Nasa hao!

[1academ]

Hii ni kwa mashabik sugu wa upinzani kenya yaani nasa baby kama mm,na team yote ya mashiraz toka mombasani,wana jubilee povu litawatoka ila hamna tatizo, mwendo ni wa picha tuu

 

[1academ]

 

[1academ]

 

[MK254]

Hehehehe!! Sasa mbona umehema baada ya picha tatu, ama tuendelee kusubiri, sisi hatutokwi na mapovu maana kuna baadhi ya tuhuma ulizotaja ni za kweli kama vile viwanja vya michezo, lakini pia kuna mengi wametimiza hayatajwi na kwa sababu tunayajua inabidi tusubiri siku ya kura tukutane kwa tepe/debe.....

Hadi hapo kila mtu ameshafanya maamuzi, pande zote mbili tupo kwenye point of no return, hakuna propaganda inayoweza kuwabadilisha wanaotarajia kuwapigia Raila/Uhuru kura. Hata sioni haja ya kampeni. Ni kila mmoja wetu tujiandae mapema Agosti 8, panga foleni hata kwa mvua ya radi, hata kama itabidi kunyeshewa na mvua ya mawe....lol

 

[Geza Ulole]

Naomba nikupe ukweli RAO hatoboi mwaka huu na naweza kukupa sababu ambazo kwa juu juu huwezi kuzichukulia serious. Kwa kuanzia asahau Masai vote kitendo cha kumsaliti Lowassa kutoka Chadema chama kilichokuwa na partnership na ODM na kumuunga mkono Magufuli kisa anatoka kanda ya ziwa kimemfanya aonekane si man of principles bali ni mtu wa ukanda ama ukabila. Ikumbukwe Lowassa mbali ya kabila lake kuendana na Wakalenjin alifuata makubaliano ya chama na ikumbukwe Lowassa ni all Masais highest leader na ni kosa kubwa sana RAO alifanya na asahau kura za Umasaini. Sasa hivi watoto wa Ntimama wanaonekana wakichukua ushauri toka kwake yaani Masai vote iende wapi. Ikumbukwe hili kabila linaheshimu sana maamuzi ya viongozi wao.

 

[Geza Ulole]

Na jinsi Magufuli anavyomminya Lowassa indirect touching Masais' welfare itakuwa ujinga wa hali ya juu kumpa rafiki wa Magufuli kura

 

[Daudi Mchambuzi]

Odinga ajiandae kwenda kupimzika Chato kwa jamaa yake.

 

[Iconoclastes]

Naomba nikupe ukweli RAO hatoboi mwaka huu na naweza kukupa sababu ambazo kwa juu juu huwezi kuzichukulia serious. Kwa kuanzia asahau Masai vote kitendo cha kumsaliti Lowassa kutoka Chadema chama kilichokuwa na partnership na ODM na kumuunga mkono Magufuli kisa anatoka kanda ya ziwa kimemfanya aonekane si man of principles bali ni mtu wa ukanda ama ukabila. Ikumbukwe Lowassa mbali ya kabila lake kuendana na Wakalenjin alifuata makubaliano ya chama na ikumbukwe Lowassa ni all Masais highest leader na ni kosa kubwa sana RAO alifanya na asahau kura za Umasaini. Sasa hivi watoto wa Ntimama wanaonekana wakichukua ushauri toka kwake yaani Masai vote iende wapi. Ikumbukwe hili kabila linaheshimu sana maamuzi ya viongozi wao.

Unfortunately, your analysis is wrong. The Nasa Coalition enjoys massive support in Maasaini. However, the Masaais are a minority tribe in Kenya, they are no king- makers.

And the Kenyan politics, the decision of the Kenyan voters cannot be influenced by the political events in Tanzania.

Cc jogi, who argued that Kenyans would refuse to vote for Raila bcos of the Tz govt decision to cart away the street signboard bearing Victor Wanyama's name.

Oh puliiiiz!!!!

 

[jogi]

Unfortunately, your analysis is wrong. The Nasa Coalition enjoys massive support in Maasaini. However, the Masaais are a minority tribe in Kenya, they are no king- makers.

And the Kenyan politics, the decision of the Kenyan voters cannot be influenced by the political events in Tanzania.

Cc jogi, who argued that Kenyans would refuse to vote for Raila bcos of the Tz govt decision to cart away the street signboard bearing Victor Wanyama's name.

Oh puliiiiz!!!!

