ilboru1995
JF-Expert Member
- Oct 4, 2007
- 2,329
- 268
Sekta ya umeme Tanzania kumbe imewahi kuwagharimu hadi viongozi waandamizi wa World Bank, Hapa Nyumbani Tanzania, imethibitika kuwa Lowassa, Karamagi, Ngeleja na Dr Rashid nao waliundiwa zengwe! Kumbe kampuni ya IPTL kusomeka kuwa inatokea Malaysia ni geresha tu! Mipango yote imeratibiwa kwa umakini mkubwa na USA! Kama wewe ni mvivu wa kusoma pengine unaweza kukosa uhundo na unaweza usiunganishe mtiririko wa matukio vizuri zaidi...Mods pls msiunganishe uzi huu! Jukwaa hili linawachangiaji wengi wenye kukerwa na kupanda kwa bei ya umeme bila ya kujua kilichoko nyuma ya pazia... Japo Mwandishi alikuwa upande wa Western lakini ametupa data za kutosha! Mkisoma Confession of an Economic Hit Man utaweza kuunganisha dot kuwa hata hawa wanaoonekana ni wamalaysia ni mpango mkakati tu ulikuwepo wa kuidhoofisha TANESCO muda mrefu... Akina Patrick Rutabanzibwa, Maria Kejo, Ballali, Muhongo waliandaliwa siku nyingi sana, Mkapa alikuwa anajua game lote mwanzo mwisho! ... Ni wakati muafaka sasa kwa wananchi kuamka na kukataa kwa nguvu zote kupandishwa kwa bei ya umeme! Utaratibu wa kuzilipa hayo makampuni kupitia hazina iendelee lakini si kwa kupandisha bei ya umeme...Haiingii akilini kuwa IPTL tayari ilishakuwa mzigo bado wakaendelea kufunga mikataba mingine mine ya kuiua TANESCO... This Time lazima kieleweke...
... Chronology of Main Events 1994 Drought leads to power shortages as hydro catchment areas run dry. State power utility Tanesco invites emergency solutions, eventually settling for two turbines financed by foreign aid. 1994 Joint venture set up between Mechmar Corporation of Malaysia (70%) and VIPEM of Tanzania (30%) known as Independent Power Tanzania Ltd (IPTL) August 1994 IPTL sign a Memorandum of Understanding to provide electricity under an Independent Power Project arrangement as a fast track measure, but a medium to long term solution is proposed in November. Nov 1994 June 1995 IPTL starts negotiations with Tanesco through KTA Tenaga Sdn Bhd (Malaysia-engineering), Fieldstone Private Capital Group (USA-finance), and Long and Co. and Clyde and Co. (UK-legal affairs) May - June 1995 IPTL and Tanesco sign a 20 year Power Purchasing Agreement (PPA) to build and run a 100 megawatt slow-speed diesel (SSD) power plant at Tegeta, Dar es Salaam at a cost of $163.5 million, including an Engineering Procurement and Construction contract (EPC) price of $126.39, and with a reference tariff of $4.2 million per month plus 3.25 US cents per kWh of electricity actually produced.
The final tariff will depend on actual costs incurred. February 1995 - January 1996 Without informing Tanesco, IPTL negotiates with Wärtsila to build a cheaper medium-speed diesel (MSD) plant. Wärtsiläs EPC bid increases by 33%, from $85.7 million to $114.2 million, even though the scope of the project falls considerably. February 1997 EPC contract signed. May 1997 Mechmar/IPTL obtain $105 million loan from Sime Bank and Bank Bumiputra. September 1997 Tanesco requests full documentation on actual costs incurred in order to negotiate final power purchase tariffs.
IPTL produces the EPC at the end of February 1998. April 1998 Tanesco issues Notice of Default to IPTL for unilateral substitution of MSD facility. April-October 1998 Tanesco attempts unsuccessfully to negotiate a lower tariff reflecting the actual, verifiable and prudently incurred cost to IPTL of building an MSD plant as opposed to the contracted SSD plant.
November 1998 Tanesco requests arbitration before the International Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) after IPTL fails to justify cost structure and payments, including $6.4 million payments to Omni Technical Management Establishment and Prime Consolidated Establishment. November 1999 IPTL takes Tanesco to court, claiming interim payments of $3.6 million a month.
IPTL wins the case in March 1999, but execution of the ruling is stayed pending Tanescos appeal. May 2000 Two Tanzanian officials sign affidavits claiming they were offered bribes by IPTL director James Rugemalira. A third admits accepting a bribe. February 2001 ISCID finds that IPTL was overpriced by $23.5 million but that the contract still stands since TANESCO was aware of the switch from SSD to MSD. July 2001 Minister for Energy and Minerals announces that IPTL will start generating 100MW of electricity in October 2001, and that the SONGAS natural gas project will start in September. January 15 2002 IPTL starts supplying power to the national grid for 13 US cents per unit.
March 1 2002 VIPEM petitions the Tanzanian High Court to wind up IPTL. Dar es Salaam, 6 October 1997 Board members of the local chapter of Transparency International (TI) meet with Robert McNamara and Ahmedou Ould-Abdallah, respectively Co-Chairman and Executive Secretary of the Washington-based Global Coalition for Africa (GCA).
GCA is a high-level policy forum linking African governments, their northern partners, and non-government groups working on African development issues. Michael Wiehen, former World Bank director and founder member of Transparency International, is the third member of the team. Their mission is to lobby selected African presidents, including Tanzanias Benjamin Mkapa, to endorse a major anti-corruption statement and a practical initiative in cleaning up public procurement championed by TI.
Mkapa, who became Tanzanias third post-independence president in October 1995, ran on an anti-corruption ticket and in December 1996 published the report of the anti-corruption commission that he set up on coming to power. The former Mauritanian diplomat and senior UN official, Ould-Abdallah, expresses surprise at the extent of official corruption in Tanzania and the apparent impunity of the corrupt. Even in my country, they would not have such an easy time of it! he tells us with feeling. (People are questioning whether Mkapa has the power or the will to deal decisively with corruption, including those named in the commissions report. No senior official has been jailed for corruption to date).
It is McNamaras turn to speak. Already in his eighties, the former president of the Ford Motor Company, US Secretary of Defense during the Vietnam war, and president of the World Bank from 1968 to 1981, is still driven by an obsessive sense of personal mission. Have you people heard of this Malaysian power project? he asks without ceremony. I saw things like this when I was President of the Bank!
This stinks of grand corruption! He stabs the air with his right index finger. Im going to talk about this at the press conference tomorrow! We agree to monitor the IPTL project and to keep GCA informed of developments. The same day I start to find out more about this Malaysian power project. About twenty-five journalists turn up at the press conference the following morning, including Nizar Fazal, bookkeeper turned investigative journalist, and fearless anti-corruption campaigner.
McNamara fulminates about this power project that will inflate electricity prices if it goes ahead, but stops short of naming IPTL. Fazal asks, somewhat tongue in cheek, whether the UN could not deploy a mobile military unit to help reinstate African presidents who are overthrown for attempting to fight corruption.
McNamara replies that he does not think Tanzania has yet reached this point. Dar es Salaam, 1994 Let us go back to 1994. The presidency of Ali Hassan Mwinyi, Tanzanias second post-independence leader, is coming to a close. In terms of fiscal management, Mwinyis second term has been disastrous. Donor aid is frozen when a $200 million hole appears in an import support scheme plundered by private importers and public corporations in collusion with state-owned banks and government officials.
Eventually, donor pressure obliges Mwinyi to sack the Minister of Finance, economics professor Kigoma Malima, who was at the centre of the scam and a related tax exemption racket. Mwinyis laissez-faire approach to governance has seen a quantum leap in levels of official corruption, fuelled by economic liberalisation that confers respectability on the formerly demonised, Asian dominated, private sector.
There is a long dry spell and the water level in Tanzanias main dam drops to crisis point. Hydro provides Tanzania with most of its power. Rationing begins. Industrial production slumps. The rich buy generators. Dars shopping centre sounds like an industrial estate: every other duka has a noisy little generator spewing diesel fumes at passers-by.
The government decides there is need for emergency power. A number of local businessmen come up with proposals to solve the crisis. Reginald John Nolan, an Irish businessman, proposes a 109 megawatt turbine manufactured by General Electric. Nolans bid is based on a ludicrous tariff of 14 cents per unit of power, more than twice the current Tanzanian price and three or four times more expensive than electricity produced by modern diesel generators.
Nevertheless, Nolans bid progresses well, with the support of some very senior politicians and a positive tender evaluation from Tom Gilette of Bankers Trust, New York. At the eleventh hour, World Bank Resident Representative Motoo Konishi rashly writes a private note to Raphael Mollel, Principal Secretary at the Ministry of Water, Energy and Minerals, advising against Nolans proposal.
The note states that if the Nolan deal goes through, the Banks reaction would not be pleasant. Read: the World Bank would pull out of the energy sector, and other donors would probably follow. Mollel shows the note to the Permanent Secretaries in the Treasury and the Ministry of Planning, and to Chief Secretary Paul Rupia, and it soon reaches Tom Callahan, Director of African Affairs on the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Callahan promptly writes to Brady Anderson, the US Ambassador to Tanzania, accusing Konishi of libelling an American (sic) businessman and casting doubt upon the integrity of Bankers Trust. Though the World Bank stands up for Konishi, he is later sacked for his (as it turns out, successful) attempt to block the Nolan deal. Finally, the World Bank finances two turbines, adding 75 megawatts to the generating capacity of Tanesco, Tanzanias state-owned power utility.
