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Endgame In ODM as Raila drops Ruto?

Discussion in 'Kenyan News and Politics' started by Rutashubanyuma, Aug 25, 2011.

  1. Rutashubanyuma

    Rutashubanyuma JF-Expert Member

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    Raila drops Ruto

    [​IMG]
    Prof Hellen Sambili (left) and William Ruto (right) address a press conference at Parliament Buildings in Nairobi, August 25, 2011. The two said they were in transit from ODM following the sacking of party rebels from government
    BY Martin Mutua


    Prime Minister Raila Odinga severed links with Eldoret North MP William Ruto by casting the last die - sacking him from the Cabinet
    The Prime Minister and his allies had tried for months to pull Ruto back into the ODM-fold without success. The former Higher Education Minister defiantly declared he had moved on.

    Prof Margaret Kamar replaced Ruto as the Minister for Higher Education.

    In a mini-reshuffle President Kibaki and the Prime Minister announced on Wednesday, another Ruto ally, Hellen Sambili, was also sacked. Nominated MP Musa Sirma replaced her.

    The changes had been anticipated since last year, when ODM MPs allied to Ruto defied the party, and started working and voting with President Kibaki's Party of National Unity.

    On Wednesday, Ruto said, "I'm not surprised about the sacking. I left the Cabinet a long time ago. I wish Sirma and Kamar well. I now have enough time to prepare for the battle ahead."

    Ruto has declared presidential ambition, and says he is running for State House next year. Sirma, popularly nicknamed ‘The Governor', is an ally of Raila. He has been a key defender of the Prime Minister in the Rift Valley. By picking Sirma, Raila wanted to have a person he can work with. The nominated MP has often dismissed Ruto's alliance with MPs from central Kenya.District forester

    The MP, who rose from an assistant district forester, MP, assistant minister, and now a Cabinet minister, has defended Raila against accusations that he shortchanged MPs from Rift Valley, when the Coalition Government was formed.

    Ruto was appointed to the Cabinet as part of the power sharing arrangement on the ODM side of the Coalition Government in 2008.
    The move ends the suspense game the two principals have been playing with Kenyans over Cabinet reshuffle.

    And in a surprise move, Sirisia MP Moses Wetangula returned to the Cabinet, as the Minister for Foreign Affairs. But a report on whether he was culpable in a probe of Sh1.2 billion scandal involving sale of the Kenyan Embassy in Tokyo, Japan, has not been made public.

    Wetangula and his Permanent Secretary, Thuita Mwangi, stepped aside last year, following a parliamentary report. The House adopted the report that demanded Wetangula step aside to allow the Kenya Anti-Corruption Commission (KACC) to investigate the scandal.KACC, under Director PLO Lumumba, is yet to conclude the probe.

    Internal Security Minister George Saitoti has been acting as Foreign Affairs minister, with Patrick Wamoto as acting Permanent Secretary.

    It appears Raila spared suspended Industrialisation minister, Henry Kosgey, whose ministry still does not have a substantive minister. Fisheries minister Amazon Kingi is the acting minister. Kosgey has a case pending in court, over allegations of importation of vehicles flouting the eight-year rule.

    By so doing, it appears Raila did not want to be seen to be burning more bridges in the Rift Valley. But the political landscape in the Rift could change next month, when Ruto and Kosgey appear at the International Criminal Court over post-elections violence charges.

    The Hague confirmation of charges hearings begin next week for Ruto, Kosgey, and radio presenter Joshua arap Sang. The two principals seem to have treaded carefully by not replacing Kosgey because of the court case.

    Also dropped from the Cabinet are other key Ruto supporters – Assistant ministers Aden Duale (Dujis) and Mohamed Muhamud Ali (Mandera West).
    Raila appointed Voi MP Dan Mwazo to replace Duale, as Livestock Assistant minister. Wajir North MP Mohammed Gabbow replaced Ali, as Assistant Minister for Special Programmes.

    South Mugirango MP, Manson Nyamweya, made his debut to the Cabinet, with the PM appointing him an Assistant Minister for Trade.

