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The Iran Israel War - How It Will Begin

Discussion in 'International Forum' started by rosemarie, Sep 27, 2012.

  1. rosemarie

    rosemarie JF-Expert Member

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    Sep 27, 2012
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    I have served as a consultant to three very high tech aerospace firms. My specialty is conceptualizing advanced warfare especially as it relates to new cutting edge advanced weapon systems. What I see unfolding with a war on Iran is the most frightening set of circumstances I have ever seen; and I have been involved in advanced theoretical weaponry strategy and design for over 20 years.

    Sometime in the weeks to months ahead, there will be a war launched against Iran. The war may be started by Israel, or by the United States, or by a NATO/EU/US embargo, or by some 'false flag' attack. What matters is that it will begin; and where it will take the world.

    Regardless if the war begins with a limited number of air strikes against Iranian military and nuclear targets, or if an all-out several thousand target attack begins from day one the probabilities of the war becoming a major regional war within 48 hours are 90% or higher.

    The Iranians will simply not allow Israeli and/or American military forces to attack its territory without a major response. Any significant counter-attack on Israel and/or American regional bases will trigger a much greater counter-response.

    The Iranians have equipped and paid for, and trained, a massive unguided rocket and guided missile force in Lebanon (the largest such force in human history). These missiles are in-place as a MAD force (a MAD ~ mutually assured destruction ~ force is one that is a doomsday force; established to prevent the use of overwhelming military force by allowing a return "punch" of overwhelming military destructive force upon one's enemy). The total number of missiles and rockets in Lebanon are variously estimated at between 40,000 and 110,000. While many are unguided Katyusha rockets, many are longer ranged guided missiles. All are operated by Hezbollah Special Forces launch teams.

    The Hezbollah Special Forces are in-effect a highly trained and well-equipped Iranian commando force of at least a Brigade in size. They man and protect a large number of mostly unguided and rather crude rockets, generally Katyusha 122mm artillery rockets with a 19 mile/30km range and capable of delivering approximately 66 pounds/30kg of warheads. Additionally, Hezbollah are known to possess a considerable number of more advanced and longer range missiles. During the 2006 war Hezbollah fired approximately 4,000 rockets (95% of which were Katyshas) all utilizing only "dumb" high explosive warheads. Some Iranian build and supplied Fajr-3 and Ra'ad 1 liquid-fueled missiles were also fired. It is believed that the larger and longer range missiles are directly under the control of Syrian and Iranian officers.

    The combination of short to medium range rockets and guided missiles in Lebanon, and the longer range guided missiles in Syria, the smaller number of rockets and missiles in the West Bank and Gaza, and the longer range guided missiles in Iran present a massive throw weight of warheads aimed at Israel.

    The 2006 Israeli-Hezbollah War (called the Second Lebanon War in Israel) was an attempt by Israel at eliminating the MAD counter-force in Lebanon. It was an attempt that failed. The Syrians had purchased (and supplied to Hezbollah) a large number of very nasty, relatively low cost Russian AT-14 Kornet solid fuel anti-tank guided missiles (ATGM) and the Iranian trained Hezbollah commandos dug in massive numbers of concrete bunkers and firing positions. After over 50 Merkava main battle tanks were hit, and the high tech American made warplanes and pinpoint weapons proved ineffective, the handwriting was on the wall. Either use neutron bombs or lose a large number of Israeli solders to remove the Hezbollah threat; or declare peace and walk away for the time being ~ the Israelis chose the latter.

    It now appears that Israel has given up on the idea of a ground assault to remove the many rocket and missile launchers in Lebanon. A senior Israeli general has resigned with the complaint that the Army is not training sufficiently to fight in Lebanon. The alternative is the use of FAE (fuel air explosive) technology weapons and neutron bombs (a type of nuclear weapon that produces a higher short term radiological output and less blast output than normal nuclear weapons).

    Any use of such WMD by the Israeli Army on the Hezbollah forces in Lebanon will likely automatically trigger the use of WMD warheads on whatever rockets/missiles remain operational (if their use has not already been authorized due to the nature and scope of Israeli and/or American attacks on Iran).