Maasai mingle with wildebeest all the time, dont expect them to even know totenham.
Simply you are telling us that maasai will choose (not elect) a president for kenyan.
No wonder magufail is raila's role model.
"Dictator"

 

[Geza Ulole]

Unfortunately, your analysis is wrong. The Nasa Coalition enjoys massive support in Maasaini. However, the Masaais are a minority tribe in Kenya, they are no king- makers.

And the Kenyan politics, the decision of the Kenyan voters cannot be influenced by the political events in Tanzania.

Cc jogi, who argued that Kenyans would refuse to vote for Raila bcos of the Tz govt decision to cart away the street signboard bearing Victor Wanyama's name.

Oh puliiiiz!!!!

Minority but their 500,000 means a big deal in a tight race. Yesterday I saw Alai projections 58% Kenyatta to 41% Raila. To me those numbers look realistic. And believe me RAO will lose out of portraying himself to be not a man of principles but desperation.

As far as Jubilee is concerned they did a lot of blunders to an extent if he would have keept his focus n composure he would have won them easy. Magufuli will be that bad factor to taint his chances to state house.

 

[Iconoclastes]

Maasai mingle with wildebeest all the time, dont expect them to even know totenham.
Simply you are telling us that maasai will choose (not elect) a president for kenyan.
No wonder magufail is raila's role model.
"Dictator"

That is a very unfair characterization of the Masaai people. The 21C Masaais are mordern and politically concious.

 

[1academ]

Siasa zetu ni za kikabila so nitatoa ka line up ka makadirio yetu ya 10 million strong
60% of Nairobi will vote NASA
98% of Kisumu will of course vote NASA
75% of Coast will vote NASA
90% of Western will vote NASA
95% of Kamba land will definitely vote NASA
40% of Rift Valley will vote NASA {And this is huge considering this is one of the TWO jubilee strong holds}

The Maa, Boranas, Orias will vote NASA overwhelmingly

Agosti tunamuapisha raila na baadaye tushiriki balimi baridiiii

NASA HAWA

 

[Yodoki II]

CHADEMA eti wanamuunga mkono Uhuru kisa Raila ni rafiki wa Magufuli, huu ni ujinga na ni kutia aibu taifu letu. Hawa wawili ni friends toka nyuma sana na siasa za Kenya tofauti sana na Bongo. Tuwaache wafanye maamuzi, tusiwe wapumbavu kiasi huko.

Isitoshe Uhuru ndiye KANU.

 

[Iconoclastes]

Minority but their 500,000 means a big deal in a tight race. Yesterday I saw Alai projections 58% Kenyatta to 41% Raila. To me those numbers look realistic. And believe me RAO will lose out of portraying himself to be not a man of principles but desperation.

As far as Jubilee is concerned they did a lot of blunders to an extent if he would have keept his focus n composure he would have won them easy. Magufuli will be that bad factor to taint his chances to state house.

That is assuming that all of the 500k masaais have voters card, remember u have included the underages and some people within the community who will not be able to vote for some reasons in that number.

I agree that Raila might not win, I dont want him to win for some reason. But all I was saying is that it wont be bcos of the events in Tanzania that would influence the political tide in Kenya.

It's been more than a year now since Raila decided to back Magu instead of Lowassa, no indication yet that the Massais were incensed by that decision. His party still went ahead to make big wins in the by- elections conducted in the Masai region.

 

[mwathadan]

Siasa zetu ni za kikabila so nitatoa ka line up ka makadirio yetu ya 10 million strong
60% of Nairobi will vote NASA
98% of Kisumu will of course vote NASA
75% of Coast will vote NASA
90% of Western will vote NASA
95% of Kamba land will definitely vote NASA
40% of Rift Valley will vote NASA {And this is huge considering this is one of the TWO jubilee strong holds}

The Maa, Boranas, Orias will vote NASA overwhelmingly

Agosti tunamuapisha raila na baadaye tushiriki balimi baridiiii View attachment 531383

NASA HAWA

This election may be decided by turnout... I think it's 50/50

 

[Geza Ulole]

That is assuming that all of the 500k masaais have voters card, remember u have included the underages and some people within the community who will not be able to vote for some reasons in that number.

I agree that Raila might not win, I dont want him to win for some reason. But all I was saying is that it wont be bcos of the events in Tanzania that would influence the political tide in Kenya.

It's been more than a year now since Raila decided to back Magu instead of Lowassa, no indication yet that the Massais were incensed by that decision. His party still went ahead to make big wins in the by- elections conducted in the Masai region.

but i explain to u that's the reality and believe me lowassa is very respected by his trible!

