Tanzania: TMA Forecasts Win Global Recognition

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kISAIRO

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Nov 1, 2010
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By Alvar Mwakyusa (All Africa.com)

The accuracy of weather forecasts by the Tanzania Meteorological Agency (TMA) during the October-December 2015 rainy season, which was characterised by the El-Niño phenomenon, was 85.8 per cent, far beyond the established global standard of 70 per cent.

"Reviews conducted after that season indicate that our forecasts were correct by 85.8 per cent and this is excellent given the fact that the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) has pegged 70 per cent as accepted standard," the Director General of TMA, Dr Agnes Kijazi, has disclosed.

During the October-December rainfall season known as "Vuli" in Kiswahili, a big chunk of the country received average to above average rains as had been predicted by TMA.

The TMA boss made the revelation during a two-day seminar for journalists from print and electronic media in the lakeside city of Mwanza on the review of the 'Vuli' rains and an outlook for the March-May rainfall season, best known as 'Masika.'
 
kISAIRO said:
By Alvar Mwakyusa (All Africa.com)

The accuracy of weather forecasts by the Tanzania Meteorological Agency (TMA) during the October-December 2015 rainy season, which was characterised by the El-Niño phenomenon, was 85.8 per cent, far beyond the established global standard of 70 per cent.

"Reviews conducted after that season indicate that our forecasts were correct by 85.8 per cent and this is excellent given the fact that the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) has pegged 70 per cent as accepted standard," the Director General of TMA, Dr Agnes Kijazi, has disclosed.

During the October-December rainfall season known as "Vuli" in Kiswahili, a big chunk of the country received average to above average rains as had been predicted by TMA.

The TMA boss made the revelation during a two-day seminar for journalists from print and electronic media in the lakeside city of Mwanza on the review of the 'Vuli' rains and an outlook for the March-May rainfall season, best known as 'Masika.'
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This is good news. But how useful is this information to a hand hoe peasant, fisherfolk in lake Victoria or Indian Ocean, was the excess water "harvested"? I submit that this information is for academics because it does not impact agriculture. It will not be a surprise for parts of the country to have food shortage though they received rains about average during "vuli" or "Masika". Why is does this information fail to inform the peasant? prof. Lumimba asserts "Researchers in agriculture who are good consumers of meteorological information have lost their umbilical cord with the rural farmers" Today it will rain cats and dogs and tomorrow there will scarce water and famine. The situation would be different in Israel
 
gambanjeli said:
This is good news. But how useful is this information to a hand hoe peasant, fisherfolk in lake Victoria or Indian Ocean, was the excess water "harvested"? I submit that this information is for academics because it does not impact agriculture. It will not be a surprise for parts of the country to have food shortage though they received rains about average during "vuli" or "Masika". Why is does this information fail to inform the peasant? prof. Lumimba asserts "Researchers in agriculture who are good consumers of meteorological information have lost their umbilical cord with the rural farmers" Today it will rain cats and dogs and tomorrow there will scarce water and famine. The situation would be different in Israel
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I agree with you but tuna tatizo katika kutumia hizi mambo, lakini pamoja na kuzitumia hiyo forecast imezidi 70 ni mafanikio
 
How were they recognized? ... Award, mentioning by any "global" whatever?
This shit is on steroids....
 
And only Tanzania is nowhere to be seen when i'm watching international television weather forecasts, the likes of CNN, BBC and China's CCTV, our neighbour Kenya is there....where is international recognition on this, TMA!?
 
mtaalamu123 said:
And only Tanzania is nowhere to be seen when i'm watching international television weather forecasts, the likes of CNN, BBC and China's CCTV, our neighbour Kenya is there....where is international recognition on this, TMA!?
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Hata Akili hauna na ndiyo maana unaandika mambo yasiyohusiana! Sasa mambo ya int. Met yanahusiana vp na vituo vya TV?
 
Chief umekosea sio kazi ya TMA kuelekeza hapo ni sawa na kumwambia lecturer chuo kikuu atafute kazi graduate.
Wizara ya kilimo na maofisa wake ndio responsible kwa mkulima. Wizara ya maji na wadau wake wapo responsible kwa water harvesting and management etc

Swali la msingi ni njia gani wanayotumia TMA kuwafikia walaji wa taarifa yao ndio changamoto kubwa.