    Also making his first appearance to the Cabinet is another Raila ally, Kapenguria MP, the Reverend Julius Murgor. He was appointed Assistant Minister for Environment and Mineral Resources, to replace Prof Kamar.Reinstatement

    Ruto had recently written to the President and the Prime Minister asking for reinstatement to the Cabinet. In the letter dated June 20, and exclusively obtained by The Standard, Ruto said he was suspended because of a court case, which has since been dismissed.

    "Your Excellency, I respectfully suggest that a decision be made one way or the other on the appointment of a substantive minister, as the current situation undermines the performance of the ministry, and prejudices innocent citizens in the higher education sector."

    Ruto was suspended from the Cabinet last October, over allegations of fraud involving sale of public land in Ngong Forest, in the outskirts of Nairobi.
    The Eldoret North MP called for a review of his position and that of the ministry because he had been acquitted of criminal charges, which were the basis of his suspension.

    He listed five initiatives, which he said he started at the Ministry of Higher Education that he argued require completion. He detailed a raft of reforms undertaken by the ministry, which he said, "require the stewardship of a substantive minister to spearhead and guide".
     
     
  2. Rutashubanyuma

    Rutashubanyuma JF-Expert Member

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    nionavyo ni kuwa Raila kachemsha kwa sababu kumkomoa Ruto ni kuziaga kura za Wakalenjini na kamwe Raila can never be a president of Kenya in this format...........
     
  3. Azimio Jipya

    Azimio Jipya JF-Expert Member

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    ... Na sifikiri kweli kama hii ni salama ...we wait and see!!
     
  4. Bantugbro

    Bantugbro JF-Expert Member

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    Safari hii NATO watakuja Afrika Mashariki...
     
  5. Mnyang'anyi

    Mnyang'anyi Member

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    We! ukome kabisa wewe...
     
  6. Bantugbro

    Bantugbro JF-Expert Member

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    Sasa unabisha nini Mnyang'anyi, si Jaluo mwenzake ndio mkuu wa NATO...
     
  7. Rutashubanyuma

    Rutashubanyuma JF-Expert Member

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    bila ya kura ya wakalenjini Raila hawezi kuwa Raisi wa kenya na huo ndiyo ukweli hata huo uwaziri mkuu ulitokana na kujizolea kura kibao kule kalenjin............sasa kawasaliti vinara wao................it is game over Raila. We may as well chopping down Raila's political obituary in earnest.......
     
  8. K

    Kakalende JF-Expert Member

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    Ruto is a spent force, mwaka 2007 asingefanya alliance na Raila sasa hivi angekuwa amesahaulika kisiasa. Raila amewaambia wao wafanya coalition zao nae watamkuta ulingoni.
     
  9. simplemind

    simplemind JF-Expert Member

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    <br />
    <br />


    Events in Great Rift are in constant flux,hata wapiga kura si ajabu may shift loyalty for fear of isolating the community from the rest of Kenyans.
     
  10. myhem

    myhem JF-Expert Member

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    Tatiza lako unalinganisha wapiga kura wa Wakenya na wapiga kura vilaza wa hapa bongo.Wenzetu ni waelewa sana na hawawezi kumchagua mtu bogus eti kwa vile ni kabila lao.By the way hao Wakelenjin ni wengi kiasi gani wakabadili uelekeo wa uchaguzi mzima?
     
  11. Rutashubanyuma

    Rutashubanyuma JF-Expert Member

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    Fired ministers dare Raila to 2012 battle
    Updated 10 hr(s) ago

    By Steve Mkawale

    Rebel ODM MPs have lashed out at Prime Minister RailaOdinga[​IMG] over the sacking of their colleagues from the Cabinet and warned him of a tough political battle come 2012.

    At least 15 MPs, mostly from the Rift Valley and North Eastern provinces, told the PM to prepare for "battle royale" in the 2012 General Election.
    "My message to him (Raila) is that we meet at the ballot box," said a defiant Eldoret North MP William Ruto who was on Wednesday sacked from the Cabinet.

    Addressing a press conference at Parliament Buildings on Thursday, Ruto said he had parted ways with Raila due to irreconcilable differences.

