Wikileaks: Dr. Salim akubali kuwa kulikuwa na ubaguzi uchaguzi wa 2005


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Viewing cable 05DARESSALAAM972, SALIM SALIM SOUNDS OFF ON ELECTIONS, POLITICAL

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[TABLE="class: cable"]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]05DARESSALAAM972
[/TD]
[TD]2005-05-17 13:28
[/TD]
[TD]2011-08-30 01:44
[/TD]
[TD]CONFIDENTIAL
[/TD]
[TD]Embassy Dar Es Salaam
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 DAR ES SALAAM 000972 SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 5/15/15 TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM TZSUBJECT: SALIM SALIM SOUNDS OFF ON ELECTIONS, POLITICAL MACHINATIONS, PROSPECTS FOR VIOLENCE IN ZANZIBAR REF: DAR ES SALAAM 0908 and previous Classified by Charge d'Affaires Michael S. Owen for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d). 1. (C) Summary: In a wide-ranging two-hour lunch meeting, former OAU Secretary General Salim Salim told us he had failed to capture the CCM presidential nomination because of strong opposition from the Zanzibari faction of the CCM. Salim, who is a Zanzibari of Arab heritage, accused some party members of "reverse racism" because they had considered him "insufficiently African" to become President. Salim acknowledged that Foreign Minister Jakaya Kikwete had run a strong campaign to capture the nomination, but charged that "lots of money" had changed hands and lots of promises had been made, many of which are unlikely to be kept. Salim blasted Zanzibari President Karume as a "lightweight," and said in a free vote he would not even have captured the party's nomination. Mohammed Bilal, who had also been vying for the Zanzibari presidential nomination, had been "heavily pressured" to withdraw, Salim said, but this could backfire in the general election by further weakening Karume's support among CCM party faithful. If a free and fair election were held today, he said, CUF would almost certainly win the Zanzibari presidency. Die-hards in the CCM are fighting to ensure that does not happen, Salim said, and violence during and after the elections in Zanzibar is almost certain unless Karume can exercise strong leadership in the weeks ahead. End Summary.

2. (U) Charge joined the Belgian Ambassador and UK and Canadian High Commissioners for a March 12 lunch meeting with former OAU Secretary General and recently defeated presidential aspirant Salim Salim. Salim, who is also a former Foreign Minister, had been considered a strong candidate but ultimately finished second to current Foreign Minister Jakaya Kikwete in the ruling CCM party's presidential nominating convention (ref). --------------------------------------------- Party Heavyweights Maneuver Behind the Scenes ---------------------------------------------

3. (C) Salim provided a detailed accounting of the machinations undertaken during the CCM's nominating party convention, leading to Kikwete's nomination. Although much debate and the final vote were public, he said, the real decisions were made in closed-door meetings chaired by President and party chairman Mkapa. Candidates were not allowed in some of these meetings, Salim said, so even though the public events gave the impression of open-ness and transparency, there was in fact considerable opacity to many of the decisions.

4. (C) Salim was particularly incensed over one such closed-door meeting in which his own candidacy was debated by the party's Central Committee. Salim was not allowed into the meeting, but had heard details of the proceedings from one of his supporters. Salim said his candidacy had been attacked by the Zanzibari contingent of the CCM, who complained that Salim was "an Arab," and "insufficiently African" to become president. He claimed that one delegate said that "Salim's skin is not black enough" ever to become president of Tanzania. Salim expressed considerable bitterness over this episode, particularly the fact that Mkapa let it continue and did not try to intervene or rebut these arguments.

5. (C) Salim also told us that in the weeks leading up to the party convention, the CCM leadership had repeatedly said that strong anti-corruption credentials would be a requirement to obtain the party's nomination. During the initial Central Committee meeting however, Mkapa had downplayed corruption as a factor, saying at one point that "nobody's completely clean." When party Vice-chairman John Malacela was unexpectedly eliminated in the first round by the Central Committee, Mkapa could have sent a strong message by using Malacela's dubious record on corruption as a justification for his elimination; instead, Mkapa simply said that Malacela was "too old" and "not electable." According to Salim, this was a clear signal that corruption would not be a determining factor in selection of the nominee, and took the wind out of the sails of the CCM's anti-corruption contingent. ----------------------------------------- Kikwete: Lots of Money, Lots of Promises -----------------------------------------

