President upbeat on economic growth


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Jun 18, 2006
Wanabodi ,

Kwa muda mrefu tumekuuwa tukisikia serikali imepata mikopo toka kwa wafadhili mbali mbali , kitu ninachojiuliza deni letu haswa ni kiasi gani kwa sasa ? na jee hili deni lina impact gani katika maendeleo ya taifa?
2007-12-21 14:49:38
By Guardian Reporter

President Jakaya Kikwete has said the national economy is steadily growing, with solid signs showing that it will continue to become healthy in the coming years.

The President made these assertions on Wednesday at a media gathering where he cited a number of economic indicators.

``If you look at the situation from the premises of economic indicators, the gross domestic product (GDP) growth, inflation, foreign exchange reserves, government budget�you will clearly see that in most indicators, things are going pretty well.

The GDP, he said, was now growing at the leap of 6.2 per cent and foreign exchange reserves have not gone below USD2bn.

The inflation rate is hovering on the single digit marks, and has actually fallen from nine percentage point in October to around 7.3 per cent as of now, he said.

He said the fundamental causes for the fluctuation of commodity prices was not very clear, but he indicated the rising of global oil prices could be the factor.

As regards implementation of the Presidential Economic Empowerment Fund, Kikwete admitted that in some areas, the going had been tough and that some re-organisation was needed to ensure effective disbursement of the remaining 10.5bn/-.

He reiterated that the so called (JK) billions set aside by the government were not intended for middle income traders, but to small and medium enterprises (SMEs).

The creating of a middle class would require interventions mainly by banks so that they can access credit for investment purposes, he stressed.

The funds were channeled through the National Microfinance Bank (NMB) and CRDB banks. He said the main focus of CRDB Bank was savings and credit co-operative societies (Saccos) while NMB has taken care of personal and group loans.

Kikwete said these banks were not found everywhere, and some districts have missed the well intended facility.

``In the subsequent phase, we shall use microfinance institutions like Pride and others, which have a wider network, to issue the remaining 10.5bn/-.

The encouraging thing is that loans` repayment has been quite good, thus allaying fears for long harboured by banks on the ability of petty debtors to service their loans``, he said.

The President was, however, precautionary for those who had expected for gigantic outcomes over the past two years, calling for patience and comprehensive evaluation after five years.
``We cannot complete everything in just two years.

I believe that by 2010, the foundations that we have laid on education, health, water, agriculture etc, there are things that we will clearly show to Tanzanians that we have kept the promise�, he said.

Arguing with statistical evidence, he said his fourth phase government has managed to enhance primary school enrollment up to 97 percent from the previous 95 per cent.

``When we came to power, annual secondary school enrolment was mere 190,000. But as late as last year, 444,000 fresh students were enrolled. University intake stood at 55,000 but this year we have 82,000``, he contended.

In health, our main goal is to prepare a basic health development plan, and once ready, we shall begin implementing it next year.

The target is to have a dispensary within a five kilometre radius from where the people are living, a health centre in each ward, as well as strengthening district and regional hospitals, the President said.

He added that over the past two years, 1,174 long kilometres of tarmac roads were constructed.

In the areas of energy sector, he said his government�s immediate task was to revive Tanzania Electric Supply Company (Tanesco) until it became healthy enough for privatization.

However, he reminded journalists that an earlier decision by his government to allow private operators to invest in electricity generation was very much valid.

``What remains is the finalisation of legal aspects that would allow investors to generate, transmit and distribute electricity. The current law allows the monopoly of Tanesco.

So far private power generating companies are compelled by existing legal framework to sell power to Tanesco.

We want to draft a law that will not bar private power companies to operate freely and compete with Tanesco``, he said.

* SOURCE: Guardian

Comment on this article
Mbona mnatizungua,hivi haya mambo ya umeme wa nchi kuwa na makampuni mengi sijayaonapo ,kuna hatari miwaya ikajazana kama mabango ya matangazo ya biashara ambayo hayana mpangilio ndani tena katikati ya mji, zaidi ya uchafu.
Hata hizo pesa za mabilioni ya JK anazosema waliokopeshwa wameanza kulipa ni uongo mtupu. Tuna wasanii kweli TZ.
Uchumi wa kutazama GDP and GNP.. It will always shows high growth sababu Barrick and TBL produce alot, and our population is not that big.

But let us look on real life, how posible uchumi unakuwa wakati salary rise ilikuwa 5% and inflation is 15%. Huwezi kuwa na uchumi strong wakati inflation ina rise kwa double digit, hii ndio inasababisha mchicha leo fungu shilling 50 kesho ni shilling 100. Sasa kama namba ya wananchi wanaoshindwa kuafford Nazi au Mafuta ya kupikia inaongezeka kila kukicha, then how the economy is improving?