    "When we formed ODM, it was on the principles of democracy, and we were sure that it was a party that would reward merit and performance. Little did we know that ODM will be a party of dictators and tyrants who reward mediocrity and hero worshippers," said Ruto.

    He maintained that his sacking and that of three other MPs allied to him had nothing to do with performance.

    "This is the old style of politics of hero worship and tyranny where merit and performance are ignored at the expense mediocrity and sycophancy," said Ruto.

    He explained that issues that led to the frosty relationship between him and the PM were clear and in the public domain.

    Ruto said he and his colleagues were ready to face by-elections and it was only a matter of time before they quit ODM to form another party.

    "I am technically in ODM and nobody should give us marching orders because we formed this party. We will leave when the time is right," the Eldoret North MP said.

    Ruto has been associated with the United Democratic Movement and also the G7 alliance.

    Mogotio MP Helen Sambili of UDM - a political party that was in a working relationship with ODM - was also relieved her duties as the Minister for East Africa[​IMG] Co-operation.

    On Thursday, Sambili said she had no regrets adding that her sacking had nothing to do with performance.

    Severed links

    "It is all political. I have no regrets or apologies to make. This means UDM has severed links with ODM," she said.

    Sambili said she had avoided commenting on political issues surrounding the row in ODM because of her position in Cabinet.

    She invited Ruto and other ODM rebel MPs to join UDM. "I welcome all of you to join UDM. I am the only elected representative of the party and nothing should stop you from joining," she said.

    Dujis MP Aden Duale and his Mandera West counterpart Mohamed Muhamud Ali who were dropped as assistant ministers said ODM had lost its popularity on North Eastern due to "dictatorial tendencies" of its leadership.

    "People of Nyanza should reject leaders who are dictators, and who are against opposition in their politicalparties[​IMG]," he said.

    "ODM has lost popularity in Upper Eastern. We cannot allow to be intimidated by an individual not to air our views about the leadership of the party," Muhamud said adding that it "was on the road to self-destruction."

    "We formed ODM because of the same issues that have made us leave the party now and even Raila criticised President Kibaki at that time because of similar issues," said the MP.

    Ndaragwa MP Jeremiah Kioni who also addressed the Press conference said the culture of rewarding sycophants with ministerial posts was not good for the country.

    Others present at the conference included MPs Charles Keter, Benjamin Langat, Peris Simam, Joshua Kutuny, Linah Kilimo and Moses Lesoonnet.
     
  12. Butola

    Butola JF-Expert Member

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    Fikiri upya..

    Siasa za Kenya ni tofauti sana na hapa kwetu, siasa zao zimebase zaidi kwenye ukabila, kwa Raila kukosa kura za Wakalenjin alizozibeba kwaka 2007 kwa wingi kutamgharimu sana, wagombea wakuu wa uraisi mwaka 2012 wamegawanyika kwenye makabila makuu ya Kenya;

    GEMA, Gikuyu-Embu-Meru, -22% ya Wakenya, - Walikuwa kwa Kibaki 2007, majority wataenda kwa Uhuru Kenyatta 2012, G7 Alliance.
    Waluhya , 14% ya wakenya, - Walikuwa kwa Raila 2007, pambano kubwa litaelekezwa hapa 2012.
    Wakalenjin, 13% ya Wakenya, - Walikuwa kwa Raila 2007, majority wataenda kwa William Rutto 2012, G7 Alliance.
    Wajaluo, 11% ya Wakenya, - Kama kawaida majority wataenda kwa Raila Odinga, ODM.
    Wakamba, 10% ya Wakenya, - Kama 2007, majority wataenda kwa Kalonzo Musyoka, G7 Alliance.

    Hivyo Raila ana shughuli pevu sana hapa..
     