6. (C) Salim acknowledged that Kikwete had run an energetic and skillful campaign, and deserved to win the nomination. Kikwete had done a particularly good job of traveling throughout the countryside and enlisting the support of youth groups. On the other hand, Salim said, a lot of money had changed hands and a lot of promises had been made by Kikwete in the process, and many such promises would be next to impossible to keep. Once Kikwete takes office and begins making appointments, he said, there will be "a mad scramble" with many disappointed supporters left with nothing. Salim also said - with a certain degree of admiration - that Kikwete had "done a good job" of paying off the press to ensure nothing but a steady stream of favorable press reporting. --------------------------------------------- ---- Karume's Nomination Heightens Tensions Within CCM --------------------------------------------- ----

7. (C) Turning to Zanzibar, Salim admitted that the process for re-nominating current Zanzibari President Karume once again was "not very democratic." Karume faced a very tough challenge from Mohammed Bilal, a protege of former Zanzibari president Salmin Amour; in a free and fair vote in the CCM Central Committee or on the floor of the party convention, Bilal would almost certainly have trounced Karume, according to Salim. Mkapa and Kikwete had both placed "extremely heavy pressure" on Bilal, and in the end he had crumbled and dropped out of the race, handing the nomination to Karume. This could ultimately backfire, Salim said, because many Bilal supporters were now embittered and would find it difficult to support Karume. Although they would be unlikely to support the opposition party CUF, they could well stay at home on election day, thus weakening Karume's vote count.

8. (C) Salim was particularly critical of Karume, terming him a "political lightweight" who had achieved his position only because of his historic name. Salim explained a key Kikwete/Karume nexus: Kikwete had supported Karume's nomination over former president Amour in 2000, which was the critical boost Karume needed to catapult into the Zanzibar presidency. Karume thus was obliged to support Kikwete's candidacy over fellow Zanzibari Salim. According to Salim, Karume's popularity in Zanzibar had steadily waned since 2005, and if a free and fair election were held today, Karume would almost certainly lose to CUF candidate Sharif Seif Hamad. ------------------------ Crisis looms in Zanzibar ------------------------

9. (C) Salim expressed grave concern over the prospects for electoral violence on Zanzibar. Die-hards in the Zanzibari CCM recognize Karume's weakness, and will pull out all the stops to assure his victory, he said. Similarly, the CUF rank and file believes they were robbed of victory in 1995 and 2000, and are vowing never to let this happen again. Both sides will "do everything possible" to win, and each will erupt if it feels it has been cheated at the polls. Salim said that the Zanzibari wings of both parties have "too many hot-heads" who are only concerned about victory, and are not looking at the possible consequences of another questionable election.

10. (C) The next three months will be critical, said Salim, and will above all require strong leadership and statesmanship from Karume. If Karume can reach out to Bilal supporters and bring them back into the fold, this will strengthen his position and make it more likely he can negotiate some sort of power-sharing arrangement with CUF. Conversely, failure to reach out to Bilal will make it even more likely Karume's supporters will resort to intimidation, violence, and fraud to win the election, thus making post-election chaos almost inevitable. Salim reiterated the crucial importance of leadership from Karume, but his skepticism on this front was all too clear. ------- Comment -------

11. (C) Comment: Although Salim's remarks were no doubt influenced to some extent by his disappointment at not capturing the presidential nomination, they ring generally true. In particular, the approaching train wreck in Zanzibar is of growing general concern, and Salim's analysis tracks very closely with ours. We also share his skepticism over President Karume's ability - or inclination - to exert strong leadership and avoid a crisis. We have discussed these concerns with several like-minded diplomatic missions here and are planning a series of meetings with both Karume and Kikwete to ensure they fully understand the consequences of another fraudulent election in Zanzibar, and to encourage them to take action now to calm tensions and avert a crisis. End Comment. OWEN
 
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Wanataka kumpiga Jakaya mabomu nini?mbona kila siku sisi ?au ndio zamu yetu?
 
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Meli (Tanzania yetu) inapigwa na mawimbi mazito kwa kweli, ni Heri Salva na wenzake wangetulia hadi upepo utakapotulia ndo wakanushe haya mambo!
 