How will economy improve kama Bank Kuu, the centerpoint of economic growth wanafanya decision za kishenzi ambazo hata mwanafunzi wa Azania will do the good job.

JK anacheza politics, all this Maisha Bora and many other nonsense is JUST A BAMPER STICKER. Watanzania they are burning out from injustice in the court system, to their day to day life.

For the past 5 years nauli ya dala dala ime rise for more than 100%, how will you say uchumi una improve? Bei ya Nyama imeongezeka 100% for few years. These are basic needs, sasa kama unadhani uchumi kuongezeka ni kusoma hizo quote za World Bank and IMF then MR President your in deep sheet.

This JK illusion ideas need to stop, let face reality Mr president things are not going too good, you couldn't control price stability, inflation, interest rates, unemployment rates, residual income, and many other economic growth indicators. So, just give us a brake and mind your own damn business, which is abroad trips.
I feel like throw up,
yaani unaweza chambua zile bs alizoandika pale kuanzia statment mpaka statment. Price ya gas imerise kwa what parcantage compare to price stability ya vitu vingine?

Loans does not create middle income family, good economic strategy creat middle icome families. When you have corruption for every sector of your government, then middle class is nightmare.

Bara bara Zimejengwa? wakati trafic Dar es salaam imeongezeka kwa 100% more with in five years, and what plan did he create? Kuongeza ushuru bandarini, and what else? How will people conduct their day to day activities if it take them 2 hours to get to the business centers?

Funding Tanesco does not help, Tanesco is laizy sababu they have no one to compete with. They enjoy free ride.

GDP is numbers, and it have nothing to do with people purchasing power.

Hey someone need to talk about this, i better go take a nap.
Maneno yako kweli tupu lakini jamani tuwe fair kidogo hapa.. Sio sisi tunaompa sifa Mkapa kuwa aliweza kupunguza Inflation na uchumi bora nchini?..wengi wanazikubali data zake lakini pia wamekana kutumia vigezo kama vyako!.
Leo hii inflation kwa JK inaweza onekana vizuri kwa sababu Tsh imekuwa strong kwa dollar kwa miaka miwili imesimama pale alipoiacha Mkapa. Impact yake ktk fedha zetu za madafu inaonekana vizuri zaidi tofauti na Mkapa ambaye alichukua nchi dollar ikiwa Tsh 500 na katuacha kwenye 1100.
Wengi hawalitazami hilo lakini ukweli ni kwamba bei za bidhaa na vyakula vilipanda kichizi baada ya Mwinyi na fedha haipatikani kirahisi.
Taratibu, dollar imeshuka thamani kila mahali duniani. Huu mfano uangalie kwa makini kabla ya kuutumia.
There are cook books and cooked books. The President's books must have been cooked for a very long time. He is quoted as saying: "University intake stood at 55,000 but this year we have 82,000"

What does "intake" mean in this particular presidential mind? It couldn't possibly mean that we take in 82,000 new souls into our universities each year. You cannot arrive at a figure of 82,000 human beings in universities in Tanzania, even if you counted all the students and all the staff.

His Excellency claims credit for bringing the rate of inflation "down from nine percentage point in October to around 7.3 per cent as of now". He conveniently leaves out the fact that he inherited an inflation rate of just 4.5%. His mismanagement quickly hiked that to 10% in October. And, we all know that the rate of inflation is not going down at the moment. Above all, it is not 7.3% now.

The President does not know why we have a high rate of inflation. That is absolutely scary. It is his job to know such matters. How can he manage the economy if he cannot find out such things? Oil prices are not the cause. This is implied in his claim that the rate of inflation is going down. Besides, neighboring economies such as that of Uganda are experiencing shrinking inflation rates while they are subject to the same oil prices.
The president's statement as reported in the guardian appears to be impressive, and is easily convincing for the uninitiated minds in economics of most of us; until you read counter-statements such as the one by Augustine Moshi.

The question I have, where are the opposition parties' statements as a rejoinder to the president's? These wapinzani have to understand that their ruzuku is our hard earned tax money. They should get out of their slumber and start working hard.

