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Mudavadi dilemma: Stick with Raila and be damned..or..........

Discussion in 'Kenyan News and Politics' started by Rutashubanyuma, May 26, 2011.

  1. Rutashubanyuma

    Rutashubanyuma JF-Expert Member

    #1
    May 26, 2011
    Joined: Sep 24, 2010
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    Mudavadi dilemma


    Updated 14 hr(s) 48 min(s) ago
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    By Allan Kisia and Joel Okwayo
    ODM bigwigs fought to make a statement on who commands political tide in western Kenya through Ikolomani by-election but ironically it turned out to be a statement on the Orange party itself.
    Not only did it expose what pundits claim to be Deputy Prime Minister Musalia Mudavadi’s slackening grip on the political tide in the region, but also exposed dilemma the Sabatia MP will be grappling with as he weighs his options.
    ODM bigwigs fought to make a statement on who commands political tide in western Kenya through Ikolomani by-election but ironically it turned out to be a statement on the Orange party itself.
    Not only did it expose what pundits claim to be Deputy Prime Minister Musalia Mudavadi’s slackening grip on the political tide in the region, but also exposed dilemma the Sabatia MP will be grappling with as he weighs his options ahead of the General Election.
    Like in most previous by-elections, the outcome favoured, not a party like Orange Democratic Movement, which enjoys a national outlook but New Ford-Kenya that rides on the crest of regional popularity.
    Though the seat was not ODM’s, party leader Raila Odinga pitched camp in Ikolomani where Mudavadi was commanding ground troops. Both declared the outcome would show the party was still the one to beat.
    Had the by-election gone Raila-Mudavadi way, pundits would easily have argued it was a vote of confidence on ODM. But because it did not, with the Orange candidate trailing Dr Bonny Khalwale by 2,500 votes, the opposite could be said to be true.
    The big question now is if Mudavadi would succumb to ‘local’ pressure to walk out of Raila’s shadows and run for president himself, or cling to the Prime Minister and risk paying the political price next year, which would be loss of his place on the region’s political ladder.
    The rallying call in Western after all is now turning to be fatigue with ‘running mates’, which is equated to playing second fiddle to ‘outsiders’. President Kibaki had the late Kijana Wamalwa in 2002, as his running mate, and Mudavadi paired up with Raila in 2007.
    In 2007, the then Vice-President Moody Awori, who Kibaki picked to succeed Wamalwa after he died, did claim in his campaigns he was Kibaki’s running mate.
    Inquiries within the Western political camp reveals Ikolomani loss has brought to fore simmering divisions in ODM ahead its grassroots election due next week – unless it is postponed again for the fourth time.
    It also emerged ODM went into the by-election knowing well its chances of winning were slim, a secret the leaders would not let out at the political rostrum.
    A poll the party conducted at the beginning of campaigns indicated ODM candidate Benard Shinali was trailing Khalwale.
    For sometime, some party members felt ODM should support Khalwale, because of a promise the MP-elect made that he would work with ODM. However the complication, sources reveal, was that Raila insisted he should then defect to ODM, which a section of Western MPs resisted.
    ODM insiders told The Standard some party officials were driven by a feeling that if Khalwale were floored in the by-election, it would create room for them in the race for county Senate and governorship, next year.
    Shinyalu MP Justus Kizito allegedly pushed this argument.
    Mudavadi on the other hand worried about what would happen to ODM supporters if the party did not field a candidate or when they are asked to support Khalwale whom they believe stole their victory in 2007.
    Mudavadi, it is reported, also felt the party risked disintegrating with supporters scattering to other parties.
    However, Raila and Mudavadi agreed ODM moves into Ikolomani, in spite of slim chances of winning, with the objective of reactivating their party’s political base and giving Khalwale and his backers a run for their money.
    This was not to happen as Khalwale went ahead and floored Shinali in the Monday by-election.
    ODM lost the seat to New Ford- Kenya in a region it considers its stronghold.
    It has 19 of the 24 MPs.
    Some MPs have, however, come out to say the defeat was not a blow to ODM as the seat initially belonged to New Ford-Kenya. Kizito, who was in the frontline campaigning for Shinali argues they lost the seat because of party wrangling.
    Kizito claimed a scheme was hatched to portray Mudavadi as a weak politician who could not consolidate the Luyha vote.
    Speaking in Kakamega town, Kizito claimed two ODM ministers backed Khalwale and kept off the party campaigns.
    "How could we have won if some ministers in ODM were supporting Khalwale?" he asked.
    "Some top figures in the Prime Minister’s office also funded the campaigns of New Ford- Kenya," claimed Kizito.
    He continued: "They wanted to portray Mudavadi as a politician who cannot consolidate the Western vote. We will not allow the trend as Mudavadi can as well stand on his own for the top seat."
    Mudavadi could not be reached on phone for comment but his spokesman, Kibisu Kabatesi, however termed Kizito’s allegations as "incorrect".
    He said the initial problem was whether the party was to field a candidate.
    "This is just a blame-game. Kizito pushed very hard for it to appear like he is the one who delivered the seat and thereby boost his ambitions to become governor of Kakamega County," added Kabatesi.
    Kabatesi said Kizito is also fighting Planning Minister Wycliffe Oparanya, who is also said to be eying the governor’s seat in Kakamega County.
    Kizito claimed that some people in the party financed Khalwale due to their close relationship with him in Parliament. Over 60 ODM councillors from the four counties in Western campaigned for Khalwale while some MPs and ministers kept off.
    Some ODM MPs who did not appear in Ikolomani include Nambale MP Chris Okemo, Khwisero legislator Evans Akula, and his Mumias counterpart Ben Washiali.
    Matungu MP David Were appeared in Ikolomani the day Raila commissioned the Sigalagala-Butere-Sidindi Road. Were is also the chairman of the Parliamentary Committee on Transport.
    On Wednesday, Kizito said ministers and senior officers in Raila’s office who supported Khalwale’s campaigns should be censured.
    "How could a polling centre like Shivagala record a zero vote for the ODM candidate yet the agents were there? It means the location branch chairman and his office never voted or they voted against the party candidate," said Kizito.
    Assistant Minister George Khaniri differed with Kizito and said a strong ODM team hit the ground in Ikolomani to campaign for Shinali.
    "Those who did not campaign for ODM were discouraged by their individual closeness to Khalwale and not because they were fighting Mudavadi," he argued.
    Khaniri said the matter should not be blown out of proportion arguing that the decision of Ikolomani people should be respected.
    "It is amazing how people are linking Ikolomani poll to the 2012 General Election and the Deputy Prime Minister," he added.
    Housing Minister Soita Shitanda, who is New Ford-Kenya leader while on a campaign trail, said his party would field a presidential candidate next year because of reluctance of senior politicians from the region to declare they would be running.
    Shitanda said Saboti MP Eugene Wamalwa, with whom he campaigned for Khalwale, would be going for the top seat on a New Ford-Kenya ticket because the community must try and win the presidency.
    This is the position that has been taken by Lugari MP Cyrus Jirongo, who also backed Khalwale, and believes Western should stop being the fountain of running mates for presidential candidates.
    Former Cabinet Minister Amukowa Anangwe also confirmed claims some MPs were eying seats in counties, and were unwilling to attack Khalwale directly during the campaigns.
     