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Wanataka kumpiga Jakaya mabomu nini?mbona kila siku sisi ?au ndio zamu yetu?
Mkuu kama wewe ni mzambia na cable za Zambia zipo, kama ni mmalawi vilevile, hata wajerumani wana cables zao!!!!!!
 
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Viewing cable 05DARESSALAAM972, SALIM SALIM SOUNDS OFF ON ELECTIONS, POLITICAL

If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss them with others. See also the FAQs


Understanding cables
Every cable message consists of three parts:
  • The top box shows each cables unique reference number, when and by whom it originally was sent, and what its initial classification was.
  • The middle box contains the header information that is associated with the cable. It includes information about the receiver(s) as well as a general subject.
  • The bottom box presents the body of the cable. The opening can contain a more specific subject, references to other cables (browse by origin to find them) or additional comment. This is followed by the main contents of the cable: a summary, a collection of specific topics and a comment section.
To understand the justification used for the classification of each cable, please use this WikiSource article as reference.

Discussing cables
If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #05DARESSALAAM972.
[TABLE="class: cable"]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]05DARESSALAAM972[/TD]
[TD]2005-05-17 13:28[/TD]
[TD]2011-08-30 01:44[/TD]
[TD]CONFIDENTIAL[/TD]
[TD]Embassy Dar Es Salaam[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 DAR ES SALAAM 000972 SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 5/15/15 TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM TZSUBJECT: SALIM SALIM SOUNDS OFF ON ELECTIONS, POLITICAL MACHINATIONS, PROSPECTS FOR VIOLENCE IN ZANZIBAR REF: DAR ES SALAAM 0908 and previous Classified by Charge d'Affaires Michael S. Owen for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d). 1. (C) Summary: In a wide-ranging two-hour lunch meeting, former OAU Secretary General Salim Salim told us he had failed to capture the CCM presidential nomination because of strong opposition from the Zanzibari faction of the CCM. Salim, who is a Zanzibari of Arab heritage, accused some party members of "reverse racism" because they had considered him "insufficiently African" to become President. Salim acknowledged that Foreign Minister Jakaya Kikwete had run a strong campaign to capture the nomination, but charged that "lots of money" had changed hands and lots of promises had been made, many of which are unlikely to be kept. Salim blasted Zanzibari President Karume as a "lightweight," and said in a free vote he would not even have captured the party's nomination. Mohammed Bilal, who had also been vying for the Zanzibari presidential nomination, had been "heavily pressured" to withdraw, Salim said, but this could backfire in the general election by further weakening Karume's support among CCM party faithful. If a free and fair election were held today, he said, CUF would almost certainly win the Zanzibari presidency. Die-hards in the CCM are fighting to ensure that does not happen, Salim said, and violence during and after the elections in Zanzibar is almost certain unless Karume can exercise strong leadership in the weeks ahead. End Summary. 2. (U) Charge joined the Belgian Ambassador and UK and Canadian High Commissioners for a March 12 lunch meeting with former OAU Secretary General and recently defeated presidential aspirant Salim Salim. Salim, who is also a former Foreign Minister, had been considered a strong candidate but ultimately finished second to current Foreign Minister Jakaya Kikwete in the ruling CCM party's presidential nominating convention (ref). --------------------------------------------- Party Heavyweights Maneuver Behind the Scenes --------------------------------------------- 3. (C) Salim provided a detailed accounting of the machinations undertaken during the CCM's nominating party convention, leading to Kikwete's nomination. Although much debate and the final vote were public, he said, the real decisions were made in closed-door meetings chaired by President and party chairman Mkapa. Candidates were not allowed in some of these meetings, Salim said, so even though the public events gave the impression of open-ness and transparency, there was in fact considerable opacity to many of the decisions. 4. (C) Salim was particularly incensed over one such closed-door meeting in which his own candidacy was debated by the party's Central Committee. Salim was not allowed into the meeting, but had heard details of the proceedings from one of his supporters. Salim said his candidacy had been attacked by the Zanzibari contingent of the CCM, who complained that Salim was "an Arab," and "insufficiently African" to become president. He claimed that one delegate said that "Salim's skin is not black enough" ever to become president of Tanzania. Salim expressed considerable bitterness over this episode, particularly the fact that Mkapa let it continue and did not try to intervene or rebut these arguments. 