Wapendwa Wana-JF Hatimaye utafiti huu umekamilika! Nimeambatanisha speech ya waziri Nkulo alyezindua utafiti huu tarehe 3 oktoba mwaka huu. Pia kuna summary ya matokeo hap chini. Kisha tujadili kama tunakoelekea ndipo tunapokusudia kwenda. Note on the release of the 2007 Household Budget Survey 1. The Minister of Finance released preliminary results of its 2007 Household Budget Survey (HBS) on Friday 3rd of October. 2. The 2007 HBS was collected by the National Bureau of Statistics and gives the most reliable available estimate of household consumption for Mainland Tanzania in a way that is comparable to the 2000/01 and 1991 HBSes. Official poverty numbers are calculated on the basis of this consumption. 3. The 2007 HBS shows that the proportion of people living in poverty has decreased by 2.4 percentage points, from 35.7 percent of the population in 2001 to 33.3 percent in 2007. Percent of population below basic needs poverty line Tanzania Mainland Dar es Salaam Other Urban areas Rural areas 1991/92 38.6% 28.1% 28.7% 40.8% 2000/01 35.7% 17.6% 25.8% 38.7% 2007 33.3% 16.2% 24.1% 37.4% 4. The reduction in poverty in Tanzania (a decline of 5 percentage points between 1991/92 and 2007) compares unfavorably with the rapid decline in poverty in Uganda (a decline of 25 percentage points between 1992/93 and 2005/6). In Uganda, poverty declined from 56.4% in 1992/93 to 38.8% in 2002/3 to 31.1% in 2005/6. 5. The number of people living in poverty in Mainland Tanzania increased by 1.0 million people between 2001 and 2007 from 11.7 million in 2001 to 12.7 million in 2007. This happened because the reduction in the percent of poor people was insufficient to compensate for the increase in the population (which has been growing at a rate of about 2.6 percent per year). 6. Based on the current trend the MDG and MKUKUTA income-poverty target of reducing poverty to 19% by 2015 (MDG) respectively 2010 (MKUKUTA) will be missed.