, not because Kenyatta's family has a track record of very profitable businesses and Uhuru might know a thing or two on how to create jobs ( Debatable but look at Mitt Romney's playbook)hence more taxes will be collected and Kenya's reliance on foreign aid will drop even further. But no, because he is from the largest tribe. Not joining him (Uhuru) will be a miscalculation for his tribe (i thought he was running to be vice President of KENYA) **** this guy man.There are a thousand and one reasons he could have laid down. Funny enough, some people will vote for him just because of that. At-least his being honest :becky:
 
Kenya imelaaniwa kwa ukabila. Hata watu unaoweza kudhani ni wasomi wakiongea tu unasikia mambo ya upuuzi ya kikabila. Si mgawanyeni nchi iwe kila kabila na nchi yake ili muone kama inafaa. Kama hamuwezi achana na ukabila kwani ni mambo ya kizamani sana. Ndiyo maana Tanzania inawaogopa sana. Wanaogopa mnaweza kuwaambukiza ugonjwa huu wa ukabila mwisho mfikie walipoishia Rwanda na Burundi.
 
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