5. (C) Salim also told us that in the weeks leading up to the party convention, the CCM leadership had repeatedly said that strong anti-corruption credentials would be a requirement to obtain the party's nomination. During the initial Central Committee meeting however, Mkapa had downplayed corruption as a factor, saying at one point that "nobody's completely clean." When party Vice-chairman John Malacela was unexpectedly eliminated in the first round by the Central Committee, Mkapa could have sent a strong message by using Malacela's dubious record on corruption as a justification for his elimination; instead, Mkapa simply said that Malacela was "too old" and "not electable." According to Salim, this was a clear signal that corruption would not be a determining factor in selection of the nominee, and took the wind out of the sails of the CCM's anti-corruption contingent. ----------------------------------------- Kikwete: Lots of Money, Lots of Promises ----------------------------------------- 6. (C) Salim acknowledged that Kikwete had run an energetic and skillful campaign, and deserved to win the nomination. Kikwete had done a particularly good job of traveling throughout the countryside and enlisting the support of youth groups. On the other hand, Salim said, a lot of money had changed hands and a lot of promises had been made by Kikwete in the process, and many such promises would be next to impossible to keep. Once Kikwete takes office and begins making appointments, he said, there will be "a mad scramble" with many disappointed supporters left with nothing. Salim also said - with a certain degree of admiration - that Kikwete had "done a good job" of paying off the press to ensure nothing but a steady stream of favorable press reporting. --------------------------------------------- ---- Karume's Nomination Heightens Tensions Within CCM --------------------------------------------- ---- 7. (C) Turning to Zanzibar, Salim admitted that the process for re-nominating current Zanzibari President Karume once again was "not very democratic." Karume faced a very tough challenge from Mohammed Bilal, a protege of former Zanzibari president Salmin Amour; in a free and fair vote in the CCM Central Committee or on the floor of the party convention, Bilal would almost certainly have trounced Karume, according to Salim. Mkapa and Kikwete had both placed "extremely heavy pressure" on Bilal, and in the end he had crumbled and dropped out of the race, handing the nomination to Karume. This could ultimately backfire, Salim said, because many Bilal supporters were now embittered and would find it difficult to support Karume. Although they would be unlikely to support the opposition party CUF, they could well stay at home on election day, thus weakening Karume's vote count. 8. (C) Salim was particularly critical of Karume, terming him a "political lightweight" who had achieved his position only because of his historic name. Salim explained a key Kikwete/Karume nexus: Kikwete had supported Karume's nomination over former president Amour in 2000, which was the critical boost Karume needed to catapult into the Zanzibar presidency. Karume thus was obliged to support Kikwete's candidacy over fellow Zanzibari Salim. According to Salim, Karume's popularity in Zanzibar had steadily waned since 2005, and if a free and fair election were held today, Karume would almost certainly lose to CUF candidate Sharif Seif Hamad. ------------------------ Crisis looms in Zanzibar ------------------------ 9. (C) Salim expressed grave concern over the prospects for electoral violence on Zanzibar. Die-hards in the Zanzibari CCM recognize Karume's weakness, and will pull out all the stops to assure his victory, he said. Similarly, the CUF rank and file believes they were robbed of victory in 1995 and 2000, and are vowing never to let this happen again. Both sides will "do everything possible" to win, and each will erupt if it feels it has been cheated at the polls. Salim said that the Zanzibari wings of both parties have "too many hot-heads" who are only concerned about victory, and are not looking at the possible consequences of another questionable election. 10. (C) The next three months will be critical, said Salim, and will above all require strong leadership and statesmanship from Karume. If Karume can reach out to Bilal supporters and bring them back into the fold, this will strengthen his position and make it more likely he can negotiate some sort of power-sharing arrangement with CUF. Conversely, failure to reach out to Bilal will make it even more likely Karume's supporters will resort to intimidation, violence, and fraud to win the election, thus making post-election chaos almost inevitable. Salim reiterated the crucial importance of leadership from Karume, but his skepticism on this front was all too clear. ------- Comment ------- 11. (C) Comment: Although Salim's remarks were no doubt influenced to some extent by his disappointment at not capturing the presidential nomination, they ring generally true. In particular, the approaching train wreck in Zanzibar is of growing general concern, and Salim's analysis tracks very closely with ours. We also share his skepticism over President Karume's ability - or inclination - to exert strong leadership and avoid a crisis. We have discussed these concerns with several like-minded diplomatic missions here and are planning a series of meetings with both Karume and Kikwete to ensure they fully understand the consequences of another fraudulent election in Zanzibar, and to encourage them to take action now to calm tensions and avert a crisis. End Comment. OWEN
Hakika kuna mengi yataibuka, nafurahi sana kuona kazi nzuri ya scientist journalism inavyofichua ukweli unaotuhusu.
 