A month before the Nolan negotiations begin, Malaysian company Mechmar and the Ministry of Energy and Minerals sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) n the spirit of solving the power load shedding problem as soon as possible under the IPP concept, encouraging private participation and in furtherance of South-South co-operation Most MOUs do not lead to projects.
This one the first major private investment in Tanzanias energy sector does. Nolans bid fails, despite significant local support and international lobbying on his behalf. Where Nolan failed , IPTL with an even more outrageous project proposal succeeds. Tanzania, 8 September 1997 There is another power crisis. Again, poor rains are blamed for the lack of water to run the hydro dams.
Load shedding begins all over again. The power crisis goes on for months. Consumers are without power for up to five days a week. Usually hot and humid, Dar es Salaam swelters in its powerlessness. But the crisis is largely of the governments own making. While the dams are running dry, the four turbines have been mostly idle. They are shut down from March to September 1996, through lack of cash to pay duty on the imported kerosene on which they run, and achieve only about 30% capacity utilisation from October 1996 to September 1997. TANESCO is broke.
Customers owe $55 million. The biggest sinners are government departments and parastatal companies, and the semi-autonomous island of Zanzibar. Lack of maintenance of existing plant further reduces the countrys effective power generating capacity. Tanesco fails to respond to an offer from Finland to rehabilitate old diesel generators.
While the Treasury refuses to waive the duty on fuel, it grants exemptions to an importer of cooking oil, leading local wags to speculate on whether the Ubungo turbines could be converted to run on cooking oil. Failure to fire up the turbines is the cause of the 1997 crisis, not the drought. Conspiracy theorists in Dar es Salaam are convinced that this example of gross mismanagement is not accidental, but orchestrated by IPTL and its local supporters to sell their proposal to the public.
Although the project was initially launched as a short-term solution to the 1994 power crisis, IPTL quietly drop this idea and instead negotiate a long-term investment in diesel generators. IPTL and government officials cite the unmet demand for power and the consequent urgent need to increase generating capacity as reasons for completing IPTL without further delay.
The 1997 drought proves the dangers of relying on hydropower. But the addition of 75 megawatts at Ubungo (October 1995) and a further 180 megawatts from the donor-funded Kihansi hydro scheme that is soon to be commissioned are more than adequate to meet projected demand and avoid another power crisis. By the end of 1997, the hydro catchments are full again. In other words, IPTL amounts to excess capacity using one of the most expensive power generating technologies. But by now, politics is already firmly in control of power policy and the local technocrats and their foreign advisors are ignored.
Kuala Lumpur, 29 May 1997:
IPTL is a joint venture between Mechmar Corporation (Malaysia) Bhd (70%) and VIPEM (30%). Mechmars largest shareholder HICOM (20%), is one of Malaysias largest industrial conglomerates. Mechmar, which is one of HICOMs five listed associate companies, has a dozen subsidiaries of its own. IPTL becomes the thirteenth. Mechmar is a trading and marketing company. IPTL is its first big power project. Originally specialising in boilers and heaters, Mechmar branches out into mens fashion wear (1990) and property development (1992). The companys executive chairman is Tan Kean Wan. Datuk Baharuden Majid is Mechmar's managing director and Chairman of IPTL. IPTLs proposed power station is to be financed with a US$105 million ten year loan facility jointly organised by Sime Bank and Bank Bumiputra Malaysia Bhd (BBMB). The lead managers are Sime International Bank (L) Ltd and BBMB Bhd International Bank (L) Ltd. Sime Bank Bhd of Singapore is the manager of the loan facility. Mechmar also issues RM88 million ($35 million then) worth of new shares to co-finance IPTL. With a market capitalisation of $120 million, Mechmar records $37 million in engineering sales in 1996.
At over $160 million, the Tanzanian investment is worth more than Mechmar itself. After the loan signing ceremony, Tan tells a press conference that IPTL should turn over up to RM200 million in annual revenue (about US$80 million). The power station is expected to contribute more than 50 per cent of Mechmars profits from 1999 onwards (New Straits Times, 30 June 1997, p. 25). IPTLs minority partner is VIPEM Ltd, a Dar es Salaam company founded by the late Bakr Somji, a Muslim of the Ishnasheri (Shia) sect, and now run by his son Riaz. Itinerant businessman Anis Mamdani is said to be the brains behind VIPEM. Ahmed Daya is another director. VIPEM specialises in brokering deals between foreign companies and the Tanzanian government, sometimes financed by foreign aid.
The company is heavily involved in the Tanzania Harbours Authority (THA), one of the countrys richest and most corrupt public corporations. IPTLs front man and fixer is James Rugemalira, a former employee of the Bank of Tanzania (BOT).
Rugemalira is a director of both VIPEM and IPTL. He is reportedly also the fixer for Tritel, a company related to Mechmar and owned by tycoon Tajudin Ramli, a close associate of Daim Zainuddin, that enters the Tanzanian cell-phone market in 1998. James Burchard Rugemalira is from Kagera in the North West of Tanzania. He obtained his first degree at the University of Dar es Salaam as a mature student. After an undistinguished career at the Bank of Tanzania, Rugemalira takes early retirement and enters the private sector. He is taken on board by VIPEM because of his contacts in BOT and the government. As an up-and-coming indigenous businessman, he is a prominent member of various business associations and official advisory committees, and sometimes travels with presidential delegations as a private sector representative.
Dar es Salaam, 10 October 1997:
Jim McCardle is not happy. The World Bank is pressuring the government to sign off on Songas, a Canadian backed joint venture to develop Tanzanias huge reserves of natural gas, and the government is dragging its feet. The Bank is ready to lend Tanzania $200 million towards Songas $350 million price tag. Songas, which McCardle manages, was conceived years before IPTL, yet no contract has been signed to date.
The contrast with IPTL, which obtained government agreements, tax exemptions and other requirements in record time, is no accident. Without IPTL, Songas could have been up and running in time to help avoid the 1997 power crisis. Songas plans to build a pipeline to Dar es Salaam to fuel the existing four turbines that are currently running on expensive kerosene. IPTL say they will happily convert to natural gas when it comes on stream, but this is disingenuous on their part.
Tanesco has a serious cash flow problem. If both IPTL and Songas are commissioned, Tanesco will be saddled with monthly bills for gas and electricity of $11 million that it could not possibly meet out of income from electricity sales.
McCardle admits that Songas seriously underestimated IPTL. Nolan was a joke. Nobody could take his project seriously. We thought nobody would take IPTL seriously either. We were wrong! When the cabinet hesitates to endorse IPTL because of the cost implications for electricity, James Rugemalira accuses the World Bank and Songas of mounting a joint conspiracy against him, with Patrick Rutabanzibwa, Permanent Secretary at the Ministry of Energy and Minerals, as their front man. At one point, he refers to Songas as the stillborn child of the World Bank (February 1999).
In a brilliant tactical move, the government announces final agreements with IPTL and Songas on the same day, as related below.
Dar es Salaam, April 1998:
Patrick Rutabanzibwa , briefs President Mkapa on IPTL. Like James Rugemalira, Rutabanzibwa is from Kagera, but there the similarity ends. Rutabanzibwa is from an aristocratic clan and is the son of a former ambassador. He studied in the US and the UK. He is a brilliant technocrat, dedicated to the development of Tanzania.
...
Ruling party CCM Secretary General and Minister for Planning, Horace Kolimba (since deceased) was involved in the original brokering that led to IPTL.
In July 1994, Kolimba visited Malaysia and raised the power-rationing problem with the Malaysian government. The latter advised Kolimba that Malaysia had solved similar problems by licensing and promoting independent power producers (IPPs). The Government of Malaysia arranged for Kolimba and his delegation to meet with potential Malaysian investors, who were then invited to visit Tanzania for an assessment of the situation. Datuk Baharuden Majid of Mechmar made his first visit to Tanzania in August 1994. Mechmar had already built a 2.75 megawatt wood-fuel plant for the Commonwealth Development Corporation in Tanzania (1993), and already knew Tanesco well.
He held discussions with the Minister for Water, Energy and Minerals Jakaya Kikwete, Simon Mhaville of Tanesco, Esther Masunzu, Assistant Commissioner for Energy, and Juma Ngasongwa, Personal Assistant to President Mwinyi responsible for economic affairs, all of whom confirmed that Tanesco and the government welcomed the IPP solution. A month later, an MOU was signed and IPTL was launched.
Tanescos Managing Director Simon Mhaville was heavily pro-IPTL, as was his PS at the time, Raphael Mollel. Mollel continued to support IPTL from the Treasury, where he was appointed Deputy PS. A friend of Mhaville told me that Mhaville claims to have been anti-IPTL, and Mollel claims he was only following orders. Mhavilles successor, Baruany Luhanga has distanced himself from IPTL. Minister of Energy and Minerals, William Shija, was pro. There is widespread agreement that President Mwinyi gave IPTL his tarnished imprimatur.
It is precisely the Mwinyi heritage surrounding IPTL that Mkapa has struggled to contain since coming to power in 1995. A major player throughout was Andrew Chenge, the Attorney General and a personal friend of Mkapa. Chenges office reviewed the IPTL contract on behalf of the government, and found it acceptable to the letter. At the time, Tanesco advisors -- Acres (Canada) and Hunton and Williams (U.K.) -- had written damning reports pointing out that IPTL:
(1) was a long term solution to a short-term problem;
(2) did not constitute part of a least cost power policy ;
(3) constituted excess capacity ; and that
(4) the project was highly overpriced. Both also criticised the proposed IPTL contract, which was generous to the supplier and passed all the risk to the government of Tanzania.
IPTL was not time bound, and the final cost to Tanesco would be negotiated after the project was completed! The PPA was appraised for the government by Mary Ndosi, a State Attorney in Chenges office.