  13. Rutashubanyuma

    Rutashubanyuma JF-Expert Member

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    siasa za Kenya huzielewi................kura zapigwa kikabila kwenye hilo hakuna uelewa....................wakalenjini kura zao kwenye uchaguzi uliopita zilikuwa milioni 3.5............na kumbuka Kibaki alishinda na kura milioni 5.4

    Raila yeye ana uhakika wa kura milioni 1.5 za Wajaluo wenzie popote walipo lakini hawezi kuvuka kura milioni 6 ambazo ndizo zitamhakikishia Uraisi..........................nionavyo Ruto na Uhuru kenyatta kati yao atakuwa Raisi save for ongoings at hague.................
     
  14. myhem

    myhem JF-Expert Member

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    Haya mkuu nimekubali yaishe! Hakika Kenya unaijua vizuri na haubahatishi.Nadhani hata hii jumuiya ya Africa mashariki itakuwa kama urafiki wa mashaka vile kwani wenzetu ni wabaguzi sana.
     
  15. M

    Marytina JF-Expert Member

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    kwani huko hakuna ukristo na uislamu??????????
     
  16. PhD

    PhD JF-Expert Member

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    ruto ni mfa maji, raila anajua kuzicheza karata za siasa ya kenya na ndiye anakuja kuwa rais obama anamkubali sana
     
  17. Butola

    Butola JF-Expert Member

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    Kenya effect ya udini kwa mantiki ya Ukristo na uislam ni ndogo sana, kutokana na sensa rasmi ya mwaka 2009, Wakenya walijitambulisha kwa dini zao kama ifuatavyo;

    Christian-Protestant 48%
    Roman Catholic 23%
    Other Christians 12%
    Muslims 11%
    Indigenous beliefs 2%
    Others 4%

    Hivyo kwa mchanganuo huu utaona kuwa Wakristo ni almost 83% wakati Waislam ni 11% tu..

    2009 Census Volume 2 Table 12 Population by Religious Affiliation | Open Kenya | Transparent Africa
     
  18. Saint Ivuga

    Saint Ivuga JF-Expert Member

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    [video=youtube_share;TWMyuDcc0Lo]http://youtu.be/TWMyuDcc0Lo[/video]
     
  19. Ab-Titchaz

    Ab-Titchaz Content Manager Staff Member

    #19
    Aug 28, 2011
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    Why Kibaki allowed Raila to sack Ruto

    [​IMG]

    President Kibaki is welcomed to 64 Stadium in Eldoret for a rally in January this year by Eldoret North MP William Ruto.

    President Kibaki surprised his allies and opponents by consenting to the midweek reshuffle that significantly complicated the playing field ahead of the 2012 elections while highlighting a warming of relations between the President and Prime Minister Raila Odinga.

    The departure of Mr William Ruto and his key allies from the Cabinet and the reappointment of Foreign Affairs minister Moses Wetang'ula was seen as a setback for the G7 coalition, an alliance of presidential candidates which political analysts thought enjoyed the tacit backing of Mr Kibaki.

    The President's decision to consent to changes that were demanded by Mr Odinga while declining to hand the Foreign Affairs docket to the G7-leaning politician Eugene Wamalwa demonstrated Mr Kibaki's complex approach to politics and his manoeuvres to protect his legacy.

    It has also been viewed as a pointer that the President may not play a direct role in the next elections.

    Prof Peter Kagwanja, a consultant for the government, says the reshuffle left key members of the G7 essentially orphaned, something he argued will play to their advantage since they will contest the next elections as members of the "opposition" without the burdens of incumbency.

    He said the reshuffle would be seen as a victory for Mr Odinga in the court of public opinion but argued his opponents had also been strengthened.

    "The reshuffle has consolidated G7 as a de facto opposition. It has been dismissed by both principals. It is very clear that the leader of the opposition will emerge to be William Ruto and the leaders of the G7 will contest the next elections essentially from the standpoint of opposition."

    Prof Kagwanja said President Kibaki had acted to preserve the stability of the coalition.

    "He has one year to go and so much to do before he retires," he said. "He has no direct interest in the next election. He wants a stable country with a new constitution that is implemented and needs his coalition partner to achieve that. Those are the considerations that might have come into play."

    Strong lobbying

    The Sunday Nation understands that President Kibaki and Mr Odinga settled on the Cabinet changes more than a month ago. But the announcement of the reshuffle was postponed many times, apparently following strong lobbying of the President and key members of his circle by Mr Ruto's allies.