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Mzalendo subiri kwanza salva ajibu mapigo ya Waitara halafu aje ya Umeme halafu aje kwenye hii si anajifanya ana pumzi ya paka kujibu maswala ya upuuzi wao wa ikulu
 
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Mhhhhh patamu hapa. if you are living in a glass house, dont throw stones! aliyemwambia awaite wenzie magamba ilhali naye ni mmoja wao nani????????
 
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Heee mimi sasa simo! ushauri wangu nimesha utoa kwa wahusika. Hapa nilipo nafikiria jinsi Kampeni za 2015 zitakavyokuwa.
 
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kiingereza jamani tuambieni wameandika nini jamani?
Mkuu unaweza kutumia Google Translator.......; Google Translate mimi hii kitu imenitumia sekunde nimecopy na ku-paste na kutoka na hii kitu ingawa sio accurate lakini unapata maana...

Lakini hii ndio best option sababu hakuna mtu ambae atatumia takriban masaa kuweza kutafsiri hii kitu...

Rekodi hii ni dondoo sehemu ya cable ya awali. Nakala kamili ya cable asili haipatikani.
01 SEHEMU SIRI YA 03 DAR ES SALAAM 000,972 SIPDIS EO 12,958: DECL: 5/15/15 Tags: PGOV PREL PHUM TZSUBJECT: Salim Salim sauti OFF katika uchaguzi, siasa, mifumo, matarajio ya vurugu Zanzibar REF: DAR ES SALAAM 0908 na awali Classified na Chargé d'affaires Michael Owen S. kwa sababu 1.4 (b) na (d).

1. (C) Summary: Katika mkutano kote saa mbili ya chakula cha mchana, aliyekuwa Katibu Mkuu wa OAU Salim Salim walituambia walishindwa kukamata urais wa uteuzi CCM kwa sababu ya upinzani mkali kutoka chama kikuu cha upinzani Zanzibar ya CCM. Salim, ambaye ni Mzanzibari wa Kiarabu urithi, mshitakiwa baadhi ya wanachama wa chama cha "ubaguzi wa rangi reverse" kwa sababu wao walimtambua yeye alikuwa "isiyotosheleza ya Afrika" kuwa Rais. Salim alikubali kuwa Waziri Jakaya Kikwete alikuwa na kuendesha kampeni kubwa ya kukamata uteuzi, lakini walidai kuwa "fedha nyingi" alikuwa iliyopita mikono na kura ya ahadi yaliyofikiwa, ambayo mengi ni uwezekano wa kuwekwa. Salim kulia Rais Karume wa Zanzibar kama "lightweight," na kusema katika kura ya bure na hakuwa na alitekwa uteuzi wa chama hicho. Mohammed Bilal, ambaye alikuwa pia wanaogombea kwa ajili ya uteuzi wa rais wa Zanzibar, alikuwa "kushinikizwa sana" kuondoa, Salim alisema, lakini hii unaweza kukwama katika uchaguzi mkuu kwa zaidi kudhoofisha msaada Karume kati ya CCM mwaminifu wa chama. Kama uchaguzi huru na wa haki ilifanyika leo, alisema, CUF bila shaka karibu kushinda urais wa Zanzibar. Die-hards katika CCM ni kupambana na kuhakikisha kuwa haina kutokea, Salim alisema, na vurugu wakati na baada ya uchaguzi wa Zanzibar ni karibu fulani isipokuwa Karume anaweza kuleta uongozi imara katika wiki mbele. Muhtasari mwisho.