Acknowledging that the Acres and Hunton and Williams comments on IPTL had been reviewed, Ndosi states, with magnificent insouciance: Their advice should be treated as part of our advice on this proposal only to the extent it is not in contradiction to what is contained herein. There is an affidavit (see below) claiming that Mary Ndosi actively supported IPTL. Dr Abdallah Kigoda was appointed Minister of Energy and Minerals by President Mkapa in February 1997.
Kigodas rise from a relatively junior post in the Planning Commission to high office was meteoric. On becoming Treasurer to CCM, he joined the inner circle of the ruling party. After one visit to Malaysia, he came home with a large cash contribution to finance an important CCM meeting, though the amount that was eventually used for this purpose is open to dispute. Until events forced him to fall in line behind the Mkapa/ Rutabanzibwa position, Kigoda was a staunch supporter of IPTL.
He had stated that there was no contradiction between IPTL and Songas, and that both would be commissioned. After the 2000 presidential and parliamentary elections, Kigoda was replaced by Edgar Maokola-Majogo, a career politician who had consistently toed the pro-IPTL/anti-Rutabanzibwa line in Cabinet, arguing on at least one occasion for Rutabanzibwa to be sacked.
Mkapas first Minister of Finance, Daniel Yona, another senior pro-IPTL figure, likewise declared nonchalantly that the government could always foot the bill if Tanesco ran out of cash. From early on, the Prevention of Corruption Bureau, which reports directly to the President, took a lively interest in IPTL.
Edward Hoseah, Director of the Bureau and Co-ordinator of the governments anti-corruption strategy, actively pursued the case, and at one point was ready to arrest Rugemalira on corruption charges. Hoseah was systematically thwarted by the Bureaus Director General, Maj. Gen. A L Kamazima, who along with Chenge, repeatedly told the President that there was no evidence of corruption in IPTL.
I was struck by the fact that there was very little adverse commentary from the business community or from the opposition parties concerning IPTL.
Looking for a critical local voice, I approached John Cheyo, an opposition Member of Parliament and Chairman of the Public Accounts Committee (PAC). We met in the lobby of the Dar es Salaam Sheraton. It was not a good choice. As we talked, none other than James Rugemalira came over to greet him in the warmest manner.
I hastily turned over my pile of newspaper cuttings so that he could not see what we were talking about. But it was too late. The following day, Cheyo held a press conference in which he sang the praises of private investments in the power industry, telling the government not to meddle with them!
I later heard that he was aggressively anti-Rutabanzibwa in meetings of the PAC. On other occasions, Cheyo has been a strong critic of official misuse of public funds. Much of the anti-IPTL commentary came from the donor community or from foreign journalists.
The World Banks Resident Representative Ron Brigish was more guarded than his predecessor Motoo Konishi, but he did not hide the Banks concerns with the economic implications of IPTL. Just before becoming Swedish Ambassador to Tanzania, Sten Rylander also went on record criticising IPTL.
The Swedish aid agency SIDA, heavily involved in supporting Tanesco over many years, had noted: Recent events, especially the IPTL affair, (an unsound contract for capital costs, commercial arrangements, and security package resulting in a cost of procured energy to Tanesco significantly above its own selling price) have shown that in spite of support to least cost discrete infrastructure projects like Kihansi and Kidatu, the total cost structure for power production can be jeopardised by uninformed Government-private sector deals outside the agreed least cost project frame.
The IPTL contract and the energy policy review have highlighted the need for a proper regulatory regime, anchored in legislation, to ensure competition on fair and equitable conditions to make the market in the energy sector work (Swedish International Development Agency, Dar es Salaam, 1999) The IPTL issue was raised at the Consultative Group meeting between Tanzania and donor agencies in Dar es Salaam in December 1997 and again in May 2000.
In an interview with Reuters, European Delegation Head Peter Christiansen gave voice to continued donor concerns: The European Union was concerned that the government was silent in cases where top ruling party officials and senior government officers were implicated as in the case involving Malaysian-backed IPTL. (Guardian, 24 May 2000: 1) Reuters Mark Dodd left Tanzania in July 1998. He regretted that he had failed to get a final interview with President Mkapa to ask about the role of the Attorney General and Minister for Minerals and Energy in the signing of a contract with IPTL described by the IMF as an unsustainable burden on the economy.
He continued: The IPTL saga also raises the nagging question of whether a small group of Tanzanian elite are (sic) so devoid of moral scruples as to ruthlessly exploit the long suffering Wananchi [citizens] for short-term gain under the guise of South-South co-operation. Tanzanians are possibly the worst exploiters of Tanzanians . (Daily Mail, 15 July 1998) The local press was used by both pro- and anti-IPTL groups.
The state-owned Daily News and Sunday News regularly ran pro-IPTL pieces. Many of my articles and editorials were published in the Family Mirror and Business Times. Most of the time, the other English dailies and weeklies were prepared to carry my pieces. English and Kiswahili papers also carried pro-IPTL commentary, frequently ghosted, and during much of 1998, a healthy debate flourished.
My files show that over 40 articles, letters and editorials on IPTL appeared in local English newspapers during the month of May 1998. Never has a single issue generated so much public controversy. When Tanesco finally issued its Notice of Default, the local Transparency International Chapter Chairman, PriceWaterhouseCoopers director Ibrahim Seushi, and I drafted a press release, which appeared in the Family Mirror, Business Times and the Sunday Observer (June 12 and 14, 1998) and in the launch edition of East African Alternatives (September 1998) (see Box 2).
Box 2: Some Negative Tanzanian Comments on IPTL The Government remains committed to any and all legally binding agreements entered into with IPTLs foreign and local investors. negotiations are underway to ensure that the tariff is based on actual, reasonable and verifiable capital and operating costs, a fair return to IPTLs investors, and an affordable tariff to TANESCO and the national economy. The Government cannot allow Tanzanias electricity consumers and the economy to be burdened with extraordinarily high electricity tariffs. President Benjamin Mkapa, the Express, 28 May 1998 Ruta[banzibwa] has been opposed to this project for quite some time. Even his bosses know this, and some of them have not been thanking him for it. It is generally known that his views on the subject were consistently given short shrift. Nor was he alone in this, because Tanesco voiced its objections only to find that it did not matter.
Jenerali Ulimwengu, former MP, media owner, the African, 24 April 1998. Had it not been for the donor agencies raising eyebrows, the whole controversial IPTL project would have been rammed down our throats with ugly consequences. Whilst the South-South cooperation in all matters is very much desired it should be only for the mutual benefit of South-South countries and not otherwise. Nizar Fazal, investigative journalist, Business Times, 8 May 1998 Look at the contract agreement of MBI and IPTL.
It is indeed absurd. Those who sanctioned on the part of the government or Tanesco should be put to task for mishandling these contracts. Their zeal of accumulating financial support should not cripple the economy of this country. Brigadier General Joachim Burcard Ngonyani (Rtd), the African, 3 August 1998 In Tanzania we have a history of things going awry through negligence. Take the IPTL deal those who signed on the dotted line and thus burdened the peasantry of this country with such a lop-sided deal, are probably sleeping quite soundly at night.
Hashim Saggaf, CCM Member of Parliament, the East African, 26 April 1999 Like Tanzania, most African governments are trying to encourage foreign investment, and many are selling off state-owned corporations or entering into management contracts with private companies to supply power and other public goods.
If these worthwhile processes are corrupted by opportunistic foreign and local investors in collusion with public officials, then the move towards a viable and competitive market economy will be severely, perhaps definitively compromised.
Chairman and Board of Transparency International, Tanzania Chapter, June 1998 Finally, Tunku Abdul Aziz, board member of Transparency International and a major figure in the global integrity movement, lent his eloquent prose to the cause. He wrote: The cancellation of the Malaysian power project by the Tanzanian authorities has been a matter of great rejoicing in Tanzania because, rightly or wrongly, the perception is that the award of this major contract has been made in indecent haste, and without the accompanying transparency and accountability normally expected in an exercise of this nature.
Other Malaysian investments in Africa have been savagely criticised as being not in the interests of the countries concerned, and in all of them, again, rightly or wrongly, the perception is that Malaysian companies have bribed and are bribing their way into lucrative, near monopolistic, niches. such poor developing countries as Tanzania and Malawi are already wrestling with massive problems of corruption, and the last thing they need are large doses of our Made in Malaysia grease to turn the wheels of their bureaucracy and help entrench what can quite easily become a way of life. (East African Alternatives, September 1998, p. 23)
I soon ran foul of IPTL. In a long letter to the African (1 June 1998) titled Brians phobia against South-South Commission, I am dubbed a racist with a pathological hatred of South-South cooperation, with derogatory tendencies towards African governments, leaders and its people. In a letter to Minister of Planning, Nassoro Malocho, IPTL copied an article that appeared in East African Alternatives, and accuse me of having vested interests in Songas. I am referred to as a dangerous underground advisor, an academic and business crook, with prejudices against African and Asian leaders.
I am further described as a tax-evader, an unlicensed gemstone dealer, a frequenter of a disreputable Dar es Salaam dance hall, a foreigner and a self-appointed energy expert. East African Alternatives promptly published excerpts from this five-page diatribe.
Minister Malocho never got in touch, though he did circulate the letter among the pro-IPTL group of ministers. Getting The Bigger Picture The ideology of South-South cooperation that led to the establishment of the South Commission and its report Challenge to the South (1990) has been cynically manipulated to justify dubious South-South investments of all kinds, including many emanating from Malaysia.