  2. Rutashubanyuma

    Rutashubanyuma JF-Expert Member

    #2
    May 27, 2011
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    Mudavadi declares he will vie for presidency


    Updated 10 hr(s) 11 min(s) ago
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    By Steve mkawale
    Deputy Prime Minister Musalia Mudavadi has said he will seek ODM nomination to run for president.
    He said on Thursday he has no intentions of quitting ODM following the party's loss in the just concluded Ikolomani by-election.
    "ODM loss in Ikolomani is insignificant. I am not shaken at all. We still command the majority support in the region with 18 parliamentary seats and our intention was to increase on that," he said.
    Mudavadi, who is also the party deputy leader, said he would not form another party to contest the presidency.
    "I will not quit ODM to form another political party simply because I want to contest the presidency in 2012. I have always believed in party processes and I will not seek easier options like many politicians have done," said the Sabatia MP.
    Party support
    He reminded his critics that he was not the ODM deputy leader by default, but went through a competitive political process to earn the position.
    "I have always respected internal democracy in political parties[​IMG]. I will build and compete in ODM," he said.
    Mudavadi, who is also the Local Government minister, took issues with the media for trying to reduce him to a regional leader, saying he was a nationalist and would seek votes from across the country.
    "Newspapers should analyse issues in the right context. Before the next elections alliances are bound to shift and many things will happen," he said.
    He said the outcome of the Ikolomani by-election in which New Ford- Kenya[​IMG] candidate Bonny Khalwale beat ODM's Bernard Shinali by more than 2,000 votes has nothing to do with his political career.
    "It was never a contest between Saboti MP Eugene Wamalwa and myself. Our names were not on the ballot papers but as a member of ODM I had to support the party candidate," he said.
    Mudavadi, who addressed a news conference at his Jogoo House[​IMG] office, Nairobi, said a section of the media had created an impression ODM lose in Ikolomani indicated the party support in western Kenya was waning.
    "ODM has 18 MPs in the region. The Ikolomani seat was not ODM's. We have won two of three by-elections in the region since 2008. ODM is still strong in Western," said Mudavadi.
    He said he has no apologies to make for supporting party candidate in the by-election and that the best person won the Monday polls.
     
  3. Rutashubanyuma

    Rutashubanyuma JF-Expert Member

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    May 27, 2011
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    Mudavadi knows deep down his heart that he is Raila's stooge but he still prefers to hoodwink voters that he is his own man...............................what a fallacy?
     
  4. The Boss

    The Boss JF-Expert Member

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    May 27, 2011
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    odm is going to the history books
     
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