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WikiLeaks Revelations and the Zim Politics

Discussion in 'International Forum' started by Nyambala, Sep 9, 2011.

  1. Nyambala

    Nyambala JF-Expert Member

    #1
    Sep 9, 2011
    Joined: Oct 10, 2007
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    WikiLeaks Revelations and the Zim Politics


    06/09/2011 10:42:00 By Nkosana Dlamini,

    THE latest release of the US diplomatic cables from the whistle-blower
    WikiLeaks is the material that would leave script writers of soaps licking
    their lower lips.

    But even in the creative world of soap operas, the critical viewer would
    chide the author for being rather too wild with their imaginations.

    Details of very senior Zanu (PF) officials, more-so, those purportedly close
    to President Robert Mugabe, clandestinely meeting a sworn enemy to the party
    like the American ambassador to Zimbabwe and pouring out on the party's top
    secrets are mouth watering and just too good to be true.

    While the authenticity of these meetings and details can be debate for
    another day, what would be more worrisome to President Mugabe especially,
    are the mention of names of his deputies, one of them Joice Mujuru, revered
    as a heroin and child of unquestionable loyalty to the revolutionary party.

    Mugabe's would also not have sleep to hear that his most trusted banker
    Gideon Gono supped with the devil, even going to the extent of gloating over
    prospects of his "impending" death after revealing his medical status to an
    enemy that longs for all the misfortunes to befall him.

    Mugabe's failing health has been jealously guarded by Zanu (PF).

    Mugabe would also wonder how his younger wife Grace went to the extent of
    telling central bank governor that he was now old and senile, and how blue
    eyed boy, Youth and Indigenisation Saviour Kasukuwere would tell an enemy
    that he (Kasukuwere) wished him to step down.

    Perhaps after taking a good laugh about the evidently waning fortunes of his
    political nemesis, Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai on the other hand, would
    also cool down to some deep, meditative thinking over his own circumstances.

    Just how could some of his most trusted buddies like Nelson Chamisa and
    Obert Gutu see through him, casting aspersions on his leadership qualities?

    It is now apparent that Mugabe and Tsvangirai, the two most powerful players
    on the country's political scene and the main focus from the latest batch of
    cables, now walk a tight rope.

    They do not know whether to immediately purge their masked allies or allow
    political expediency to prevail at least up to next year's make or break
    elections, which they are both contesting.

    Also going to the next polls with people who have literally sold them out is
    another hard choice for them.

    But should they flex their muscles and purge "sell outs" from their parties,
    what guarantees are there that those who shall remain close to them would
    not find themselves in the next batch of cable releases?

    Observers say the revelations are more likely to dent internal party
    politics as opposed to affecting the inter-party relationship of the
    inclusive government where parties have been working on a premise of
    mistrust and mutual contempt for each other.

    Brian Sibanda, a Harare businessman, says a party facing electoral defeat
    like Zanu (PF) requires a coherent system where all individuals connected to
    its survival are speaking with one voice.

    "The divisive voices coming from within the intra-party politics of Zanu
    (PF) are not only unprecedented but very, very dangerous as they tend to
    alienate the President from his predictable constituency," he says.

    "They also tend to create deep seated divisions to the point that the
    President is now so confused. He can no longer make a distinction between
    his friends and foes."

    Timothy Mbaimbai, another Harare resident says the anguish is not limited to
    Mugabe and Tsvangirai but also to those implicated in the cables who do not
    know whether they should seek audiences with their leaders and absolve
    themselves from the "lies" or simply keep quiet and observe where the wind
    blows.

    "It is most worrying when you even hear some powerful voices from the
    (military) Generals shouting down their commander," says Mbaimbai, referring
    to the two serving army Generals who allegedly labelled incumbent army chief
    Constantine Chiwenga as "a political General".

    "A coherent military setup does not have dissenting voices. In military
    language, a dissenting voice is mutiny at best especially if you are talking
    to a sworn enemy under the cover of darkness denigrating your commander."

    Some say the revelations would poison relationships and fan more suspicions
    within the parties. They view this as more damaging to Zanu (PF) than MDC-T
    because Zanu (PF) has lot of internal fissures.

    "For Tsvangirai, they only expose his leadership weaknesses something that
    has already been in the public domain and not the scheming around him," says
    a political analysts who did not want to be named.

    "It's rather too dangerous with Mugabe who does not know anymore what the
    right hand is thinking."

    Charles Mangongera, a political analyst, sees a worse off scenario after
    these revelations.

    "There would be a huge fallout," he says, "Trust has definitely been broken
    and it will have long term political implications for both parties. It will
    change a lot of relationships.

    "People who were considered for certain positions within the political
    parties would no longer get them. Moreover, Mugabe does not countenance any
    kind of contempt or criticism. All those who are seen as being critical of
    his leadership and status would face the consequences."

    Trevor Maisiri , another political analyst, says while Mugabe and Tsvangirai
    may be itching to punish their treacherous allies, this may not happen now
    but in the medium to long term because both are still trying to grapple with
    other pressures.

    "A leader like President Mugabe is still facing pressure from both in and
    outside and may not want to make far reaching decisions immediately," he
    says.

    "The revelations also render moribund, the Zanu (PF) trump card strategy of
    casting the MDC is a western sponsored party because his own inner circle
    has been unmasked. Mugabe is shocked and feels betrayed. He is wondering how
    his party has been so infiltrated by the Americans because it seems everyone
    in the party has sold out."

    For MDC, says Maisiri, the revelations seem to impound the fact that
    Tsvangirai's leadership is being questioned and this may lead to
    factionalism.

    But all said and done, it is American diplomacy that would be the biggest
    loser in this situation, some say.

    "No one would want to be scene hobnobbing with the American ambassadors
    again because people don't trust this would be in confidence anymore," says
    Sibanda. - Radio VOP

    My Take:

    Haya kwa wale spin masters wanaouliza kwamba hizo cables why now?????????? Just to let u know that kila mahali kwa cables zao na worries zao.
     
  2. JOYCE PAUL

    JOYCE PAUL JF-Expert Member

    #2
    Sep 9, 2011
    Joined: Jan 8, 2010
    Messages: 1,004
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    kweli kila taifa na interest zake kwanza mbele..mugabe alikuwa hatoki midomoni kwa waandishi wa cnn na bbc eti ni evil man sasa hivi wamemweka tsavangarai wamekaa kimya mh hatari global politics.napo wangemfanyia kama gadafi sema wameona amekwisha anza kuumwa sijui ndo maana wamemstahi.....?
     
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