IPTL is one such investment. Colleagues from national chapters of Transparency International gave me examples of Malaysian investments in their countries bearing striking similarities to IPTL. John Githongo, Kenyan journalist and co-founder of TI-Kenya, gave me details of Sabah Shipyards involvement in the Kenya power industry, via subsidiary Westmont Power, brokered by the ubiquitous Nicholas Biwott, President Mois right hand man. William Nyarko of the Ghanaian Chronicle told me about the part purchase of Ghana Telecom by Telecom Malaysia and another deal involving TV3. John Makumbe of TI-Zimbabwe told me about the highly underpriced purchase of the ****ie power plant by YTL Corporation Bhd. Hudson Anika filled me in on the purchase of Uganda Commercial Bank by Westmont Land (Asia) Bhd.
Examples of real estate deals in South Africa have been documented in this book by Vishnu Padayachee and Imraan Valodia of the University of Natal. In meetings in London and Kuala Lumpur, and via e-mail, Tunku Abdul Azizpulled me gently, but firmly, into line with invaluable advice on the subtleties of the relationship between the Malaysian state and the promotion of foreign investment.
In the article cited above, he declared that: the sight of the Prime Minister [Mahathir] herding a gaggle of assorted businessmen on his official overseas trips and bending over, ever so protectively, witnessing the signing of one grand MOU after another, has created the impression that the Prime Minister has a direct personal interest in all these deals. we are dealing, very often, with people in places where corruption is so rampant that they cannot imagine that there are Malaysians who can win major overseas contracts without resorting to corruption. (East African Alternatives, September 1998, p. 24)
Little or nothing distinguishes the above description from the manner in which certain British, French, Italian, US or other companies operate in similar contexts. Britains huge arms sales to the Saudis under Margaret Thatchers Conservative government, with her son acting as broker, come readily to mind.
In Malaysia, the appalling Pergau dam hydro project ($375 million) was implemented by a major British engineering company with the help of large export subsidies, in exchange for over $2 billion worth of British arms purchases. The project was illegal, overpriced and of economically questionable value (Moody-Stuart 1997: 45). It is difficult to imagine a better model for Malaysian investment abroad, where the bill for grand corruption is ultimately footed by the power consumer and the taxpayer. IPTL has been fraught with problems, and was the subject of lengthy and costly arbitration.
Dar es Salaam, May 2000:
Further evidence is brought to the London arbitrators to prove that IPTL involved systematic corruption. Patrick Rutabanzibwa has sworn an affidavit that James Rugemalira offered him $200,000 to support IPTL. Rugemalira left a package containing Shs 500,000 at Rutabanzibwas home during Christmas 1994. Rutabanzibwa says he returned the package, at the time worth eight and a half months salary, to Rugemalira.
Rutabanzibwas former assistant, Prosper Victus, also testified that he was offered a similar amount to keep key information from Rutabanzibwa. Victus also implicates Mary Ndosi (later Maria Kejo), the state attorney who endorsed the IPTL contract on behalf of the government: When she telephoned me, Mrs Ndosi said that we want you to help us get this power project approved and then she reminded me that Mr Rugemalira would give me 100,000,000 Tanzanian Shillings if the IPTL project were approved.
I was shocked to learn that Mrs Ndosi had apparently been corrupted by Mr. Rugemalira. (Witness Statement, 19 April 2000, p. 3). Another former assistant, Esther Mzunzu, testified to the Prevention of Corruption Bureau that she accepted a bribe from Rugemalira, albeit a rather small one. She alleges that Rugemalira came to her office sometime in December 1994 and said: If our proposal goes through, I can give you money. How about $20,000? She claims that she refused, but later accepted Shs100,000. Her generally pro-IPTL behaviour suggests that, if she only received Shs100,000, she was cheap at the price. In a long letter to Attorney General Andrew Chenge, Rugemalira defends himself against these accusations and claims, as he has done many times before, that there is a conspiracy between Songas and the World Bank to drive him out of the market.
He also announces his intention to sue Rutabanzibwa, Victus and Masunzu for personal defamation.
...
London, 2 February 2001:
The International Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes rules that Tanesco had enough information to challenge IPTLs change from low- to medium-speed diesel generators well in advance of their installation. Tanesco should therefore proceed to negotiate terms with IPTL for the purchase of electric power.
These negotiations will be based on an assumed project cost of $123.5 million, or $26.5 million less than the $150 million that IPTL had claimed as project costs. The tribunal finds that IPTL had indeed failed to act with due diligence in regard to the switch from SSD to MSD technology without challenging the significant price increase by the manufacturers Wärtsilä between their initial and their final bid. Another plus from Tanescos point of view is the tribunals refusal to award IPTL claims for lost income of over $50 million, as a result of failure to produce the relevant costing information to Tanesco and for their part in the unauthorised technology switch. In Dar es Salaam, the tribunals verdict is hailed as a victory for Tanesco.
I try to put the record straight by pointing out that any deal with IPTL represents an unnecessary burden on Tanzanias power consumer, since the power that IPTL will generate is readily available from cheaper alternative sources. The London tribunal rejects Tanescos evidence concerning corruption, on the grounds that Tanesco had presented too little, too late.
The additional evidence that Tanesco had planned to present to the tribunal was blocked in Dar es Salaam. Under Tanzanian law, proof of corruption is enough to invalidate a contract. Both the Prevention of Corruption Bureau and the Directorate of Criminal Investigations have collected large amounts of information on the corruption dimension of IPTL, but President Mkapa has resisted all attempts to allow the case to be brought to court.
On July 26, 2001, Minister of Energy and Minerals Edgar Maokola-Majogo announces to Parliament that IPTL will start generating at full capacity in October. In a subsequent press conference, the Minister announced that Tanesco will incur costs of around $2.8 million a month to meet IPTLs capacity charge, that is, the projects standby costs and capital repayments, before any power is generated.
Tanesco can only meet these costs by increasing power tariffs, already high by African standards. If Tanesco cannot find the money, the Treasury will be called upon to honour the debt, since Tanescos contract with IPTL is guaranteed by the Tanzanian government.
Basil Mramba, who replaced Minister of Finance Daniel Yona after the 2000 elections, is unsympathetic to IPTL. Even so, the 2001/2 national budget includes a provision of $20 million to bale out TANESCO in the (likely) event that it is unable to meet IPTLs capacity charge plus operating costs. As a result of the London tribunal findings, James Rugemalira tries to dissociate himself from involvement in the overpricing of IPTL, putting all the blame on Mechmar. He claims that VIPEM, the Tanzanian partner in IPTL, was cheated by Mechmar on the issue of the true capital cost in the same way as TANESCO was cheated. The problems arose out of apparent business dishonesty by our Malaysian partners Thus, the disallowed capital costs and the cost of delay in implementation should be picked up by Mechmar, not IPTL.
For good measure, Rugemalira presents Mechmar with an invoice for nearly $800,000, including unspecified miscellaneous expenses incurred between 1994-2001 worth $200,000. In an email to Mr Rugemalira, Mechmars financial advisor Willy Lim reacts to Rugemaliras letter to Minister Majogo: What were you thinking of? That you should absolve yourself of any blame ? That you could equate your perception of being cheated by Mechmar in the same way that you felt that TANESCO was cheated by Mechmar?
You cannot say with a straight face that you have IPTLs interests at heart. 15 January 2002 Seven and a half years after signing the MOU, IPTL finally starts supplying power to the Tanzanian grid. In an article in the East African on February 18, I estimate that, running at 50% capacity, IPTL will cost Tanesco $4.6 million a month, or $55 million a year. At nearly 13 cents a unit, IPTL power is twice as expensive as a similar plant run by Wärtsilä in Kenya. I refer to the extra six cents per unit as the IPTL mark-up.
Box 3 contains further quotes from the article: Box 3: And IPTL Said: Let There Be Light But Its Going to Cost You IPTL will bankrupt Tanesco, force up the price of electricity to industrial and domestic users alike, and oblige the Treasury to introduce power subsidies. The consequences are likely to be catastrophic for the industrial sector, foreign investment prospects, and the planned privatisation of Tanesco.
In brief, by Tanzanian standards, IPTL is a rip-off of unprecedented proportions. In the event that Tanesco runs short of cash, the Treasury will step in to foot the bill. The 2001 Finance Act contains a provision to that effect, although it did not figure in the Minister of Finances budget speech of 14th June. The Treasury have already held discussions with the International Monetary Fund on how to pay Tanesco a monthly cash subsidy to offset the cost of IPTL.
Without IPTL, the Ubungo turbines would now be running on natural gas. (The Songo Songo project was purposely held up by IPTL intrigue). Not that it matters: three of the Ubungo turbines have been shut down and need a staggering (sic) 4bn/- for repairs, Tanesco engineers told the Daily News. (December 14th).
The current rains have raised water levels in the dams. Curious therefore that Tanesco should decide to shut down one of Kidatus 50 megawatt turbines - for routine maintenance - just as water levels are rising. Why not wait for a few months until water levels begin to fall?
Tanesco may soon be forced to spill water from our dams in order to keep IPTL chugging along as planned. Source: East African, February 18, 2002 Hardly two months after IPTL start power production, its minority shareholders VIPEM file a suit in the Tanzanian High Court to wind up the company unless they receive thirty percent of IPTL equity.
VIP are concerned that they may not receive their fair share of the dividends from IPTL over the projects twenty year life span. VIP estimate the net present value of their share of these dividends at $100 million. They enter into negotiations to sell their interests in IPTL to the National Social Security Fund for this amount.
The commissioning of IPTL passes almost without comment. The pros and cons of the project are no longer an object for public discussion. The press, business associations, donors and civil society are deafeningly silent over the catastrophe that is IPTL. This is a sure sign that, at least for the moment, the system has won.
One donor argues that for Tanzania not to meet its external commitments would send the wrong signals to potential investors! But Tanzanian electricity is the most expensive in central and southern Africa.