Ahsante Augustine Moshi, for such a simple and easy to understand statement.
Najua vizuri kuwa dollar imeshuka duniani lakini yametokea haya miezi sita tu iliyopita. Na kushuka kwa dollar ya US sio sababu ya kuiweka Tsh juu (strong) kama uchumi wetu umeshuka, high interest na mali zetu ni ghali nje.
Bongo kila mwaka mmoja fedha yetu hushuka at least by 10%. Pamoja na kwamba inflation pia huongezeka kwa asilimia hiyo hiyo, kinachotupumbaza sisi ni hizo figure zinazotolewa wakati hata fedha yetu imeshuka thamani vibaya.
Kisha usije fikiria nina kubaliana na JK kuwa uchumi wetu umekuwa isipokuwa nilitaka kusema ama kuuliza toka lini uchumi wetu umekuwa?...
Mabadiliko ya kiuchumi toka Ujamaa kuwa mabepari ndio maendeleo ya kiuchumi yayozungumziwa kila siku. These are changes would happen hata kama rais angekuwa Munishi.
Maneno yako kweli tupu lakini jamani tuwe fair kidogo hapa.. Sio sisi tunaompa sifa Mkapa kuwa aliweza kupunguza Inflation na uchumi bora nchini?..wengi wanazikubali data zake lakini pia wamekana kutumia vigezo kama vyako!.
Leo hii inflation kwa JK inaweza onekana vizuri kwa sababu Tsh imekuwa strong kwa dollar kwa miaka miwili imesimama pale alipoiacha Mkapa. Impact yake ktk fedha zetu za madafu inaonekana vizuri zaidi tofauti na Mkapa ambaye alichukua nchi dollar ikiwa Tsh 500 na katuacha kwenye 1100.
Wengi hawalitazami hilo lakini ukweli ni kwamba bei za bidhaa na vyakula vilipanda kichizi baada ya Mwinyi na fedha haipatikani kirahisi.

Mkandara sio chilingi imegain strength, bali dollar imeloose it streangth for the past 2 years. Shilling kushuka thamani yake kunaweza kutetewa kwa different perceptive, moja ni kwa viwanda vinavyo zalisha inchini, kushuka kwa value ya shilling kunaweza kusababisha viwanda vika export more sababu price zinakuwa cheap abroad, however for Tanzania that is not the case.
Duh, mjomba sijasema shilingi imeshuka hata kidogo isipokuwa nachosema ni kwamba dollar imeshuka. Pili sio kweli kuwa sasa hivi ni miaka miwili, laa kama miezi sita hivi ndio imedondoka zaidi kwani miaka miwili iliyopita ni Euro iliyokuwa ikipanda hali fedha za mataifa mengine ikiwa ni pamoja na hapa Canada tulikuwa na mabadiliko madogo na hata Euro iliweza kutushinda.
Kisha nimesema ya kuwa Tsh yetu imeweza kuwa strong ndio maana nayo haikushuka kwani zipo nchi Dollar imeshuka nazo fedha yao imeshuka vile vile!...Kwa hiyo ikiwa JK kaikuta dollar ikiwa 1100 na leo baada ya mikaka miwili bado tumesimama 1100 kuna nafuu fulani. Tazama nchi zenye uchumi mbaya mbaya hasa kama Zimbabwe utajua nachozungumza!
Kama unafanya mazuri kwa nini ujisifie? Hiyo ni dalili za kushindwa kutimiza wajibu wako na kujaribu kupotosha ukweli.

Je, kama foreign exchange reserves haijapungua chini ya USD2bn ilikuwa kiasi gani alipoingia? Ukichunguza utaona ametafuna at leat the same amount tangu aingie. AIBU HII!
Jamani! ukijilinganisha na mgonjwa lazima utaonekana una hali nzuri. Si vema tukajilinganisha na Zimbabwe.

Naomba mnieleweshe hiyo "university intake" ya 82,000 Mheshimiwa kaipata wapi? Kama kasema kisicho cha kweli hapo, basi kwa nini tuamini mengine aliyoyasema ni ya kweli?
Kimefanyika kipi cha kuongeza deni la Taifa kwa kasi kubwa kiasi hiki!? Kwa maoni yangu ni trips za VDG zitakuwa zimechangia kwa kiasi kikubwa.

Deni la taifa lapaa

na Mwandishi Wetu
Tanzania Daima

DENI la jumla la taifa liliongezeka mwezi Oktoba na kufikia dola za Marekani milioni 6,894 kutoka kiasi cha dola za Marekani milioni 6,453.5 mwezi uliotangulia, ripoti ya hivi karibuni ya Benki Kuu (BoT) inaonyesha.
Kwa mujibu wa ripoti hiyo ya hali ya uchumi iliyowekwa kwenye tovuti ya BoT juzi, hilo ni ongezeko la dola za Marekani milioni 440.5, sawa na asilimia 6.8.

"Ongezeko hilo linatokana na madeni mapya, kubadilika kwa viwango vya ubadilishaji fedha na limbikizo la riba katika madeni ya nje," inasema sehemu ya ripoti hiyo ya BoT.

Ripoti hiyo inabainisha pia kuwa katika deni hilo, asilimia 76.6 ni deni la nje na asilimia 23.4 ni deni la ndani.