2.(U) Charge alijiunga na Balozi wa Ubelgiji na Uingereza na Canada kwa ajili ya mkutano wa Wakuu wa High Machi 12 ya chakula cha mchana na aliyekuwa Katibu Mkuu wa OAU na hivi karibuni kushindwa kugombea urais Salim Salim.Salim, ambaye pia ni Waziri wa zamani, alikuwa kama mgombea mwenye nguvu lakini hatimaye kumaliza wa pili kwa sasa Waziri Jakaya Kikwete katika mkataba wa chama tawala cha CCM wa rais kuteua (ref). --------------------------------------------- Party vigogo maneuver Nyuma Scenes

3 ---------------------------------------------. (C) Salim zinazotolewa uhasibu wa kina wa mifumo zilizotolewa wakati mkataba kuteua CCM chama, na kusababisha uteuzi wa Kikwete. Ingawa mjadala na kupiga kura ya mwisho walikuwa umma, alisema, maamuzi ya kweli yalitolewa katika mikutano ya ndani inayoongozwa na Rais na Mwenyekiti wa chama cha Mkapa. Wagombea hawakuruhusiwa katika baadhi ya mikutano hiyo, Salim alisema, hivyo hata kama matukio ya umma walionyesha hisia ya ness wazi na uwazi, kulikuwa na kwa kweli makubwa opacity na wengi wa maamuzi.

4. (C) Salim ilikuwa hasa incensed juu ya mkutano mmoja kama ya ndani ambapo wagombea wake mwenyewe wa kujadiliwa na Kamati Kuu ya chama. Salim alikuwa haruhusiwi ndani ya mkutano, lakini aliposikia maelezo ya kesi kutoka kwa mmoja wa wafuasi wake. Salim alisema mgombea wake alikuwa kushambuliwa na contingent wa Zanzibar wa CCM, ambao walilalamika kuwa Salim alikuwa "Waarabu," na "isiyotosheleza ya Afrika" kuwa rais. Alidai kuwa mjumbe mmoja alisema kuwa "ngozi Salim si mweusi vya kutosha" milele na kuwa rais wa Tanzania. Salim walionyesha uchungu ya kutosha katika kipindi hiki, hasa ukweli kwamba Mkapa basi ni kuendelea na wala kujaribu kuingilia kati au rebut hoja hizi.

5. (C) Salim pia alituambia kwamba katika wiki kuongoza hadi mkataba wa chama hicho, uongozi wa CCM alikuwa mara kwa mara alisema kuwa nguvu ya kupambana na rushwa sifa itakuwa na umuhimu wa kupata uteuzi wa chama hicho. Wakati wa mkutano wa Kamati Kuu ya awali hata hivyo, Mkapa alikuwa vikali kama sababu ya rushwa, akisema kwa upande mmoja kwamba "hakuna anayeweza safi kabisa." Wakati Makamu Mwenyekiti wa chama Malacela Yohana alikuwa bila kutarajia kuondolewa katika mzunguko wa kwanza na Kamati Kuu, Mkapa inaweza kuwa na ujumbe wenye nguvu kwa kutumia Malacela wa rekodi mbaya ya rushwa kama uhalali wa kuondolewa yake, badala yake, Mkapa alisema kuwa Malacela tu alikuwa "too kale "na" si electable. "Kulingana na Salim, hii ilikuwa ni ishara wazi kuwa rushwa bila kuwa na sababu kuamua katika uteuzi wa mteule, na alichukua upepo katika sails ya askari wa CCM ya kupambana na rushwa. ----------------------------------------- Kikwete: Kura ya Fedha, Kura ya Ahadi -----------------------------------------

6. (C) Salim amekiri kwamba Kikwete alikuwa na kuendesha kampeni juhudi na mjuzi, na alistahili kushinda uteuzi. Kikwete alikuwa amefanya kazi nzuri hasa ya kusafiri katika nchi na kuhusisha msaada wa makundi ya vijana. Kwa upande mwingine, Salim alisema, fedha nyingi alikuwa iliyopita mikono na mengi ya ahadi yamefikiwa na Kikwete katika mchakato, na wengi ahadi hizo itakuwa karibu na haiwezekani kuendelea. Mara baada ya Kikwete ya kuchukua ofisi na kuanza kufanya uteuzi, alisema, kutakuwa na "kinyang'anyiro wazimu" na wafuasi wengi wamepotea kushoto na chochote. Salim alisema pia - kwa kiasi fulani ya Pongezi - Kikwete kwamba alikuwa na "kufanya kazi nzuri" ya kulipa mbali vyombo vya habari kuhakikisha ila mkondo wa kutosha wa taarifa nzuri ya vyombo vya habari. --------------------------------------------- ---- Karume Uteuzi CCM inaongeza msuguano katika --------------------------------------------- ----