IPTL could help seal the fate of Tanzanias already uncompetitive manufacturing industry. Epilogue The direct and opportunity costs of IPTL to the Tanzanian economy are extremely high.
Without IPTL, the country would already be exploiting its huge resources of natural gas and saving on imported kerosene for the Ubungo turbines. The losses to the Tanzanian economy as a result of the power shortages of 1997 could have been avoided had Songas been implemented on time rather than sidelined by IPTL.
Huge private investments in stand-by generators were another avoidable cost. The amount of time, energy and travel wasted by government officials in chasing after IPTL, including international arbitration, particularly by Patrick Rutabanzibwa, could have been put to much better use.
Countries like Tanzania will never be able to aspire to the rates of economic growth and social development achieved by countries like Malaysia in the absence of ruling élites whose rent-seeking strategies contribute to rather than subtract from the public good. It is one thing for politicians and bureaucrats to take a cut from a valid investment that generates significant employment, turns out useful products, and contributes to government revenue.
... Chronology of Main Events 1994 Drought leads to power shortages as hydro catchment areas run dry. State power utility Tanesco invites emergency solutions, eventually settling for two turbines financed by foreign aid. 1994 Joint venture set up between Mechmar Corporation of Malaysia (70%) and VIPEM of Tanzania (30%) known as Independent Power Tanzania Ltd (IPTL) August 1994 IPTL sign a Memorandum of Understanding to provide electricity under an Independent Power Project arrangement as a fast track measure, but a medium to long term solution is proposed in November. Nov 1994 June 1995 IPTL starts negotiations with Tanesco through KTA Tenaga Sdn Bhd (Malaysia-engineering), Fieldstone Private Capital Group (USA-finance), and Long and Co. and Clyde and Co. (UK-legal affairs) May - June 1995 IPTL and Tanesco sign a 20 year Power Purchasing Agreement (PPA) to build and run a 100 megawatt slow-speed diesel (SSD) power plant at Tegeta, Dar es Salaam at a cost of $163.5 million, including an Engineering Procurement and Construction contract (EPC) price of $126.39, and with a reference tariff of $4.2 million per month plus 3.25 US cents per kWh of electricity actually produced.
The final tariff will depend on actual costs incurred. February 1995 - January 1996 Without informing Tanesco, IPTL negotiates with Wärtsila to build a cheaper medium-speed diesel (MSD) plant. Wärtsiläs EPC bid increases by 33%, from $85.7 million to $114.2 million, even though the scope of the project falls considerably. February 1997 EPC contract signed. May 1997 Mechmar/IPTL obtain $105 million loan from Sime Bank and Bank Bumiputra. September 1997 Tanesco requests full documentation on actual costs incurred in order to negotiate final power purchase tariffs.
IPTL produces the EPC at the end of February 1998. April 1998 Tanesco issues Notice of Default to IPTL for unilateral substitution of MSD facility. April-October 1998 Tanesco attempts unsuccessfully to negotiate a lower tariff reflecting the actual, verifiable and prudently incurred cost to IPTL of building an MSD plant as opposed to the contracted SSD plant.
November 1998 Tanesco requests arbitration before the International Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) after IPTL fails to justify cost structure and payments, including $6.4 million payments to Omni Technical Management Establishment and Prime Consolidated Establishment. November 1999 IPTL takes Tanesco to court, claiming interim payments of $3.6 million a month.
IPTL wins the case in March 1999, but execution of the ruling is stayed pending Tanescos appeal. May 2000 Two Tanzanian officials sign affidavits claiming they were offered bribes by IPTL director James Rugemalira. A third admits accepting a bribe. February 2001 ISCID finds that IPTL was overpriced by $23.5 million but that the contract still stands since TANESCO was aware of the switch from SSD to MSD. July 2001 Minister for Energy and Minerals announces that IPTL will start generating 100MW of electricity in October 2001, and that the SONGAS natural gas project will start in September. January 15 2002 IPTL starts supplying power to the national grid for 13 US cents per unit.
March 1 2002 VIPEM petitions the Tanzanian High Court to wind up IPTL. Dar es Salaam, 6 October 1997 Board members of the local chapter of Transparency International (TI) meet with Robert McNamara and Ahmedou Ould-Abdallah, respectively Co-Chairman and Executive Secretary of the Washington-based Global Coalition for Africa (GCA).
GCA is a high-level policy forum linking African governments, their northern partners, and non-government groups working on African development issues. Michael Wiehen, former World Bank director and founder member of Transparency International, is the third member of the team. Their mission is to lobby selected African presidents, including Tanzanias Benjamin Mkapa, to endorse a major anti-corruption statement and a practical initiative in cleaning up public procurement championed by TI.
Mkapa, who became Tanzanias third post-independence president in October 1995, ran on an anti-corruption ticket and in December 1996 published the report of the anti-corruption commission that he set up on coming to power. The former Mauritanian diplomat and senior UN official, Ould-Abdallah, expresses surprise at the extent of official corruption in Tanzania and the apparent impunity of the corrupt. Even in my country, they would not have such an easy time of it! he tells us with feeling. (People are questioning whether Mkapa has the power or the will to deal decisively with corruption, including those named in the commissions report. No senior official has been jailed for corruption to date).
It is McNamaras turn to speak. Already in his eighties, the former president of the Ford Motor Company, US Secretary of Defense during the Vietnam war, and president of the World Bank from 1968 to 1981, is still driven by an obsessive sense of personal mission. Have you people heard of this Malaysian power project? he asks without ceremony. I saw things like this when I was President of the Bank!
This stinks of grand corruption! He stabs the air with his right index finger. Im going to talk about this at the press conference tomorrow! We agree to monitor the IPTL project and to keep GCA informed of developments. The same day I start to find out more about this Malaysian power project. About twenty-five journalists turn up at the press conference the following morning, including Nizar Fazal, bookkeeper turned investigative journalist, and fearless anti-corruption campaigner.
McNamara fulminates about this power project that will inflate electricity prices if it goes ahead, but stops short of naming IPTL. Fazal asks, somewhat tongue in cheek, whether the UN could not deploy a mobile military unit to help reinstate African presidents who are overthrown for attempting to fight corruption.
McNamara replies that he does not think Tanzania has yet reached this point. Dar es Salaam, 1994 Let us go back to 1994. The presidency of Ali Hassan Mwinyi, Tanzanias second post-independence leader, is coming to a close. In terms of fiscal management, Mwinyis second term has been disastrous. Donor aid is frozen when a $200 million hole appears in an import support scheme plundered by private importers and public corporations in collusion with state-owned banks and government officials.
Eventually, donor pressure obliges Mwinyi to sack the Minister of Finance, economics professor Kigoma Malima, who was at the centre of the scam and a related tax exemption racket. Mwinyis laissez-faire approach to governance has seen a quantum leap in levels of official corruption, fuelled by economic liberalisation that confers respectability on the formerly demonised, Asian dominated, private sector.
There is a long dry spell and the water level in Tanzanias main dam drops to crisis point. Hydro provides Tanzania with most of its power. Rationing begins. Industrial production slumps. The rich buy generators. Dars shopping centre sounds like an industrial estate: every other duka has a noisy little generator spewing diesel fumes at passers-by.
The government decides there is need for emergency power. A number of local businessmen come up with proposals to solve the crisis. Reginald John Nolan, an Irish businessman, proposes a 109 megawatt turbine manufactured by General Electric. Nolans bid is based on a ludicrous tariff of 14 cents per unit of power, more than twice the current Tanzanian price and three or four times more expensive than electricity produced by modern diesel generators.
Nevertheless, Nolans bid progresses well, with the support of some very senior politicians and a positive tender evaluation from Tom Gilette of Bankers Trust, New York. At the eleventh hour, World Bank Resident Representative Motoo Konishi rashly writes a private note to Raphael Mollel, Principal Secretary at the Ministry of Water, Energy and Minerals, advising against Nolans proposal.
The note states that if the Nolan deal goes through, the Banks reaction would not be pleasant. Read: the World Bank would pull out of the energy sector, and other donors would probably follow. Mollel shows the note to the Permanent Secretaries in the Treasury and the Ministry of Planning, and to Chief Secretary Paul Rupia, and it soon reaches Tom Callahan, Director of African Affairs on the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Callahan promptly writes to Brady Anderson, the US Ambassador to Tanzania, accusing Konishi of libelling an American (sic) businessman and casting doubt upon the integrity of Bankers Trust. Though the World Bank stands up for Konishi, he is later sacked for his (as it turns out, successful) attempt to block the Nolan deal. Finally, the World Bank finances two turbines, adding 75 megawatts to the generating capacity of Tanesco, Tanzanias state-owned power utility.
A month before the Nolan negotiations begin, Malaysian company Mechmar and the Ministry of Energy and Minerals sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) n the spirit of solving the power load shedding problem as soon as possible under the IPP concept, encouraging private participation and in furtherance of South-South co-operation Most MOUs do not lead to projects.
This one the first major private investment in Tanzanias energy sector does. Nolans bid fails, despite significant local support and international lobbying on his behalf. Where Nolan failed , IPTL with an even more outrageous project proposal succeeds. Tanzania, 8 September 1997 There is another power crisis. Again, poor rains are blamed for the lack of water to run the hydro dams.
Load shedding begins all over again. The power crisis goes on for months. Consumers are without power for up to five days a week. Usually hot and humid, Dar es Salaam swelters in its powerlessness. But the crisis is largely of the governments own making. While the dams are running dry, the four turbines have been mostly idle. They are shut down from March to September 1996, through lack of cash to pay duty on the imported kerosene on which they run, and achieve only about 30% capacity utilisation from October 1996 to September 1997. TANESCO is broke.