gambanjeli said:
This is good news. But how useful is this information to a hand hoe peasant, fisherfolk in lake Victoria or Indian Ocean, was the excess water "harvested"? I submit that this information is for academics because it does not impact agriculture. It will not be a surprise for parts of the country to have food shortage though they received rains about average during "vuli" or "Masika". Why is does this information fail to inform the peasant? prof. Lumimba asserts "Researchers in agriculture who are good consumers of meteorological information have lost their umbilical cord with the rural farmers" Today it will rain cats and dogs and tomorrow there will scarce water and famine. The situation would be different in Israel
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Barbarosa said:
Hata Akili hauna na ndiyo maana unaandika mambo yasiyohusiana! Sasa mambo ya int. Met yanahusiana vp na vituo vya TV?
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Napenda sana watu kama nyinyi ujuaji kidogo lakini mnarukia vitu kutaka ku crash, sasa listen closely bro, hizi int broadcasts huwa zinarusha meteorological data za vituo vinavyofikia approved int standards peke yake, ukiona Tz haipo ujue viwango bado ni amateur! na kwa taarifa yako hivi karibuni hawa hawa TMA walisema soon Tz itaanza kuoneshwa huko coz wamejipanga ku upgrade standards kwa ku install vifaa vya kisasa, ipo ivo haihitaji ubishi, sasa naposema ivo na huoni maana ni kwasababu hujui maana na ushamba wako, hehe matatizo mengine ya nchi hii!
 
mtaalamu123 said:
Napenda sana watu kama nyinyi ujuaji kidogo lakini mnarukia vitu kutaka ku crash, sasa listen closely bro, hizi int broadcasts huwa zinarusha meteorological data za vituo vinavyofikia approved int standards peke yake, ukiona Tz haipo ujue viwango bado ni amateur! na kwa taarifa yako hivi karibuni hawa hawa TMA walisema soon Tz itaanza kuoneshwa huko coz wamejipanga ku upgrade standards kwa ku install vifaa vya kisasa, ipo ivo haihitaji ubishi, sasa naposema ivo na huoni maana ni kwasababu hujui maana na ushamba wako, hehe matatizo mengine ya nchi hii!
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World Meteorological Organization haina uhusiano wowote na vituo vya TV!
 
mtaalamu123 said:
TV zinatoa data kutoka kwa hizi meteorological agency, hakuna TV inayofanya weather forecast, ndipo uhusiano unapokuja, hee!
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Unachanganya mambo, Idara ya hali ya hewa TanZania inaongelea ufanisi wao ambapo wameweza kufikia utabiri wa asilimia zaidi ya 85 (85%) ikilinganishwa na asilimia 70% iliyowekwa na WMO hivyo wamevunja rekodi, ni rahisi kihivyo tu na hili halina uhusiano wowote ule na vituo wa TV sijui CNN au Aljazeera bali ni swala la vipimo vilivyowekwa na World Meteorological Organization (WMO) tu!
 
Barbarosa said:
Unachanganya mambo, Idara ya hali ya hewa TanZania inaongelea ufanisi wao ambapo wameweza kufikia utabiri wa asilimia zaidi ya 85 (85%) ikilinganishwa na asilimia 70% iliyowekwa na WMO hivyo wamevunja rekodi, ni rahisi kihivyo tu na hili halina uhusiano wowote ule na vituo wa TV sijui CNN au Aljazeera bali ni swala la vipimo vilivyowekwa na World Meteorological Organization (WMO) tu!
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Nimeielewa sana taarifa, ni step forward, heko kwa hilo, nilichofanya mimi nikutoa rai kwamba sasa wazidishe juhudi tufikie hizo level za international, that's it!
 
mtaalamu123 said:
Napenda sana watu kama nyinyi ujuaji kidogo lakini mnarukia vitu kutaka ku crash, sasa listen closely bro, hizi int broadcasts huwa zinarusha meteorological data za vituo vinavyofikia approved int standards peke yake, ukiona Tz haipo ujue viwango bado ni amateur! na kwa taarifa yako hivi karibuni hawa hawa TMA walisema soon Tz itaanza kuoneshwa huko coz wamejipanga ku upgrade standards kwa ku install vifaa vya kisasa, ipo ivo haihitaji ubishi, sasa naposema ivo na huoni maana ni kwasababu hujui maana na ushamba wako, hehe matatizo mengine ya nchi hii!
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Mkuu umesoma Meteorology?Unajua mambo ya model?Au vifaa gani unavyozungumzia?
 
mtaalamu123 said:
Nimeielewa sana taarifa, ni step forward, heko kwa hilo, nilichofanya mimi nikutoa rai kwamba sasa wazidishe juhudi tufikie hizo level za international, that's it!
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Mkuu unataka International gani tena zaidi ya WMO?Au CNN ndio INternational katika mambo ya Weather?Daah
 
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