 

[Geza Ulole]

Siasa zetu ni za kikabila so nitatoa ka line up ka makadirio yetu ya 10 million strong
60% of Nairobi will vote NASA
98% of Kisumu will of course vote NASA
75% of Coast will vote NASA
90% of Western will vote NASA
95% of Kamba land will definitely vote NASA
40% of Rift Valley will vote NASA {And this is huge considering this is one of the TWO jubilee strong holds}

The Maa, Boranas, Orias will vote NASA overwhelmingly

Agosti tunamuapisha raila na baadaye tushiriki balimi baridiiii View attachment 531383

NASA HAWA

More realistic numbers

If all factors hold constant TYRANNY OF RESULTS ON 8TH, 8, 2017.

Kiambu - registered votes 1,173,594
Votes cast 1,168,511
Jubilee -1,051,622
Nasa-110,341
Others-5,379
Rest-spoilt votes

Nakuru - registered votes 948,668
Votes cast- 945,259
Jubilee -871,135
Nasa- 69,233
Others-4,211
Rest-spoilt votes

Meru - registered votes 712,378
Votes cast- 709,321
Jubilee- 684,729
Nasa-21,354
Others-2,122
Rest-spoilt votes

Murang'a -registered votes 590,775
Votes cast- 589,769
Jubilee -578,379
Nasa-5,873
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes

Nyeri -registered votes 460,806
Votes cast- 459,673
Jubilee -450,653
Nasa-5,388
Others -2,854
Rest-spoilt votes

Uasin Gishu - registered votes 451,485
Votes cast- 450,977
Jubilee - 439,958
Nasa-6,378
Others- 2,543
Rest-spoilt votes

Kericho - registered votes 379,815
Votes cast- 379,513
Jubilee- 368,726
Nasa-5,766
Others -3,011
Rest-spoilt votes

Kirinyaga - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast- 314,928
Jubilee - 305,897
Nasa - 6,122
Others-1,943
Rest-spoilt votes

Nandi - registered votes 349,340
Votes cast- 348,988
Jubilee -345,338
Nasa-2,097
Others-1,259
Rest-spoilt votes

Nyandarua -registered votes 336,322
Votes cast- 334,157
Jubilee -330,997
Nasa-2,567
Others -1,824
Rest-spoilt votes

Embu - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast-314,111
Jubilee -303,143
Nasa- 7,059
Others-3,112
Rest-spoilt votes

Laikipia -registered votes 239,497
Votes cast-238,113
Jubilee-209,978
Nasa-25,765
Others -3,456
Rest-spoilt votes

Baringo-registered votes 227,918
Votes cast-193,876
Jubilee -188,974
Nasa-1,654
Other-2,534
Rest-spoilt votes

Tharaka - registered votes 216,522
Votes cast- 205,936
Jubilee -203,998
Nasa-598
Others - 873
Rest-spoilt votes

Pokot -registered votes 178,989
Votes cast-167,544
Jubilee -127,547
Nasa-38,765
Others -3,959
Rest-spoilt votes

Marakwet - registered votes 178,975
Votes cast-175,876
Jubilee -150,152
Nasa-20,971
Others - 3,743
Rest-spoilt votes

Mandera - registered votes 168,478
Votes cast -160,978
Jubilee -156,727
Nasa-576
Others -3,972
Rest-spoilt votes

Isiolo -registered votes 72,548
Votes cast -68,973
Jubilee -59,973
Nasa-2,874
Others -4,751
Rest-spoilt votes

Nairobi -registered votes 2,304,386
Votes cast- 2,298,179
Jubilee - 1,432,657
Nasa-854,764
Others -1,098
Rest-spoilt votes

Kajiado - registered votes 409,266
Votes cast -405,659
Jubilee -278,998
Nasa-120,754
Others-4,979
Rest-spoilt votes

Garissa - registered votes 162,486
Votes cast -161,972
Jubilee - 130,586
Nasa- 24,598
0thers-6,008
Rest-spoilt votes

Wajir - registered votes 155,916
Votes cast-150,099
Jubilee -120,077
Nasa-23,326
Others -6,967
Rest-spoilt votes

Marsabit - registered votes 143,541
Votes cast- 141,958
Jubilee -111,845
Nasa-20,749
Others -8,123
Rest-spoilt votes

Samburu - registered votes 79,477
Votes cast- 77,922
Jubilee -55,978
Nasa-20,741
Others -1,179
Rest-spoilt votes

Bomet - registered votes 325,606
Votes cast- 323,995
Jubilee -313,745
Nasa -8,975
Others -1,097
Rest-spoilt votes

Lamu - registered votes 70,224
Votes cast - 67,978
Jubilee-43,098
Nasa -23,321
Others -1,075
Rest-spoilt votes