Customers owe $55 million. The biggest sinners are government departments and parastatal companies, and the semi-autonomous island of Zanzibar. Lack of maintenance of existing plant further reduces the countrys effective power generating capacity. Tanesco fails to respond to an offer from Finland to rehabilitate old diesel generators.
While the Treasury refuses to waive the duty on fuel, it grants exemptions to an importer of cooking oil, leading local wags to speculate on whether the Ubungo turbines could be converted to run on cooking oil. Failure to fire up the turbines is the cause of the 1997 crisis, not the drought. Conspiracy theorists in Dar es Salaam are convinced that this example of gross mismanagement is not accidental, but orchestrated by IPTL and its local supporters to sell their proposal to the public.
Although the project was initially launched as a short-term solution to the 1994 power crisis, IPTL quietly drop this idea and instead negotiate a long-term investment in diesel generators. IPTL and government officials cite the unmet demand for power and the consequent urgent need to increase generating capacity as reasons for completing IPTL without further delay.
The 1997 drought proves the dangers of relying on hydropower. But the addition of 75 megawatts at Ubungo (October 1995) and a further 180 megawatts from the donor-funded Kihansi hydro scheme that is soon to be commissioned are more than adequate to meet projected demand and avoid another power crisis. By the end of 1997, the hydro catchments are full again. In other words, IPTL amounts to excess capacity using one of the most expensive power generating technologies. But by now, politics is already firmly in control of power policy and the local technocrats and their foreign advisors are ignored.
Kuala Lumpur, 29 May 1997:
IPTL is a joint venture between Mechmar Corporation (Malaysia) Bhd (70%) and VIPEM (30%). Mechmars largest shareholder HICOM (20%), is one of Malaysias largest industrial conglomerates. Mechmar, which is one of HICOMs five listed associate companies, has a dozen subsidiaries of its own. IPTL becomes the thirteenth. Mechmar is a trading and marketing company. IPTL is its first big power project. Originally specialising in boilers and heaters, Mechmar branches out into mens fashion wear (1990) and property development (1992). The companys executive chairman is Tan Kean Wan. Datuk Baharuden Majid is Mechmar's managing director and Chairman of IPTL. IPTLs proposed power station is to be financed with a US$105 million ten year loan facility jointly organised by Sime Bank and Bank Bumiputra Malaysia Bhd (BBMB). The lead managers are Sime International Bank (L) Ltd and BBMB Bhd International Bank (L) Ltd. Sime Bank Bhd of Singapore is the manager of the loan facility. Mechmar also issues RM88 million ($35 million then) worth of new shares to co-finance IPTL. With a market capitalisation of $120 million, Mechmar records $37 million in engineering sales in 1996.
At over $160 million, the Tanzanian investment is worth more than Mechmar itself. After the loan signing ceremony, Tan tells a press conference that IPTL should turn over up to RM200 million in annual revenue (about US$80 million). The power station is expected to contribute more than 50 per cent of Mechmars profits from 1999 onwards (New Straits Times, 30 June 1997, p. 25). IPTLs minority partner is VIPEM Ltd, a Dar es Salaam company founded by the late Bakr Somji, a Muslim of the Ishnasheri (Shia) sect, and now run by his son Riaz. Itinerant businessman Anis Mamdani is said to be the brains behind VIPEM. Ahmed Daya is another director. VIPEM specialises in brokering deals between foreign companies and the Tanzanian government, sometimes financed by foreign aid.
The company is heavily involved in the Tanzania Harbours Authority (THA), one of the countrys richest and most corrupt public corporations. IPTLs front man and fixer is James Rugemalira, a former employee of the Bank of Tanzania (BOT).
Rugemalira is a director of both VIPEM and IPTL. He is reportedly also the fixer for Tritel, a company related to Mechmar and owned by tycoon Tajudin Ramli, a close associate of Daim Zainuddin, that enters the Tanzanian cell-phone market in 1998. James Burchard Rugemalira is from Kagera in the North West of Tanzania. He obtained his first degree at the University of Dar es Salaam as a mature student. After an undistinguished career at the Bank of Tanzania, Rugemalira takes early retirement and enters the private sector. He is taken on board by VIPEM because of his contacts in BOT and the government. As an up-and-coming indigenous businessman, he is a prominent member of various business associations and official advisory committees, and sometimes travels with presidential delegations as a private sector representative.
Dar es Salaam, 10 October 1997:
Jim McCardle is not happy. The World Bank is pressuring the government to sign off on Songas, a Canadian backed joint venture to develop Tanzanias huge reserves of natural gas, and the government is dragging its feet. The Bank is ready to lend Tanzania $200 million towards Songas $350 million price tag. Songas, which McCardle manages, was conceived years before IPTL, yet no contract has been signed to date.
The contrast with IPTL, which obtained government agreements, tax exemptions and other requirements in record time, is no accident. Without IPTL, Songas could have been up and running in time to help avoid the 1997 power crisis. Songas plans to build a pipeline to Dar es Salaam to fuel the existing four turbines that are currently running on expensive kerosene. IPTL say they will happily convert to natural gas when it comes on stream, but this is disingenuous on their part.
Tanesco has a serious cash flow problem. If both IPTL and Songas are commissioned, Tanesco will be saddled with monthly bills for gas and electricity of $11 million that it could not possibly meet out of income from electricity sales.
McCardle admits that Songas seriously underestimated IPTL. Nolan was a joke. Nobody could take his project seriously. We thought nobody would take IPTL seriously either. We were wrong! When the cabinet hesitates to endorse IPTL because of the cost implications for electricity, James Rugemalira accuses the World Bank and Songas of mounting a joint conspiracy against him, with Patrick Rutabanzibwa, Permanent Secretary at the Ministry of Energy and Minerals, as their front man. At one point, he refers to Songas as the stillborn child of the World Bank (February 1999).
In a brilliant tactical move, the government announces final agreements with IPTL and Songas on the same day, as related below.
Dar es Salaam, April 1998:
Patrick Rutabanzibwa , briefs President Mkapa on IPTL. Like James Rugemalira, Rutabanzibwa is from Kagera, but there the similarity ends. Rutabanzibwa is from an aristocratic clan and is the son of a former ambassador. He studied in the US and the UK. He is a brilliant technocrat, dedicated to the development of Tanzania.
...
Ruling party CCM Secretary General and Minister for Planning, Horace Kolimba (since deceased) was involved in the original brokering that led to IPTL.
In July 1994, Kolimba visited Malaysia and raised the power-rationing problem with the Malaysian government. The latter advised Kolimba that Malaysia had solved similar problems by licensing and promoting independent power producers (IPPs). The Government of Malaysia arranged for Kolimba and his delegation to meet with potential Malaysian investors, who were then invited to visit Tanzania for an assessment of the situation. Datuk Baharuden Majid of Mechmar made his first visit to Tanzania in August 1994. Mechmar had already built a 2.75 megawatt wood-fuel plant for the Commonwealth Development Corporation in Tanzania (1993), and already knew Tanesco well.
He held discussions with the Minister for Water, Energy and Minerals Jakaya Kikwete, Simon Mhaville of Tanesco, Esther Masunzu, Assistant Commissioner for Energy, and Juma Ngasongwa, Personal Assistant to President Mwinyi responsible for economic affairs, all of whom confirmed that Tanesco and the government welcomed the IPP solution. A month later, an MOU was signed and IPTL was launched.
Tanescos Managing Director Simon Mhaville was heavily pro-IPTL, as was his PS at the time, Raphael Mollel. Mollel continued to support IPTL from the Treasury, where he was appointed Deputy PS. A friend of Mhaville told me that Mhaville claims to have been anti-IPTL, and Mollel claims he was only following orders. Mhavilles successor, Baruany Luhanga has distanced himself from IPTL. Minister of Energy and Minerals, William Shija, was pro. There is widespread agreement that President Mwinyi gave IPTL his tarnished imprimatur.
It is precisely the Mwinyi heritage surrounding IPTL that Mkapa has struggled to contain since coming to power in 1995. A major player throughout was Andrew Chenge, the Attorney General and a personal friend of Mkapa. Chenges office reviewed the IPTL contract on behalf of the government, and found it acceptable to the letter. At the time, Tanesco advisors -- Acres (Canada) and Hunton and Williams (U.K.) -- had written damning reports pointing out that IPTL:
(1) was a long term solution to a short-term problem;
(2) did not constitute part of a least cost power policy ;
(3) constituted excess capacity ; and that
(4) the project was highly overpriced. Both also criticised the proposed IPTL contract, which was generous to the supplier and passed all the risk to the government of Tanzania.
IPTL was not time bound, and the final cost to Tanesco would be negotiated after the project was completed! The PPA was appraised for the government by Mary Ndosi, a State Attorney in Chenges office.
Acknowledging that the Acres and Hunton and Williams comments on IPTL had been reviewed, Ndosi states, with magnificent insouciance: Their advice should be treated as part of our advice on this proposal only to the extent it is not in contradiction to what is contained herein. There is an affidavit (see below) claiming that Mary Ndosi actively supported IPTL. Dr Abdallah Kigoda was appointed Minister of Energy and Minerals by President Mkapa in February 1997.
Kigodas rise from a relatively junior post in the Planning Commission to high office was meteoric. On becoming Treasurer to CCM, he joined the inner circle of the ruling party. After one visit to Malaysia, he came home with a large cash contribution to finance an important CCM meeting, though the amount that was eventually used for this purpose is open to dispute. Until events forced him to fall in line behind the Mkapa/ Rutabanzibwa position, Kigoda was a staunch supporter of IPTL.