7. (C) akamgeukia Zanzibar, Salim alikiri kuwa mchakato wa kuteua re-Rais Karume wa sasa wa Zanzibar kwa mara nyingine tena alikuwa "si sana ya kidemokrasia." Karume wanakabiliwa na changamoto ngumu sana kutoka Mohammed Bilal, kushirikiana a wa zamani wa rais wa Zanzibar Salmin Amour, katika kura huru na wa haki katika Kamati Kuu ya CCM au juu ya sakafu ya mkataba wa chama, Bilal bila shaka karibu na trounced Karume, kulingana Salim . Mkapa na Kikwete wawili walikuwa kuwekwa "shinikizo kubwa sana" juu ya Bilal, na mwisho alikuwa crumbled na imeshuka nje ya jamii, handing uteuzi kwa Karume. Hii inaweza hatimaye kukwama, Salim alisema, kwa sababu wengi walikuwa wafuasi wa Bilal sasa embittered na watapata ugumu kwa msaada wa Karume. Ingawa itakuwa uwezekano wa kusaidia chama cha upinzani cha CUF, wanaweza vizuri kukaa nyumbani siku ya uchaguzi, hivyo kudhoofisha Karume kuhesabu kura.

8. (C) Salim ilikuwa hasa muhimu ya Karume, wanaliona yake "kisiasa lightweight" ambao walikuwa na mafanikio ya nafasi yake kwa sababu tu ya jina lake la kihistoria. Salim ameeleza Kikwete muhimu / Karume uhusiano: Kikwete alikuwa na mkono uteuzi wa Karume juu Amour rais wa zamani mwaka 2000, ambayo ni muhimu kuongeza Karume zinahitajika manati katika urais Zanzibar. Hivyo Karume alilazimika msaada Kikwete juu ya wagombea wenzake wa Zanzibar Salim. Kulingana na Salim, umaarufu wa Zanzibar Karume alikuwa na kasi waned tangu mwaka 2005, na iwapo uchaguzi huru na wa haki ilifanyika leo, Karume bila shaka karibu kushindwa na mgombea wa CUF Seif Sharif Hamad. ------------------------ Crisis looms katika Zanzibar ---------------------- -

9. (C) Salim alionyesha wasiwasi mkubwa juu ya hatma ya ghasia za uchaguzi Zanzibar. Die hards-katika udhaifu wa CCM Zanzibar kutambua Karume, na kujiondoa ataacha wote kuhakikisha ushindi wake, alisema. Vile vile, cheo CUF na faili anaamini walikuwa kuiba ya ushindi katika 1995 na 2000, na ni vowing kamwe kuruhusu hili kutokea tena.Pande zote husika "kufanya kila linalowezekana" kushinda, na kila kuibuka kama anahisi imekuwa cheated katika uchaguzi. Salim alisema kuwa Zanzibar mbawa za pande zote mbili kuwa na "wengi mno vichwa-moto" ambao ni wasiwasi juu ya ushindi tu, na si kuangalia uwezekano wa matokeo ya uchaguzi mwingine mashaka.

10. (C) ya miezi mitatu ijayo itakuwa muhimu, alisema Salim, na juu ya yote yanahitaji uongozi dhabiti na uzalendo na Karume. Kama Karume inaweza kufikia nje kwa wafuasi Bilal na kuwarejesha katika zizi, hii kuimarisha nafasi yake na kufanya hivyo zaidi anaweza kujadili aina fulani ya utaratibu wa kugawana madaraka na CUF. Kinyume chake, kushindwa kufikia Bilal kufanya hata zaidi ya wafuasi wa Karume itakuwa mapumziko kwa vitisho, vurugu, na udanganyifu kushinda uchaguzi, hivyo kufanya machafuko baada ya uchaguzi karibu kuepukika. Salim alielezea umuhimu muhimu ya uongozi kutoka Karume, lakini wasiwasi wake juu ya suala hili ni wazi pia wote. ------- Maoni