Nzoia - registered votes 339,832
Votes cast -337,341
Jubilee -293,579
Nasa-43,873
Others -997
Rest-spoilt votes

Kakamega - registered votes 746,877
Votes cast 694,043
Jubilee -141,098
Nasa-540,789
Others-5,789
Rest-spoilt votes

Machakos - registered votes 627,168
Votes cast - 615,754
Jubilee -155,783
Nasa-453,856
Others -7,584
Rest-spoilt votes

Mombasa - registered votes 596,485
Votes cast - 557,893
Jubilee - 173,989
Nasa-379,834
Other-3,548
Rest-spoilt votes

Bungoma - registered votes 559,897
Votes cast -537,723
Jubilee -35,732
Nasa-498,644
Others -2,078
Rest-spoilt votes

Kisumu - registered votes 548,868
Votes cast -503,548
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa- 501,978
Others -798
Rest-spoilt votes

Kilifi - registered votes 510,484
Votes cast -498,749
Jubilee -99,589
Nasa-395,654
Others-2,784
Rest-spoilt votes

Kitui - registered votes 477,655
Votes cast -437,987
Jubilee -57,853
Nasa-337,534
Others -1,073
Rest-spoilt votes

Homa Bay - registered votes 476,150
Votes cast 445,754
Jubilee -1,098
Nasa-443,967
Others -523
Rest-spoilt votes

Siaya - registered votes 447,745
Votes cast 439,876
Jubilee -998
Nasa-438,365
Others-432
Rest-spoilt votes

Makueni - registered votes 421,180
Votes cast 415,538
Jubilee -49,743
Nasa-364,653
Others -1,298
Rest-spoilt votes

Migori - registered votes 388,967
Votes cast 354,794
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa -352,989
Others -607
Rest-spoilt votes

Busia - registered votes 347,911
Votes cast -328,798
Jubilee -18,459
Nasa -309,575
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes

Kwale - registered votes 282,436
Votes cast 268,953
Jubilee -117,975
Nasa-151,754
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes

Vihiga - registered votes 267,481
Votes cast -255,654
Jubilee -65,476
Nasa-189,644
Others-1,098
Rest-spoilt votes

Taita - registered votes 155,904
Votes cast - 145,786
Jubilee -35,567
Nasa-107,754
Others -2,007
Rest-spoilt votes

Tana River - registered votes 178, 189
Votes cast- 254,543
Jubilee -97,154
Nasa-150,175
Others -3,564
Rest-spoilt votes

Narok - registered votes 347, 427
Votes cast - 343,997
Jubilee -239,654
Nasa-101,435
Others -2,108
Rest-spoilt votes

Nyamira - registered votes 279,685
Votes cast 253,648
Jubilee -65,647
Nasa-183,986
Others -3,654
Rest-spoilt votes

Turkana - registered votes 188,617
Votes cast -173,654
Jubilee -60,754
Nasa-124,653
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes

Kisii - registered votes 544,753
Votes cast -533,579
Jubilee -98,537
Nasa-432,644
Others -2,089
Rest-spoilt votes

Total
Jubilee:- 11,225,601
-58.183% +/- 2%

Nasa:-7,936,366
- 41.133% +/-2

Others:-132,386
-0.686% +/-0.2%

Spoilt volts:- 0.008% +/- 0.002%

WINNER 8TH,8,2017
(JUBILEE PARTY-UHURUTO)

The above projection is relative to change with change in some other indicators.
NUMBERS DON'T LIE

 

[Iconoclastes]

but i explain to u that's the reality and believe me lowassa is very respected by his trible!

The reality?

Okay, let me tell what is the reality. Kenyan Maasais had very high regard for Ole Ntimama,who was a long political buddy of Raila' s. Till his death last year, he was pro Raila.
The sure way of bagging the Masaai votes was by getting the backing of Ntimama.

 

[Geza Ulole]

The reality?

Okay, let me tell what is the reality. Kenyan Maasais had very high regard for Ole Ntimama,who was a long political buddy of Raila' s. Till his death last year, he was pro Raila.
The sure way of bagging the Masaai votes was by getting the backing of Ntimama.

Yeas Ole Ntimama was at one time on RAO side but remember that didn't last till end and Ole Ntimama respected Lowassa as a senior paramount leader! A reason he frequented his home in Monduli before election.

unajua maana ya hiyo dress aliyovaa Lowassa na fimbo?

 

[Geza Ulole]

This was 2015 towards Tanzania's general election

This was in April 27, 13 MPs from Kenya were in Monduli, strategizing...