He had stated that there was no contradiction between IPTL and Songas, and that both would be commissioned. After the 2000 presidential and parliamentary elections, Kigoda was replaced by Edgar Maokola-Majogo, a career politician who had consistently toed the pro-IPTL/anti-Rutabanzibwa line in Cabinet, arguing on at least one occasion for Rutabanzibwa to be sacked.
Mkapas first Minister of Finance, Daniel Yona, another senior pro-IPTL figure, likewise declared nonchalantly that the government could always foot the bill if Tanesco ran out of cash. From early on, the Prevention of Corruption Bureau, which reports directly to the President, took a lively interest in IPTL.
Edward Hoseah, Director of the Bureau and Co-ordinator of the governments anti-corruption strategy, actively pursued the case, and at one point was ready to arrest Rugemalira on corruption charges. Hoseah was systematically thwarted by the Bureaus Director General, Maj. Gen. A L Kamazima, who along with Chenge, repeatedly told the President that there was no evidence of corruption in IPTL.
I was struck by the fact that there was very little adverse commentary from the business community or from the opposition parties concerning IPTL.
Looking for a critical local voice, I approached John Cheyo, an opposition Member of Parliament and Chairman of the Public Accounts Committee (PAC). We met in the lobby of the Dar es Salaam Sheraton. It was not a good choice. As we talked, none other than James Rugemalira came over to greet him in the warmest manner.
I hastily turned over my pile of newspaper cuttings so that he could not see what we were talking about. But it was too late. The following day, Cheyo held a press conference in which he sang the praises of private investments in the power industry, telling the government not to meddle with them!
I later heard that he was aggressively anti-Rutabanzibwa in meetings of the PAC. On other occasions, Cheyo has been a strong critic of official misuse of public funds. Much of the anti-IPTL commentary came from the donor community or from foreign journalists.
The World Banks Resident Representative Ron Brigish was more guarded than his predecessor Motoo Konishi, but he did not hide the Banks concerns with the economic implications of IPTL. Just before becoming Swedish Ambassador to Tanzania, Sten Rylander also went on record criticising IPTL.
The Swedish aid agency SIDA, heavily involved in supporting Tanesco over many years, had noted: Recent events, especially the IPTL affair, (an unsound contract for capital costs, commercial arrangements, and security package resulting in a cost of procured energy to Tanesco significantly above its own selling price) have shown that in spite of support to least cost discrete infrastructure projects like Kihansi and Kidatu, the total cost structure for power production can be jeopardised by uninformed Government-private sector deals outside the agreed least cost project frame.
The IPTL contract and the energy policy review have highlighted the need for a proper regulatory regime, anchored in legislation, to ensure competition on fair and equitable conditions to make the market in the energy sector work (Swedish International Development Agency, Dar es Salaam, 1999) The IPTL issue was raised at the Consultative Group meeting between Tanzania and donor agencies in Dar es Salaam in December 1997 and again in May 2000.
In an interview with Reuters, European Delegation Head Peter Christiansen gave voice to continued donor concerns: The European Union was concerned that the government was silent in cases where top ruling party officials and senior government officers were implicated as in the case involving Malaysian-backed IPTL. (Guardian, 24 May 2000: 1) Reuters Mark Dodd left Tanzania in July 1998. He regretted that he had failed to get a final interview with President Mkapa to ask about the role of the Attorney General and Minister for Minerals and Energy in the signing of a contract with IPTL described by the IMF as an unsustainable burden on the economy.
He continued: The IPTL saga also raises the nagging question of whether a small group of Tanzanian elite are (sic) so devoid of moral scruples as to ruthlessly exploit the long suffering Wananchi [citizens] for short-term gain under the guise of South-South co-operation. Tanzanians are possibly the worst exploiters of Tanzanians . (Daily Mail, 15 July 1998) The local press was used by both pro- and anti-IPTL groups.
The state-owned Daily News and Sunday News regularly ran pro-IPTL pieces. Many of my articles and editorials were published in the Family Mirror and Business Times. Most of the time, the other English dailies and weeklies were prepared to carry my pieces. English and Kiswahili papers also carried pro-IPTL commentary, frequently ghosted, and during much of 1998, a healthy debate flourished.
My files show that over 40 articles, letters and editorials on IPTL appeared in local English newspapers during the month of May 1998. Never has a single issue generated so much public controversy. When Tanesco finally issued its Notice of Default, the local Transparency International Chapter Chairman, PriceWaterhouseCoopers director Ibrahim Seushi, and I drafted a press release, which appeared in the Family Mirror, Business Times and the Sunday Observer (June 12 and 14, 1998) and in the launch edition of East African Alternatives (September 1998) (see Box 2).
Box 2: Some Negative Tanzanian Comments on IPTL The Government remains committed to any and all legally binding agreements entered into with IPTLs foreign and local investors. negotiations are underway to ensure that the tariff is based on actual, reasonable and verifiable capital and operating costs, a fair return to IPTLs investors, and an affordable tariff to TANESCO and the national economy. The Government cannot allow Tanzanias electricity consumers and the economy to be burdened with extraordinarily high electricity tariffs. President Benjamin Mkapa, the Express, 28 May 1998 Ruta[banzibwa] has been opposed to this project for quite some time. Even his bosses know this, and some of them have not been thanking him for it. It is generally known that his views on the subject were consistently given short shrift. Nor was he alone in this, because Tanesco voiced its objections only to find that it did not matter.
Jenerali Ulimwengu, former MP, media owner, the African, 24 April 1998. Had it not been for the donor agencies raising eyebrows, the whole controversial IPTL project would have been rammed down our throats with ugly consequences. Whilst the South-South cooperation in all matters is very much desired it should be only for the mutual benefit of South-South countries and not otherwise. Nizar Fazal, investigative journalist, Business Times, 8 May 1998 Look at the contract agreement of MBI and IPTL.
It is indeed absurd. Those who sanctioned on the part of the government or Tanesco should be put to task for mishandling these contracts. Their zeal of accumulating financial support should not cripple the economy of this country. Brigadier General Joachim Burcard Ngonyani (Rtd), the African, 3 August 1998 In Tanzania we have a history of things going awry through negligence. Take the IPTL deal those who signed on the dotted line and thus burdened the peasantry of this country with such a lop-sided deal, are probably sleeping quite soundly at night.
Hashim Saggaf, CCM Member of Parliament, the East African, 26 April 1999 Like Tanzania, most African governments are trying to encourage foreign investment, and many are selling off state-owned corporations or entering into management contracts with private companies to supply power and other public goods.
If these worthwhile processes are corrupted by opportunistic foreign and local investors in collusion with public officials, then the move towards a viable and competitive market economy will be severely, perhaps definitively compromised.
Chairman and Board of Transparency International, Tanzania Chapter, June 1998 Finally, Tunku Abdul Aziz, board member of Transparency International and a major figure in the global integrity movement, lent his eloquent prose to the cause. He wrote: The cancellation of the Malaysian power project by the Tanzanian authorities has been a matter of great rejoicing in Tanzania because, rightly or wrongly, the perception is that the award of this major contract has been made in indecent haste, and without the accompanying transparency and accountability normally expected in an exercise of this nature.
Other Malaysian investments in Africa have been savagely criticised as being not in the interests of the countries concerned, and in all of them, again, rightly or wrongly, the perception is that Malaysian companies have bribed and are bribing their way into lucrative, near monopolistic, niches. such poor developing countries as Tanzania and Malawi are already wrestling with massive problems of corruption, and the last thing they need are large doses of our Made in Malaysia grease to turn the wheels of their bureaucracy and help entrench what can quite easily become a way of life. (East African Alternatives, September 1998, p. 23)
I soon ran foul of IPTL. In a long letter to the African (1 June 1998) titled Brians phobia against South-South Commission, I am dubbed a racist with a pathological hatred of South-South cooperation, with derogatory tendencies towards African governments, leaders and its people. In a letter to Minister of Planning, Nassoro Malocho, IPTL copied an article that appeared in East African Alternatives, and accuse me of having vested interests in Songas. I am referred to as a dangerous underground advisor, an academic and business crook, with prejudices against African and Asian leaders.
I am further described as a tax-evader, an unlicensed gemstone dealer, a frequenter of a disreputable Dar es Salaam dance hall, a foreigner and a self-appointed energy expert. East African Alternatives promptly published excerpts from this five-page diatribe.
Minister Malocho never got in touch, though he did circulate the letter among the pro-IPTL group of ministers. Getting The Bigger Picture The ideology of South-South cooperation that led to the establishment of the South Commission and its report Challenge to the South (1990) has been cynically manipulated to justify dubious South-South investments of all kinds, including many emanating from Malaysia.
IPTL is one such investment. Colleagues from national chapters of Transparency International gave me examples of Malaysian investments in their countries bearing striking similarities to IPTL. John Githongo, Kenyan journalist and co-founder of TI-Kenya, gave me details of Sabah Shipyards involvement in the Kenya power industry, via subsidiary Westmont Power, brokered by the ubiquitous Nicholas Biwott, President Mois right hand man. William Nyarko of the Ghanaian Chronicle told me about the part purchase of Ghana Telecom by Telecom Malaysia and another deal involving TV3. John Makumbe of TI-Zimbabwe told me about the highly underpriced purchase of the ****ie power plant by YTL Corporation Bhd. Hudson Anika filled me in on the purchase of Uganda Commercial Bank by Westmont Land (Asia) Bhd.
Examples of real estate deals in South Africa have been documented in this book by Vishnu Padayachee and Imraan Valodia of the University of Natal. In meetings in London and Kuala Lumpur, and via e-mail, Tunku Abdul Azizpulled me gently, but firmly, into line with invaluable advice on the subtleties of the relationship between the Malaysian state and the promotion of foreign investment.