    The bottom line of this is that Israel will face a truly massive number of rockets and missiles from Lebanon with radiological, chemical, biological and FAE weapons of mass destruction warheads. Additionally, a sizable number of such weapons/warheads will be fired from Gaza and the West Bank. The Syrians will be using larger more accurate guided missiles to shower WMD upon Israel as will the Iranians. To counter this, the Israelis will be using their Green Pine Radar system and a combination of Israeli and American anti-missile missiles. They will have good success in knocking down many incoming missiles but the sheer number of incoming weapons will totally overload all defensive measures.

    Large parts of Israel will be contaminated with radiation with extremely long half-lives (many tens of thousands of years in some cases), with a mix of chemical, FAE, and biological nightmares thrown in for good measure. Total deaths will amount to one-third to one-half of the Israeli population with a large additional number being injured.

    The Israeli response will be the nuclear annihilation of Syria, Iran, and parts of Lebanon with many tens of millions killed. Expect to see every city of any size destroyed. There will be insufficient people left in Syria, Iran, and large parts of Lebanon to even bury the dead. Radiation will spread around the world from the nuclear bombs.

    Iranian sleeper teams in North America and western Europe will begin to "seed" the populations of these areas with a number (perhaps in the several dozens) of different man made killer viruses. People in movie theaters, churches, synagogues, shopping malls, subway stations, airports, etc., will be exposed without anyone knowing it at the time, to these advanced biowar viruses. About nine to ten days later the computer reporting systems in the western countries will begin to report back strange illnesses. That will trigger a host of measures to contain the advanced biowar viruses but it will simply be too late to prevent a massive outbreak of horrific illnesses. International travel and trade will effectively stop. People will be ordered to stay home from work and school with only critical job holders being allowed on the streets. Hospitals will be overcome with sick and dying people of all ages. The medical community will be among the first to die off. Where temporary hospitals are established in school gyms and other areas, the cross infection of several different genetically engineered viruses will ensure 100% morality of everyone in the temporary hospitals.

    In the event that the neo-con nations have sought to expand the Georgia war by new attacks on Russian forces or by creating some naval incident in the Black Sea the probabilities of an quick expansion into a all-out Third World War involving Russian and NATO nuclear weapons will be at approximately 50%. Even without a global total war being initiated, Russia is apt to "sweep" the Black Sea of NATO ships with considerable loss of life on both sides.

    The world will be in the worst economic depression in history as global trade will be halted for at least several months due to fears of the spread of the various advanced biowar viruses. If Israel releases the Arab specific designer advanced biowar viruses, that many claim she has, the Saudis are apt to fire their Chinese IRBMs (intermediate range ballistic missiles) and send their very well equipped air force against Israel with the small number of nuclear weapons that they possess (they have funded the Pakistani nuclear weapon program and have several Pakistani made nuclear devices). Of course, what is left of the Israeli forces will respond with additional nuclear attacks, this time on Saudi Arabia and other Arab nations for good measure.

    In North America and western Europe the total number of civilians, after two months of advanced biowar illnesses, is apt to be at least a third of the population ~ a total death count of well over 200 million persons. Despite the best efforts of all nations, the man engineered super killer mutant viruses will spread throughout the world causing total numbers of perhaps a billion or more to die.

    The after effect of all of this may well lead to even more war as the non-neo-con nations will be so incensed at the massive lost of life of their citizens that total global war may be unstoppable.

    Stirling
     
  2. rosemarie

    rosemarie JF-Expert Member

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    Sep 27, 2012
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    ukisoma kwa utulivu utajua kuna hatari kubwa inakuja
     
  3. yuppie boy

    yuppie boy JF-Expert Member

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    Sep 27, 2012
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    Duh hii kweli ni hatari.
     
  4. MaxShimba

    MaxShimba JF-Expert Member

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    Sep 28, 2012
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    [​IMG]

    Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel shows an illustration as he describes his concerns over Iran's nuclear ambitions during his address to the 67th session of the United Nations General Assembly at U.N. headquarters Thursday, Sept. 27, 2012.(AP Photo/Richard Drew)
     
  5. chash

    chash JF-Expert Member

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    Sep 28, 2012
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    Fact: Destroy before you are destroyed. Israel is wasting time. If Iran succeeds with the bomb Israel is finished and terrorists will definitely obtain nuclear weapons and the world will be held at ransom by mad people. Imagine Al shabab with nuclear. Imagine those who blew up the emabassy in Dar es salaam and Nairobi, who want always to kill maximum people. Israel, Strike now.Today. We will be praying for you and kama ni mbaya, iwe mbaya. Do not wait for America, they will come later after the elections.
     