11 -------. (C) Maoni: Ingawa Salim hotuba walikuwa na shaka yoyote kusukumwa kwa kiasi fulani kwa tamaa yake si ukamataji uteuzi wa rais, na wao kwa ujumla pete kweli.Hasa, inakaribia treni ikaanguka katika Zanzibar ni ya kuongezeka kwa wasiwasi kwa ujumla, na uchambuzi wa Salim tracks kwa karibu sana na sisi. Sisi pia kushiriki wasiwasi wake juu ya uwezo wa Rais Karume - au kupendelea - exert uongozi imara na kuepuka mgogoro. Tumejadili masuala hayo na misheni kadhaa kama wenye nia ya kidiplomasia hapa na ni mipango ya mfululizo wa mikutano na wote Karume na Kikwete kuhakikisha kuwa kuelewa matokeo ya uchaguzi mwingine ulaghai katika Zanzibar, na kuwahamasisha kuchukua hatua sasa kwa mvutano shwari na kuondokana na mgogoro. Mwisho maoni. Owen
 
Kiranga

Kiranga

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Kiranga

Kiranga

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Wanataka kumpiga Jakaya mabomu nini?mbona kila siku sisi ?au ndio zamu yetu?
Tarehe 30 August 2011 Wikileaks wametoa cables zote zilizokuwa zimebaki, za dunia nzima. Ndiyo maana unaona kuna moto sana sasa.

Siyo Tanzania tu, jana kuna Waziri Mkuu wa jimbo la Uttar Pradesh India kuna cable imesema alituma ndege nzima kwenda Uingereza kumnunulia kandambili. Akakanusha na kusema Assange ana kichaa na serikali ya Australia impeleke hospitali, au kama haiwezi kuna hospitali nzuri jimboni kwake inaweza kumhudumia.

Ona habari hii hapa http://www.globalpost.com/dispatche...b/assange-mayawati-wikileaks-india-corruption

Kwa hiyo si JK tu.
 
Baba Ziro

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Baba Ziro

Baba Ziro

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Ama kweli hawa watu watauana, kumbe kila mtu ndani ya chama ana chuki dhidi ya mwenzie! Ndo maana Bilal kapewa umakamu, da nchi hii bwana kila kitu Dabo cross!
 
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ibange

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ibange

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"Once Kikwete takes office and begins making appointments, he said, there will be "a mad scramble" with many disappointed supporters left with nothing. Salim also said - with a certain degree of admiration - that Kikwete had "done a good job" of paying off the press to ensure nothing but a steady stream of favorable press reporting." --------------------------------------------- Nimeipenda kumbe Salim anaona mbali alijua mapema kwamba Kikwete atakuwa a disappointment
 
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Vakwavwe

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Vakwavwe

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kuna kitu ikulu yetu inamiss hapa! wanatumia nguvu nyingi kuzipinga hizi cables kumbe wenzao hata wamarekani wameshaona kuwa hizi data ni za ukweli na wanachofanya ni kuangalia ni jinsi gani watajinasua na sio kutumia vyombo vya habari kukanusha eti hawa ni wazushi na waongo....hakuna mtu makini anayewasikiliza. haya malalamiko ya salimu yalisemwa hadharani na watu waliyasikia, eti kwa kuwa yametoka kwa Assange wanayakanusha.
......we wish them a quick and well disintergration.......wafe salama.
 
Daniel Anderson

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Daniel Anderson

Daniel Anderson

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Ahsante mkuu. umeponya wengi tu humu.
 
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Rashid mohamed

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R

Rashid mohamed

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Mkuu unaweza kutumia Google Translator.......; <a href="http://translate.google.com/" target="_blank">Google Translate</a> mimi hii kitu imenitumia sekunde nimecopy na ku-paste na kutoka na hii kitu ingawa sio accurate lakini unapata maana...<br />
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Lakini hii ndio best option sababu hakuna mtu ambae atatumia takriban masaa kuweza kutafsiri hii kitu...
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hiiiii!!! Nibora angekuja salim klk mkwele, kwakua alikua mzuri wa sura ndo mana, sikutegemea kua hata ww beni km ungetuachia huyu mzur! Mana ww ndo chanzo cha matatizo tulonayo, lkn maandiko yanasema malipo nihapapa gunian haya jk pambana tuone nasisi waripa kodi wenye dhiki na umaskini wakupindukia,
 
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M

Mkandara

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Hakuna kipya yote haya yalisha zungumzwa sana hapa JF wakati wa uchaguzi wa mwaka 2005. Tuseme tu ya kwamba imedhihirisha ukweli wa habari zinazoandikwa JF..
 

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