Ikifafanua, taarifa hiyo inasema kuwa deni la nje liliongezeka kwa asilimia 6.8 na kufikia dola za Marekani milioni 4,940.4. Katika kiasi hicho, dola milioni 4,010.2 zilikuwa ni deni halisi wakati dola milioni 1,268.2 sawa na asilimia 18.4 ya deni lote, lilitokana na malimbikizo ya riba.

Orodha ya taasisi za serikali zilizo madeni inaonyesha kuwa Serikali Kuu ndiyo inayoongoza kwa kuwa na deni linalofikia dola milioni 3,192.4 sawa na asilimia 79.6 ya deni lote ikifuatiwa na sekta binafsi ambayo inadaiwa dola milioni 647 (asilimia 16.1) na taasisi za umma zinadaiwa dola milioni 170.8 sawa na asilimia 4.3.

Ripoti hiyo inaonyesha kuwa katika mwezi huo, malipo ya madeni ya nje yalifikia dola milioni 3.8. kati ya kiasi hicho, dola milioni 2.2 zilikuwa malipo ya madeni halisi na dola milioni 1.6 zilikuwa ni malipo ya malimbikizo ya riba.

Kuhusu deni la ndani, ripoti hiyo inabainisha kuwa nalo liliongezeka na kufikia sh bilioni 1,885.3 ilipofika mwisho wa Oktoba, 2007 ikilinganishwa na deni la sh bilioni 1,860.8 lililorekodiwa mwezi mmoja kabla.

Katika kiasi hiki, dhamana za serikali zilikuwa ni asilimia 99.6 ya deni lote huku taarifa ikionyesha kuwa mabenki ya biashara ndiyo wakopeshaji wakubwa kwa serikali kwa kuikopesha asilimia 43.7 ya deni lote.

Kuhusu mfumko wa bei, taarifa hiyo inabainisha kuwa ulishuka na kufikia asilimia 7.1 mwezi Oktoba ikilinganishwa na asilimia 8.3 iliyorekodiwa mwezi Septemba.

"Kupungua kwa mfumko wa bei kunatokana na kushuka kwa mfumko wa bei ya vyakula kwa sababu mfumko wa bei ya vitu ambavyo si vyakula uliongezeka.

Katika kipimo cha mwezi, kiwango cha mfumko wa bei kilishuka na kufikia asilimia 0.4 kutoka asilimia 0.6 iliyorekodiwa Septemba.

Mfumko wa bei ya vyakula kwa kipimo cha mwaka ulishuka mwezi Oktoba na kufikia asilimia 8.4 kutoka asilimia 11.4 ilivyokuwa mwishoni mwa mwezi Septemba.

Katika kipindi cha Januari hadi Oktoba, wastani wa mfumko wa bei ulipungua kidogo na kufika asilimia 7 ikilinganisha na asilimia 7.1 iliyorekodiwa katika kipindi kama hicho mwaka uliopita. Hali hiyo ilionekana pia katika wastani wa mfumko wa bei katika kipindi cha miezi 12.

Mfumko wa bei ya vitu ambavyo si chakula kwa kipindi cha mwaka uliongezeka na kufikia asilimia 5.1 mwishoni mwa Oktoba ikilinganishwa na asilimia 4.1 ya Septemba.

Hata hivyo, kwa kipindi cha kati ya Januari na Oktoba, wastani wa mfumko huo wa bei ulikuwa asilimia 7.2, kulinganisha na kiwango cha asilimia 7.9 kilichorekodiwa katika kipindi kama hicho cha mwaka uliotangulia.

Kwa upande a makusanyo ya kodi, ripoti hiyo inaonyesha kuwa Mamlaka ya Mapato Tanzania (TRA) ilivuka lengo la makusanyo kwa kukusanya sh bilioni 262.9 kulinganisha na lengo la kukusanya sh bilioni 254.2.

Taarifa hiyo ya BoT inaeleza kuwa mafanikio hayo yalitokana na TRA kuimarisha mbinu za kukusanya kodi na kufanya ukaguzi maalum katika sekta mbalimbali za kiuchumi ambazo zinalipa kodi nyingi.
Sawa Rais uchumi unakuwa, lakini hali ya uchumi wa taifa utakulazimisha kutoa matoleo mapya ya noti za sh. 20,000.00, sh. 50,000.00 na sh. 100,000.00 ili watanzania waweze kuhimili kishindo cha kukua kwa uchumi ifikapo mwaka wa 2010. Watanzania tunasubiri ongezekeo la umeme kwa asilimia 40%, wakati wowote kuanzia sasa ikiwa ndiyo misingi imara ya uchumi serikali imeweza kujenga kwa kipindi cha uongozi wake wa miaka miwili.
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