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Interesting WikiLeaks cable on Egypt's VP

Discussion in 'International Forum' started by Rungu, Jan 30, 2011.

  1. Rungu

    Rungu JF-Expert Member

    #1
    Jan 30, 2011
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    Nadhani hata Bongo predictions kama hizi toka kwa ubalozi wa marekani tayari zipo!

    Wikileaks Report: New Egypt Vice President, Omar Suleiman and Presidential succession in Egypt

    Posted on January 29, 2011 under OMAR SULEIMAN EGYPT
    "THE MOST LIKELY CONTENDERS ARE PRESIDENTIAL SON GAMAL MUBARAK (WHOSE PROFILE IS EVER-INCREASING AT THE RULING NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC PARTY), EGIS CHIEF OMAR SOLIMAN, DARK HORSE ARAB LEAGUE SECRETARY GENERAL AMRE MOUSSA, OR AN AS-YET UNKNOWN MILITARY OFFICER." WikeLeaks cable created in May 2007
    [​IMG]
    Suleiman headed the Egyptian intelligence Service

    The quote above is documented in cable 07CAIRO1417 entitled, PRESIDENTIAL SUCCESSION IN EGYPT, a document created in May 2007. Ominous prediction indeed, as Omar Suleiman has now been appointed as Vice President under the embattled President Mubarak and most commentators now think that is a move to allow President Mubarak to bow out gracefully and to hand over the reigns of power to his trusted and loyal confidante.

    Not even the best American diplomats could have predicted the current turmoil and new found strenght of the Egyptian people to attempt to topple the Mubarak regime. Their courage in pouring onto the streets of major Egyptian cities demanding reforms has made it impossible for President Mubarak to plan differently. To "annoint" Gamal Mubarak, his son, as successor is now clearly out of the question as Mubarak senior himself fights for his own political survival.
    WHOEVER ENDS UP AS EGYPT'S NEXT PRESIDENT LIKELY WILL BE POLITICALLY WEAKER THAN MUBARAK
    This prediction in this 2007 cable is extraordinary, especially given the American reaction to Omar Suleiman's appointment which was made clear by P J Crowley, a State Department spokesperson – "The Egyptian government can't reshuffle the deck and then stand pat". Given the demands of ordinary Egyptians to see a complete break from the Mubarak regime, Omar Suleiman will have a hard time making his position sustainable.

    Full details of "PRESIDENTIAL SUCCESSION IN EGYPT" cable below
    C O N F I D E N T I A L CAIRO 001417
    SIPDIS
    SIPDIS
    NSC FOR WATERS
    E.O. 12958: DECL: 05/13/2017
    TAGS: PREL PGOV KDEM EG
    SUBJECT: PRESIDENTIAL SUCCESSION IN EGYPT
    REF: A. CAIRO 671
    ¶B. CAIRO 974
    ¶C. 2006 CAIRO 2010
    CLASSIFIED BY: AMBASSADOR FRANCIS J. RICCIARDONE,
    FOR REASONS 1.4 (B) AND (D).
    ¶1. (C) SUMMARY AND INTRODUCTION: PRESIDENTIAL SUCCESSION IS
    THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM OF EGYPTIAN POLITICS. DESPITE
    INCESSANT WHISPERED DISCUSSIONS, NO ONE IN EGYPT HAS ANY
    CERTAINTY ABOUT WHO WILL SUCCEED MUBARAK, OR HOW THE
    SUCCESSION WILL HAPPEN. MUBARAK HIMSELF SEEMS TO BE TRUSTING
    TO GOD AND THE INERTIA OF THE MILITARY AND CIVILIAN SECURITY
    SERVICES TO ENSURE AN ORDERLY TRANSITION. IN THE CURRENT
    POLITICAL FRAMEWORK, THE MOST LIKELY CONTENDERS ARE
    PRESIDENTIAL SON GAMAL MUBARAK (WHOSE PROFILE IS
    EVER-INCREASING AT THE RULING NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC PARTY),
    EGIS CHIEF OMAR SOLIMAN, DARK HORSE ARAB LEAGUE SECRETARY
    GENERAL AMRE MOUSSA, OR AN AS-YET UNKNOWN MILITARY OFFICER.
    WHOEVER ENDS UP AS EGYPT'S NEXT PRESIDENT LIKELY WILL BE
    POLITICALLY WEAKER THAN MUBARAK. ONCE MUBARAK'S SUCCESSOR
    HAS ASSUMED THE POST, HIS FIRST PRIORITY WILL BE TO BUILD
    POPULAR SUPPORT. WE THUS EXPECT THAT THE NEW PRESIDENT WILL
    LIKELY ADOPT AN ANTI-AMERICAN TONE IN HIS INITIAL PUBLIC
    RHETORIC, IN AN EFFORT TO PROVE HIS NATIONALIST BONA FIDES TO
    THE EGYPTIAN STREET, AND MAY POSSIBLY EXTEND AN OLIVE BRANCH
    TO THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD, AS DID PREVIOUS EGYPTIAN
    PRESIDENTS AT THE BEGINNING OF THEIR TERMS. END SUMMARY.

    NB: This is just a summary of the cable. The rest has been left out.
     
  2. boma2000

    boma2000 JF-Expert Member

    #2
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    its too late now
     
  3. B

    Byendangwero JF-Expert Member

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    You can see how embassies keep their governments informed of developments in countries they represent; I wonder as to whether our own embassies do the same.
     
  4. Rungu

    Rungu JF-Expert Member

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    We surely have a long way to go!
     
  5. Rungu

    Rungu JF-Expert Member

    #5
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    This is the problem of replying to a topic without reading it! I am sure if you were one of our embassy staffs you would not bother to do the needful.
     
  6. m

    mzambia JF-Expert Member

    #6
    Jan 30, 2011
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    Maafisa usalama wa bongo na wale waliopo kny balozi zetu wanaweza haya yanayofanywa na wenzetu? Au kazi kuwafuatilia kina mzambia wako wapi basi na umbeaumbea tu without any projections of our future govt?
     
  7. The Finest

    The Finest JF-Expert Member

    #7
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    Our embassies are busy working on CCM agenda's rather than trying to see how effect our country can nature its economy simply by spying in those countries and see what we can get in terms of business and other related matters
     
  8. The Finest

    The Finest JF-Expert Member

    #8
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    Kazi ya Maafisa usalama wa Bongo ni kufuatilia vyama vya upinzani na kupeleka umbea kwa JK
     
  9. The Finest

    The Finest JF-Expert Member

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    I guess he wrote that comment while sleeping or he had taken something lol!!!!
     
  10. Ghost

    Ghost JF-Expert Member

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    Feb 2, 2011
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    mabalozi wa tz just sit in their offices to sign Passports or visas to get some money and in the evening have parties at their residences and go after local women.
     
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