  6. M

    M-Joka JF-Expert Member

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    Sep 28, 2012
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    Wendawazimu fani nyingi
     
  7. M

    M-Joka JF-Expert Member

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    The same story of Colin Powell and Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction before the same audience. Liars!!! liars!!! and stinking liars!!!. Does anyone remember how did it turn up to be??? I think majority of people in the West and the Americans are amnesic or something??? It stinks in this forum as if there are some in the forum too. Wake up!!! people!!!
     
  8. Mracho Ngongoti

    Mracho Ngongoti Member

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    Sep 28, 2012
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    Wale wale mawakala wa shetani wako kazini hawalali.!
     
  9. Ruge Opinion

    Ruge Opinion JF-Expert Member

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    Israel is a warmonger. It has a huge arsenal of nuclear weapons but it does not want others to have them. It is strange how Western countries are subservient to Israel. If it says you must go to war the US and allies will go to war. Iran has never invaded any country. In fact it was invaded by Saddam Hussein in the 1980s with US, Israel and the West's support. It fought for eight years to defend itself. We know what happened to Saddam when he failed to do the job. Iran has every reason to have the 'bomb' for self defence. Nevertheless, there is no evidence that Iran is building nuclear weapons. It is the same baseless allegations as they did with Saddam's "Weapons of Mass Destruction".
     
  10. TZ biashara

    TZ biashara JF-Expert Member

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    Nimeisoma kwa umakini na ukweli ni kwamba inatisha au niseme hatari inanyemelea.Na hatari hii itasababishwa na wachache ambao wanajichukulia maamuzi ili hali kwamba dunia hii ni yakwao kwasababu ya kujiona wananguvu na bila kujali kuteketea au kuangamiza dunia.Je wakishaiangamiza dunia watapata faida gani?Je wananchi popote pale walipo bado tunawaamini hawa viongozi wenye itikadi za vita tokea enzi za mababu zao?Kiukweli ni kwamba ingekuwa hawakupewa upenyo wa kuongoza basi dunia ingekuwa shwari kwani kusingekuwapo na kuvamia ardhi za watu katika nchi za watu.Halafu wengine humu tunashabikia kana kwamba hii hali itawaumiza baadhi ya watu na kumbe ni janga kwa dunia nzima.STOP THE WAR
     
  11. chash

    chash JF-Expert Member

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    Mimi viongozi wasio kuwa consistent siwaamini kabisa kuwa na nuclear Bomb. Sasa hivi Assad angekuwa nayo asingeambiwa chochote kuusu amani Syria, angefanya anavyotaka yeye na wengine kubaki kimya! Mubarak na gadafi hivyo hivyo. Sasa Iran bado Arab spring yake na wananchi kuanza kudai democrasia ni bado sana. Hatujui huyo raisi wao atafanya nini watakapoanza kudai kwa sababu lazima wataanza. Hawana mda mrefu. Sasa hivi anawalazimisha kwamba hakuna cha mtandao wa internet. watatengeneza mtandao wa Iran tu ambao hawawezi kuwasiliana na mtu nje ya Iran. Hebu fikiria hapa tuambiwe hakuna cha twitter wala facebook wala JF. Kila kitu kinachofanyika ni kile kiongozi anachotaka yeye. Sasa Mtu huyo ambaye obvious anataka sifa ni kama kichaa umpe rungu. Mnaogopa vita sasa hivi lakini yule akipata nuclear hakuna kumzuia na wala haogopi kuitumia. Israel sijui wanasubiria nini. Red line imeshapitwa saa nyingi
     
  12. escober

    escober JF-Expert Member

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    Sep 28, 2012
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    let them fight now or keep silent forever. we are sick and tired of these wardrums
     
  13. Miaghay

    Miaghay JF-Expert Member

    #13
    Sep 28, 2012
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    Netanyahoo ameshalainika kusubiri mpaka next spring ndo ufanyike uamuzi wa kuishambulia iran kama itakua haijatekeleza madai yao.
    Bi clinton amemwambia hakuna cha redline au nini,THE WORLD POWERS HAVE DECIDED TO RETURN TO THE DIPLOMACY OPTION at least for now.
     
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