In the article cited above, he declared that: the sight of the Prime Minister [Mahathir] herding a gaggle of assorted businessmen on his official overseas trips and bending over, ever so protectively, witnessing the signing of one grand MOU after another, has created the impression that the Prime Minister has a direct personal interest in all these deals. we are dealing, very often, with people in places where corruption is so rampant that they cannot imagine that there are Malaysians who can win major overseas contracts without resorting to corruption. (East African Alternatives, September 1998, p. 24)
Little or nothing distinguishes the above description from the manner in which certain British, French, Italian, US or other companies operate in similar contexts. Britains huge arms sales to the Saudis under Margaret Thatchers Conservative government, with her son acting as broker, come readily to mind.
In Malaysia, the appalling Pergau dam hydro project ($375 million) was implemented by a major British engineering company with the help of large export subsidies, in exchange for over $2 billion worth of British arms purchases. The project was illegal, overpriced and of economically questionable value (Moody-Stuart 1997: 45). It is difficult to imagine a better model for Malaysian investment abroad, where the bill for grand corruption is ultimately footed by the power consumer and the taxpayer. IPTL has been fraught with problems, and was the subject of lengthy and costly arbitration.
Dar es Salaam, May 2000:
Further evidence is brought to the London arbitrators to prove that IPTL involved systematic corruption. Patrick Rutabanzibwa has sworn an affidavit that James Rugemalira offered him $200,000 to support IPTL. Rugemalira left a package containing Shs 500,000 at Rutabanzibwas home during Christmas 1994. Rutabanzibwa says he returned the package, at the time worth eight and a half months salary, to Rugemalira.
Rutabanzibwas former assistant, Prosper Victus, also testified that he was offered a similar amount to keep key information from Rutabanzibwa. Victus also implicates Mary Ndosi (later Maria Kejo), the state attorney who endorsed the IPTL contract on behalf of the government: When she telephoned me, Mrs Ndosi said that we want you to help us get this power project approved and then she reminded me that Mr Rugemalira would give me 100,000,000 Tanzanian Shillings if the IPTL project were approved.
I was shocked to learn that Mrs Ndosi had apparently been corrupted by Mr. Rugemalira. (Witness Statement, 19 April 2000, p. 3). Another former assistant, Esther Mzunzu, testified to the Prevention of Corruption Bureau that she accepted a bribe from Rugemalira, albeit a rather small one. She alleges that Rugemalira came to her office sometime in December 1994 and said: If our proposal goes through, I can give you money. How about $20,000? She claims that she refused, but later accepted Shs100,000. Her generally pro-IPTL behaviour suggests that, if she only received Shs100,000, she was cheap at the price. In a long letter to Attorney General Andrew Chenge, Rugemalira defends himself against these accusations and claims, as he has done many times before, that there is a conspiracy between Songas and the World Bank to drive him out of the market.
He also announces his intention to sue Rutabanzibwa, Victus and Masunzu for personal defamation.
...
London, 2 February 2001:
The International Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes rules that Tanesco had enough information to challenge IPTLs change from low- to medium-speed diesel generators well in advance of their installation. Tanesco should therefore proceed to negotiate terms with IPTL for the purchase of electric power.
These negotiations will be based on an assumed project cost of $123.5 million, or $26.5 million less than the $150 million that IPTL had claimed as project costs. The tribunal finds that IPTL had indeed failed to act with due diligence in regard to the switch from SSD to MSD technology without challenging the significant price increase by the manufacturers Wärtsilä between their initial and their final bid. Another plus from Tanescos point of view is the tribunals refusal to award IPTL claims for lost income of over $50 million, as a result of failure to produce the relevant costing information to Tanesco and for their part in the unauthorised technology switch. In Dar es Salaam, the tribunals verdict is hailed as a victory for Tanesco.
I try to put the record straight by pointing out that any deal with IPTL represents an unnecessary burden on Tanzanias power consumer, since the power that IPTL will generate is readily available from cheaper alternative sources. The London tribunal rejects Tanescos evidence concerning corruption, on the grounds that Tanesco had presented too little, too late.
The additional evidence that Tanesco had planned to present to the tribunal was blocked in Dar es Salaam. Under Tanzanian law, proof of corruption is enough to invalidate a contract. Both the Prevention of Corruption Bureau and the Directorate of Criminal Investigations have collected large amounts of information on the corruption dimension of IPTL, but President Mkapa has resisted all attempts to allow the case to be brought to court.
On July 26, 2001, Minister of Energy and Minerals Edgar Maokola-Majogo announces to Parliament that IPTL will start generating at full capacity in October. In a subsequent press conference, the Minister announced that Tanesco will incur costs of around $2.8 million a month to meet IPTLs capacity charge, that is, the projects standby costs and capital repayments, before any power is generated.
Tanesco can only meet these costs by increasing power tariffs, already high by African standards. If Tanesco cannot find the money, the Treasury will be called upon to honour the debt, since Tanescos contract with IPTL is guaranteed by the Tanzanian government.
Basil Mramba, who replaced Minister of Finance Daniel Yona after the 2000 elections, is unsympathetic to IPTL. Even so, the 2001/2 national budget includes a provision of $20 million to bale out TANESCO in the (likely) event that it is unable to meet IPTLs capacity charge plus operating costs. As a result of the London tribunal findings, James Rugemalira tries to dissociate himself from involvement in the overpricing of IPTL, putting all the blame on Mechmar. He claims that VIPEM, the Tanzanian partner in IPTL, was cheated by Mechmar on the issue of the true capital cost in the same way as TANESCO was cheated. The problems arose out of apparent business dishonesty by our Malaysian partners Thus, the disallowed capital costs and the cost of delay in implementation should be picked up by Mechmar, not IPTL.
For good measure, Rugemalira presents Mechmar with an invoice for nearly $800,000, including unspecified miscellaneous expenses incurred between 1994-2001 worth $200,000. In an email to Mr Rugemalira, Mechmars financial advisor Willy Lim reacts to Rugemaliras letter to Minister Majogo: What were you thinking of? That you should absolve yourself of any blame ? That you could equate your perception of being cheated by Mechmar in the same way that you felt that TANESCO was cheated by Mechmar?
You cannot say with a straight face that you have IPTLs interests at heart. 15 January 2002 Seven and a half years after signing the MOU, IPTL finally starts supplying power to the Tanzanian grid. In an article in the East African on February 18, I estimate that, running at 50% capacity, IPTL will cost Tanesco $4.6 million a month, or $55 million a year. At nearly 13 cents a unit, IPTL power is twice as expensive as a similar plant run by Wärtsilä in Kenya. I refer to the extra six cents per unit as the IPTL mark-up.
Box 3 contains further quotes from the article: Box 3: And IPTL Said: Let There Be Light But Its Going to Cost You IPTL will bankrupt Tanesco, force up the price of electricity to industrial and domestic users alike, and oblige the Treasury to introduce power subsidies. The consequences are likely to be catastrophic for the industrial sector, foreign investment prospects, and the planned privatisation of Tanesco.
In brief, by Tanzanian standards, IPTL is a rip-off of unprecedented proportions. In the event that Tanesco runs short of cash, the Treasury will step in to foot the bill. The 2001 Finance Act contains a provision to that effect, although it did not figure in the Minister of Finances budget speech of 14th June. The Treasury have already held discussions with the International Monetary Fund on how to pay Tanesco a monthly cash subsidy to offset the cost of IPTL.
Without IPTL, the Ubungo turbines would now be running on natural gas. (The Songo Songo project was purposely held up by IPTL intrigue). Not that it matters: three of the Ubungo turbines have been shut down and need a staggering (sic) 4bn/- for repairs, Tanesco engineers told the Daily News. (December 14th).
The current rains have raised water levels in the dams. Curious therefore that Tanesco should decide to shut down one of Kidatus 50 megawatt turbines - for routine maintenance - just as water levels are rising. Why not wait for a few months until water levels begin to fall?
Tanesco may soon be forced to spill water from our dams in order to keep IPTL chugging along as planned. Source: East African, February 18, 2002 Hardly two months after IPTL start power production, its minority shareholders VIPEM file a suit in the Tanzanian High Court to wind up the company unless they receive thirty percent of IPTL equity.
VIP are concerned that they may not receive their fair share of the dividends from IPTL over the projects twenty year life span. VIP estimate the net present value of their share of these dividends at $100 million. They enter into negotiations to sell their interests in IPTL to the National Social Security Fund for this amount.
The commissioning of IPTL passes almost without comment. The pros and cons of the project are no longer an object for public discussion. The press, business associations, donors and civil society are deafeningly silent over the catastrophe that is IPTL. This is a sure sign that, at least for the moment, the system has won.
One donor argues that for Tanzania not to meet its external commitments would send the wrong signals to potential investors! But Tanzanian electricity is the most expensive in central and southern Africa.
IPTL could help seal the fate of Tanzanias already uncompetitive manufacturing industry. Epilogue The direct and opportunity costs of IPTL to the Tanzanian economy are extremely high.
Without IPTL, the country would already be exploiting its huge resources of natural gas and saving on imported kerosene for the Ubungo turbines. The losses to the Tanzanian economy as a result of the power shortages of 1997 could have been avoided had Songas been implemented on time rather than sidelined by IPTL.
Huge private investments in stand-by generators were another avoidable cost. The amount of time, energy and travel wasted by government officials in chasing after IPTL, including international arbitration, particularly by Patrick Rutabanzibwa, could have been put to much better use.
Countries like Tanzania will never be able to aspire to the rates of economic growth and social development achieved by countries like Malaysia in the absence of ruling élites whose rent-seeking strategies contribute to rather than subtract from the public good. It is one thing for politicians and bureaucrats to take a cut from a valid investment that generates significant employment, turns out useful products, and contributes to government revenue.