    The other main players within the G7 are Finance minister Uhuru Kenyatta and Vice-President Kalonzo Musyoka.

    The reshuffle was viewed as the clearest demonstration in months that Mr Kibaki and his coalition partner Mr Odinga are working together more closely than they have since the coalition was formed.

    Mr Odinga's spokesman Dennis Onyango said the President and PM were reading from the same script as they enter the final year of their five-year partnership.

    "The relationship between the PM and the President is at its strongest. The PM has made a decision to work with the President to help him secure his legacy. He feels he is part of that legacy, too. An honourable exit for Mr Kibaki will be good for the PM because they have worked together for most of the last decade and campaigned together in 2002. The PM believes government works well when they discuss one-on-one and agree on things and problems arise only from other quarters."


    Another source in the Prime Minister's office who declined to be named discussing internal government affairs freely identified the surprising figure of Head of Public Service Francis Muthaura as playing a central role in the thawing of the relations between State House and the PM's office.


    He said Mr Muthaura had become a frequent visitor to Mr Odinga's office, keeping him briefed on major government decisions where in the past the PM was sometimes kept out of the loop.

    The close consultation with the PM served to reduce the public bickering within the coalition that was the hallmark of the first two years of the coalition.

    With an eye on the next elections, Mr Odinga did not object to some of the key appointments that were backed by Mr Kibaki's side. He endorsed the elevation of General Julius Karangi to head the armed forces and gave the nod for the appointment of Prof Githu Muigai as Attorney-General.

    It is unclear what the easing of tensions between the President and the PM will spell for figures in the G7.

    In an interview with the Sunday Nation Mr Ruto struck a defiant note, saying his sacking was undeserved and claiming that he was now free to campaign for a generational change at the next elections.

    "I am a very strong believer that next year's election will be determined by young people who want service delivery and when it comes to that I am sure I am way ahead of the pack," he said.


    Mr Ruto maintained that he would remain in the race for 2012 whether or not the International Criminal Court indicted him and said he should be viewed as one of the favourites.

    Analysts expressed different views on what the impact of the Cabinet changes would be on the 2012 presidential campaigns.

    Prof Egara Kabaji of the Masinde Muliro University said the changes were a boon for Mr Odinga since they would allow him to work with a loyal team committed to helping him ascend to the presidency.

    "The simple definition of a political party in a multiparty democracy is a group of people that wants to achieve power and to govern. You cannot be an effective leader of a party when you have members that don't support your effort to achieve power and it made sense for Mr Odinga to kick out rebels and instill discipline within the ranks of ODM," said Prof Kabaji.

    But Prof Kagwanja said the changes were a blow to ODM. "The President is allowing ODM to peel away like an onion. It initially had three affiliate parties - ODM, UDM and Narc. UDM has now peeled away with Mr Ruto and the loyalty of Narc is in doubt. This is a setback for Mr Odinga."

    Both scholars were united on the possible calculations behind the President's decision not to protect Mr Ruto, as he did earlier when Mr Odinga attempted to suspend the Eldoret North MP and Prof Samuel Ongeri on allegations of corruption.

    "Mr Kibaki has his own agenda which is different from that of the G7. He wants to safeguard his legacy," said Prof Kabaji. "He knows that without the post-election crisis in 2007 his place in history would have been assured. That's something he doesn't want the nation to go back to and his moves are now designed to secure stability."

    Prof Kagwanja argued in similar terms, saying Mr Kibaki was simply obeying the demands of the National Accord to avoid instability.

    http://www.nation.co.ke/News/politics/Why+Kibaki+allowed+Raila+to+sack+Ruto+/-/1064/1226546/-/item/0/-/rrx0xd/-/index.html
     
  20. Rutashubanyuma

    Rutashubanyuma JF-Expert Member

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    tatizo hapa ni kuwa maadui wa Raila wameunganisha nguvu ili kumzuia asiwe Raisi kwa sababu he is considered too arrogant, abrasive and the most polarizing figure in Kenya history..............
     
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